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My (Brief) Thoughts on Maine ...

by: paulhogarth

Wed Nov 04, 2009 at 08:46:46 AM PST


(It stinks, but with every day, we are one step closer to equality. Also, it seems Frank Schubert agrees with Paul, No on 1 did run the better field operation. - promoted by Brian Leubitz)

I hate losing elections, but what I REALLY hate is losing after a high turnout.  Losing because our base didn't vote is depressing, but at least it tells us what we need to do to win next time - and progressives can take heart in the fact that "the people" are truly on their side, if only they showed up.  Last night, Maine's Question 1 passed 53-47 - despite a much higher turnout than expected (we matched last year's Obama level at the University of Maine in Orono, winning the campus 81-19.)  The "No on 1" campaign also had a far greater field presence than the opposition, and superior financial resources.  It reminds me of 2004, when Bush won despite the progressive base voting in record numbers.  When California's Proposition 8 passed last year, everyone could tell that our side ran an awful campaign.  It was painful, but gave us many lessons to learn - lessons that the "No on 1" campaign in Maine took to heart, and performed beautifully.  That's why this loss is so much worse than Prop 8.  I don't know what we could have done differently, and am too sleep-deprived to think it all through.
paulhogarth :: My (Brief) Thoughts on Maine ...
Paul Hogarth is the Managing Editor of Beyond Chron, San Francisco's Alternative Online Daily, where this piece was first published.
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It's a messaging problem (3.00 / 1)
Alongside the more fundamental issues of deeply entrenched bigotry, which can't be fixed in a single campaign, the Maine experience suggests we still haven't figured out how to message this in a way that neutralizes the other side's lies.

That's not to critique the No on 1 campaign in any way. It's more a broader point that none of us have, for example, figured out how to overcome the Schubert/Flint bullshit about schools. Nor have we been able to generate the kind of affirmative messages that get us off the defensive more broadly.

There's going to be a lot of reflection in the coming days and weeks about how to win these battles, and I hope part of that will include some in-depth work on messaging.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave


i doubt there was anything that could have helped (4.00 / 1)
conservatives are very motivated right now to vote, for one.

But I think it's just a waiting game.  Every day more of their supporters shrink away, and every day more of our supporters become voters.


It is generational (0.00 / 0)
There are simply too many older voters who don't want gay marriage. This has been a GOP hot button issue for YEARS, and nothing gets these people to the polls faster.

It takes time, and a generational shift. It will happen, though.


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