(More great information – promoted by Brian Leubitz)
While the range of competitive House districts has narrowed considerably, I am still including all 8 Obama-Republican districts to watch their trends. I also added state legislative seats that are open this year in which the incumbent is not term-limited.
Competitive and/or open state legislature districts are over the flip…
Our current numbers in the Senate are 25 Democrats/14 Republicans/1 Vacant, with winning 2 GOP-held seats necessary for 2/3; and in the Assembly 49 Democrats/29 Republicans/1 Independent (who is term-limited)/1 Vacant (Dem seat which will be filled before Election Day), with winning 3 GOP-held seats necessary for 2/3. Incumbents running for reelection are italicized.
7 thoughts on “Outlook for the California State Legislature in 2010 – May 2010 Edition”
But we’d need to thread the needle very precisely this year. Pick up both SD 12 and 15, and then AD 5, 26, and 30. I’m more skeptical that the Republican-advantage seats that Obama won can be won this year without Obama on the ballot, but they certainly are pickup opportunities in 2012.
Are definitely winnable with great Democratic candidates running for open seats against bottom of the barrel Republicans.
2/3 is definitely within our grasp and it’s actually easier to achieve than majority rule, a constitutional convention, or some combination of initiatives.
2/3 in 2010.
We have here AD-5, AD-10, and AD-15 overlapping with CA-03.
Offense in two, defense in the other two. All very important races, being taken very seriously by OFA, by the CDP , by the Democratic Party of Sacramento County, and by Speakers Perez and Pelosi.
‘Nuff said?
When was the last time and AD or SD incumbent lost an election?
Are there any incumbents in any serious danger this time around?
But we’d need to thread the needle very precisely this year. Pick up both SD 12 and 15, and then AD 5, 26, and 30. I’m more skeptical that the Republican-advantage seats that Obama won can be won this year without Obama on the ballot, but they certainly are pickup opportunities in 2012.
Are definitely winnable with great Democratic candidates running for open seats against bottom of the barrel Republicans.
2/3 is definitely within our grasp and it’s actually easier to achieve than majority rule, a constitutional convention, or some combination of initiatives.
2/3 in 2010.
We have here AD-5, AD-10, and AD-15 overlapping with CA-03.
Offense in two, defense in the other two. All very important races, being taken very seriously by OFA, by the CDP , by the Democratic Party of Sacramento County, and by Speakers Perez and Pelosi.
‘Nuff said?
When was the last time and AD or SD incumbent lost an election?
Are there any incumbents in any serious danger this time around?