{"id":12752,"date":"2010-10-25T19:17:58","date_gmt":"2010-10-25T19:17:58","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2010-10-25T19:18:52","modified_gmt":"2010-10-25T19:18:52","slug":"latusc-poll-finds-prop-23-trailing-prop-25-passing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/2010\/10\/25\/latusc-poll-finds-prop-23-trailing-prop-25-passing\/","title":{"rendered":"LAT\/USC Poll Finds Prop 23 Trailing, Prop 25 Passing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The recent LA Times\/USC poll is a classic example of &#8220;I dare not hope this is true&#8221; polling. After <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/local\/la-me-poll-20101024,0,1168989.story\">giving Jerry Brown 13-point lead<\/a> over Meg Whitman, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/local\/la-me-poll-20101025,0,1234526.story\">today&#8217;s numbers on Props 23 and 25<\/a> are also good news for progressives:<\/p>\n<p>Prop 23: 32% yes, 48% no<br \/>\n<br \/>Prop 25: 58% yes, 28% no<\/p>\n<p>I have to believe these numbers, like Brown&#8217;s 13-point lead, make this LAT\/USC poll an outlier. Props 23 and 25 are almost certainly closer than this spread makes it appear. They have Prop 25 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calbuzz.com\/2010\/10\/latusc-poll-climate-change-bites-emegs-backside\/\">leading among every demographic group<\/a>, including narrowly among Republicans and conservatives, and by huge margins among independents and moderates. Prop 23 similarly trails among most key demographic groups.<\/p>\n<p>These results will only actually come true if we keep driving people to the polls. Courage Campaign (where I work as Public Policy Director) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.couragecampaign.org\/2010ElectionEvents\">has a growing list of GOTV opportunities<\/a> around the state. Take a look and see where you can contribute &#8211; and if you know of GOTV activities we don&#8217;t have listed, let me know and we&#8217;ll make sure it gets added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recent LA Times\/USC poll is a classic example of &#8220;I dare not hope this is true&#8221; polling. After <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/local\/la-me-poll-20101024,0,1168989.story\">giving Jerry Brown 13-point lead<\/a> over Meg Whitman, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/news\/local\/la-me-poll-20101025,0,1234526.story\">today&#8217;s numbers on Props 23 and 25<\/a> are also good news for progressives:<\/p>\n<p>Prop 23: 32% yes, 48% no<br \/>\n<br \/>Prop 25: 58% yes, 28% no<\/p>\n<p>I have to believe these numbers, like Brown&#8217;s 13-point lead, make this LAT\/USC poll an outlier. Props 23 and 25 are almost certainly closer than this spread makes it appear. They have Prop 25 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calbuzz.com\/2010\/10\/latusc-poll-climate-change-bites-emegs-backside\/\">leading among every demographic group<\/a>, including narrowly among Republicans and conservatives, and by huge margins among independents and moderates. Prop 23 similarly trails among most key demographic groups.<\/p>\n<p>These results will only actually come true if we keep driving people to the polls. Courage Campaign (where I work as Public Policy Director) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.couragecampaign.org\/2010ElectionEvents\">has a growing list of GOTV opportunities<\/a> around the state. Take a look and see where you can contribute &#8211; and if you know of GOTV activities we don&#8217;t have listed, let me know and we&#8217;ll make sure it gets added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1990],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-1990"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6Pvhz-3jG","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12752","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12752"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12752\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12752"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12752"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12752"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}