This past June, the voters of this state passed Prop 14, the “open primaries” act that would effectively eliminate all but the top two candidates for the general election. If this law had been in effect this year, it would have changed several results.<\/p>\n
(I am assuming that all Green votes and all Peace and Freedom votes would swing to the Democratic candidate, and all Libertarian and American Independent votes would swing to the Republican candidate. I know that’s not necessarily valid, but I’d argue it is a good first order approximation.)<\/p>\n
In the Attorney General’s race, the race would still be tight. As of now (9:30 PM Saturday) Cooley has a 20,657 vote lead on Harris. AI & Lib would have added 328,546 to Cooley, Green & PF would have added 322,158 to Harris, increasing Cooley’s lead to 27,045. We’d still be counting votes.<\/p>\n
In District 11, the only third part candidate was an American Independent — adding those votes to Harmer would have given him a decisive victory over Jerry McNerney.<\/p>\n
In State Assembly District 5, Richard Pan’s margin would have been enhanced had the Peace & Freedom candidate not been on the ballot.<\/p>\n
Of course, the real risk of Prop 14 comes in the case of multiple members of a single party advancing, or split races in a single party leading to a minority party advancing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
This past June, the voters of this state passed Prop 14, the “open primaries” act that would effectively eliminate all but the top two candidates for the general election. If this law had been in effect this year, it would have changed several results.<\/p>\n
(I am assuming that all Green votes and all Peace and Freedom votes would swing to the Democratic candidate, and all Libertarian and American Independent votes would swing to the Republican candidate. I know that’s not necessarily valid, but I’d argue it is a good first order approximation.)<\/p>\n
In the Attorney General’s race, the race would still be tight. As of now (9:30 PM Saturday) Cooley has a 20,657 vote lead on Harris. AI & Lib would have added 328,546 to Cooley, Green & PF would have added 322,158 to Harris, increasing Cooley’s lead to 27,045. We’d still be counting votes.<\/p>\n
In District 11, the only third part candidate was an American Independent — adding those votes to Harmer would have given him a decisive victory over Jerry McNerney.<\/p>\n
In State Assembly District 5, Richard Pan’s margin would have been enhanced had the Peace & Freedom candidate not been on the ballot.<\/p>\n
Of course, the real risk of Prop 14 comes in the case of multiple members of a single party advancing, or split races in a single party leading to a minority party advancing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2826,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[4468],"class_list":["post-12824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-4468"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6Pvhz-3kQ","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12824","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2826"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12824"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12824\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12824"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12824"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12824"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}