{"id":14039,"date":"2011-12-01T20:00:00","date_gmt":"2011-12-01T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2011-12-01T19:03:07","modified_gmt":"2011-12-01T19:03:07","slug":"obama-still-safe-in-california","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/01\/obama-still-safe-in-california\/","title":{"rendered":"Obama Still Safe in California"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>President doing fine in head-to-head matchups<\/i><\/p>\n<p>by Brian Leubitz<\/p>\n<p>Barack Obama&#8217;s luster has worn off even here in California, with only 45% inclined to re-elect and 44% looking for somebody new. &nbsp;The problem with that is the somebodies trying to run against the president seem far less attractive with a name attached. &nbsp;In a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2397.pdf\">new Field Poll<\/a>, President Obama leads Mitt Romney 50-40 and Gingrich 55-35.<\/p>\n<p>On the Republican front, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2396.pdf\">yesterday&#8217;s field poll<\/a> shows Romney barely edging Gingrich 26-23. &nbsp;After the top two, the numbers drop off dramatically to Cain at 9% and Ron Paul at 5%. &nbsp;Perry, Bachmann, Santorum, and Huntsman pull in 3% or less.<\/p>\n<p>There are some other numbers in todya&#8217;s poll that show a continued lack of enthusiasm for the President&#8217;s campaign. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The good news for the president is once you put him up against a real live Republican, he doesn&#8217;t look so bad,&#8221; said Field Poll Director Mark DiCamillo.<\/p>\n<p>Still, DiCamillo said the poll&#8217;s finding that one-third of voters surveyed feel &#8220;very strongly&#8221; inclined not to vote for Obama, compared with the 26 percent who feel &#8220;very strongly&#8221; about casting a vote in his favor, is an &#8220;ominous&#8221; sign for the president. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sacbee.com\/2011\/12\/01\/4091767\/california-voters-less-inclined.html#ixzz1fJ5MVfwR\">SacBee<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Now, I don&#8217;t think that anybody seriously thinks California will be in play. After all, if that is the case, things will be looking remarkably bad. &nbsp;However, Obama has used the state as a resource for money and field purposes. &nbsp;A continued lack of enthusiasm could put a dent in both those categories.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and there is the fact that we&#8217;ll have a number of important ballot measures (see <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/14038\/coming-soon-to-a-ballot-near-you-browns-tax-plan\">the previous post<\/a>) in November to take care of here in California. Exporting resources might be harder than ever for the President, which might have a bigger impact on the race than a single poll. &nbsp;However, I have a pretty strong suspicion that the Democratic base might get a little more enthused when presented with the stark choice of President Obama and the GOP nominee. The differences, while perhaps not as great as we would like them to be, are still quite visible. &nbsp;California Democrats will certainly do there fair share.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><i>President doing fine in head-to-head matchups<\/i><\/p>\n<p>by Brian Leubitz<\/p>\n<p>Barack Obama&#8217;s luster has worn off even here in California, with only 45% inclined to re-elect and 44% looking for somebody new. &nbsp;The problem with that is the somebodies trying to run against the president seem far less attractive with a name attached. &nbsp;In a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2397.pdf\">new Field Poll<\/a>, President Obama leads Mitt Romney 50-40 and Gingrich 55-35.<\/p>\n<p>On the Republican front, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2396.pdf\">yesterday&#8217;s field poll<\/a> shows Romney barely edging Gingrich 26-23. &nbsp;After the top two, the numbers drop off dramatically to Cain at 9% and Ron Paul at 5%. &nbsp;Perry, Bachmann, Santorum, and Huntsman pull in 3% or less.<\/p>\n<p>There are some other numbers in todya&#8217;s poll that show a continued lack of enthusiasm for the President&#8217;s campaign. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;The good news for the president is once you put him up against a real live Republican, he doesn&#8217;t look so bad,&#8221; said Field Poll Director Mark DiCamillo.<\/p>\n<p>Still, DiCamillo said the poll&#8217;s finding that one-third of voters surveyed feel &#8220;very strongly&#8221; inclined not to vote for Obama, compared with the 26 percent who feel &#8220;very strongly&#8221; about casting a vote in his favor, is an &#8220;ominous&#8221; sign for the president. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sacbee.com\/2011\/12\/01\/4091767\/california-voters-less-inclined.html#ixzz1fJ5MVfwR\">SacBee<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Now, I don&#8217;t think that anybody seriously thinks California will be in play. After all, if that is the case, things will be looking remarkably bad. &nbsp;However, Obama has used the state as a resource for money and field purposes. &nbsp;A continued lack of enthusiasm could put a dent in both those categories.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and there is the fact that we&#8217;ll have a number of important ballot measures (see <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/14038\/coming-soon-to-a-ballot-near-you-browns-tax-plan\">the previous post<\/a>) in November to take care of here in California. Exporting resources might be harder than ever for the President, which might have a bigger impact on the race than a single poll. &nbsp;However, I have a pretty strong suspicion that the Democratic base might get a little more enthused when presented with the stark choice of President Obama and the GOP nominee. The differences, while perhaps not as great as we would like them to be, are still quite visible. &nbsp;California Democrats will certainly do there fair share.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[1001],"class_list":["post-14039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-1001"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6Pvhz-3Er","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14039","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14039\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}