{"id":14093,"date":"2012-01-05T19:29:51","date_gmt":"2012-01-05T19:29:51","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2012-01-05T19:29:51","modified_gmt":"2012-01-05T19:29:51","slug":"blakeslee-wont-run-unless-district-changes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/2012\/01\/05\/blakeslee-wont-run-unless-district-changes\/","title":{"rendered":"Blakeslee Won&#8217;t Run Unless District Changes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>New Central Coast district strongly favors Democrats<\/i><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/s15.photobucket.com\/albums\/a397\/utbriancl\/?action=view&amp;current=css_banner_blakeslee.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i15.photobucket.com\/albums\/a397\/utbriancl\/css_banner_blakeslee.png\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Photobucket\" align=\"right\" width=150><\/a>by Brian Leubitz<\/p>\n<p>There were winners and losers in the redistricting process this year. Certainly Howard Berman and Brad Sherman <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.sacbee.com\/capitolalertlatest\/2012\/01\/am-alert-howard-berman-brad-sherman-debate-woodland-hills.html\">were none too pleased<\/a> to be forced to go around collecting endorsements right around now. &nbsp;And Elton Gallegly and Lois Capps won&#8217;t be thrilled with their new toss-up seats either. (Gallegly has been talking retirement for years, so that may happen now.)<\/p>\n<p>But the new Senate map draws more ire than any of the other maps. &nbsp;Partially because Democrats are so close to getting a 2\/3 majority, but also because a few gerrymandered seats were redrawn that will make them hard to keep in the GOP column. &nbsp;Chief among those is the seat of Sam Blakeslee, who recently defeated friend of Calitics John Laird last year in a special election to replace temporary LG Abel Maldonado. &nbsp;His seat was a toss-up, with a slight Democratic registration advantage. &nbsp;The low-turnout special election obviously favored conservatives (and thus his victory), so even if he were running in the same district he would face a tough challenge against Asm. Bill Monning. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.mpimaps.com\/nggallery\/page-293\/image\/1647\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i15.photobucket.com\/albums\/a397\/utbriancl\/17.png\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Photobucket\" width=200 align=left><\/a>But that is just the beginning for Blakeslee. The 17th Senate District is now essentially a Safe Democratic seat, with a 16pt Democratic registration advantage. (For more on safe\/toss-ups, <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/14085\/outlook-for-california-districts-in-2012-christmasnew-years-edition\">see this excellent CaliGirl in Texas diary<\/a>.) &nbsp;In a presidential year, with the expected high turnout, Blakeslee faces very long odds.<\/p>\n<p>And give Blakeslee credit for acknowledging as much.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I want my community to understand that by making this decision, I&#8217;m not walking away from a fight,&#8221; Blakeslee told The Tribune. &#8220;But I&#8217;m not willing to lose the entire last year in office in (a vain) pursuit of office. I&#8217;m 100 percent engaged to make sure this last year is the most impactful as it possibly can be.&#8221;(<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.sacbee.com\/capitolalertlatest\/2012\/01\/california-sen-sam-blakeslee-may-not-run-for-re-election-under-new-maps.html\">SacBee<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Now, Blakeslee did leave the door open if the district is more friendly when it is decided upon by the Supreme Court in San Francisco soon. &nbsp;But, unless the district changes soon, it looks like we have a couple of good opportunities to pick up the 2\/3 vote in the Senate<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><i>New Central Coast district strongly favors Democrats<\/i><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/s15.photobucket.com\/albums\/a397\/utbriancl\/?action=view&amp;current=css_banner_blakeslee.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i15.photobucket.com\/albums\/a397\/utbriancl\/css_banner_blakeslee.png\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Photobucket\" align=\"right\" width=150><\/a>by Brian Leubitz<\/p>\n<p>There were winners and losers in the redistricting process this year. Certainly Howard Berman and Brad Sherman <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.sacbee.com\/capitolalertlatest\/2012\/01\/am-alert-howard-berman-brad-sherman-debate-woodland-hills.html\">were none too pleased<\/a> to be forced to go around collecting endorsements right around now. &nbsp;And Elton Gallegly and Lois Capps won&#8217;t be thrilled with their new toss-up seats either. (Gallegly has been talking retirement for years, so that may happen now.)<\/p>\n<p>But the new Senate map draws more ire than any of the other maps. &nbsp;Partially because Democrats are so close to getting a 2\/3 majority, but also because a few gerrymandered seats were redrawn that will make them hard to keep in the GOP column. &nbsp;Chief among those is the seat of Sam Blakeslee, who recently defeated friend of Calitics John Laird last year in a special election to replace temporary LG Abel Maldonado. &nbsp;His seat was a toss-up, with a slight Democratic registration advantage. &nbsp;The low-turnout special election obviously favored conservatives (and thus his victory), so even if he were running in the same district he would face a tough challenge against Asm. Bill Monning. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.mpimaps.com\/nggallery\/page-293\/image\/1647\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i15.photobucket.com\/albums\/a397\/utbriancl\/17.png\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Photobucket\" width=200 align=left><\/a>But that is just the beginning for Blakeslee. The 17th Senate District is now essentially a Safe Democratic seat, with a 16pt Democratic registration advantage. (For more on safe\/toss-ups, <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/14085\/outlook-for-california-districts-in-2012-christmasnew-years-edition\">see this excellent CaliGirl in Texas diary<\/a>.) &nbsp;In a presidential year, with the expected high turnout, Blakeslee faces very long odds.<\/p>\n<p>And give Blakeslee credit for acknowledging as much.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I want my community to understand that by making this decision, I&#8217;m not walking away from a fight,&#8221; Blakeslee told The Tribune. &#8220;But I&#8217;m not willing to lose the entire last year in office in (a vain) pursuit of office. I&#8217;m 100 percent engaged to make sure this last year is the most impactful as it possibly can be.&#8221;(<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.sacbee.com\/capitolalertlatest\/2012\/01\/california-sen-sam-blakeslee-may-not-run-for-re-election-under-new-maps.html\">SacBee<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Now, Blakeslee did leave the door open if the district is more friendly when it is decided upon by the Supreme Court in San Francisco soon. &nbsp;But, unless the district changes soon, it looks like we have a couple of good opportunities to pick up the 2\/3 vote in the Senate<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[4772],"class_list":["post-14093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-4772"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6Pvhz-3Fj","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14093","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14093"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14093\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}