Here is my analysis of the Assembly races. I will start with listing by rating.<\/p>\n
GUARANTEED DEM – 15
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SAFE DEM – 32
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LEAN DEM – 2
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TOSS-UP – 3
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LEAN GOP – 1
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LIKELY GOP – 2
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SAFE GOP – 19
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GUARANTEED GOP – 6<\/p>\n
The Democrats’ best-case scenario, winning all the seats that lean their way and the toss-ups, is status-quo 52-28, while the Republicans’ best-case scenario is 49-31.<\/p>\n
Now, on to the races.<\/p>\n
California’s 1st State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED GOP<\/b> California’s 2nd State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 3rd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 4th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 5th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED GOP<\/b> California’s 6th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 7th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 8th State Assembly District<\/a> – TOSS-UP<\/b> Description: This is probably the dictionary definition of “swing district”.<\/p>\n California’s 9th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 10th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 11th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 12th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 13th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 14th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 15th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 16th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 17th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 18th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 19th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 20th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 21st State Assembly District<\/a> – LEAN DEM<\/b> Description: The statewide numbers show that this is a swingy district, and while the Republican got almost 45%, the remaining 55% was split among 4 Democrats.<\/p>\n California’s 22nd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 23rd State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED GOP<\/b> California’s 24th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 25th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 26th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 27th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 28th State Assembly District<\/a> – LEAN DEM<\/b> (but no chance of going GOP at all) Quite unusual, though this is not the first time<\/a> a “minor party” (in this case, none at all) candidate has a fighting chance against a major-party incumbent. Fong only got 54% in June, so this may be the only race in which top-two potentially worked to a non-major party candidate’s benefit.<\/p>\n California’s 29th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 30th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 31st State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 32nd State Assembly District<\/a> – LIKELY GOP<\/b> Description: I don’t see how Salas can overcome a 60-40 deficit, even if Democratic turnout was reduced in June.<\/p>\n California’s 33rd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 34th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 35th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 36th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 37th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 38th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 39th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 40th State Assembly District<\/a> – LEAN GOP<\/b> Description: This district looks like Morrell’s old district, except it trades a Republican city for a Democratic one: Upland for San Bernardino. This district is also 47% minority-majority in the citizen voting age population, so June turnout was probably lower than what November’s might be.<\/p>\n California’s 41st State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 42nd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 43rd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 44th State Assembly District<\/a> – LIKELY GOP<\/b> Description: The addition of Oxnard shifted this district from a small Republican registration advantage to a slight Democratic registration. Gorell is moderate and has received the teachers’ union endorsement, so he shouldn’t have much trouble holding this district.<\/p>\n California’s 45th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 46th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 47th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 48th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 49th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> *This is the only majority-Asian district in all of the California U.S. House, Senate, and Assembly districts in population and voting-age population (VAP), and almost majority-Asian citizen VAP. Have there been any other majority-Asian districts outside of Hawaii?<\/p>\n California’s 50th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> Description: Butler, who barely won in a Beach Cities-centric district in 2010<\/a>, moved to this West Side-centric district and will face the mayor of Santa Monica. Her other option was the very swingy 66th district, so her chances are nominally better here.<\/p>\n California’s 51st State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 52nd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 53rd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 54th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 55th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 56th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 57th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 58th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 59th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 60th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 61st State Assembly District<\/a> – TOSS-UP<\/b> Description: Here is another new Riverside district. I’m rating this a toss-up like its Senate and U.S. House counterparts due to the “uncharted territory” and “historic GOP strength” factors. However, Kamala Harris won here in the Attorney General race, so if one of the districts goes DEM, my money is on this one.<\/p>\n California’s 62nd State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 63rd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 64th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED DEM<\/b> California’s 65th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 66th State Assembly District<\/a> – TOSS-UP<\/b> Description: Huey, who overperformed in a House district special election in 2011, is running in this swingy district, with Democratic-leaning West Carson, the slight-Democratic-leaning Beach Cities (Hermosa\/Manhattan\/Redondo), the Republican-leaning Palos Verdes Peninsula, and swingy Torrance. Republicans got 60% of the June vote, which seems high for a swingy district, so this district could go either way.<\/p>\n California’s 67th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED GOP<\/b> California’s 68th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 69th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 70th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b> California’s 71st State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 72nd State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED GOP<\/b> California’s 73rd State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 74th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 75th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 76th State Assembly District<\/a> – GUARANTEED GOP<\/b> California’s 77th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE GOP<\/b> California’s 78th State Assembly District<\/a> – SAFE DEM<\/b>
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Geography: Northeastern corner (Redding)
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November ballot: Rick Bosetti (R) vs. Brian Dahle (R)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 58-31
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Governor 2010: Whitman 53-37
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President 2008: McCain 53-41<\/p>\n
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Geography: North Coast (Santa Rosa)
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November ballot: Wesley Chesbro (D-inc) vs. Tom Lynch (D)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 57-32
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 59-33
\n
President 2008: Obama 67-29<\/p>\n
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Geography: Northern Sacramento Valley (Chico, Paradise, Oroville)
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November ballot: Dan Logue (R-inc) vs. Charles Rouse (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 57-32
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Governor 2010: Whitman 52-39
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President 2008: McCain 53-44<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Western Sacramento Valley (Davis, Napa)
\n
November ballot: Mariko Yamada (D-inc) vs. John Munn (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 54-37
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Governor 2010: Brown 57-36
\n
President 2008: Obama 65-32<\/p>\n
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Geography: Northeastern San Joaquin Valley, Sierras
\n
November ballot: Frank Bigelow (R) vs. Rico Oller (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 58-32
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Governor 2010: Whitman 53-39
\n
President 2008: McCain 53-44<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Roseville, Folsom
\n
November ballot: Beth Gaines (R-inc) vs. Regy Bronner (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 60-32
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Governor 2010: Whitman 57-37
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President 2008: McCain 55-42<\/p>\n
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Geography: Sacramento, West Sacramento
\n
November ballot: Roger Dickinson (D-inc) vs. Jonathan Zachariou (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 58-33
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Governor 2010: Brown 65-29
\n
President 2008: Obama 67-30<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Citrus Heights, Rancho Cordova
\n
November ballot: Ken Cooley (D) vs. Peter Tateishi (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 48-43
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Governor 2010: Brown 50-43
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President 2008: Obama 52-45<\/p>\n
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Geography: Lodi, Elk Grove, part of Sacramento
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November ballot: Richard Pan (D-inc) vs. Tony Amador (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 51-41
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Governor 2010: Brown 58-36
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President 2008: Obama 59-38<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Marin County, southern Sonoma County
\n
November ballot: Michael Allen (D-inc) vs. Marc Levine (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 66-27
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Governor 2010: Brown 68-27
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President 2008: Obama 76-21<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Antioch, Fairfield, Vacaville
\n
November ballot: Jim Frazier (D) vs. Mike Hudson (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 51-41
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Governor 2010: Brown 55-39
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President 2008: Obama 60-37<\/p>\n
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Geography: Eastern San Joaquin and Stanislaus Counties
\n
November ballot: Kristin Olsen (R-inc) vs. Christopher Mateo (D)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 57-34
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Governor 2010: Whitman 53-39
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President 2008: McCain 52-45<\/p>\n
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Geography: Stockton, Tracy
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November ballot: Susan Talamantes Eggman (D) vs. K. “Jeffrey” Jafri (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 51-40
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Governor 2010: Brown 55-38
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President 2008: Obama 61-36<\/p>\n
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Geography: Concord, Martinez, Vallejo
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November ballot: Susan Bonilla (D-inc)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 61-32
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Governor 2010: Brown 62-32
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President 2008: Obama 69-29<\/p>\n
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Geography: Berkeley, Richmond
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November ballot: Nancy Skinner (D-inc)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 84-12
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Governor 2010: Brown 84-12
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President 2008: Obama 87-10<\/p>\n
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Geography: Livermore, San Ramon, Walnut Creek
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November ballot: Joan Buchanan (D-inc) vs. Al Phillips (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 50-45
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Governor 2010: Brown 51-45
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President 2008: Obama 60-37<\/p>\n
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Geography: Eastern San Francisco
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November ballot: Tom Ammiano (D-inc) vs. Jason P. Clark (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 80-11
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Governor 2010: Brown 82-13
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President 2008: Obama 87-10<\/p>\n
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Geography: Oakland
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November ballot: Rob Bonta (D) vs. Abel Guillen (D)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 81-13
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Governor 2010: Brown 82-13
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President 2008: Obama 85-12<\/p>\n
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Geography: Western San Francisco, Daly City
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November ballot: Michael Breyer (D) vs. Phil Ting (D)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 70-21
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Governor 2010: Brown 72-23
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President 2008: Obama 78-19<\/p>\n
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Geography: Fremont, Hayward
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November ballot: Bill Quirk (D) vs. Jennifer Ong (D)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 67-26
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Governor 2010: Brown 67-27
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President 2008: Obama 73-24<\/p>\n
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Geography: Merced County, western Stanislaus County (Ceres, Modesto, Patterson)
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November ballot: Adam Gray (D) vs. Jack Mobley (R)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 49-42
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Governor 2010: Brown 47-45
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President 2008: Obama 54-43<\/p>\n
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Geography: San Mateo County (San Mateo, Redwood City)
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November ballot: Mark Gilham (R) vs. Kevin Mullin (D)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 64-30
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Governor 2010: Brown 64-31
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President 2008: Obama 72-25<\/p>\n
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Geography: Fresno, Clovis
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November ballot: Jim Patterson (R) vs. Bob Whalen (R)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 62-31
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Governor 2010: Whitman 58-36
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President 2008: McCain 53-45<\/p>\n
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Geography: Silicon Valley (Mountain View, Palo Alto, Sunnyvale)
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November ballot: Richard Gordon (D-inc) vs. Chengzhi “George” Yang (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 66-28
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Governor 2010: Brown 64-31
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President 2008: Obama 73-23<\/p>\n
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Geography: Newark, Milpitas, Santa Clara
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November ballot: Bob Wieckowski (D-inc) vs. Arlyne Diamond (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 63-29
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Governor 2010: Brown 61-33
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President 2008: Obama 68-28<\/p>\n
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Geography: Inyo County, Visalia, rural Kern County
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November ballot: Connie Conway (R-inc) vs. Jonathan Louis Sosa (D)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 61-29
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Governor 2010: Whitman 55-37
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President 2008: McCain 57-41<\/p>\n
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Geography: San Jose
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November ballot: Nora Campos (D-inc) vs. Roger F. Lasson (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 66-26
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Governor 2010: Brown 64-29
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President 2008: Obama 70-26<\/p>\n
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Geography: Cupertino, Los Gatos, Saratoga
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November ballot: Paul Fong (D-inc) vs. Chad Walsh (NPP)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 58-34
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Governor 2010: Brown 57-38
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President 2008: Obama 67-30<\/p>\n
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Geography: Santa Cruz, Monterey
\n
November ballot: Mark Stone (D) vs. Tom Walsh (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 61-31
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Governor 2010: Brown 62-32
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President 2008: Obama 71-26<\/p>\n
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Geography: San Benito, Salinas, Morgan Hill
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November ballot: Luis Alejo (D-inc) vs. Rob Bernosky (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 57-35
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Governor 2010: Brown 58-35
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President 2008: Obama 66-31<\/p>\n
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Geography: Western Fresno County
\n
November ballot: Henry Perea (D-inc)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 46-44
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Governor 2010: Brown 53-39
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President 2008: Obama 59-38<\/p>\n
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Geography: Kings County, Bakersfield, Delano
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November ballot: Rudy Salas (D) vs. Pedro Rios (R)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 48-41
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Governor 2010: Whitman 49-41
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President 2008: Obama 52-45<\/p>\n
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Geography: Most of San Bernardino County (Victorville, Hesperia, Apple Valley, Barstow)
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November ballot: Tim Donnelly (R-inc) vs. John Coffey (D)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 58-31
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Governor 2010: Whitman 53-35
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President 2008: McCain 55-41<\/p>\n
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Geography: Bakersfield
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November ballot: Shannon Grove (R-inc) vs. Mari Goodman (D)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 66-25
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Governor 2010: Whitman 60-31
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President 2008: McCain 63-34<\/p>\n
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Geography: San Luis Obispo, Santa Maria
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November ballot: Katcho Achadjian (R-inc) vs. Gerry Manata
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 51-40
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Governor 2010: Whitman 50-42
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President 2008: McCain 49-48<\/p>\n
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Geography: Steve Fox (D) vs. Ron Smith (R)
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November ballot: Lancaster, Palmdale
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 53-37
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Governor 2010: Whitman 48-40
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President 2008: McCain 49-48<\/p>\n
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Geography: Santa Barbara, Ventura, Oxnard
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November ballot: Das Williams (D-inc) vs. Rob Walter (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 52-40
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Governor 2010: Brown 52-41
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President 2008: Obama 64-33<\/p>\n
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Geography: Santa Clarita, Simi Valley
\n
November ballot: Edward Headington (D) vs. Scott Wilk (R)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 55-37
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Governor 2010: Whitman 54-39
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President 2008: McCain 51-46<\/p>\n
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Geography: Eastern San Fernando Valley
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November ballot: Richard Alarcon (D-inc) vs. Raul Bocanegra (D)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 63-27
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Governor 2010: Brown 64-27
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President 2008: Obama 71-25<\/p>\n
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Geography: Rancho Cucamonga, San Bernardino, Redlands
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November ballot: Mike Morrell (R-inc) vs. Russ Warner (D)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 48-42
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Governor 2010: Brown 46-45
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President 2008: Obama 52-44<\/p>\n
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Geography: San Gabriel Valley (Pasadena, Upland)
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November ballot: Chris Holden (D) vs. Donna Lowe (R)
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Senate 2010: Boxer 51-42
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Governor 2010: Brown 53-40
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President 2008: Obama 60-37<\/p>\n
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Geography: Hemet, Palm Desert, Yucca Valley
\n
November ballot: Brian Nestande (R-inc) vs. Anthony Orozco (D)
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Senate 2010: Fiorina 55-37
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Governor 2010: Whitman 52-39
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President 2008: McCain 52-45<\/p>\n
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Geography: Burbank, Glendale
\n
November ballot: Mike Gatto (D-inc) vs. Greg Krikorian (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 59-33
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Governor 2010: Brown 59-33
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President 2008: Obama 67-29<\/p>\n
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Geography: Oxnard, Thousand Oaks
\n
November ballot: Jeff Gorell (R-inc) vs. Eileen MacEnery (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 49-44
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Governor 2010: Whitman 49-44
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President 2008: Obama 55-43<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Western San Fernando Valley
\n
November ballot: Bob Blumenfield (D-inc) vs. Chris Kolski (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 55-38
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 55-39
\n
President 2008: Obama 64-33<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Western San Fernando Valley
\n
November ballot: Adrin Nazarian (D) vs. Jay Stern (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 66-26
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 67-27
\n
President 2008: Obama 73-23<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Fontana, Rialto, San Bernardino
\n
November ballot: Joe Baca, Jr. (D) vs. Cheryl R. Brown (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 60-30
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 61-29
\n
President 2008: Obama 67-29<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Baldwin Park, West Covina, Glendora
\n
November ballot: Roger Hernandez (D-inc) vs. Joe M. Gardner (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 53-37
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 56-35
\n
President 2008: Obama 61-36<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Alhambra, El Monte, Monterey Park*
\n
November ballot: Ed Chau (D) vs. Matthew Lin (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 54-37
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 55-37
\n
President 2008: Obama 60-36<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: West Side L.A. (Beverly Hills, Malibu, Santa Monica, West Hollywood)
\n
November ballot: Betsy Butler (D-inc) vs. Richard Bloom (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 67-28
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 66-29
\n
President 2008: Obama 74-23<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Downtown L.A.
\n
November ballot: Jimmy Gomez (D) vs. Luis Lopez (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 77-15
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 77-15
\n
President 2008: Obama 79-17<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Chino, Ontario, Pomona
\n
November ballot: Norma Torres (D-inc) vs. Kenny Coble (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 57-37
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 56-35
\n
President 2008: Obama 63-34<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Downtown L.A., Huntington Park
\n
November ballot: John P\u00e9rez (D-inc) vs. Jose Aguilar (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 76-14
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 77-15
\n
President 2008: Obama 78-18<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Culver City
\n
November ballot: Holly Mitchell (D-inc) vs. Brandon McCowen (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 78-16
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 78-16
\n
President 2008: Obama 84-14<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Diamond Bar, La Habra, Yorba Linda
\n
November ballot: Curt Hagman (R-inc) vs. Gregg Fritchle (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 57-36
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 56-37
\n
President 2008: McCain 50-47<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Imperial County, Indio, Cathedral City, Blythe
\n
November ballot: Manuel Perez (D-inc) vs. Corky Reynaga-Emett (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 52-40
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 54-39
\n
President 2008: Obama 59-38<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: La Mirada, Norwalk, Whittier
\n
November ballot: Ian Charles Calderon (D) vs. Noel Jaimes (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 54-37
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 56-36
\n
President 2008: Obama 60-36<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Downey, Bellflower, Cerritos
\n
November ballot: Christina Garcia (D) vs. Patricia Kotze-Ramos (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 60-30
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 62-30
\n
President 2008: Obama 66-31<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Part of South Central L.A.
\n
November ballot: Rodney Robinson (D) vs. Reggie Jones-Sawyer (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 86-6
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 86-6
\n
President 2008: Obama 90-7<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Corona, Riverside
\n
November ballot: Eric Linder (R) vs. Jose Luis Perez (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 50-41
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 48-43
\n
President 2008: Obama 51-46<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Riverside, Moreno Valley
\n
November ballot: Bill Batey (R) vs. Jose Medina (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 50-41
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 53-39
\n
President 2008: Obama 60-36<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Inglewood, Hawthorne
\n
November ballot: Steven Bradford (D-inc) vs. Mervin Leon Evans (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 73-20
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 73-21
\n
President 2008: Obama 80-17<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Gateway Cities (South Gate, Lakewood, Lynwood)
\n
November ballot: Jack M. Guerrero (R) vs. Anthony Rendon (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 66-24
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 67-24
\n
President 2008: Obama 72-24<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Compton, Carson
\n
November ballot: Isadore Hall (D-inc)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 80-11
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 82-11
\n
President 2008: Obama 85-12<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Buena Park, Fullerton, Stanton
\n
November ballot: Chris Norby (R-inc) vs. Sharon Quirk-Silva (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 50-41
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 50-42
\n
President 2008: Obama 50-47<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Palos Verdes, Torrance, West Carson, Beach Cities
\n
November ballot: Craig Huey (R) vs. Al Muratsuchi (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 47-45
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 47-46
\n
President 2008: Obama 55-42<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Murrieta, Menifee, Lake Elsinore
\n
November ballot: Melissa Melendez (R) vs. Phil Paule (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 61-31
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 57-34
\n
President 2008: McCain 56-41<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Lake Forest, Orange, Tustin
\n
November ballot: Don Wagner (R-inc) vs. Christina Avalos (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 61-32
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 60-33
\n
President 2008: McCain 52-45<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Anaheim, Santa Ana
\n
November ballot: Tom Daly (D) vs. Joe Moreno (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 56-34
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 56-34
\n
President 2008: Obama 64-33<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Long Beach
\n
November ballot: Bonnie Lowenthal (D-inc) vs. Martha Flores Gibson (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 57-34
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 59-34
\n
President 2008: Obama 67-30<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: El Cajon, Santee
\n
November ballot: Brian Jones (R-inc) vs. Patrick Hurley (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 61-29
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 58-32
\n
President 2008: McCain 57-40<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Garden Grove, Huntington Beach, Westminster
\n
November ballot: Travis Allen (R) vs. Troy Edgar (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 54-38
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 55-37
\n
President 2008: McCain 53-44<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Laguna Niguel, Mission Viejo, San Clemente
\n
November ballot: Diane Harkey (R-inc) vs. James Corbett (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 63-30
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 62-31
\n
President 2008: McCain 53-44<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Costa Mesa, Laguna Beach, Newport Beach
\n
November ballot: Allan Mansoor (R-inc) vs. Robert Rush (D)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 56-37
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 56-37
\n
President 2008: McCain 50-47<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Escondido, San Marcos, Temecula
\n
November ballot: Matthew Herold (D) vs. Marie Waldron (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 62-30
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 60-31
\n
President 2008: McCain 55-41<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Carlsbad, Oceanside, Vista
\n
November ballot: Rocky Chavez (R) vs. Sherry Hodges (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 53-38
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 52-40
\n
President 2008: Obama 51-46<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Poway, northern San Diego
\n
November ballot: Ruben Hernandez (D) vs. Brian Maienschein (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Fiorina 54-38
\n
Governor 2010: Whitman 55-39
\n
President 2008: Obama 50-47<\/p>\n
\n
Geography: Western San Diego, Coronado, Imperial Beach
\n
November ballot: Toni Atkins (D-inc) vs. Ralph Denney (R)
\n
Senate 2010: Boxer 54-38
\n
Governor 2010: Brown 54-39
\n
President 2008: Obama 66-31<\/p>\n