{"id":15531,"date":"2014-06-27T16:32:44","date_gmt":"2014-06-27T16:32:44","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2014-06-27T16:32:44","modified_gmt":"2014-06-27T16:32:44","slug":"field-big-lead-for-brown-legislatures-approval-slips-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/27\/field-big-lead-for-brown-legislatures-approval-slips-back\/","title":{"rendered":"Field: Big Lead for Brown, Legislature&#8217;s Approval Slips Back"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>Field Poll shows Legislature took hit after recent controversy<\/i><\/p>\n<p>by Brian Leubitz<\/p>\n<p>Field is in the midst of their most recent data dump, and you can&#8217;t help but feel that Gov. Brown is all smiles. First, there&#8217;s the fact that he has a 20 point lead over Neel Kashkari<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The results of the latest Field Poll show incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown leading Republican challenger Neel Kashkari by twenty points, 52% to 32%, among likely voters in this year&#8217;s gubernatorial election. &nbsp;&#8230; Brown is regarded favorably by 54% of likely voters, while 31% have an unfavorable opinion. Following his second place showing in the June primary, Kashkari is viewed favorably by 28%, while 16% of voters hold an unfavorable opinion of him. <\/p>\n<p>In addition, the Poll finds 54% of voters approving of the job Brown is doing as governor, while 29% disapprove. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2472.pdf\">Field PDF<\/a>)<br \/>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The Governor&#8217;s approval rating during this term has been as low as 43%, before reaching a high of 59% in April of this year. While it did slip, when combined with his mound of campaign funds, the contest between Brown and Kashkari doesn&#8217;t really seem a fair fight. Barring some major shift of the political landscape, you have to feel that Brown should defeat Kashkari handily.<\/p>\n<p>Now, on the other side, the Legislature was so close to actually having a net favorable rating. The institution&#8217;s ratings were trending up from a low of 19% in May 2012 before Prop 30. In December 2013, it hit 40% for the first time since 2002. In other words, a really long time. And then in the late March poll, approval was trending even higher, with a 46-40 split in the first few days of polling. Then the Leland Yee story broke, and the numbers fell back to earth. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Slightly more voters believe California is generally on the wrong track (46%) than say it is moving in the right direction (41%). In addition, more voters disapprove (47%) than approve (35%) of the job performance of the state legislature. <\/p>\n<p>Opinions about both matters are directly related to the party registration of voters. Democrats offer a much more optimistic assessment of the direction of the state and hold more positive views of the job the state legislature is doing than Republicans. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2474.pdf\">Field PDF<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Still, this says a lot about the harmony of the post Prop 30 days. There are still budget fights, but they aren&#8217;t nearly as toxic as they once were. The majority vote budget means that the fights are basically all within the party. The scandal can&#8217;t help, but beyond a bad apple or two, this is a legislature that works for California.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><i>Field Poll shows Legislature took hit after recent controversy<\/i><\/p>\n<p>by Brian Leubitz<\/p>\n<p>Field is in the midst of their most recent data dump, and you can&#8217;t help but feel that Gov. Brown is all smiles. First, there&#8217;s the fact that he has a 20 point lead over Neel Kashkari<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The results of the latest Field Poll show incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown leading Republican challenger Neel Kashkari by twenty points, 52% to 32%, among likely voters in this year&#8217;s gubernatorial election. &nbsp;&#8230; Brown is regarded favorably by 54% of likely voters, while 31% have an unfavorable opinion. Following his second place showing in the June primary, Kashkari is viewed favorably by 28%, while 16% of voters hold an unfavorable opinion of him. <\/p>\n<p>In addition, the Poll finds 54% of voters approving of the job Brown is doing as governor, while 29% disapprove. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2472.pdf\">Field PDF<\/a>)<br \/>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The Governor&#8217;s approval rating during this term has been as low as 43%, before reaching a high of 59% in April of this year. While it did slip, when combined with his mound of campaign funds, the contest between Brown and Kashkari doesn&#8217;t really seem a fair fight. Barring some major shift of the political landscape, you have to feel that Brown should defeat Kashkari handily.<\/p>\n<p>Now, on the other side, the Legislature was so close to actually having a net favorable rating. The institution&#8217;s ratings were trending up from a low of 19% in May 2012 before Prop 30. In December 2013, it hit 40% for the first time since 2002. In other words, a really long time. And then in the late March poll, approval was trending even higher, with a 46-40 split in the first few days of polling. Then the Leland Yee story broke, and the numbers fell back to earth. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Slightly more voters believe California is generally on the wrong track (46%) than say it is moving in the right direction (41%). In addition, more voters disapprove (47%) than approve (35%) of the job performance of the state legislature. <\/p>\n<p>Opinions about both matters are directly related to the party registration of voters. Democrats offer a much more optimistic assessment of the direction of the state and hold more positive views of the job the state legislature is doing than Republicans. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.field.com\/fieldpollonline\/subscribers\/Rls2474.pdf\">Field PDF<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Still, this says a lot about the harmony of the post Prop 30 days. There are still budget fights, but they aren&#8217;t nearly as toxic as they once were. The majority vote budget means that the fights are basically all within the party. The scandal can&#8217;t help, but beyond a bad apple or two, this is a legislature that works for California.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[204],"tags":[422],"class_list":["post-15531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-204","tag-422"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6Pvhz-42v","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15531\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}