{"id":15595,"date":"2014-09-04T03:10:50","date_gmt":"2014-09-04T03:10:50","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2014-09-04T03:10:50","modified_gmt":"2014-09-04T03:10:50","slug":"report-13-on-the-six-californias-signature-verification-process","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/04\/report-13-on-the-six-californias-signature-verification-process\/","title":{"rendered":"Report #13 on the Six Californias Signature Verification Process"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Two more counties have completed their random sampling according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.ca.gov\/elections\/pend_sig\/init-sample-1648-090314.pdf\">today&#8217;s update<\/a> from the Secretary of State&#8217;s office; one large (Riverside, with a validity rate of 73.3%), and one small (Santa Cruz, with a validity rate of 60.1%). I note that Riverside has a very high validity rate for a large county (74,478 raw signatures). No county with more raw signatures has a validity rate higher than 69.5%. (Of course, we still have to hear from Los Angeles County.) The largest county with a validity rate higher than 73.3% is Ventura (27,134 raw signatures, validity rate 82.2%).<\/p>\n<p>The overall validity rate is 67.6%, up somewhat from the 67.0% validity rate in my <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/15593\/report-12-on-the-six-californias-signature-verification-process\">previous report<\/a>. That gives a projected valid signature count of 769,154 signatures, up sufficiently from the 762,328 in that previous report for Six Californias to qualify for a full count. This bodes well for Six Californias as long as the remaining counties average roughly a 67.3% or better validity count.<\/p>\n<p>Sixteen counties still have to complete their random sampling. (According to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.ca.gov\/elections\/ballot-measures\/pending-signature-verification.htm\">Secretary of State<\/a>, they have to complete the process by September 12th, a week from this Friday.) The top ten (by the number of raw signatures they reported) are now Los Angeles (311,924 raw signatures), Orange (52,217), Fresno (38,382), San Luis Obispo (12,906), El Dorado (11,649), Humboldt (7,230), Tuolumne (4,732), Nevada (4,322), Yuba (3,720), and Lassen (2,066). The top three have to check 3% of their signatures; the others have to check 500 (unless they want to check them all).<\/p>\n<p>(Note that I had made a mistake in <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/15590\/report-11-on-the-six-californias-signature-verification-process\">Report #11<\/a>, carried over in <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/15593\/report-12-on-the-six-californias-signature-verification-process\">Report #12<\/a>, where I had included Kern county in the list of uncompleted counties even though they had completed their random sampling. I have corrected those previous reports and triple-checked the list in this report.)<\/p>\n<p><i>&#8211;Steve Chessin<br \/>\n<br \/>President, Californians for Electoral Reform (CfER)<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfer.org\">www.cfer.org<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The opinions expressed here are my own and not necessarily those of CfER.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two more counties have completed their random sampling according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.ca.gov\/elections\/pend_sig\/init-sample-1648-090314.pdf\">today&#8217;s update<\/a> from the Secretary of State&#8217;s office; one large (Riverside, with a validity rate of 73.3%), and one small (Santa Cruz, with a validity rate of 60.1%). I note that Riverside has a very high validity rate for a large county (74,478 raw signatures). No county with more raw signatures has a validity rate higher than 69.5%. (Of course, we still have to hear from Los Angeles County.) The largest county with a validity rate higher than 73.3% is Ventura (27,134 raw signatures, validity rate 82.2%).<\/p>\n<p>The overall validity rate is 67.6%, up somewhat from the 67.0% validity rate in my <a href=\"https:\/\/calitics.com\/diary\/15593\/report-12-on-the-six-californias-signature-verification-process\">previous report<\/a>. That gives a projected valid signature count of 769,154 signatures, up sufficiently from the 762,328 in that previous report for Six Californias to qualify for a full count. This bodes well for Six Californias as long as the remaining counties average roughly a 67.3% or better validity count.<\/p>\n<p>Sixteen counties still have to complete their random sampling. (According to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.ca.gov\/elections\/ballot-measures\/pending-signature-verification.htm\">Secretary of State<\/a>, they have to complete the process by September 12th, a week from this Friday.) The top ten (by the number of raw signatures they reported) are now Los Angeles (311,924 raw signatures), Orange (52,217), Fresno (38,382), San Luis Obispo (12,906), El Dorado (11,649), Humboldt (7,230), Tuolumne (4,732), Nevada (4,322), Yuba (3,720), and Lassen (2,066). The top three have to check 3% of their signatures; the others have to check 500 (unless they want to check them all).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6738,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[87],"tags":[11314,11315],"class_list":["post-15595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-87","tag-11314","tag-11315"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6Pvhz-43x","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6738"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15595"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15595\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calitics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}