The morning after Arnold went down

(A good roundup of press coverage – promoted by SFBrianCL)

This morning California’s newspapers put photos of Governor Schwarzenegger on the front pages, even in abject defeat. They should have pictured the voters, or if they could have found the image for it, the process of a freewheeling election itself.

Because Schwarzenegger took on the public employee unions, he didn’t have the usual advantage that bullying pols enjoy: there was a force with money and people power to contest him. And in a fairer than usual fight, Californians said no to a rightwing celebrity’s power grab, yes to education and social services, yes to unions being able to contest corporate power and even, as a bonus, yes to young women’s right to choose.

The morning’s headlines were indeed sweet; self-indulgently, I’ll round up some tidbits here:

Voters Reject Schwarzenegger’s Bid to Remake State GovernmentLos Angeles Times

“Schwarzenegger put in $7.2 million of his own money. That brings his total personal spending on political endeavors to $25 million since he ran for governor in the 2003 recall race.”

This governor role has proven to be an expensive hobby.

Why His ‘Sequel’ Failed to CaptivateLos Angeles Times

“Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger on Tuesday met the limits of his celebrity: Even a campaign built around his action-star persona could not persuade voters to embrace his ‘year of reform’ agenda.”

“A Republican strategist and occasional Schwarzenegger advisor put it more bluntly Tuesday, saying privately: ‘The act is getting stale.'”

Enough with the actors already. California faces real problems; let’s get on with solving them.

Schwarzenegger faces ‘resounding defeat’ San Jose Mercury News

“Elizabeth Garrett, who directs the USC-Caltech Center for the Study of Law and Politics [said] ‘It means that, Wednesday morning, he is an ordinary Republican governor working with a Democratic Legislature in California — no stronger, no weaker.”’

That’s pretty weak; the current districting of the legislature ensures that Democrats will remain in large majorities throughout this decade.

Analysis: A bruising blow from ‘the people’ San Francisco Chronicle [Full caps are the Chron’s.]

“This must be the worst defeat the governor has ever had,” said Kevin Spillane, a GOP consultant. “It’s not like having a movie that underperforms. … Now, we have to see how he deals with defeat.”

I’ll hazard a prediction here: Arnold will pull out of the governor’s race if it looks like a fight for him. I hope the unions and the Democrats in Sacramento don’t let up now. Californians deserve better and yesterday they proved they know it.

Cross posted at Happening-Here

Results with Comparision to Polls

I’ll work on this more later today.  But for right now, here’s the data. Something is whack with the software, it doesn’t like the table or something.  Scroll down!fixed by Soapy (The Software is great! )


                 

                   

                   

                   

                   

                   

                   

                   

                 

Proposition Yes Votes yes % No Votes No % Field Poll (Oct 05) Stanford (Oct 05) PPIC (Oct 05) SUSA (Nov 05)
 73 N Minor’s Pregnancy312934047.4346514652.641/4954/4642/4851/47
 74 N Teacher Tenure 298628744.9366242955.144/50 49/5146/4848/51
 75 N Public Union Dues309171346.5355056353.540/5070/3046/4645/54
 76 N Spending/Funding252170937.9 411478762.132/6030/7030/6239/59
 77 N Redistricting 267288240.5 391991959.535/51 50/5036/5041/56
 78 N Rx Drug Discounts 271937541.5 382138358.536/4559/41n/an/a
 79 N Rx Drug Rebates 252341938.9 394994261.137/4358/42n/an/a
 80 N Electric Regulation  218878634.3 418153665.733/33 (Sep’05)37/63n/an/a

Results…And Poll Comparisons

From about 10:15, Kos is apparently able to get through to the Statewide resuls:


For comparison’s sake, I’m putting in some poll numbers here with the current numbers.  First the Field Poll, then the Stanford/Hoover Institute:
Precincts: 48.9% reporting

Proposition 73: Minor’s pregnancy

Yes 49.4
No 50.5
Field: 41/49
Stanford: 54/46

Proposition 74: Teacher’s tenure

Yes 47.6
No 52.4

Field:44/50
Stanford: 49/51
PPIC: 46/48

Proposition 75: Public union dues

Yes 50.5
No 49.5

Field: 40/50
Stanford: 70/30
PPIC: 46/46

Proposition 76: Spending limits

Yes 40.3
No 59.7

Field: 32/60
Stanford: 30/70
PPIC: 30/62

Proposition 77: Redistricting

Yes 43.3
No 56.7

Field: 35/51
Stanford: 50/50
PPIC: 36/50

Proposition 78: Drug discounts (Rx industry backed)

Yes 41.9
No 58.1

Field: 36/45
Stanford: 59/41

Proposition 79: Drug discounts (consumer groups backed)

Yes 38.9
No 61.1

Field: 37/43
Stanford: 58/42

I’ll try to get some more info as soon as I can, but it appears that the California Secretary of State website is being overloaded.  


SF Results


Alameda County (PDF)

LA County Results

Statewide (Was down as of 9:30pm)

UPDATE: AP Called No on 79 and 80 at 9:15


UPDATEProp 74 and 75 are slightly towards yes, but without the liberal strongholds.  75 was at 55% yes.  Willie Brown (he’s on KRON4 in SF) says that we’ll have to wait until LA and SF are in though to call anything.