Originally I had planned on only doing this until the election, but I’ve found it quite satisfying to just write a short pithy comment on each story and move on to the next. Also, I felt that I had been ignoring so many issues out there. These will probably be shorter now, but I’ll try to get these out daily during the week. No guarantees though. 🙂
So, teasers: Waxman attacks?, Jerry goes to DC, the failure of the metrics, and the LA Times saga continues. Plus more!!
The much-touted Schwarzenegger/Republican get-out-the-vote effort in this election turned out to be a big flop. It’s not the first time the GOP effort to turn out its own voters has failed; but this year the party convinced itself that it would make a difference.
The Schwarzenegger campaign spent millions on phone banks and mailers, the campaign flooded Republican mailboxes with slick brochures and pestered voters with robo calls at dinner time, something Republicans call micro-targeting. (I received three calls from “Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger” telling me to vote while hosting an early election night party at my home and I had voted weeks ago.)
They said this would bring out Republican voters, but it did not. Why? There are several reasons. Certainly a factor was Republican disgust with Bush and Iraq that kept many of their voters home. A large number of safe Republicans saw their vote percentage fall from 2004 levels. For instance, Sacramento GOP Rep Dan Lungren received only 59 percent this year; two years ago, he received 62 percent. That three percent drop was stay-at-home-Republicans. All the robo calls in the world could not get these voters to the polls.
But that’s not the whole story. Republican registration is just 34 percent of statewide voters, an historic low. Republican strategists seem to believe they can overcome their registration deficit by pushing a higher turnout among their loyal voters, thus the robo calls and slick mailers aimed at GOP voters.
But they fail to recognize that an appeal to the GOP base alone is not sufficient to win any longer in California. There are simply not enough like-minded voters outside the Republican base to forge a victory. Just look at the difference between Schwarzenegger and the rest of the Republican ticket.