OK, I mean Tom McClintock. But the “Conservative Icon” from Thousand Oaks will face Charlie Brown in November. Charlie Brown has received more votes so far tonight, and I believe he’ll do so in November. It should be fun.
If Doug Ose only signed his own ballot, he coulda been a contender!
SD-09: Finally, some returns are coming in. I’m seeing Loni Hancock up 56-44 with 31% in.
SD-15: Haven’t heard any updates on Dennis Morris. It’s going to take a while to figure this one out.
[UPDATE by Robert] not including Monterey and Santa Clara counties, which have not yet reported their write-in votes, 2,645 write-in votes have been recored in SD-15. Not clear yet how many are for Morris and how many are for Maldonado, and we likely won’t know for a few days. But it’s quite doable.
SD-19: With 63%, Hannah-Beth Jackson now has 1,300 more votes in her race than Tony Strickland does in his. I can’t wait to win this one in November.
SD-23: 19% in now. Fran Pavley leads 63-37. Since this kind of result was likely anyway, why did she have to go negative?
SD-25: This is unnerving. Rod Wright has now taken a 336-vote lead over Mervyn Dymally with 40% of the vote in. Wright is too moderate for this seat. Not over yet, obviously.
(The AP has called the race. Great stuff. – promoted by David Dayen)
The AP hasn’t called it yet, but this looks very good for Mark Leno.
Leno, Mark Dem 38,991 44%
Nation, Joe Dem 25,491 28%
Migden, Carole (i) Dem 25,141 28%
[UPDATE by Julia]
79.4% is in and as expected the gap has narrowed slightly. If it closes at this pace .5 for every 10% in, there is no way Nation keeps up.
Mark Leno 40,911 43.5 %
Carole Migden 26,116 27.7 %
Joe Nation 27,032 28.8 %
[UPDATE by Dave] Called for Mark Leno. Congratulations.
AD-80: Down to 259 votes between Perez and Pettis with 42% in.
AD-78: It’s literally an 18-vote race between Marty Block and Maxine Sherrard, with 16% in.
AD-62: Looks like Isadore Hall will win in his primary in the Compton area.
AD-46: Very early, and the turnout looks like nothing, but John Perez is leading with 52% of the vote against 3 challengers.
AD-40: S-L-O-W counting. Same numbers as before.\
AD-37: Looks like Ferial Masry will win tonight.
AD-27: See AD-40.
AD-19: About 100 votes separate Gina Papan and Jerry Hill right now, with 20% in.
AD-15: I’m willing to call this for Joan Buchanan.
AD-14: I’m almost willing to call this for Nancy Skinner, but it’s early.
AD-10: I’m definitely willing to call this for Alyson Huber, up 30 points with 56% of the vote in. Good work.
AD-08: See AD-40 and AD-27.
CA-02: AJ Sekhon and Jeff Morris are in a real nip-and-tuck battle for the right to face Wally Herger. Sekhon is up by 300 votes with 20% in.
CA-03: Bill Durston and Dan Lungren are both unopposed. But with 60% in, Lungren only has 4,000 more votes than Durston. Interesting.
CA-04: 22% in, still 53-39 by McClintock. I think it’s staying that way.
CA-24: This is really interesting. 42% of the vote is in, and Marta Jorgensen, in a ridiculously low-turnout race, is poised for victory here. She’s up 51-31-18 on Jill Martinez and Mary Pallant. I was talking to to couple people in the district, and they thought that the fact that “Educator” was next to Jorgensen’s name, as opposed to “Businesswoman” for Martinez and “Insurance Agent” for Pallant, could have been the difference. Low-turnout races are freaky.
CA-26: Russ Warner still up comfortably, 62-37, but still very few precincts reporting.
CA-37: Laura Richardson’s going to win, but it won’t get her house back.
CA-40: Close race between Christina Avalos and Tom Kennedy, right now Avalos is up 52.5-47.5 in early returns.
CA-41: 17.6% of the vote in, the spread between Prince and Ramirez-Dean is 700 votes. This one will be close.
CA-42: Nothing has reported here, so Chau’s still up.
CA-45: Julie Bornstein’s going to get a victory tonight against her two challengers. Right now she has 62% of the vote.
CA-46: Debbie Cook has been declared the winner by the AP. Get ready, Dana Rohrabacher.
CA-50: The Liebham-Ede numbers haven’t moved yet.
CA-52: It’ll be Duncan D. Hunter, and likely against Mike Lumpkin, who’s still up 58-41.
And Monterey and Santa Clara Counties have yet to report at all. There’s a half-decent chance he’s going to make it. And that would be just an incredible story. A guy gets his ballot, sees no Democrat on it, decides to do something about it, and makes it on the ballot as a write-in? To quote Joe Biden, “That’s a storybook, man.”
…as long as we’re doing Central Valley Senate races, I should mention that the Denham recall failed. And Denham was all gloat-y about it. Congratulations, you beat an unfunded recall. What a big man you are.
SD-03: With 70.4% in, Nation 28.4, Leno 43.6, Migden 28. Note by Julia: Just about all of SF is now in and a lot is outstanding from Marin and Sonoma, so expect that gap to close.
SD-05: Lois Wolk has been declared the winner by the AP.
SD-09: Very early but Loni Hancock is up 71-29.
SD-19: Hannah-Beth Jackson and Tony Strickland are both running unopposed, but right now Strickland only has 2,500 more votes. That should bear watching.
SD-23: Pavley up 61-39 on Lloyd Levine.
SD-25: Dymally up 46-33 on Rod Wright.
SD-33: Mimi Walters has been declared the winner. She’ll face Ellinoiranne’s husband Gary Pritchard.
AD-08: Mariko Yamada and Chris Cabaldon in a 51-49 dogfight.
AD-10: Alyson Huber up 65-35 with 43% in. She’ll take this.
AD-14: Nancy Skinner is up but it’s early.
AD-15: Joan Buchanan is up 66-34, and on the GOP side it’s a crapshoot.
AD-19: Gina Papan by about 200 votes right now.
AD-27: Bill Monning is leading but very early.
AD-37: Ferial Masry up 64-36 with just 1% in.
AD-40: Bob Blumenfield up 45-25-23 over Healey and Waldman.
More in a bit.
[UPDATE by Robert] With 38% reporting AD-80 has Pettis up by 500 votes on Perez, with Gonzales at 20% and Gutierrez at 11%. Gonna be a close one.
With 7% reporting:
98 N Eminent Domain. Limits on Government Authority. 357,626 43.3% 467,116 56.7%
99 Y Eminent Domain. Limits on Government Acquisition. 536,649 65.5% 282,737 34.5%
It’s a bigger problem for 98 than just winning. Because the props are related, 98 has to do better than 99 to become law. I can’t see how that could possibly happen, even though these are early numbers.
UPDATE: CBS2 in LA has called a victory for Prop. 99. Good news.
UPDATE: And 98 is going to lose outright, and lose big. Fantastic. Right now some idiot Prop. 98 supporter is on my teevee talking about how they’ll “keep fighting.” We’re going to fight until nobody has rent control!!!!
CA-01: Mike Thompson beating Mitchell Clogg 86-13 so far.
CA-02: Jeff Morris is winning big.
CA-03: Bill Durston is only 3,000 votes behind Dan Lungren thus far.
CA-04: Tom McClintock has jumped out to a 53-38 lead.
CA-26: Russ Warner up 65-35.
CA-37: Richardson up 76-15.
CA-42: Ed Chau up 51-31 over Michael Williamson with Ron Shepston at 17%.
CA-46: Debbie Cook up 80-20.
CA-50: Nick Leibham up 55-45 thus far. Cheryl Ede is hanging tough.
CA-51: The Libertarian candidate is nicknamed “Frodo”.
CA-52: Mike Lumpkin is up 58-42; Duncan L. Hunter is up 74-14.
CA-53: Susan Davis up 89-10.
UPDATE:
In CA-02, Jeff Morris and Arjinderpal Sekhon are within 100 votes.
In CA-04, McClintock’s looking good to win, up 53-38. Right now Charlie Brown has attracted more votes than McClintock.
In CA-24, Marta Jorgensen is looking incredibly strong, up 57-29 on Jill Martinez with Mary Pallant at 13%. That’s likely to change. (NOTE: the precincts in are up in Santa Barbara County, where Jorgensen was focused)
In CA-26, Warner is up 62-38 on Cynthia Matthews.
In CA-41, it looks very, very close. Tim Prince at 35% with Rita Ramirez-Dean at 26% and two other candidates in there.
In CA-42, Ed Chau is still ahead with 47% of the vote.
In CA-43, Joanne Gilbert is giving Joe Baca a run for his money so far. 62-38 is good against an incumbent.
The San Diego numbers are the same as above.
UPDATE II: The AP has some projections (the following are contested seats).
CA-01: Mike Thompson
CA-04: Charlie Brown
CA-08: Nancy Pelosi
CA-12: Jackie Speier
CA-33: Diane Watson (she’s killing those two jokers)
CA-53: Susan Davis
My neighbor didn’t know there was a primary today. I feel like I failed.
We’ll have several threads going. But here’s one for early returns.
The Secretary of State’s office is tallying returns here.
[UPDATE] The link to the LA Times’ results are here. In what I imagine are early absentee numbers, Prop. 98 is getting killed 62-38, while Prop. 99 is way up 67-33. I found some early Congressional numbers from LA County, too. Ed Chau is up in CA-42, Russ Warner in CA-26.
SD-23: Fran Pavley is up 60-39 over Lloyd Levine with 2% reporting.
SD-25: Mervyn Dymally up on Rod Wright 45-33 with 3% in.
AD-40: Bob Blumenfield up with Laurette Healey in second at this hour, Stuart Waldman in third, 2% in.
[UPDATE by Julia] Leno/Midgen/Nation is the one everyone seems to be obsessively refreshing, myself included. Here are the latest numbers.
Mark Leno 10,230 37.5 %
Carole Migden 8,354 30.6 %
Joe Nation 8,697 31.9 %
And the latest with 7.4% reporting.
Mark Leno 17,421 34.9 %
Carole Migden 13,474 26.9 %
Joe Nation 19,019 38.2 %