(I’m forming a Poll Page that will be featured on the FP. For now, enjoy this! – promoted by SFBrianCL)
The latest poll from Busby’s campaign shows that she now leads Republican Brian Bilbray by 7 percentage points! This is wonderful news coming from a congressional district with a R to D registration advantage of 50% to 32%.
From the Lake Research Partners:
“With three weeks to go before Election Day, Francine Busby has opened up a lead over Brian Bilbray, with 47% for Busby and 40% for Bilbray, with 1% for minor candidates Libertarian Paul King and Independent William Griffith and 12% undecided.”
This poll was conducted May 12-15 and is the most recent poll of CA-50.
More from the LRP poll, under the fold…
The latest poll from Busby’s campaign shows that she now leads Republican Brian Bilbray by 7 percentage points! This is wonderful news coming from a congressional district with a R to D registration advantage of 50% to 32%.
From the Lake Research Partners:
“With three weeks to go before Election Day, Francine Busby has opened up a lead over Brian Bilbray, with 47% for Busby and 40% for Bilbray, with 1% for minor candidates Libertarian Paul King and Independent William Griffith and 12% undecided.”
This poll was conducted May 12-15 and is the most recent poll of CA-50.
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Findings from LRP’s poll, which show Busby’s strength in this race:
1. Busby’s favorability has increased to 53% while Bilbray’s has remained stagnant at 48%. There are nearly twice as many voters with a strongly favorable opinion of Busby (33%) than Bilbray (18%). Both candidates are universally known.
2. Busby leads despite the significant Republican registration advantage reflected in our sample of 50% Republican to 32% Democrat.
3. A clear and expanding majority of independent voters supports Busby over Bilbray, and Bilbray’s share of Republican votes has continued to deteriorate since our early polls.
4. Busby holds an even wider edge among those voters deemed most likely to vote based on their past voting record.
5. Attacks on the moderate Busby as being “too liberal” have failed and have limited credibility coming from a lobbyist.
6. Although Republicans will clearly outnumber Democrats in the 50th CD, Democrats could form a disproportionate share of the electorate in June, as the run-off election is scheduled to be on the same ballot as the heavily contested Democratic primary for Governor.
The bottom line is that even in the face of attacks, Busby has continued to have strong support in this Republican-leaning district, and now leads Bilbray. Nonetheless, Busby has not yet reached the critical 50% mark, and we expect the race to narrow. To hold her strength with voters other than Democrats, and to win her share of the undecideds over the remaining three weeks, Busby will need the financial resources to match the Republican expenditures.
This race is an excellent opportunity to begin retaking the House even earlier than expected. If Busby wins on 6/6/06, we’ll only need to flip 14 seats in the House to regain Democratic control in November.
The NRCC has dumped $2.5 million into this race on the Republican’s behalf–they are obviously scared to death of Busby as that represents 10% of their total cash on hand!
Give now, or forever hold your peace!
http://actblue.com/list/netrootscandidates
and check out Busby’s site here: