All posts by Brian Leubitz

What the GOP’s $120 million buys them and why the Unions protest

Arnold plans to raise anywhere between $75 and $120 million for his re-election:

A former top Schwarzenegger advisor has told business leaders that the governor is trying to raise $120 million for the November election, much of it for the state Republican Party. Schwarzenegger has refuted that figure, and aides now say his goal for the year is $75 million.

Whatever the target, his schedule in the weeks ahead includes a long roster of events to gather campaign money from donors, many of whom have a stake in decisions he makes as governor.(LA Times March 21, 2006)

The unions have already started their protests at the prospect of Ahnold spending all summer raising cash. Go Unions!

In Beverly Hills on Monday, unions held their first major protest of the year against the Republican governor’s collection of campaign money. About 200 nurses, bus drivers, school clerks and other union members marched outside a private Schwarzenegger reception and dinner for donors, who paid up to $100,000 for seats near the governor and his guest speaker, U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).

As Schwarzenegger was ensconced with top supporters inside the Beverly Hilton, sign-waving protesters shouted from the sidewalks outside at rush-hour traffic on Wilshire and Santa Monica boulevards.

***

The scenes were similar to the dozens of protests that organized labor held last year during its successful battle to kill Schwarzenegger’s November ballot initiatives. This year, of course, the target is his reelection.

The unions’ core message on Monday — that Schwarzenegger broke his campaign pledge to shun special-interest money — is part of a broader effort by labor and its Democratic allies to cast the governor as a standard politician who fails to keep his word.

“He said he wasn’t going to take special-interest money, and then this fundraiser flies in the face of everything he said he would be,” said Robin Swanson, a spokeswoman for the Alliance for a Better California, the union coalition formed last year to fight Schwarzenegger’s ballot measures.

Good work Alliance for a Better CA!  I also just thought it would be nice to point out what the GOP donors are getting for that money (on the flip).  He spent over $140 million out of his campaign funds so far!

The fact remains that Arnold claimed he was going to be a governor who would reject special interest money, yet he revels in it and what it can buy him.  The fundraising binge that he is now pursuing is both disheartening for our state and an embarassment for our electoral system that we need $100million campaigns.

Big spender

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has spent more than $142.5 million in campaign donations since entering politics about four years ago.

A sampling:

























































TV commercials ($69.3 million)
Campaign consultants ($14.7 million)
Mail to voters ($10.9 million)
Travel & hotels for Schwarzenegger and entourage ($4.9 million)
Public event production ($4.9 million)
Polling ($2.2 million)
Jet ($1.9 million)
Extra security paid to two firms ( $308914 )
Speech coach ($222577)
Personal videographer ($62476)
Jackets T-shirts ($69000)
Commemorative pens ($37293)
Wolfgang Puck catering ($18631)
Valet parking ($9384)

Sources: California Secretary of State, Times research LA Times

Dan Walters: Capitol is broken

Well, I find myself agreeing with Dan Walters (it happens occasionally):

If nothing else, the comic opera collapse of the two-month political quest for a plan to improve highways, levees and other strained and deteriorating public facilities should finally convince Californians that their Capitol is a broken institution, endemically incapable of dealing with major policy issues.
***
Simply put, California’s dizzyingly dense mélange of ideological, geographic, cultural and economic subgroups interacts with a political structure that, in effect, gives every “stakeholder” a virtual veto power over the product. Under those circumstances, there are only two possible outcomes, both of which are bad. Either the product is a monstrosity that accommodates all demands but collapses of its own weight, or there is stalemate and no product at all.(Sac Bee 3/17/06)

Agreed! The fact that every interest can hold up the governing in our state is ridiculous.  It has lead us to the terrible result that we govern by proposition.  It led Arnold Schwarzenegger to work for Prop 10 for after school programs, it led Rob Reiner to work for Prop 82 for universal preschool.  Where does my finger point? Squarely at Prop 13 and its ilk. 

Now, Dan has a different idea.  He’s not concerned with changing the system, he just thinks that everybody should be good and do what’s right.  Uh…yeah…that’s gonna happen:

If there’s any hope of reviving the Capitol’s relevance, its occupants must have enough guts to keep it simple and to heed Nancy Reagan’s advice on drugs to “just say no” to all ancillary demands, no matter what their source may be.

Well, Dan, I’m not sure if your tongue is planted firmly in cheek, but I think we both know that  legislators and interest groups are not going to stop being self-interested.  What we need is a return of the simple majority to budgetary politics.

No Bonds in June. November?

(There will be a bond deal eventually – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Gov. Schwarzenegger is guaranteeing victory for some bond deal, any bond deal in November:

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger on Thursday guaranteed that he and the Legislature will agree on an infrastructure bond package on the ballot in November, despite their failure to work out a plan for the June 6 primary.

Holding his thumb and index finger an inch apart, Schwarzenegger told reporters “we actually came this close” to arriving at an agreement for June, but that in the end, “we fell a little bit short on the whole package.”
***
But the governor, with his infrastructure eye looking toward November, added, “I can guarantee you, we will have it done this year.”(AP-Sac Bee 3/16/06)

And why did the June bond deal fail? Well, according to Flash Report (via BetterCA), a GOP mouthpiece, it’s because the Dems insisted on “pork projects” like mass transit and affordable housing.  Let’s see John Fleischman try to live in San Francisco on $28,000 a year and then we’ll see if he feels that affordable housing is a pork project.  The GOP legislative caucua is completely out of touch with the type of infrastructure that we need.  Heck, Even Arnold knows that the bonds should include mass transit and affordable housing!

Schwarzenegger said he was pleased that the Assembly approved a $4.15 billion levee bond and a $19 billion worth of schools bonds Wednesday night, and that those votes will serve as a starting point toward a complete package that he suggested will include transportation and affordable housing components and possibly surface water storage.(AP-Sac Bee 3/16/06)

A Tiny Bond deal perhaps?

The Legislature is back at it again:

Steve Maviglio, spokesman for Assembly Speaker Fabian Nunez, D-Los Angeles, said the Assembly was to consider placing two measures on the June ballot: a $10.4 billion bond to build schools and upgrade universities, and an undetermined amount to repair the state’s fragile levee system.(AP-Sac Bee)

Well, at least the levees get some attention.  It is a shame that the GOP couldn’t manage its caucus.  The state would have been better off with an investment in its infrastructure.  It is too bad that the GOP can’t put the people of California first.

Also, watch out for deadline hijinks.  It’s really not clear what the actual deadline is.

Westly’s Internal Polling Numbers

Steve Westly sent out some internal polling numbers that have him in a dead heat with Phil Angelides






















DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY TRIAL HEAT FOR GOVERNOR
Candidate January 2006 % March 2006 %
Steve Westly 15 30
Phil Angelides 27 29
Undecided 58 41

***
This memorandum is based on a survey conducted from March 12 to 14, 2006, among a representative sample of 607 likely California Democratic primary voters. The survey has a margin of error of ±4.1 percentage points.

First, I want to stress that these are INTERNAL numbers, so take them with a large grain of salt.  However, Westly’s internal polling firm is GarinHartYang, the political polling division of Peter Hart’s firm.  IMHO, Peter Hart is one of the top Dem pollsters in the country. 

With undecideds still the leading category, I’m not sure we learn all that much.  However, I think Westly needed some good news at this point.  Angelides’ endorsements are beginning to pile up at this point, and Westly needs these numbers, and  his good financial status to balance those endorsements.

At any rate, we are back where we started several months ago.  We have two good candidates (who do bad things). Now we need to introduce them to the state to increase their name ID and make sure the state realizes that the Dems have better ideas and a better vision for the State of California.

Bill Lockyer knows a dumbs— when he sees him

I (heart) Bill Lockyer.  He’s hilarious, and a pretty good AG to boot.  But, that’s now why I’m posting now.  Rather it’s to admire his cajones. The man is a straight-shooter if there ever was one. 

Last week, Lockyer had this to say about Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Mich.: “What a dumb—-.”
***
Barankin emphasized that Lockyer made his comment in reference to Rogers’ statement that “a pregnant woman buying peas on a shelf in Michigan has the same right to food safety information as a pregnant woman buying peas in California.”

Lockyer thought Rogers was saying that if Michigan women can’t have food safety labels, no one should.

Lockyer apologized in person to Rogers, whose spokeswoman, Sylvia Warner, had said the California attorney general “has a very limited vocabulary.”
***
“It’s hard to conceive of a more succinct and accurate way to describe a person who makes that statement,” Barankin said, referring to Rogers’ peas comment.(Sac Bee 3/13/06)

Hahahahaha!!!  You tell him Bill!

Is the bond deal back from the dead?

Well, Gov. Schwarzenegger and Speaker Fabian Nunez are back at work on a bond deal.  Bill Bradley from New West Notes has more (thanks Julia):

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger and Assembly Speaker Fabian Nunez have a deal on the Big Bang Bonds infrastructure package. But don’t pop those champagne corks — or do the Super Bowl gatorade dump — just yet.

From a variety of informed sources in the Democratic and Republican parties, I’ve learned that a marathon negotiating session between the two yesterday, followed by further talks (but no planned for Big Five meeting this morning due to lingering bad feelings), has resulted in agreement on a plan that is actually bigger than the one that lost on a party line vote in the state Senate late Friday night/early Saturday morning.

The package now is, according to several sources, close to $50 billion. Which was, ironically, the very figure that Arnold tossed out there in the immediate aftermath of the special election last November. It is reportedly $660 million more than the deal voted down in the Senate; $400 million of that is for air pollution control. (New West Notes 3/13/06)

Personally, I don’t think this has a shot of passing, but you never know.  The GOP wants less, not more.  It has to be done soon, so I guess we’ll hear something within the next 24 hours.

Calitics Profile: Rob Haswell (4th AD)

( – promoted by SFBrianCL)

The California 4th AD has been in the hands of Republicans since 1990. Yet, the terming out of longtime legislator Tim Leslie has left a vacancy that Republicans have been working hard to fill.  The region’s GOP politics are dominated by Congressman John Doolittle, whom you may know as a good friend of Super-Lobbyist Jack Abramoff (see here and here). The GOP candidate, Ted Gaines, announced that he was running for the position in 2004, BEFORE Leslie had won his final term.  Pretty Astounding.  Not only that, but Leslie gave his blessing before he was reelected to his final term.  Gaines has also already raised over $400,000.  Littered on his max contributer list are the developers that plan to make this region just a suburb in the foothills in the western part of the district or a series of massive vacation resorts near Tahoe.

Into this race comes Rob Haswell Haswell grew up in the area before moving to the Bay Area. While some may describe the race as a challenge, to put it mildly, Haswell looks at it as an opportunity.  I had the chance to talk to him for a while, and I was impressed with his preparedness for this race.  Frequently underdog candidates will be naïve or nonchalant, not really putting up a fight.  Haswell does not have that fate in mind.  He looks forward to giving the people of the 4th AD a legitimate choice this year.  And perhaps this is the perfect chance for a change in the area’s politics, with Doolittle’s troubles and the overall slump that the GOP is currently experiencing.

Below the fold I have posted his answers to some questions that I sent him.  I will be following this race throughout the election season, so you will be hearing much more about this race at Calitics.  If you would like to contribute to Rob Haswell’s campaign, click here and he’ll get all your information.

Calitics Correspondance with Rob Haswell

1) You’ve lived in Placer county for the majority of your life.  Other than the open seat, what made you decide to run for Assembly now?

First of all, thanks for this opportunity. I am a big fan of the blogosphere and consider it a real legitimate front in the information wars that we are seeing nationwide.
Now as for your question, I was born and raised here in Placer County, but my  wife, Kim, and I only moved back into the area about a year ago. We’d been living in Sunnyvale with our two children, Kennedy, 5, and Martin, 2 for the past several years. Kim is also originally from a small rural community and, after the 2004 election, we really made an effort to get back to a more rural lifestyle, similar to our own upbringings.
During the past few years, we were both very active politically, so when we moved back to Auburn I started researching the political landscape here.  As you know, this is a very conservative leaning district. Placer County itself boasts the highest percentage of registered Republicans of any county in the state. But in my research I noticed two related trends that made me feel I wanted to get into the race and that I could win the race.
Number one, this region is dominated by a political machine, run with an iron fist by John Doolittle. Of this there can be no real dispute. And part and parcel to that machine is the undue influence of big-city developer money, which you see in virtually every single race in these parts, from the partisan races, to supervisor, town council and on down the ladder. This combination has led to a virtual sell off the quality of life in this district. The politics in the region are literally on the verge of turning Placer County into the San Fernando Valley. Having grown up here and wanting to raise my children here, I am horrified at the prospect. So that was the reality I discovered.
But the second fact I happened on was a Placer County supervisorial race that occurred during the 2004 election cycle. Doolittle’s hand-picked candidate spent more than $300,000 on the race — virtually all of it developer money — and outspent her opponent by about 4:1. She lost the race anyway. I believe that race was a canary in the coal mine, so to speak.
In this assembly race, the Republican candidate, Placer County Supervisor Ted Gaines, has been anointed for this position by the powers that be. He has raised over $400,000, the vast majority of which came from these same big-city developers. Given that this is an open seat, which occurs only once every six years, I believe we need to give the voters of this district a real choice in their future. Because it is a future that, in a very real sense, hangs in the balance.

2) Placer County and the 4th AD has been known as a GOP stronghold.  Do you think that this is based upon the “family values” crowd or is there an underlying libertarianism as is common in the American West?

Well, I think there are elements of both. The conservative religious community has a very strong presence here, no question, but there is definitely a libertarian bent to many republicans in the district as well. In fact, there’s a bit of a battle over the “soul of the Republican party” going on here. There are even competing republican organizations in the county. One, the Placer County Republican Assembly is definitely in the “family values” camp. One of their top “principles” is the following: “We believe in the guiding force of moral law as expressed by the Judeo-Christian ethis and contained in the Holy Scriptures of these historic faiths.”
Meanwhile, the other Republican organization is called The Republican Congress of Placer County and, on the “What We Believe” page on their web site, one of their top values is “The Separation of Church and State.” So I think there’s definitely a faction of what I call “Teddy Roosevelt Republicans” who are more conservation minded, who believe in fiscal responsibility, and who believe in government staying out of the private lives of individuals.
I don’t believe the local machinery really represents a lot of those values. We will be tapping into that discontent. Furthermore, one of the fastest growing segments of this district are the “declined to state” voters, who represent about %18 of the electorate. I’d say that is nod to the libertarian bent that you are alluding to.

3) Your opponent in the primary recently dropped out of the race in order to run for a different position.  How do you think this has affected your general election chances?

Well, that’s an interesting question. I was the one who forced the primary when I decided to get into the race last fall. And at the time, and I still believe this, I argued that a primary was a good thing for the disenfranchised party in any particular district. We had an opportunity to have some debates, get some news coverage and raise our visibility, all of which I believe help us in the general election. As long as we didn’t cannibalize each other — which would be absolutely ridiculous to do given the political reality of the district (so much so that I laughed whenever this prospect was brought up to me) — I was excited about a primary. The other democrat, by the way, opted out to run for a seat on the El Dorado County Board of Supervisors that unexpectedly opened up. It’s a very important seat and I support him in that endeavor.
So not having a primary hurts us a bit in terms of visibility. On the flip side, however, we can really tap into the activists in the area now and don’t have to compete for resources and we can work on base building, which will help us when we implement our ground operation this summer. We’ll just have to be a bit more creative getting our name out there. One other note: we have a Libertarian, Green Party, and a last-minute completely unknown Republican candidate in the race, so maybe there’ll be some town hall forums in our future.

4) The favorite for the GOP nomination is very well funded through the traditional GOP fundraisers and the state party.  What can you do to counter this?

Well, again, I think one of the elements of politics that has completely turned people off is the enormous amount of money that is spent in these races. Especially give the current climate of rampant political corruption on the national front. And, furthermore, I believe there is a real distaste in the district for where the money comes from — almost exclusively from large development corporations — and that could work in our favor.
Be that as it may, however, we will have to be creative in getting our name out. One of the benefits of a huge war chest is that if you have a million dollars, you can send out 12 direct full-color mailers and, even though people are generally turned off by that type of politics, they still eventually know your name. It’s very difficult to counter that. It can be done, but what you have to do, and what we’ll be doing, is return to the “old style politics” of walking precincts, holding town halls, visibility rallies, house parties and maybe even a whistle-stop tour.
I’ve been amazed at the amount of individual donations that have been pouring in. Literally, thousands of dollars, most of which have come in the form of donations of $100 or less. We’ll raise the money we need to fund our operation. I’m completely convinced of that.

5) What are your primary strengths that would help represent the people of the 4th AD in the Assembly.

Well, number one, I won’t be a politician whose soul and vote is already bought and paid for before I ever cast a vote or author a piece of legislation. And I’m not joking about this. One of the problems with the legislature in California, and it was one of the sad results of the partisan district maps that have been drawn, is that very few, if any, incumbents fear that they may lose their job if their constituents become unhappy.
In 2002 I don’t believe that a single incumbent lost a race in California. That’s not democracy; that’s a disgrace. Especially when you consider that the legislature has an approval rating that hovers somewhere just below 30 percent. You think with that dismal record, at least one or two incumbents might lose, wouldn’t you? But no.
I will lead the fight for political reform in this state that will bring regular citizens back into the process in a meaningful way. I will fight for publicly financed “clean money” elections, which is an idea whose time has come and I’ll fight for true non-partisan redistricting that is essential if we ever want our politicians to answer to us.
What I’ll be for the citizens of the 4th Assembly District is a public official who will work on their behalf. I will be an independent voice who is not be beholden to the the multi-billion dollar pharmaceutical companies that are holding this state’s health care system hostage, or the big-city developers that have conspired with local elected officials to sell off our quality of life.
In the end, what I am is a citizen activist. And I think that’s what our state legislature needs, rather than another cookie-cutter career politician.