[Originally posted 2/2/06 at NorCal Politics]
Arnold Schwarzenegger’s campaign fund is $400K in the hole. He did it to himself, when he decided that he wanted to force his power-grabbing initiatives into the special election last November:
While Democrats and other Schwarzenegger opponents continue to complain about the millions of dollars last November’s special election cost California, the governor may have paid the biggest price. While Schwarzenegger’s California Recovery Team was raising and spending more than $45 million in the markedly unsuccessful effort to pass his package of initiatives, the governor’s re-election campaign was put on hold.
“Except for one dinner in Los Angeles, everything we did last year went into the special election,” Wilson said. “We really only began to raise money for the re-election last month.”
Schwarzenegger’s opponents spent at least $60 million against the initiatives, the finance reports showed.
One also notes that by one estimate, it cost the counties of California some $54 million for Governor Schwarzenegger’s failed putsch-by-initiative. Those are your dollars and mine, folks. Thanks, Governor!
So, I expect that nominal poverty is part of the reason for Schwarzenegger’s newfound humility and moderation. I’m thinking it’s a put-on, though. Does anyone seriously believe that Schwarzenegger has a humble bone in his body?
In that vein, note that Schwarzenegger recently hired two Bush-Cheney lieutenants to run his 2006 gubernatorial campaign. So, one should expect slash-and-burn politics, probably run largely through proxies, while Schwarzenegger plays the compassionate conservative. I’m placing my bet now: Schwarzenegger 2006 will look like Bush 2000, with some Swift-Boating of his Democratic opponent thrown in.
I’m curious as to whether Angelides / Westly will be prepared for savage, generally dishonest attacks right at what they think of (and they poll as) as their strengths. That’s a hallmark of Republican campaign strategy for the last decade. One hopes that California Dems won’t be as gormless as national Dems in dealing with entirely predictable Republican behavior.