Tag Archives: Nicole Parra

Odds & Ends 10/26

(The entire $650K of the Sacto ad buy will be going for Pombo. They must have some nasty polling. We can win this one. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Lots of goings on.  The new PPIC poll came out.  Bill Carrick thinks the likely voter model is overly generous to the GOP.

More teasers: Phil Angelides, John Chiang, Nicole Parra, The Bonds, NRCC getting desperate and more.

  • The NRCC is getting really, really worried about CA-11 and CA-04.  They took out a $650K ad buy in Sacramento.  That buys a lot of ads in Sacramento.  It’s not clear how much money is going to either candidate, but to be sinking so much money in these 2 districts this late in the game, indicates that they are scared.  Really scared.
  • Phil Angelides has released a new ad.  Check it out on his video page. It’s actually a pretty good ad, and it hits on the “good ideas” theme.  Not bad… It’s a statewide ad buy. 
  • CA-Gov: PPIC Poll pretty much holds steady, shows Schwarzenegger up by 18 points. Carrick says the poll is “weird” and “wrong”. It’s a slow and static look at the electorate. Carrick thinks their likely voter is a bit screwey. The Angelides people think the lead is smaller, more in line with the Rasmussen poll.
  • Speaking of that PPIC Poll, there are some numbers on the bonds on there.  I’ve said in the past that I think at least two of the the bonds will fail, and I was actually talking only about 1B-1E.  I actually think 84 will likely fail as well.  I think this year will be a really bad year for propositions in general.  People are really sick of voting on propositions, and will likely just end up voting no on most of the props.  Well, that’s my hunch anyway.  So, without further blabber, here are those bond #s:

    Prop. 1B (Transportation-$19.9b)
    Yes: 51%
    No: 38%
    Prop. 1C (Housing-$2.8b)
    Yes: 56%
    No: 34%
    Prop. 1D (Education-$10.4b)
    Yes: 51%
    No: 39%
    Prop. 1E (Levees/Flood-$4.09b)
    Yes: 53%
    No: 36%
    Prop. 84 (Water/Parks-$5.4b)
    Yes: 42%
    No: 43%

  • Intuit is trying to buy itself some friends.  This time in the controller’s office.  Intuit, it seems, does not like when state governments do stuff, like provide services for free that it wants to sell.  Their big beef is that Westly pushed a system that allowed you to easily file your state income taxes electronically and easily, for free.  Ready Return was, and remains, an excellent idea.  It will likely only affect taxpayers with fairly simple taxes, that would likely go to H&R Block or some other similar service.  Too bad these companies are putting profits ahead of the interest of Californians.  Just business I suppose.  Support John Chiang for Controller.
  • Speaking of Chiang, he responds to those Independent Expenditures against him in the SF Chron.
  • In one of the few competitive races in the Assembly, Nicole Parra is locked up with an interesting race with Danny Gilmore.  Parra will likely win, but it’s been eventful, as reported in Capitol Weekly.
  • Anna Caballero is preparing to be a great legislator from Salinas. (Capitol Weekly)