Auto Insurance & Fake Urban-Rural Divide

I have to confess, I’m a sucker for a good insurance story, and a real sucker for anything having to do with Proposition 103.  Between my first and second year of law school, I was a summer associate for the private law firm that defended Proposition 103 when then-Attorney General Dan Lungren essentially refused to help regulate the insurance industry.  I suspect I was of little to no use, though I do recall reading one insurance company’s brief which argued that the company was constitutionally entitled to a forty percent return on investment.  Insurance companies.  Oy.

All of which is by way of introduction to this Chron Op-Ed about John Garamendi’s return to a fair insurance rating system for automobile insurance:

In December 2005, Insurance Commissioner John Garamendi announced his intent to end a “grossly unfair and irrational system” in which companies charge vastly different rates on drivers in neighboring ZIP codes.

Garamendi has come up with a sensible plan to base auto premiums on the three factors designated in Prop. 103: driving record, miles driven and years of driving experience. Insurers could still consider other factors, but their rate formula could not give any criterion more weight than the three factors in the initiative.

Not surprisingly, the insurance industry responded with “a campaign to scare the bejesus out of Californians,” Garamendi said.

One of its main scare tactics is a warning that diminishing the ZIP-code factor will force rural and suburban drivers to pay higher premiums to subsidize drivers in urban areas with greater congestion and higher accident rates.

However, a study by the Department of Insurance showed no statistical justification for ZIP-code pricing across the state. In many cases, in fact, such disparities worked against rural drivers. Garamendi pointed out that rates in Modesto were cheaper than in La Grange, a ghost town 30 miles down the road that has “more jackrabbits than cars.”

This is noteworthy not just for the straight news value and the sensible policy outcome.  What’s really interesting here is the penultimate graf in the quote.  The insurance industry pulled a straight-up Republican move:  pitting the “good” rural folks against the “bad” urbanites.  And just like when the Republicans do it, it’s pure propaganda.

I’m not saying there aren’t real differences between rural and urban communities; there are.  But the differences aren’t as great as people think.  We have more things in common than differences, and the big-money interests who are trying to divide us don’t mean anyone well.

Ads for Westly and Angelides now playing

(New ads came out… – promoted by SFBrianCL)

UPDATE 3/10/06: Westly has 4 ads playing right now.  You can see them at his multimedia page.

UPDATE 3/7/06: New ads came out today.  Julia Rosen has it covered at the Alliance for a BetterCA’s blog, you can get the links for the new ads over there.

Thanks to BetterCa’s Julia Rosen for pointing out that the ads went live today. You can watch them at the campaign’s respective websites.

Angelides’ ad (MPG file)features Barbara Boxer saying how much she loves him and a tag line of “He stood up to Arnold, He’ll stand up for you.” Very slick.  They have already begun to poke at Westly’s soft underbelly, his once-cozy relationship with the Governator.

Westly’s ad (RealPlayer file) talks about how he’ll be a “different kind of governor” and hypes his ebay experience.  His ad really goes to his electability and works to bring up his name ID.

Winner: Personally, I like both ads.  They aren’t attacking each other (directly at least) and working to shore up strengths and name ID.

Gov. Muscles and Rebuilding Calif…who’s Issue?

The funniest part to me of Gov. Muscles attempt to get back in the public favor is his adopting of the rebuilding of the infrastructure California using the levee system as his first focus.

Why levee’s? New Orleans. It is valid. You bet. Our So Cal water system partly depends on them as does the entire Delta system.

But whose issue should it have been? Democrats!

Why wasn’t it? Because of the same heat Gov. Muscles is now taking from his own party. $$ Cost. Yet the reality is that our great state is falling apart in so many ways we can’t even count them as casual observers.

So Gov. Muscles makes several strong apprearances advocating that which cannot be denied, infrastructure rebuilding, as perhaps…maybe…scores major points.

The Democrats in Sacramento were afraid to do the same thing for fear of be slaughtered by the opposistion as big spenders. Now Muscles may have the political ‘muscle’ (no pun intended) to pull it off.

It took the rabid anti-communist Nixon to open dialogue with Communist China. Will it take a Republican Governor…hopefully soon to be replaced….to start the process of rebuilding California?

The Six Percent Solution: Schwarzenegger’s Debt Cap

I’ve been avoiding writing about the Schwarzenegger vs. Perata fight over the big bond package.  At the moment, I just don’t feel sufficiently informed about the details, and I reckon things will heat up in March, after the June 6 ballot deadline.  But one item in particular kept sticking out in most of the articles about Schwarzenegger’s bond proposal:

[Democrats] Murray, Laird and Chu also criticized Schwarzenegger’s call for a constitutional amendment that would limit annual bond payments to 6 percent of the state’s main budget account, the general fund.

Imposing a cap, administration officials say, would keep California from going too deeply into the red.

“We wanted to have some sort of limit on debt services, although I admit 6 percent is not a magic number,” [State Finance Director Mike] Genest told the [state legislature conference] committee.

If six percent isn’t a magic number, I thought, then why pick that number in particular?  Surely the number wasn’t just pulled out of the air.  I mean, it’s a Constitutional Amendment, after all.  Daniel Weintraub (of all people) rides to the rescue:

Gov. Schwarzenegger’s numbers crunchers have been circulating some figures to legislative leaders and others that compare the debt service cost of his $68 billion infrastructure borrowing plan to the outline floated by Assembly Speaker Fabian Nunez for a $30 billion package.

According to the figures from the Department of Finance, if the state authorizes no more borrowing, the debt service on general obligation and revenue bonds will peak at about 5 percent of general fund revenues in 2010, then decline over time to 1.89 percent 20 years from now. With the governor’s plan to sell $68 billion in bonds, that debt service would eventually reach about 6 percent of the general fund, compared to about 4.73 percent today.

Well, look at that.  Six percent is a magic number.  It’s the number at which nobody after Governor Schwarzenegger can ever borrow money until Schwarzenegger’s debt is paid down.  It’s a low-rent starve-the-beast Norquist-style strategy for the state government.  (Weintraub conveniently forgot to mention this astonishing coincidence in his entry on the topic, though he does manage to find time to craft a paragraph to snipe at the Democrats in the state legislature — priorities are important.)

Schwarzenegger/McClintock 2006 Replays Bush/Cheney 2000

Schwarzenegger 2006 is shaping up to look like Bush 2000, complete with compassionate conservative rhetoric from the top of ticket for the general population and hardcore Republican firebreathing from the #2 slot. And here’s why I make that prediction:

Typically in California, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor don’t campaign as running mates — but you’d never guess it by watching Republicans Arnold Schwarzenegger and Tom McClintock lately.

The 2006 campaign is still young, but Schwarzenegger, the incumbent governor seeking an uncertain re-election, and McClintock, a state senator from Ventura County running for lieutenant governor, look very much like a tag team.

Personal friendship — and political necessity — have forged an alliance between the two that mirrors a presidential-vice presidential slate, with each shoring up the other’s weaknesses.

Schwarzenegger helps boost McClintock’s visibility and fundraising ability. McClintock, in turn, has recently rushed in to aid Schwarzenegger by tamping down trouble from his right flank.

Schwarzenegger is Bush, McClintock is Cheney. We all know exactly how compassionate the Bush brand of conservatism has been, and hopefully we will all remember how aggressively Schwarzenegger pushed the extremist Republican agenda in last year’s special election. If you want to know what another Schwarzenegger administration would look like, listen to McClintock’s campaign, not Schwarzenegger.

More on this topic later this week.

The Governator on Meet The Press

Arnold Schwarzenegger appeared on Meet the Press (video available) today (Sunday, February 26, 2006). 

Russert began by asking about some national issues of note, port security, Iraq, and national guard issues.  He was extremely evasive.  I don’t think he actually answered any of Russert’s questions. He responded to a question about National Guard by issuing a warning about the Delta’s levees: (MTP 2/26/06 (tip: multi-page article, try clicking on “print” and reading there))

MR. RUSSERT: Are you concerned that the Guard is not going to be ready for the floods, for the earthquake because of the shrinking numbers?

GOV. SCHWARZENEGGER: I am not concerned about that. I am concerned that we are not acting fast enough to rebuild our levees. Because our levee system is 100 years old, and we have levees that were built 100 years ago by farmers. We don’t even know what they were built of. I think that they’re unsafe. They’re worse and worse conditions than the ones in New Orleans. And I think it is irresponsible for us not to act quickly, and this is why I declared an emergency and also asked the federal government and federal disaster to declare federal disaster in order to get the money as quickly as possible, in order to make the legislators respond as quickly as possible. Because there’s thousands of people that are vulnerable. Thousands of homes and the farms and everything like this. We could have a worse disaster than New Orleans. So I’m concerned about that, that we’re not really doing enough to protect the people. Because that’s our ultimate job.

Now, when it comes to the National Guard, I think that we have to just do everything possible. Remember it’s war time. People feel more reluctant to join because they don’t want to be sent over, maybe, to Iraq. So it is a difficult moment, but I think it’s something that is doable, and we always just have to work together on this.

Well, I’m VERY strongly in favor of increasing the visibility of the levee issue (both before and after Katrina).  But, he didn’t address the critical issue of whether our National Guard is prepared to respond to disasters in our state.  We are losing National Guardsmen a lot faster than we are replacing them, and he responds by highlighting the disasters for which we need them?  Yes!! We need them, we all agree with that.  But where are they coming from? Arnold has no thoughts on that.

More on the flip…

Also quite interesting?  His new opinion of campaign finance:

MR. RUSSERT: But you said when you ran at first, “I don’t need to take money from anybody.” But you’re going to be raising thousands and thousands of thousand dollars from people who do business and have contracts with the state government.

GOV. SCHWARZENEGGER: I want to correct you. I said I would never take money from unions, that I would never take money from Indian gaming tribes. I take money because you need to take money. The important thing here is, is when you take money that they buy into your philosophy and into your program, that you don’t buy into theirs. And that you never can be bought, that’s the most important thing.

So, it’s okay to take corporate funds, but not from unions and Tribal concerns.  So, wow, he must be really holy, now that it’s okay to take money from all the people that he takes money from.  It must be really bad to be a Democrat and have to take all that tainted union money.  C’mon, this is a ridiculous argument.  Yes, campaign finance is FUBAR, but what do you plan on doing about it?  Well, Arnold plans on selling to the RIGHT bidder, as long as the donor is anti-labor and anti-Indian gaming.

There are a bunch of other interesting quotes in there about his polling numbers and his spending habits.  A worthwile watch (or listen), especially now that you can watch online or download the podcast. (Good Job NBC!!!)

[From NCP] Schwarzenegger’s Broke, so Faking Sincerity

[Originally posted 2/2/06 at NorCal Politics]

Arnold Schwarzenegger’s campaign fund is $400K in the hole. He did it to himself, when he decided that he wanted to force his power-grabbing initiatives into the special election last November:

While Democrats and other Schwarzenegger opponents continue to complain about the millions of dollars last November’s special election cost California, the governor may have paid the biggest price. While Schwarzenegger’s California Recovery Team was raising and spending more than $45 million in the markedly unsuccessful effort to pass his package of initiatives, the governor’s re-election campaign was put on hold.

“Except for one dinner in Los Angeles, everything we did last year went into the special election,” Wilson said. “We really only began to raise money for the re-election last month.”

Schwarzenegger’s opponents spent at least $60 million against the initiatives, the finance reports showed.

One also notes that by one estimate, it cost the counties of California some $54 million for Governor Schwarzenegger’s failed putsch-by-initiative. Those are your dollars and mine, folks. Thanks, Governor!

So, I expect that nominal poverty is part of the reason for Schwarzenegger’s newfound humility and moderation. I’m thinking it’s a put-on, though. Does anyone seriously believe that Schwarzenegger has a humble bone in his body?

In that vein, note that Schwarzenegger recently hired two Bush-Cheney lieutenants to run his 2006 gubernatorial campaign. So, one should expect slash-and-burn politics, probably run largely through proxies, while Schwarzenegger plays the compassionate conservative. I’m placing my bet now: Schwarzenegger 2006 will look like Bush 2000, with some Swift-Boating of his Democratic opponent thrown in.

I’m curious as to whether Angelides / Westly will be prepared for savage, generally dishonest attacks right at what they think of (and they poll as) as their strengths. That’s a hallmark of Republican campaign strategy for the last decade. One hopes that California Dems won’t be as gormless as national Dems in dealing with entirely predictable Republican behavior.

Tough Questions For John Doolittle

The Sacramento Bee asks a couple of tough question of Representative John Doolittle (CA-4).

Where does zeal to help friends from all corners of the nation leave the mass of his constituents – people who aren’t his friends, but are owed his time and representation? How does he square his notions of limited government with his willingness to open the federal trough to a favored few?

Today’s editorial describes how Doolittle was unfailing in his support of “friends” such as Jack Abramoff and Brent Wilkes. In fact, considering Doolittle’s crusade for limited government, the Bee editorialist admits confusion over Doolittle’s willingness to lavish federal tax dollars on his “friends.”

Two things stand out in Doolittle’s Feb. 18 interview with The Bee’s David Whitney. One is his view of politics as a matter of friends helping friends. The other is that while he professes a “philosophy of limited government,” he is willing to help his friends prosper through congressionally earmarked government contracts.

[…]

He is particularly revealing about his friendship with Jack Abramoff, who has pleaded guilty to fraud, public corruption and tax evasion: “And if you had a friend who was a lobbyist like that and he liked you, he was able to procure quite a bit of support for you from the clients he represented. So I was in the fortunate position then of benefiting from his friendship and his willingness to help me.”

[…]

Doolittle is shameless in going out of his way to seek federal government handouts for his friends. Here’s an example from the interview. Through lobbyist Ed Buckham, Doolittle met Brent Wilkes, who specializes in using his lobbyist and congressional connections to seek defense contracts. Doolittle was impressed that Wilkes was “quite the Republican” and toured Wilkes’ new business headquarters in San Diego.

[…]

Doolittle has been the beneficiary of political contributions from Wilkes, his family and business partners. Doolittle has supported government appropriations for Wilkes’ projects. For one of Wilkes’ companies, PerfectWave, Doolittle helped win earmarks worth $37 million for a technology not requested by the military. Doolittle tried to get a House contract for digital document conversion for another Wilkes company, ADCS.


On Friday Doolittle announced his intention to run for his 9th term in congress. If he is lucky, not all of his “friends” will have been indicted by Election Day.

Jerry Lewis Staffer….err… Marine Officer Recalled

California Congressman Jerry Lewis (CA-41) is the chairman of the House Appropriations Committee. As such, he had oversight responsibility for members of his committee. Members such as Randy “Duke” Cunningham, who was using his position on the committee to ensure that his “friends” Mitchell Wade (pled guilty Friday) and Brent Wilkes (soon to be pleading) could steal millions from U.S. taxpayers.

Turns out that Lewis was stealing from U.S. taxpayers as well.  According to The Hill, Lewis was utilizing a Marine officer, Lt. Col. Carl Kime, as a staffer in his congressional office to help manage earmark and defense appropriations. The very tools that Cunningham used to run his bribery scam.

Kime held an influential position in Lewis’s personal office and had oversight on requests for earmarked funds in the defense appropriations bill, the largest of the annual spending bills, according to sources familiar with the workings of the House Appropriations Committee. Kime held the title of appropriations associate, the only aide to hold that title in Lewis’s personal office, according to the House directory.

[…]
Kime’s service for Lewis appeared to violate the Members’ Congressional Handbook issued by the Committee for House Administration, which defines a detailee as a “non-congressional federal employee assigned to a committee for a period of up to one year.” The handbook also states that “detailees may not be assigned to a member office” and cites the relevant section of U.S. law: 2 USC Section 72a(f).

Lewis defended his aide when alerted about the apparent violation.

“I’ve had military detailees since I’ve been in the Congress, almost every year, and they’ve been responsive to me,” he said. “I don’t read the handbooks, but I know who they work for and they respond to my interests.”

Kime’s service also appeared to violate a Department of Defense regulation that mandates that detailees “be limited to performing duties for a specific duration, in a specific project and as a member of a staff of a committee of the Congress.”

Jerry Lewis apparently thinks that he doesn’t have to follow the rules in Congress. Just like Duke Cunningham, he places his interests ahead of the American people.

No wonder Lewis and his “free” staffer didn’t find anything wrong with Duke’s earmarks. Duke was following the “Lewis Rule” – take everything you can get.

[From NCP] Prop 73 modifies the state constitution to define abortion as infanticide

[Originally posted 11/05/2005 on NorCal Politics by LSchwark.]

Beyond the criticisms of the proposition as being detrimental to the health and safety of California teens, Proposition 73 is also a stealth initiative to criminalize abortion, amending the state constitution to define abortion as infanticide.

From the text of the initiative (emphasis mine):

This initiative measure is submitted to the people in accordance with the provisions of Article II, Section 8 of the California Constitution. This initiative measure expressly amends the California Constitution by adding a section thereto

(1) “Abortion” means the use of any means to terminate the pregnancy of an unemancipated minor female known to be pregnant with knowledge that the termination with those means will, with reasonable likelihood, cause the death of the unborn child, a child conceived but not yet born.

I would have thought this was obvious to Californians by now. Unfortunately, the LA Times conducted a poll this week that indicates Prop 73 is running at 51% approval by likely voters.

This is not the first go around with notification laws. In 1953, the constitution was amended to allow minors to have the same access to medical care as adults, without notification. In 1987, the legislature added a parental notification amendment in the case of abortions for minors. The state supreme court struck it down as being unconstitutional. So, now they anti-choice forces are trying to amend the constituion.

As they always do, the anti-choice agenda is acting by stealth because people in the US, and even more so in California, are pro-choice. Therefore, they’re trying to nibble away piecemeal the underpinnings of abortion access and availability. Much like the Intelligent Design advocates argue they just want to allow their side to be heard alongside evolution to get their foot in the door, the same is the case with parental notification. Conservatives understand the game, moderates are often fooled into supporting the idea as if that were the only issue involved. But it’s not the only issue, it’s just part of an ongoing campaign. The graphic snipped from the LA Times poll shows why this tactic can work. While pro-choice voters outnumber anti-choice voters 58% to 39%, there’s a swing 19% that is open to some limitations on abortion. If they can be convinced that one measure or another is reasonable, the anti-choice forces can sneak through a trojan horse.

There are plenty of conscientious and well-meaning people who take a principled stand against abortion. Many of them are also against the death penalty and concerned with the general social welfare. But the anti-choice activists who put things like Proposition 73 forward are the people who also oppose birth control, sex education. These anti-abortion activists are now debating whether they should oppose the addition of the HPV vaccine that prevents most cervical cancer to the routine child vaccination schedule. Their argument, predictably, is that immunizing girls aginst HPV will encourage sexual activity. You see, HPV is communicable much more easily than most STD’s and thus condoms aren’t effective. So the fear of cancer is their ally in promoting abstinence only education.

There are plenty of other arguments against Prop 73.

  • It most affects the vulnerable teens who live in abusive or unstable home environments.
  • It institutes a government bureaucracy that receives notifications of teens seeking abortions. Think about that one for a minute.
  • The measure criminalizes doctors and health care providers who provide abortions to teens unless they participate in the notification bureaucracy.
  • Expecting vulnerable teens to go to court to get a waiver is ridiculous. Imagine yourself as a poor 16 year old with an unstable home environment. Are you going to be going to court to get a waiver? Again, the idea is ridiculous on its face.
  • Most teens seeking abortions do, in fact, already discuss it with their parents.
  • The state Supreme Court, in rejecting the last attempt at notification laws, included the opinion that such laws do, in fact, put teens in danger.

Vote NO on PROPOSITION 73.