Time sensitive: cast a vote for our future

You can help pick the winners of a contest that will give California students scholarship money for college. Before 11am PDT, May 21, visit the contest page of the Campaign for College Opportunity. There you can read finalist essays by middle and high school kids and view the posters and TV ads they’ve created on the theme “Save a Spot for Me in College.” Take a look and cast your vote for the overall winners.

Do this and you’ll be participating in an innovative grassroots lobbying effort.

The Campaign for College Opportunity seeks to impress on state legislators the need to support community college education for all students who graduate from high school. The state master plan has called for such support for many years; the state’s higher education system has been much of the engine of California’s prosperity. But state government has been hamstrung by the refusal of Republicans to agree to any new tax measures, and consequently, community colleges have begun to crack under demand that exceeds the supply of places. They have raised fees, limited the availability of classes, and cannot provide the counselors who might help get students through the bureaucratic maze.

So the Campaign wanted to collect California students’ own thoughts and dreams about college to share them with legislators. What better way than a contest with real money prizes?

Last month I wrote about serving as a reader in the first phase of the contest. It was a fascinating experience. Hundreds of us helped winnow down 8000 entries.

Now the Campaign seeks our online votes which will be used alongside those of a panel of judges who include:

  • Farai Chideya, author and correspondent for National Public Radio
  • Don Hahn, Interim Head of Feature Animation at the Walt Disney Company
  • Joe Kapp, former NFL star
  • Josefa Salinas, radio personality for Hot 92 Jamz in Los Angeles
  • Peter Schrag, columnist for the Sacramento Bee
  • Mike Sklut, host of “High School Sports Focus” on Action 36 in the Bay Area

Reading these student essays, what came through so poignantly is that these young people, many of them immigrants or children of immigrants, want to be what they think of as “good people” — productive workers, supports to their parents, participants in their community. Read their own words at the contest page and help give them a leg up toward their dreams..

CA-4: The DCCC says it’s going to challenge 15% Doolittle

The DCCC is a really great bunch of people who are very successful.  Ok, sorry, I need to stop laughing now.  Anyway Rahm and the crew are finally considering supporting a candidate against 15% Doolittle:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said Wednesday that it thinks it may have a shot at unseating Rep. John Doolittle, who is listed as among the most powerful members of the California congressional delegation in a nonpartisan survey out this week.

“The DCCC is very interested in this race and will possibly invest in it,” said Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., the committee’s recruitment chief. Citing the Roseville Republican’s associations with key players in two congressional corruption scandals, Van Holleen said, “All the signs are good in this district.” (SacBee 5/18/06)

How forward looking of the DCCC.  They are challenging a corrupt Republican.  Wow, how ever did they come up with that idea?  Ol’ 15% has been cheating hhis consituents and the country as a whole, and you are going to think about sending some money in this direction.  Well, Representative, I suggest you think real hard about it.  California has been very, very good to the DCCC, perhaps it’s about time that the DCCC returns some attention in this direction.

And to the Democrats in this race: they are Lisa Rea, a Sacramento-area insider who has worked at the California Legislature, Charlie Brown, a retired Air Force helicopter pilot, and Mike Hamersly, a former whistleblower on large tax shelter fraud and employee of the California franchise tax board.  While it wouldn’t take much to improve upon 15% Doolittle, both Rea and Brown would be welcome additions to the California Congressional Delegation.

Calitics Poll Headquarters

Welcome to the Poll Headquarters.  We’ll be posting notable
Polls
and Endorsements here. The dates are the date of release to the public,
not the dates of survey. The Governor related polls will be in the
main, congress, down-ballot, and other polls will be in the extended. Here
are the polls with primary data.
If you know of any
additional polls, let me know. Thanks!

California Governor Polls

Phil Angelides (D) vs. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R)

Descriptions:

Field California Polls

The dates are the date of release to the public, not the dates
of
survey. The Field Poll is the gold standard of California political
polls. I always trust the Field Poll when it’s in conflict with
another.

Rasmussen California Governor Polls

The Rasmussen poll is a computer polling operation. Its
results are
a little more questionable within California and can sometimes be
skewed towards the political right.

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) and L.A. Times
Polls

The LA Times poll and the PPIC poll also have polls on down
ballot
races. I didn’t summarize them here, but click the links for the full
PDFs. The PPIC is known for in-depth research, and their survey guru,
Mark Baldassare, is highly respected for his statewide surveys. The LA
Times is, well, a major media organization. I’ll leave it at that.

Survey USA Governor Approval
Pollshttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=1137993a-c120-4ea6-bc97-017dd6931c94

Are on the flip. There are lots of crosstabs available at
their website. 

Many of the links are PDFs.

Poll/Candidate Angelides Schwarzenegger U/DK Other MoE
Zogby
9/28/06
33.8 43    12 ±3.5
PPIC
9/26/06
31 48 15 6 ±2
SUSA.
9/27/06
38 52 9  1 ±4.5
Field
9/26/06
34 44 15 7 ±3.8
Datamar
9/18/06
31.4 53.6 3.6  11.4 ±2.3
Rasm.
9/12/06
39 47 14   ±4.5
Zogby
9/06
40 43.5     ±3.5
Rasm.
8/31/06
42 48 10   ±4.5
PPIC
8/06
32 45 17 6 ±2
SUSA.
8/28/06
38 52 8  1 ±4.5
Zogby
8/06
40.3 45     ±3.5
Rasm.
8/1/06
41 47 12   ±4.5
PPIC
7/06
30 43 19 8 ±2
Field
7/25/06
37 45 15 3 ±3.8
Zogby
7/06
44 42.3     ±3.5
Rasm.
7/13/06
46 44 10   ±4.5
SJSU
7/6/06
37 44 14 5 ±3.3
Zogby
6/06
44.6 44.5     ±2.7
Datamar
6/5/06
34.3 53.5 12.2   ±2.46
Field
6/2/06
39 46 11   ±3.8
LA
Times 5/26/06
46 45 8 1 ±5
Rasm.
5/24/06
45 45 10   ±4.5
PPIC
5/06
38 38 24   ±2
Rasm.
4/17/06
36 49 15   ±4.5
Field
4/14/06
40 44 13   ±3.8
LA-Times
4/28/06
43 43 13 1 ±5
SJSU
4/4/06
37 40     ±3.3
PPIC
3/06
29 41 30   ±2
Rasm.
3/23/06
45 44 11   ±4.5
Field
3/2/06
39 39 20   ±3.8
Rasm.
2/13/06
40 41 19   ±4.5
Rasm.
1/24/06
39 41 20   ±4.5
Rasm.
12/15/05
44 40 16   ±4.5
Field
11/3/05
47 41 12   ±3.8
Field
9/7/05
43 40 17   ±3.8
Field
6/29/05
46 42 12   ±3.8
Field
2/25/05
35 52 13   ±3.8

S-USA Schwarzenegger Approval

The actual Survey USA site has the ability to do demographic
breakdowns.

Schwarzenegger Approval Ratings Through June 06

California Proposition Polls

Infrastructure Bonds

Poll/Prop 1B: Transp. 1C: Housing 1D: Educ 1E: Disaster 84: Water
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Field
9/29/06
52 36 12 58 28 14 52 33 15 51 36 13 50 30 20
Datamar 9/06 55.9 31.2 12.9 34.5 53.9 11.7 41.4 46.6 12.0 60.8 27.7 11.5 47.6 36.3 16.0
PPIC
8/06
50 38 12 57 32 11 51 39 10 56 35 9 40 45 15
Field
7/28/06
54 27 19 33 42 25 48 37 15 47 33 20 49 31 20
Field
6/5/06
57 24 19 39 38 23 48 34 18 58 25 17 N/a N/a N/a
PPIC
5/06
62 32 6 60 37 3 74 22 4 62 34 4 N/a N/a N/a

Other Initiatives

Poll/Prop 83: Sex Offenders 85: Anti-choice 86: Cigarette Tax 87: Oil &
Alt. Energy
90: Em. Dom.
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Datamar 9/06 79.4 13.0 7.6 48.5 42 9.5 52.1 41 6.9 43.4 44.0 12.6 61.3 24.0 14.7
Field
8/2/06
76 11 13 44 45 11 63 32 5 52 31 17 46 31 23
PPIC
7/06
N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61 23 16 N/a N/a N/a

Down Ballot Polls

Candidate Field
Poll 8/1/06
(MoE: ±5.2)

Lt. Governor

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Garamendi (D) 48 46 17 37
Tom McClintock (R) 38 40 17 43

Attorney General

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Jerry Brown (D) 54 45 36 19
Chuck Poochigian (R) 33 9 7 84

Secretary of State

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Debra Bown (D) 38 10 6 84
Bruce McPhereson (R) 35 19 9 72

Treasurer

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Bill Lockyer (D) 52 43 16 41
Claude Parrish (R) 27 9 5 86

Controller

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Chiang (D) 38 13 5 82
Tony Strickland (R) 27 11 8 81

Insurance Commissioner

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Cruz Bustamante (D) 43 38 43 19
Steve Poizner (R) 39 7 8 85