Tom Lantos: Your Indignation Is Disqualified

The conservative blogosphere has been abuzz for a few days now over comments made by our own Tom Lantos to Dutch lawmakers over Guantanamo.  A delegation of Dutch legislators toured the prison facility and later met with Lantos in DC.  Delegation members debated the withdrawal of Dutch troops from Afghanistan and Dutch Green Party member Mariko Peters commented that “We have to close Guantanamo because it symbolizes for me everything that is wrong with this war on terror.”  Well, Rep. Lantos didn’t take too kindly to the sentiment, and angrily called out the group for being, well, soft on the Holocaust:

Europe was not as outraged by Auschwitz as by Guantanamo Bay.

But nope, he wasn’t done.  World War Two, it seems, preempts any criticism from Europeans towards the United States, possibly forever.  Lantos went on to declare “You have to help us, because if it was not for us you would now be a province of Nazi Germany.”  No mention as to whether French aid during the Revolutionary War disqualifies American criticism of the French, but presumably that would create some sort of physically unstable vortex of disallowed indignation.  I can’t speak to the ages of the delegation members, but I would imagine that many were but a gleam in their father’s eye during the Holocaust.  Certainly I’m two generations removed.  I wonder whether I, having failed to react strongly to Auschwitz, am also disqualified from moral judgment.  It wouldn’t seem as though these comments leave any allowance for, or even aspiration for, an improving world.

So seriously…what the hell?

First of all, As a Holocaust survivor, Lantos clearly has a ton of emotion wrapped up in statements like these.  But I’m really not sure what he is trying to accomplish by comparing the United States to Nazi Germany.  It doesn’t seem like it’s an argument that is likely to get people to calm down.  But even beyond the rather grim and counter-productive premise, what exactly is the point he’s trying to make?  Surely he’s aware of the long list of horrific human rights abuses that the United States has overlooked or even supported over the years; does that preempt the right of the United States to object to future injustices?  I’m sure the country would be interested to know if that’s the case.  Or is this simply a “do as I say, not as I do” situation?  That’s a condescending claim to the unilateral right to behave and dictate behavior on a whim, which again isn’t likely to be particularly productive.  The idea that the United States is and has for decades been saving the rest of the world from itself is exactly the brand of arrogance that breeds such animosity all over the globe.

Lantos has not yet commented on the flap, but he may want to.  He’s a powerful voice on foreign policy in this government and comments like this matter in a big way.  There are a number of ways that the language can be parsed and a number of ways that intent could be guessed at, but without clarification, this plays as a serious smackdown to the international community and Europe in particular.  The air of unfounded righteous indignation is not productive, and particularly puzzling from a tactical perspective given his comments over the past several weeks regarding Armenian genocide.  Just three weeks ago, he spoke out on the moral and strategic issues involved, saying,

One of the problems we have diplomatically globally is that we have lost our moral authority which we used to have in great abundance…People around the globe who are familiar with these events will appreciate the fact that the United States is speaking out against a historic injustice. This would be like sweeping slavery under the rug and saying slavery never occurred.

I’m not interested in hyperbole comparing Guantanamo to slavery, Armenian genocide, the Holocaust or anything else.  But moral authority doesn’t come from condemning the historic injustices.  It comes from behaving morally.  I hope Mr. Lantos will take a step back, sort through all of this, and better organize these thoughts.

I think it’s also interesting to note, while we’re on the subject, that the right-wing blogosphere has been so excited to trumpet a member of the United States government comparing Guantanamo to a concentration camp.  They seem to have been blinded by the tough tone and “we’ll do whatever we want” attitude of the comments and didn’t bother (shockingly) to consider what was actually said.  So the one silver lining, perhaps, to be drawn from this is that the premise has shifted.

Tough On Crime? Not So Much.

I was rendered almost ill by John Edwards’ stance in the debate against the decriminalization of marijuana because “it would send the wrong signal to young people.”  Chris Dodd made a strong response that cut to the heart of our failed prison policy.

DODD: Can I respond, I mean just why I think it ought to be? We’re locking up too many people in our system here today. We’ve got mandatory minimum sentences that are filling our jails with people who don’t belong there. My idea is to decriminalize this, reduce that problem here. We’ve gone from 800,000 to 2 million people in our penal institutions in this country. We’ve go to get a lot smarter about this issue than we are, and as president, I’d try and achieve that.

This, of course, is most acute in California, where we’re waiting for the other shoe to drop on a federal court order that could potentially force the release of thousands of prisoners due to overcrowding.  State Sen. Gloria Romero held her ground and didn’t allow the usual spate of tougher sentencing bills to pass the Legislature this year.  So once again, George and Sharon Runner will go to the ballot with a punitive measure designed to make themselves look tough while further battering a crippled prison system.

A year after bringing to California Jessica’s Law, the crackdown on sex offenders, the husband-and-wife team of state Sen. George Runner and Assemblywoman Sharon Runner announced Monday a new initiative that would target gang members for tougher prosecution and dedicate nearly $1 billion annually to enforcement and intervention.

The Republican legislators from Lancaster hope to collect enough signatures to qualify the measure for the November 2008 ballot, and they have the backing of the father of the state’s three-strikes law as well as law enforcement officials, including Los Angeles County Sheriff Lee Baca.

The Legislature has already rejected this bill, and it would again constrain the state budget with another walled-off mandate while doing nothing to address the major crisis in overcrowding.  It’s feel-good nonsense for “tough-on-crime” advocates.

By the way, let’s see how the last initiative the Runners promoted, Jessica’s Law, is working out:

Hundreds of California sex offenders who face tough new restrictions on where they can live are declaring themselves homeless, making it difficult for the state to track them.

Jessica’s Law, approved by 70 percent of California voters a year ago, bars registered sex offenders from living within 2,000 feet of a school or park where children gather. That leaves few places where offenders can live legally.

Some who have had trouble finding a place to live are avoiding re-arrest by reporting that they are homeless – falsely, in some cases.

Experts say it is hard to monitor sex offenders when they lie about their address or are living day-to-day in cheap hotels, homeless shelters or on the street. It also means they may not be getting the treatment they need.

“We could potentially be making the world more dangerous rather than less dangerous,” said therapist Gerry Blasingame, past chairman of the California Coalition on Sexual Offending.

I agree with all of that except the word “potentially.”  We felt good about “getting tough” on sex offenders, and now we have them living under bridges and untrackable.  How do you think “getting tough” on gang violence is going to work out?

CapitolAlert: Failure Achieved

Muuuwaaaahaaaa haaa haaa.  Yes, this is indeed a gloating post, for I sooo called this back when the Sacramento Bee first launched their extraordinarily expensive CapitolAlert premium package for breaking political news and early versions of print articles. 

It simply was not worth the money for the product they were offering and they were walling off content.  Much like the Times Select they were reducing their google and blog traffic.  The new revenue stream kept them from another: online advertising.  I would imagine that the numbers of subscribers eroded over time so that the calculations were no longer working.  Here is what they emailed out to past trial subscribers:

Dear Capitol Alert Trial Subscriber,

In the past year, Capitol Alert’s in-depth and ongoing political news and information have become a valuable daily resource for many political professionals. During this time, we have received many requests to make Capitol Alert available for free. Now, in response to the rapidly changing online world, we are moving to open the site for advertising and will offer its content to a broader audience free of charge. Our new model starts Monday.

I would argue that they should have realized this prior to the launch.  The Internet has not evolved that much since February.

We thank you for your interest in Capitol Alert and we hope you will enjoy and benefit from the free access to this political news and information site. Enhancements are currently being made to the site, including updated navigation and advertising positions. Additional improvements will be implemented next year, including the ability to comment on stories and postings.

I wonder what takes so long to implement the commenting ability.  Not a huge deal. 

The prospect of getting Goldmacher and Weintraub’s blogs out from behind the pay wall is fantastic.  My original post noted that while this was a loss, it was not that huge since Salladay was coming into his own.  And we know how that turned out… There very much is a need for good reporter blogging on CA politics.  We had a wealth of it for a short time, but now it has really dried up.

The OC Register Responds to Calitics…by Reasserting Failed Conservative Ideology

UPDATE by Brian: Robert is too modest to pimp his dKos diary on the FP, so I’ll do it for him. Please give it a rec, as the story is certainly worthy of additional eyeballs.

Sunday’s article, “How Anti-Union, Anti-Tax OC Conservatives Defeated Adequate Fire Protection in 2005,” seems to have struck a nerve among Orange County conservatives. Yesterday the Orange County Register, whose editorials against Measure D in 2005 were a prime target of my article, devoted their lead editorial to the charges I laid out here on Sunday.

It’s understandable that conservatives bristle at being called to account for the catastrophic outcomes of their ideological agenda. The devastation wreaked on the Gulf Coast by Hurricane Katrina irreparably damaged the Bush Administration and set the Republicans on the long road to losing the Congress. Millions of Americans saw the effects of Grover Norquist’s “drown government in a bathtub” strategy. The Register‘s editorial pages, long devoted to a similar anti-government, anti-tax, anti-union agenda, have a clear interest in distancing themselves from last week’s disaster.

But their editorial defense does not quite achieve its objectives. The Register does not rebut the fact that OC firefighters lacked necessary equipment that Measure D would have funded. More importantly, the editorial actually reinforces my core argument – that the conservative agenda the Register and others in OC promoted is intended to leave Californians lacking adequate fire protection and placing their safety in the hands of a private market.

First, it’s worth reviewing the basic charges. Last weekend the Register‘s own reporters explained that Orange County Fire Authority lacked basic resources needed to battle back the fast-moving and unpredictable Santiago Fire in its crucial first hours:

Two of the Orange County politicians now complaining about the lack of air support for the Santiago Fire opposed firefighters’ effort to purchase new helicopters and trucks two years ago.

In fact, county officials today are sitting on more than $80 million in excess revenue from a statewide public safety sales tax adopted 13 years ago.

That surplus has been a longstanding sore spot for OC firefighters, who at times this week were so overwhelmed they had to seek refuge inside fire retardant tents.

The firefighter’s 2005 ballot initiative would have redirected a small portion of the ½ cent sales tax, providing $8 million for new helicopters and $33 million for new fire trucks.

The LA Times also reported about the shortages:

[OCFA] fire engines were staffed below national standards, it had fewer firefighters per capita than neighboring counties, and its army of men and women ready to fight the blaze may have been weakened by changes in the county’s volunteer firefighter program….

“We’re out there with a handful of crews trying to stop this big fire, and all we could do was just put out spot fires,” said Chip Prather, chief of the Orange County Fire Authority. “It would have been great to have the cavalry come in, but there were several fires burning, and it was taking time for the resources to get here.”…

The size of those crews was one way that Orange County fell below the national standard. Most of the county’s engines were staffed with three people. Four per engine is the voluntary minimum standard from the National Fire Protection Assn., a private organization that writes fire safety guidelines.

Crews with three firefighters work more slowly than larger crews, according to a study by the Insurance Services Organization, a national group that evaluates fire departments.

Todd Spitzer, a Republican Assemblymember from Orange, was another target of today’s editorial for his criticisms of equipment shortages. On Tuesday he explained the lack of resources left parts of central Orange County vulnerable on the fire’s critical first night:

The evening the Santiago fire began, Chief Prather and I stood at the Foothill (241) Toll Road and Santiago Canyon Road, watching firefighters set backfires to consume fuel that would have sent the fire into East Orange. Homes in north Tustin were threatened when the fire jumped the 261 Toll Road, potentially burning into Lower Peters Canyon. Homes in Irvine, at Jamboree and Portola Parkway, were nearly lost.

We had no relief for the “left flank” of the fire. That portion of the fire was slipping toward Foothill Ranch and northeast Irvine. But structure protection was the focus, so all our ground resources were in Irvine. I was on the phone repeatedly with the Office of Emergency Services regional command based in Riverside, which was charged with prioritizing all the requests for assistance based on need. Orange County kept getting told that the Santa Ana winds would keep the fire burning toward Irvine. We warned, however, that the fire was slipping south and if it crossed Santiago Canyon Road because of a wind shift, it would burn out of control. Our concerns were dismissed as not consistent with weather predictions.

(North Tustin, where I was born and raised, is where most of my family still resides.)

The situation Spitzer describes is fundamentally one of a shortage of resources. With more trucks, helicopters, and firefighters, Spitzer and Chief Prather’s concerns might not have been dismissed.

Yesterday’s editorial, however, addresses neither of these concers about equipment shortages. Instead they try to claim that the Proposition 172 system of allocating public safety funds worked – despite the fact that, in 2005, Steven Greenhut, the senior editorial writer for the Register, denounced California taxpayers as “weak” for having approved Prop 172 in November 1993, in the aftermath of the 1993 firestorms.

For instance, the Measure D battle two years ago was over the disbursement of Proposition 172 sales-tax funds that voters had already approved for public safety. Conservatives were on both sides of the issue as the firefighters sought to take a share of tax dollars that mostly had gone to fund the Sheriff’s Department and the District Attorney’s Office. This wasn’t about “stingy” taxpayers unwilling to pay for public safety, as the liberals allege, but about divvying up the taxpayers’ money among agencies.

But the Register’s own reporting contradicts this. To revisit the Register article discussed above:

In fact, county officials today are sitting on more than $80 million in excess revenue from a statewide public safety sales tax adopted 13 years ago.

The firefighter’s 2005 ballot initiative would have redirected a small portion of the ½ cent sales tax, providing $8 million for new helicopters and $33 million for new fire trucks.

Redirection of some Prop 172 monies toward fire protection was one of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s Blue Ribbon Fire Commission recommendations – along with replacing outdated helicopters – which Measure D would have accomplished. Nor is it clear that Measure D would have negatively impacted the OC Sheriff’s Department or the District Attorney’s office as claimed. The Yes on D campaign explained – as illustrated by their mailers, which anti-Measure D blogger Matt “Jubal” Cunningham thankfully preserved for posterity – that even with this redirection of part of OC’s Prop 172 allocation, the OCSD and DA would both continue to see increased budgets from Prop 172.

The editorial points out that Orange County and San Diego County are not the only California jurisdictions with underfunded fire protection. But they neglect to explain the source of that problem – in SD, OC, and statewide, it has been 30 years of conservative anti-tax policies, from Proposition 13 to the opposition to Measure D, that has left public services destitute.

However, neither the technical details of Prop 172 allocation nor Orange County’s fire protection needs were at the heart of the conservative anti-Measure D campaign that the Register championed two years ago. As I explained on Sunday, the attack was really on unions and public employees. Greenhut compared the fight between the Sheriff’s union and the firefighters’ union to the fight between Hitler and Stalin. Cunningham believed that beating back the power of government employee unions was the main reason to oppose Measure D, even going so far as to say the firefighters threatened basic rights.

Sadly, yesterday’s editorial repeats these arguments:

We pointed out at the time that the average salary and benefit package for firefighters in all categories was about $175,000 a year.

In other words, public fire protection should come at the cost of public employees. They should have to give up health care, pensions, and pay before taxpayers are asked to reallocate already-collected monies to better tackle OC’s perennial firestorms. Apparently, the Register does not believe that firefighters should be able to afford to meet OC’s sky-high cost of living.

Finally, the editorial goes on to validate my conclusions that stinginess with public tax money would lead conservatives to suggest turning everything over to the market. As I wrote on Sunday:

It seems unlikely that Orange County conservatives will be giving up their virulent anti-tax, anti-firefighter crusade even in the aftermath of October’s firestorm. Instead we should expect them to ramp up their argument that private enterprise and the market will do a better job of fighting fires than “greedy” public sector employees.

That is precisely what the Register did in its editorial:

A broader goal would be more privatization efforts and more private ownership of land. Private firefighting firms would have a financial interest to promote prevention, and more private ownership of land would mean better-maintained property. Private owners are far better at protecting their property than public owners, who follow an entirely different set of objectives.

This is already happening here in California, as Bloomberg News reported last week:

“What we’re trying to do here is provide our policyholders an additional level of protection,” said Stan Rivera, director of wildfire protection for AIG Private Client Group. The average home insured by the unit is valued at $1.7 million….

The Wildfire Protection Unit has six trucks outfitted to spray Phos-Chek, the fire retardant used by the U.S. Forest Service. Customers can have Phos-Chek sprayed on brush surrounding their homes before each fire season. During a wildfire, the trucks are sent out whenever a fire comes within three miles of a home and spray all combustible areas.

Such protection doesn’t come cheap. It’s available only to customers of AIG Private Client Group, which serves affluent individuals and their families. The average customer spends $19,000 a year on the insurance, which may also cover yachts, art collections and ransom demands, Rivera said.

AIG Private Client Group has about 55,000 customers throughout the U.S., Rivera said. California is “one of the biggest” markets for the group, he said.

If you can’t afford this coverage, though, you’re screwed:

Some victims of the California fires may wish they had their own firemarks. During this week’s wildfires, “there were a few instances where we were spraying and the neighbor’s house went up like a candle,” Crays said.

This is the future the Register happily embraces – public fire protection should be underfunded; any attempt to rectify this is an illegitimate grab by overzealous, anti-liberty public unions and their overpaid, greedy workers; and members of the public should be on their own when it comes to fire protection, regardless of ability to pay.

For the thousands of Orange County residents who could not possibly afford this kind of fire protection, the Register’s far right ideology leaves them with nothing. Here’s to hoping that my beloved home of Orange County will finally wake up to the agenda that their conservative elite is promoting.

Keeping Big Business happy at our children’s expense

This article written by: Former Assemblymember Hannah-Beth Jackson of Speak Out california

I remember as a youngster believing that the President and the government would protect us from harmful things—like gas fumes at the pump and toys that broke off and could hurt babies and little children. Of course, I was quite young at the time, not yet at double digits, the country was much more naive and Dwight Eisenhower was president. This was obviously a long time ago!

But I took the notion seriously that government had a moral and constitutional responsibility to protect the public and keep us from harms way—whether it be from enemies to our shores, criminals threatening our personal peace and safety or just known bad things being cast upon us by those who didn’t care about our well-being.

It turns out I was very naive, and had a misplaced sense of what government, at least in times of Ike,considered to be its responsibilities. But as time has moved on, the role of government to protect us as consumers and as individuals has evolved. Particularly in the 1970’s, and somewhat ironically, under both Republican and Democratic presidents, the role of the EPA, the Consumer Protection Agency and other publicly concerned entities took a front-and-center position in helping protect our nation and our natural resources. After all, it was Richard Nixon who signed the Clean Water Act (although it was pushed heavily by the democratically controlled congress). To his credit, he also oversaw the first Environmental Protection Agency, committed to protecting our environmental health.

Fast-forward to today and we see a stark contrast between a national commitment to protect the public and an adminstration which has blatantly and shamelessly pronounced that the public health is of no concern to it. That seems to be the message of this week’s extraordinary conduct of one Nancy A. Nord, the acting chairman of the Consumer Product Safety Commission.

The CPSC is the agency tasked with the responsibility to oversee the safety of more than 15,000 types of consumer products. It is this agency which has been under scrutiny as more and more of the thousands of products we import from China, as toys with which our children play, turn out to be laced with poison. Primarily in the form of lead materials, our youngest children are being exposed to toxic materials known to cause brain damage and other serious health and safety consequences for children in particular.

The public outcry has been predictably severe, after all, these are our children who are being knowingly exposed to dangerous substances. The question has been raised, “Where is the government in all this? Where is the agency that is supposed to protect against unsafe consumer products? Who is minding the store?”

The answer with this administration, in particular, has been that no one is minding the store. After all, the market can regulate itself and we don’t want to impose any regulation or restrictions that will interfere with a free and unregulated market. And therein lies the rub: The market has not and does not regulate itself. It only responds when it is finally CAUGHT. So millions of our children have been exposed to these dangerous materials. How many of them will suffer as a result? How many parents and loved ones will feel responsible for the consequences because the government has failed to protect them? And finally, how can this administration, that professes to want to protect America justify such neglect of its responsibilities?

The answer, sadly, is best summarized by the extraordinary response by the person who is in charge of protecting us from unsafe products. Appointed by George W. Bush  to head an agency whose work and mandate she opposes, Ms. Nord publicly opposed legislation that will strengthen her agency’s ability to do its job.

On October 30th, the Senate Commerce Committee unanimously approved a bill which would raise the CPSC budget, increase its staff and grant it “broad new powers to police the marketplace” on behalf of consumer safety.
The New York Times reported that Nord opposed the measure because it would “increase the maximum penalties for safety violations , make it easier for the government to make public reports of faulty products and protect industry whistleblowers and prosecute executives of companies that willfully violate the law.” In other words, she opposed a bill that would help her agency do its job in holding these companies accountable and deterring these dangerous abuses in the future– this from the person responsible for making sure we are protected from these very practices. Just imagine a District Attorney opposing legislation making his/her job easier to catch and prosecute the bad guy!

This legislation was precipitated by yet another recall in October of over half a million toys imported from China. Earlier we saw millions of other toys recalled for containing dangerous levels of lead and other safety problems. As if that weren’t enough to jump on the bandwagon and call for greater oversight and accountability, Ms. Nord completely missed the point, arguing instead that the latest recall came not for safety reasons, but simply because the contents violate the law. Huh?

Have the Bush free-marketeers gone so over the top that they don’t see that the public wants protection and deserves to be protected from dangerous products, especially those that harm their CHILDREN? Apparently not. Apparently the free-marketeers are so inflexible, so intractible, so unconcerned with the well-being of the people they are poisoning that they are even willing to so publicly condemn efforts to assure greater safety and protection of our people, and our children in particular.

If there are any Americans left who think this administration cares about them more than about big business and corporate profit, this should be the final nail in that coffin. This move toward even greater deregulation, greater unaccountability and responsibility to the public is straight out of the failed conservative ideology that the people are reacting to today. Bush’s dangerous and irresponsible commitment to ignore the public’s safety, heavens, our children’s safety, for the sake of corporate free- market is yet another example of his failed priorities and the failure of this administration to act in the best interests of the public he and his appointees are supposed to serve.

For the sake of our children and our planet we must change the dialogue and bring safety and responsibility back to the process. Our children deserve it and we must demand it. When an administration is reduced to such arrogance and misguided values so as to blatantly and publicly reject the safety of its people and its children, in particular, it is time to send them packing.

It isn’t the 1950’s anymore. We aren’t naive about what is going on in the world and in the world of mulit-national commerce. And even our youngsters today know the government isn’t necessarily there to protect them. It is now our job to insist that it do so.

The Fight for Barbara Boxer’s Senate Seat

Amidst the talk of the 2008 Senate races, Senator Barbara Boxer may be the most endangered incumbent in the class of 2010.

Polling came out this week finding that she narrowly trails Arnold Schwarzenegger in a projected matchup.

And now the health insurance industry has come up with a devilish scheme to prop up Arnold, increase their revenues by hundreds of millions of dollars, end the drive for genuine healthcare reform all in one fell swoop…with Boxer’s Senate seat being collateral damage in this scenario.

We’ll take a look below…cross-posted at daily kos, hence more background than Caliticsians might need!

It all hinges on the drive for health care reform in California.  There’s a fake debate going on right now, with insurers funding both sides.  Governor Arnold’s proposal is to require individuals to purchase expensive, wasteful, private insurance products.  Some Democrats in the legislature are countering with a proposal to force employers to purchase these same products.

Really, what’s not for insurers to like?

And now we are presented with a strange political kabuki between these two proposals.  Advocates on both sides are bashing the other-with arguments that would apply exactly equally to their own proposal.

So yesterday, in a bit of Capitol irony, Schwarzenegger’s health care plan was heard on Halloween-and it is scary and full of treats for insurance donors.  The charge that the legislators made against his plan?  It’s unaffordable!  But their counter-plan, for so-called employer mandates, is just as bad.  That’s the system we have now, but more.  And it’s a recipe out-of-control premiums, rising co-pays and deductibles, and an entire industry devoted to denial of care.  In short, we’d have the healthcare crisis we already do. 

We don’t know the third act of this drama.  But since the sides aren’t really too far apart, there’s a good chance that Schwarzenegger will compromise, look like a conquering hero, bring fake healthcare reform to California, and be all set up to turn the wonderful Barbara Boxer out of the Senate in 2010, with full complicity of a number of legislators who are heavy on the payroll of the big insurance corporations. 

George Skelton, dean of the California press, doesn’t think so, but neither he nor I are privy to the planning sessions that the insurers have convened between Arnold and their Democratic allies. 

The sad part is that after the legislature passed a guaranteed healthcare, single-payer bill last year, Arnold set the terms of this year’s debate by vetoing it.  Now the Capitol insiders are running around saying, “let’s get something, anything done so we look good.”  Malinda Markowitz, RN, a member of CNA/NNOC’s Council of Presidents, takes on this argument, saying:

Sadly, the main beneficiaries of a rushed “compromise” will be the same insurance companies that created the present crisis. They would harvest millions of new customers, with the government using its power and the public purse to further an insurance industry that will continue to be able to profiteer and deny care.
We don’t have to turn just to Massachusetts to see an example of how this can lead to disastrous public policy. A decade ago, the same “consensus” pushed the hurried passage of energy deregulation. That was followed by blackouts, skyrocketing energy costs for consumers, financial calamity for the state, and open thievery by Enron and other energy corporations.
Californians should demand that legislators pull the plug before we plunge into another disaster.

And in case we needed it, here’s one more reason to fight for genuine healthcare reform on the single-payer model: nearly two million veterans, who already face a number of challenges, have no coverage at all.  That’s just not right.

California (kinda) hearts Hillary

She continues to hold big leads in the primary race here, but that might change depends on what happens in Iowa and New Hampshire.  Field Poll (PDF) results here. You’ll find all the typical numbers there, she has  45% to Obama’s 20 and Edwards’ 11. (Dem Race Field Poll) But today’s Field Poll release was slightly different, more focused on Hillary, and uses data from back in the Clinton era to track her.  There’s some interesting points there.

Most pointedly, Bill Clinton is really, really popular here. Always was, and always will be. Even during the dark days during the impeachment era, he was still clocking in at 54, 55 percent overall, and today he’s still at that 57% mark. Hillary, occasionally strays below that magical 50% mark. She’s at 48-39 Favorable now, but her peak was only at 55-39 in October 1999. More over the flip.

In the Chronicle, Carla Marinucci takes an interesting tack, questioning her ability to win the state:

That means Clinton, in order to carry the state, has “a more limited playing field than other candidates would have … she almost has to write off at least a third of the voters who are unlikely to vote for her,” DiCamillo said. “No other candidates have this kind of solidification of negative votes.” (SF Chron 11/1/07)

One thing is clear, however, it would take a minor miracle to defeat Hillary, or frankly, any Democratic presidential candidate in November 2008 in California. As much as Rudy thinks he puts California in play, he’s wrong. California is not in play, especially with the scary group of neocons that Rudy is surrounding himself with these days.

But the Clinton name still means something for people on both sides. It means there is a clear third of people that will never vote for her. But a third does not an election win. Hillary has a lot going for her; she’s a formidable candidate. The question in my mind is are we willing to settle for more of Joe Lieberman’s games or can we finally turn the page towards a brighter, non-dynastic, future?

Writer’s Strike All But Certain

I like to say that I work in the last big manufacturing industry left in America – entertainment production.  That manufacturing may be grinding to a halt soon.

With the clock running out on the contract between Hollywood’s writers and producers Wednesday, negotiators made little progress toward a new deal, and both sides prepared for a strike that could begin as early as Friday.

Representatives of the two unions – the Writers Guild of America East and the Writers Guild of America West – met with bargainers for the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers Wednesday morning after a federal mediator helped jump-start the stalled talks.

But the two sides broke off talks Wednesday night, allowing the contract to expire at midnight. Writers had presented freshly drawn proposals that left their principal demands intact, according to a guild leader, and producers made no immediate move to accommodate them.

There really has been no progress throughout the talks.  Writers want a greater share of DVD residuals (they didn’t see that revenue stream coming during the last contract), a deal on new media payments like digital downloads, and an expansion of collective bargaining to cover reality and nonfiction shows.

This could have a ripple effect throughout the industry, with productions shutting down.  They’ve front-loaded a lot of their programming and endeavored to shoot as much as possible in anticipation of the strike.  It’s pretty clear that’s what’s going to happen.  Next year, the Director’s Guild of America and the Screen Actors Guild have contracts that end in June, which would really cripple the industry.  It appears that the studios would rather placate them and play hardball with the writers, as contract talks with directors are already ongoing.

There is unfortunately no cross-union partnership in Hollywood, in fact there’s quite a bit of animosity between some of them.  We are probably looking at a protracted walkout, without the other unions coming to their aid.  And in a city where one out of every three employees in the industry are out of work on any given day, it’s hard to incentivize mass action and non-union solidarity.  You can be easily replaced.

Stay tuned…

SF: What needs to happen next Halloween

Castro halloweenI strolled through the Castro last night (don’t even ask about the costume) and was, well, somewhat horrified. Not from the scary costumes or the violence ravaging the streets, but from the streams and streams of police patrolling the streets and the general malaise of the crowd.  Was there any violence? Well, no. But there was also, as the Home for Halloween campaign so visibly pointed out, there was no fun either.  Shops boarded up their windows with metal and plywood (see picture), as if they expected looting and garbage trucks through their window. This was not my city. Not the city of liberation that people have flocked to for so long. And most definitely not the San Francisco that I want to see in the future.

A brief recap to inform those not from the City. In the last two years there have been a number of violent incidents. There was a stabbing a couple of years ago, and some shootings last year.  It was clear that something needed to be changed. I cannot fault the Mayor, the Police, or Supervisor Dufty for wanting to do something. Last year was a baby step towards canceling the event, the streets were swept at 11PM (!?) and people told to leave before  the party had already started, and that’s when the violence began. So, there were clearly two choices: (A) Shut down the event or (B) Work to make it safer using known crowd control techniques. Clearly (A) has the effect of limiting violence and protecting the community, but couldn’t we do the same with (B) without losing the revenue and visibility for the City that Halloween brings?

Look, it is plainly possible to have a big Halloween party in a largely gay residential neighborhood, we need look no further than New York City to see how that should happen. They’ve been doing it for 34 years now, and once again it was successful. To say it can’t be done is misleading at best. Do we face different challenges than NYC? Sure. But can we have a safe event? Of course, we have to.

The long-term effects of telling people to stay away from our city for One Halloween might be minimal. We’ll likely recover from the lost revenue and the City spending to put hundreds, if not over a thousand, cops in the Castro. But we cannot continue to cower in fear of our own shadow. Of people who come here from outside of the City to harass the LGBT community. Our community is stronger than that, our City is stronger than that. So, over the flip is just one man’s opinion, my own, formed with the help of many community leaders on this issue, on how we could do this better next year.

Even Supervisor Dufty realizes that we cannot repeat what happened this year again next year:

“Next year it’s on a Friday,” said Supervisor Bevan Dufty, whose district includes the Castro and who crusaded to close the neighborhood to partiers after nine people were shot last year. “And there is no way that Halloween on a Friday is going to be a non-event. I have no illusion about that.

“In fact, I’ve already told the bars that I will not ask them to close next year.”(SF Chron 10.31.07) 

So, what do we do next year?

1) Have a parade.  SF Pride is one of the biggest LGBT pride events, if not the biggest, in the world. And yet it is safe every year. Sure, some hecklers come to protest the “agenda” but the party moves on with some strange costumes, even.  Why does this happen so smoothly? Well, it turns out, that parades are great crowd control events. They move people away from congested residential neighborhoods and into big park type areas.

2) Have a great big Venue at the end with entertainment. If this is beginning to sound more and more like SF Pride, that is no accident.  While there are certainly problems with Pride, they pale in comparison with Halloween. Why? Because people have stuff to do. It’s when people get bored and confused that bad stuff happens. So, take the Civic Center and make it into a party zone. It is what happens in New York City. The party begins in the Village, a residential neighborhood, and moves them away from that area. In our case, while the route would be long and hilly, the Civic Center seems the logical endpoint. That detail can be changed, but somebody is going to have to get over the NiMBYism for one evening.

3) Light up the night. This is just basic event planning, but darkness breeds bad stuff.

I welcome additional strategies and suggestions.  I love this city, and I want it to be as special as it should be. As it really is.

October 31, 2007 Blog Roundup and Open Thread

Today’s Blog Roundup is on the flip. I’m experiencing some ennui this evening, so it’s just a link dump. Let me know what I missed in comments, or just use this as an open thread.

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