I’ve been saving the changes in registration differences in the competitive districts that I track in my regular registration number updates. Here I will show the changes in registration going from the last numbers before the 2008 election to the latest numbers released a few days ago. Here they are in tabulated form. And for the congressional districts, in addition to the 8 Obama-Republican districts, I tossed in CA-04, because the House race there was very close in spite of the considerable Republican advantage in registration and the presidential race, and CA-46, the district of McCain’s closest win of the 11 McCain districts and the only one that he won with less than 50%.
Cross-posted at Swing State Project .
Numbers are over the flip.
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS
District
10-08 DIFF
02-09 DIFF
03-09 DIFF
05-09 DIFF
CA-03
R+2.19%
R+1.93%
R+1.91%
R+1.85%
CA-04
R+14.88%
R+14.68%
R+14.64%
R+14.69%
CA-24
R+6.40%
R+6.13%
R+6.04%
R+5.99%
CA-25
R+2.37%
R+1.68%
R+1.63%
R+1.52%
CA-26
R+5.57%
R+4.96%
R+4.92%
R+4.83%
CA-44
R+8.25%
R+7.52%
R+7.68%
R+7.77%
CA-45
R+4.60%
R+3.98%
R+3.99%
R+4.27%
CA-46
R+12.16%
R+11.79%
R+11.57%
R+11.47%
CA-48
R+16.12%
R+15.78%
R+15.46%
R+15.37%
CA-50
R+9.20%
R+8.90%
R+8.98%
R+8.87%
STATE SENATE DISTRICTS
District
10-08 DIFF
02-09 DIFF
03-09 DIFF
05-09 DIFF
SD-04
R+11.11%
R+11.05%
R+11.05%
R+11.10%
SD-12
D+13.92%
D+14.32%
D+14.37%
D+14.66%
SD-16
D+16.21%
D+16.53%
D+16.46%
D+16.49%
SD-18
R+16.01%
R+15.70%
R+15.67%
R+15.74%
SD-22
D+43.91%
D+44.21%
D+44.24%
D+44.35%
SD-24
D+31.96%
D+32.46%
D+32.39%
D+32.59%
SD-34
D+8.18%
D+8.63%
D+9.24%
D+9.39%
SD-36
R+17.49%
R+17.11%
R+17.19%
R+17.12%
SD-40
D+16.13%
D+16.84%
D+16.94%
D+17.07%
STATE ASSEMBLY DISTRICTS
District
10-08 DIFF
02-09 DIFF
03-09 DIFF
05-09 DIFF
AD-03
R+5.44%
R+5.37%
R+5.34%
R+5.45%
AD-05
R+1.23%
R+0.89%
R+0.87%
R+0.87%
AD-07
D+28.72%
D+29.11%
D+29.09%
D+29.09%
AD-09
D+37.61%
D+37.89%
D+37.93%
D+37.99%
AD-10
R+0.43%
R+0.11%
R+0.07%
D+0.01%
AD-15
D+3.96%
D+4.45%
D+4.51%
D+4.57%
AD-20
D+28.16%
D+28.43%
D+28.48%
D+28.44%
AD-21
D+20.26%
D+20.32%
D+20.39%
D+20.52%
AD-23
D+32.24%
D+32.39%
D+32.32%
D+32.29%
AD-25
R+5.51%
R+5.48%
R+5.46%
R+5.51%
AD-26
D+2.31%
D+2.76%
D+2.82%
D+2.83%
AD-30
D+9.81%
D+9.89%
D+9.65%
D+9.69%
AD-31
D+14.62%
D+15.12%
D+15.23%
D+15.30%
AD-33
R+4.81%
R+4.83%
R+4.86%
R+4.77%
AD-35
D+19.86%
D+20.26%
D+20.29%
D+20.34%
AD-36
R+0.05%
D+0.83%
D+0.91%
D+1.18%
AD-37
R+5.95%
R+5.62%
R+5.54%
R+5.47%
AD-38
R+3.76%
R+3.21%
R+3.18%
R+3.06%
AD-47
D+53.60%
D+53.67%
D+53.66%
D+53.67%
AD-50
D+45.03%
D+45.68%
D+45.71%
D+45.87%
AD-63
R+3.11%
R+2.59%
R+2.45%
R+2.37%
AD-64
R+5.98%
R+5.35%
R+5.72%
R+6.03%
AD-65
R+4.54%
R+3.92%
R+3.94%
R+4.82%
AD-68
R+9.27%
R+8.89%
R+8.43%
R+8.36%
AD-70
R+13.94%
R+13.61%
R+13.30%
R+13.16%
AD-74
R+11.11%
R+10.74%
R+10.79%
R+10.65%
AD-75
R+9.23%
R+9.07%
R+9.17%
R+9.08%
AD-76
D+14.91%
D+15.16%
D+15.07%
D+15.09%
AD-78
D+10.97%
D+11.50%
D+11.55%
D+11.62%
AD-80
D+7.82%
D+8.63%
D+8.84%
D+9.09%
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Thanks for showing the change from the election.
AD-03 looks very interesting. It shows a dramatic change between 10/08 and 2/09. Did it really go from R+9.9 to R+4.4 in just 4 months?