Note: I will be on Angie Coiro’s Live From the Left Coast show tonight at 7 to talk about taxes. Listen live at Green 960 whether you’re listening on the air in SF or via the internet.
Earlier today David Dayen leveled his criticism of the Sacramento Democratic establishment for their apparent failure to produce an initiative to roll back the 2/3rds rule and start fixing California’s broken government.
Here I want to offer a slightly different perspective on the issue of what we need to do to win the battle. This isn’t a disagreement with David, but instead a discussion of something related – the question of how it is we win this battle.
My own views on this have evolved somewhat over the last 6 months. I very much think we need to be “making the argument” for majority rule, and that so far this hasn’t yet been done.
And the way that has to be done is to place the 2/3rds rule into a broader effort to emphasize progressive values. This is a twofold approach that requires us to do two things:
- Show Californians where progressives want to take them: Universal health care, free higher ed, eliminate traffic, create sustainable jobs, etc. Articulate our end goals and get people excited about them, since it’s hard to excite people about procedural questions.
- Show Californians how we want to get there. Go populist and hammer the shit out of the corporations and wealthy folks who benefit from the current tax structure, and push for sensible revenue solutions consonant with that populism that can achieve the promised goals.
I think that to emphasize the procedural problems (the 2/3rds rule) before emphasizing the fundamental injustice and inequality of our tax code is to put the cart before the horse. If we are going to reverse the polling and win this, we need to first mobilize Californians behind the notion that our state’s economic problems and our inability to properly fund schools or healthcare or parks or transit is because we are letting those with the money escape their obligations.
The PPIC and Binder polls (the one from the May 19 election) have both shown the public is willing to support certain taxes to preserve important services. So the move should be to push hard for an oil severance tax to fund schools, or closing corporate tax loopholes to expand Healthy Families, or to jack up taxes on the wealthy (particularly taxing unearned income) to bring down higher ed tuition, or something to that effect.
Dems should plan to move these things in the next legislative session and spend several weeks beforehand making this argument. Back Republicans up against a wall, make them defend the unpopular tax breaks for the unpopular bandits that have ruined out economy. And when the Republicans predictably use the 2/3rds rule to block those revenue solutions, then we will be in a much better position to win public support for majority vote on revenue.
We will have the opportunity over the next 12 months to move on this strategy, especially as outrage builds over the existing cuts. That outrage is not about process, but about the basic values of this state being violated and cast aside in order to enable the wealthy to get tax breaks at the expense of everyone else.
There are some folks in Sacramento who seem to get this. Lt. Gov. and future Congressman John Garamendi has been calling for an oil severance tax to fund higher education.
I know that leads some to criticize “ballot box budgeting” and argue that dedicating specific taxes to specific services doesn’t help the problems with the general fund. I have always been much less critical of ballot box budgeting than others, partly because I see it as a necessary holding action until we resolve Prop 13 itself.
But more fundamentally, we need to overturn 30 years of anti-tax rhetoric that has sank very deeply into the minds of many Californians, including those who otherwise call themselves progressive. One of the core tenets of the anti-tax mentality is the notion that government would just waste new revenues. Public hostility to dumping money into the general fund is significant.
So what we have to do is rehabilitate the notion of using taxes to provide services. Californians need to see the connection between low taxes and failing schools, jammed roads, a lack of health care, and a lack of jobs. And they need to see that it is Republicans that are blocking those things from getting done, by the 2/3rds rule.
The only reason anyone in America knows about “reconciliation” in the Senate, or the “mark-up” process, or even the “filibuster” is because those things stand in the way of key progressive goals. Those Senate procedures have screwed us and have needed to be eliminated for a long time, but only when they stood in the path of something people wanted did awareness rise.
In short, we are not going to win this if it is framed as a procedural problem, or even as a way to fix a broken state. We win the majority vote by enfolding it within a broader narrative and a broader campaign that uses progressive populism to beat the stuffing out of the large corporations and their allies in the Republican Party, in the service of clear goals that people actively and strongly desire.
You can artfully frame the debate however you want. You can go small-bore at the outset. Headline: nobody in Sacramento wants to help you. Indeed, they’ll claim they’ve already done this with oil taxes last year.
You have one audience for these remarks – the chairman of the CDP. And he’s made his decision.
I walk precincts all the time and talk to voters. They know so little about government, it’s scary.
I think most believe the “waste, fraud, and abuse” canard and see the 2/3s rule as something that keeps their taxes low.
Until they can understand how funding the state helps them and their children, they will resist any procedural changes.
Tom McClintock is a full-on right wing nut job. And he supports an end to the 2/3 rule. His reasoning is that once a party passes a budget, they own it. They may take credit for the successes and blame for the failures. With the 2/3 vote, there is no sense of responsibility.
He believes that a majority vote of the budget will be the beginning of the end for Democratic rule (or Democrat rule in his lexicon) in California. He is delusional, but his logic can be played to Republicans to some effect. If the GOP must defend on their own turf, we stand a much better chance.
Remember at NN09 when I said we needed a 58 county strategy? Let’s take back the entire state.
I would amend David’s reply (you. don’t. have. a. partner.) to say that what we don’t have is an organization to lead the campaign, and a campaign is what we need to build in order to win majority rule in California.
The California Democratic Party is not going to lead this campaign, they are focused on training, election protection, and fundraising for ongoing operations and future campaigns.
Democratic legislators are not going to lead this campaign. They’ve amply demonstrated their total lack of imagination, guts and commitment to anything except fiddling in the margins to protect a few services at best, and craven caving to Republicans at worst. They’re far too fearful to create and manage the dramatic shift in tactics necessary to swing the focus toward a proactive campaign to set a new course for our State. We can prattle on all day about what they should do in the next legislative session, but. it’s. not. going. to. happen.
The unions are not going to lead this campaign, they are far too fractured and focused on specific issues affecting each individually to initiate common cause for a grand scale reaffirmation of the common good in government.
Repair California and the Bay Area Council do not support a truly progressive agenda.
Courage Campaign has excellent mobilization capacity but has so far not provided comprehensive leadership on behalf of the California commons. It appears the CC will not lead this campaign.
Who’s left to create a campaign? That would be the ground troops, us. We are the operatives. We know how to run campaigns on the ground and online.
What to do? That is, how to build the campaign and win?
0.1 Gather small group of progressive grassroots/netroots leaders and allies together to develop the following:
1. State the overall mission and a series of specific objectives in support of the mission.
2. Assess the political landscape for assets and deficits, opportunities and pitfalls.
3. Draft a compelling and believable plan to achieve the objectives describing steps to take, who can do them and when to take them (in conjunction with 4. below).
4. Prepare three draft budgets, a) seat of the pants, b) moderate and c) solid.
5a. Raise funds from immediate friends for shoestring budget and get started on campaign.
5b. Fundraise for budget options b and/or c.
6. Keep running campaign, make adjustments as needed.
Nothing new here, but it doesn’t happen unless somebody steps up to do it. If we are the ones wishing for it, why don’t we be the ones to do it?
If we build the campaign well, our partners will show up.