All posts by AmericanRiverCanyon

CA-04 Gen Clark and Charlie Brown, 7 photos in September

506 Clark/Brown

Brown08 Sept 4, 2008. left to right, General Wesley Clark, Tim Burke of Cottage Housing,Carol and Duane Zanon of GOHC, Dana Hendrickson of Rebuild Hope, Charlie Brown, as Charlie presents his second charity contribution for the Promises Kept Veterans Charity Challenge on Sept 4, 2008 in Roseville, CA.

“We always hear about candidates spending money to communicate their campaign promises,” Brown said.  “I think it’s high time we had a few who invested a little money in keeping them.”

“Among other things, Charity Challenge funds are helping to house and feed the homeless, connect at-risk veterans with earned benefits and healthcare services, and to prevent disabled Iraq and Afghanistan vets from falling through the cracks during tough economic times,” Brown said.  

The Brown campaign donated $30,000 total to 3 different charities,Cottage Housing, the Greater Oroville Homeless Coalition, and Rebuild Hope. The recipients were determined by online polling.

http://www.cottagehousing.org Cottage Housing Inc. “home to a brighter future.”

http://home.comcast.net/~gohc/… Greater Oroville Homeless Coalition. “Helping Families One at a time.”

http://www.rebuildhope.org Rebuild Hope. “Americans taking care of their own.”

“It’s important to call attention to the challenges war fighters and their families face when they come home.  However if history has taught us anything, it’s that we can’t let the conversation end there, and too often it does,” Brown said.  “The Promises Kept program is about bringing people together to keep that dialogue going and take action, because we can all be part of the solution here in our community.”

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499 Speakers

Brown08 Speakers Joshua Steward, Gen Clark, Don Harper,Chairperson of Veterans for Brown, Tim Burke, Carol Zanon.  What you can’t see here is that it is over a hundred degrees in the sun this afternoon and that even I have a water bottle tucked in a pocket to pour on myself or anybody if it gets too intense.  The audience was under a shade shelter, but I think this park could use a few trees.

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0514_2 Lincoln Dems

9/4/8LincDem   The Lincoln Area Democratic Club is Fired Up and Ready to Go. Imagine the shock of the commuter traffic returning home Thursday evening the night of the RNC convention and seeing this at the busiest intersection in town.  I had to stop and talk to them and take their picture after I saw this driving back from seeing Gen Clark and Charlie Brown in Roseville at the Veterans Charity Presentation.  This view was taken from the median. The reaction from the drivers was interesting. Some honked enthusiastically, and I could tell some were slightly less enthusiastic but didn’t want to be caught being unpolite.

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0531 Care packages

Brown08 Friday Morning Sept 5, 2008. Democrats at Work and General Wesley Clark graciously assist us in making care packages to send to Marines deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan. What an energetic crowd, the room was humming !

The donated items were sorted out onto tables and then the boxes were passed around to be filled.  (Note the famous disco ball on the ceiling of the Historic Roseville Opera House.)

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0528  

9/5/8BrnClkRv Filling the boxes

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9/5/08BrnClkRv  Writing letters of support to put in the care packages.  I was fortunate to catch this. There was no big announcement, I just noticed a few people looking over at the corner and went over to see that Gen. Clark and Charlie were also writing letters along with the rest of us.

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0539 ThomasBates

9/5/8BrnClkRv   Thomas Bates of Democrats at Work. They partner up with different organizations needing volunteers and help organize.   He says he’s trying to change the way people engage in politics. Look how tidied up they’ve got the room already after our project!

And that’s what we’re doing during the other convention. Anybody care to join us ?

Here is Charlie Brown’s website:  http://www.charliebrownforcong…

Saturday morning September 6th is another Day of Action for canvassers and phone bankers. Roseville, Auburn, Placerville, Grass Valley, Oroville, and now Truckee all will have offices. http://www.charliebrownforcong…

Charlie Brown also should be at the Gold Country Fair up in Auburn Saturday afternoon Sept 6 after 2 pm.

(photos by diary author. turning Northern California blue one pixel at a time )

CA-04 No Water Behind That Dam

 In a previous diary about our local Republican candidate’s “energy policy,” called “Shale,”  I pointed out that Tom McClintock was wrong about how much the cheapest electricity costs per kilowatt hour, saying it was 6 times cheaper than it actually is.  Crazy Tom ignores the facts of energy production cost and finance.  Crazy Tom has had  plenty of time to correct this, but, being a NeoCon Republican, he won’t, and he keeps on repeating this.  He changed the original version on his official website to an “error, not found” page, but he keeps on repeating the ridiculous stuff in public speeches. Recently, Crazy Tom put the text of a speech he did last weekend August 23 in Grass Valley up on his website.  There he goes again, as Reagan would say.

Now let’s look at another part of it, his vision for the American River Canyon up in Auburn. Plug ‘n Flood it.

Confluence,ARC Confluence of the American River Canyon near Auburn.  This would go underwater if the Dam was built downstream. photo by diary author

Of course, being Crazy Tom, he doesn’t even give the text a title that has anything to do with the subject.

http://blog.tommcclintock.com/…

And of course, being Crazy Tom, he might decide to disappear it. So hear’s another version off a Republican blog.

http://www.redcounty.com/place…

Here’s an excerpt from that McClintock speech about the Auburn Dam:


{{{ …..But that’s just part of the damage they’ve done to American energy independence.  We Californians are already paying the highest electricity rates in the continental United States – and the utilities have just filed for another rate increase.

The cleanest and cheapest possible way to produce electricity is from our dams.  Hydroelectricity costs about 1 1/2 cents per kilowatt-hour (compared to 28-cents for solar energy).  At 1 ½ cents per kilowatt-hour, your average household electricity bill should come to about $90 – per year.

Meanwhile, water rationing now threatens our region although we have the most abundant water resources in the nation.

And yet, a short distance from here is the site of the Auburn Dam.  The footing was carved for that dam more than 30 years ago, but it was suspended because of opposition from people like Charlie Brown.

The Auburn Dam would generate 800 megawatts of the cleanest and cheapest electricity on the planet – enough for nearly a million families.  And it would conserve 2.3 million acre feet of water – enough for more than two million families.  And all this at a time when we can’t guarantee enough electricity to keep your air conditioner running or enough water to keep your lawn green.

And yet Charlie Brown has vowed to block the development of this vital local resource that promises both cheap electricity and abundant water for the people of this region.  }}}}  

~~~~~~~ Tom McClintock the month before, on July 21, 2008, to the State Water Resources Board.   Tom never got the memo that the Auburn Dam project is dead.   http://www.tommcclintock.com/p…


{{{ This dam has been stalled for nearly 40 years by inexhaustible waves of litigation, political wrangling and changing regulations.  It is not a lack of diligence that prevents completion of the Auburn Dam – it is rather an abundance of delay and dilatory tactics that your board can either cut through or add to. ……

The practical effect of your decision will be to maintain the option of the Auburn Dam or to further delay and complicate its ultimate completion.

The Auburn Dam means 2.3 million acre feet of water storage at a time when Californians are already facing the prospect of growing droughts.  

The Auburn Dam means 600 to 800 megawatts of clean and cheap electricity – enough for nearly a million households — at a time when Californians are already paying the highest electricity prices in the United States.

The Auburn Dam means 200 to 400 -year flood protection in a region whose levees are in perilous condition. }}}

___ end of Crazy Tom on the Auburn Dam. Sigh. No, Tom. The government engineers did studies. The American River does not have that much water in it. This is all wrong. You’re reading off of Doolittle’s old campaign brochures.    

Notice how Crazy Tom has increased the potential Megawatt generating capacity of his fantasy dam in his Grass Valley Speech.  This is because he doesn’t comprehend that hydro electrical generation is seasonal and will depend on how much WATER is available in the entire river system. In other words, if you have a dam rated as having the ability to make 600 megawatts of electricity, that’s the largest amount of electricity it can generate at the peak flow of water, the average amount made will be smaller.  This does not deter Crazy Tom.  The number gets bigger every speech.  He’s at 800.  How high will he go?

The problem with the design of Auburn Dam is that the water that the Auburn Daminites were planning on using to make zap juice was already being used downstream to generate power at Folsom Dam.   This means that if you withhold a lot of water upstream at another dam you may not have enough water to release to keep the dam reservoir downstream full enough to generate electricity all the time.   We have an erratic climate.  Some years it is too wet, some years too dry. The climate trend long term seems to be heading towards drier.  Oh, I forgot. Crazy Tom doesn’t believe in weather forecasting. Oh, well.    

And who are the “Luddites”  who had to tell Crazy Tom that the Auburn Dam is dead, again ? The Engineers? The Environmentalists?  No.    The California Sportfishing Protection Alliance !   http://www.calsport.org/7-25-0…  Yes, even Bass Fishing Bubba has had enough of the  Crazy Tom McClintock types who say DAM DAM DAM when they aren’t singing DRILL DRILL DRILL.    The California Sportfishing Protection Alliance (CSPA)  knows that No Water In the Rivers = No More Fish.

In a nutshell, CSPA testified the Bureau of Reclamation should give up the water rights to American River water for the Auburn Dam Project because they had not DONE anything with it since they got it in 1970.  That’s because when the original Auburn Dam was designed, it was not known at that time that the Dam site was directly over a series of 4 Earthquake Faults called the Foothills Fault Complex.   A 6.1 magnitude Earthquake in Northern California in 1975 originating near the massive Oroville Dam farther north,  prompted another look at the Auburn site.   Trying to build a dam over an earthquake fault means that the dam has to be redesigned to withstand….. earthquakes.  This makes it very expensive.  

We’re talking 4 million acre feet of water storage and diversion rights. Crazy Tom and John hardly know how to quit that.  

the CA Sport Fishing Alliance:

{{{  The entire State Water Board will review the testimony and evidence and render a final decision. We have a great hearing record and I suspect the Board will have great difficultly in not revoking the Bureau’s water rights. Upon revocation, that water will revert to the state and other applicants can apply for it. However, any new water rights granted would have to consider the present degradation of fisheries and water quality and be conditioned on the protection of the public trust.    }}}

OMG! What is happening to the water!  Well, back in 1999, the Bureau of Reclamation and the Placer County Water Agency started to plan a permanent water intake pumping station on the Middle fork of the American River just 150 feet upstream of the old Auburn Dam site.  http://www.epa.gov/fedrgstr/EP…    The reason they wanted to do this was that there was a temporary pump to suck water out of the river, but they had to move the thing UP and DOWN every single spring and fall because of the winter rainy season,  and this cost money, up to a MILLION DOLLARS annually, and it was stupid.

This year, in March 2008, 9 years after wishing and 4 years after starting building,  they finally got the the Permanent Pump Station completed so they can permanently suck water out of the river as needed….  what a concept.   (Auburn Journal, March 11, 2008, Placer County declares American River pump station complete)


{{{  The pump station’s completion is considered by the agency as restoration of a “missing link” in its water delivery system. The agency’s previous pump station was removed more than 30 years ago when the federal government planned to build the Auburn dam.

The new facility will allow the Placer County Water Agency to pump up to 35,500 acre-feet of water a year to growing western Placer County.   }}}  

In other words, the pump sucks water out of the American River in Auburn, before it flows into Folsom Lake reservoir, where the city of Folsom also uses river water.  Western Placer County has had growth.  El Dorado county has had growth. Sacramento County has had growth. The county supervisors of all areas push growth.  They’re all using river water to drink and irrigate. This is what the newly restored river channel and pump area look like:

River The American River back in its channel as it passes thru the old Auburn Dam footings site, with its new water intake station and raft/kayak bypass photo by author

http://auburnjournal.com/detai…

Now, who was at the ceremony? Ardent Auburn Dam advocate and downstream levee maintenance funding slacker Republican Representative John Doolittle, current Congressperson for CA- 04.  5/28/08 Auburn Journal,  “Doolittle, restored river get star treatment at pump plant dedication”


{{{ The $75 million project, a 13-year effort led by the (Placer County Water) agency and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, provides a reliable, year-round water flow of up to 64.5 million gallons a day for western Placer County.  

A river restoration component built into the project has opened a stretch of the river from the confluence to the upstream reaches of Folsom reservoir that has been closed to the general public since Auburn dam construction was taking place in the 1970s.  …….

Doolittle urged a crowd of 150 sprinkled with local elected officials to aggressively fight to maintain water rights for an Auburn dam. He said that the dam will be built – after a catastrophic flood occurs in the Sacramento area.

“The time will come,” Doolittle said. “And if we don’t have the water rights, we’re dead.”  }}}  

So it’s not like the Republicans don’t KNOW that the Auburn Dam Is Dead.  They just exist in a parallel universe away from the rest of us.   But the Baton Has Been Passed. Doolittle used the Dead Dam to campaign.  McClintock uses the Dead Dam to Campaign.   Think about this.  They wish the state capitol of  Sacramento to suffer a Katrina type flood event.  Then their real estate developer friends can finally get lakeside property.  I’ve heard Doolittle repeat this before in person, so it didn’t shock me.  

Now, from the front page of Thursday’s Sacramento Bee:

http://www.sacbee.com/101/stor…

“Folsom Mandates Tough Water Saving Rules”


{{{   Folsom on Wednesday ordered the Sacramento region’s toughest water conservation yet to deal with a worsening drought: mandatory rules to cut water use by 20 percent.

The measures are the most drastic Folsom has adopted since at least the last statewide drought, in the early 1990s, and perhaps even longer. And they reflect a growing sense that the drought now gripping California will get much worse before it eases.

Folsom has about 19,500 customers and is entirely dependent on water stored in Folsom Lake. On July 25, city officials learned that the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation would cut deliveries from the shrinking lake by 25 percent.

The state Department of Water Resources previously indicated that even normal weather this winter will not completely refill California reservoirs, meaning prudence may be needed for some time.

“Without a wet winter, we’ll be seeing a lot more of this next year and more stringent conditions,” Woodling said.

There’s little reason, so far, to expect relief this winter.

Long-range predictions by the National Weather Service, based on computer modeling, show no evidence of a wet winter. There also is no suggestion of either El Niño or La Niña conditions, which often bring drenching rains.

“It looks like the prognosticators are afraid to touch California right now,” said Kelly Redmond, deputy director of the weather service’s Western Regional Climate Center in Reno. “It’s too darn difficult.”

Folsom Lake held 308,000 acre-feet on Wednesday. That’s about 30 percent of capacity and about half of the historical average for August.

Over the past month, the lake has lost about 45,000 acre-feet and dropped in elevation by 7 feet due to demand.

Folsom buys its water – about 27,000 acre-feet per year – from the Bureau of Reclamation via Folsom Lake. The city learned in July it would be unable to tap into an additional 3,000 acre-feet from the lake.

Folsom has the second-greatest per capita water consumption in the capital region: 381 gallons per day. That’s more than double the statewide per capita average of 164 gallons per day.}}}  

•••• summary

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This is one of the reasons the residents of Folsom are worried about people like Tom McClintock.  They depend on Folsom Dam Lake for their drinking and irrigation water.  Yet Crazy Tom is going around saying that we should all pretend a multi- billion dollar dam upstream not only would not cost anything  and not increase any statewide or local tax obligation, but it would be able to provide water for 2 million more families.  Let’s say that they are 4 person families, 2  adults and 2 kids, even tho the area demographic average is about 3 people per family unit.  So that would be 8 million more people.

Yet right now, after 2 years of winters where the area got 14″ of rain, and then 20″ of rain, during the wet seasons,  the Folsom Dam Lake, located downstream of Crazy Tom’s fantasy hydro project,  is so low already before September that they are having to restrict water usage for the towns depending on it.

Water for the City of Folsom:  Folsom Lake had 308,000 acre feet of water left in it this week.  When it’s full, it holds about a million acre- feet. An acre foot is what it sounds like- an acre of land covered by a foot of water.  An acre is roughly the size of a foothball field.

19,500 customers

27,000 acre feet per year

1.38 acre feet per unit per year

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Crazy Tom’s World: Add 8 million customers and a Dam over the earthquake faults upstream of Folsom.

2,300,000 acre feet

2,000,000  more “families”

1.15 acre feet per family unit per year

Dude, that’s 7.46 times as much WATER THAN IS IN THE CURRENT LAKE DOWNSTREAM IN LATE SUMMER DURING A DRY YEAR.  Where Are You Planning To FInd The Water ?

Crazy Tom’s version of Auburn Dam Reservoir is twice as big as Folsom Dam’s Resevoir !  But he forgets the part about leaving some of the water in the river so there is a river ! And that river flows down the mountain and into the next dam reservoir and then onwards to the next….  until it meets and joins the Sacramento River in town.  

The other fact that Tom McClintock completely ignores is that his would be predecessor, John Doolittle, (R, Chevron, Not Yet Indicted ) commissioned a 1 million dollar Bureau of Reclamation study of the feasibility of the Auburn Dam project before the 2006 election.  Then he deliberately delayed the study being released until after the election.  The reason was that the study by the Bureau of Rec and the Army Corps of Engineers said the same thing :  The Auburn Dam, as designed in the late 1970’s, does not have enough river available consistently to be as large a project as some people wish for, if they want to keep enough water in Folsom Resevoir to run that project also.  One would be building a very expensive impoundment project that would not hold back that much water much of the year, because they’d have to drain it down to run the other Lake.

This is the short version of the technical report, which I have read.  It is available from the Bureau of Reclamation. Link to USBR with downloadable documents: http://www.usbr.gov/mp/ccao/do…

In 2006 dollars, an Auburn Dam was going to cost about 10 billion dollars.  This is because the dam site is complicated. The advocates never mention that the 1970’s design which had to replace the unworkable 1960’s design is also obsolete.  The thing would have to be re engineered again because of changes in how hydrology(water)  science is applied.    No matter how you finance this, it does not translate into a 1.5 cents per kilowatt hour, or $7.50 a month electric bills.  

January 31 2007 Auburn Journal “Dam Costs Skyrocket”    http://www.auburnjournal.com/d…

The reason is simple.


{{{ The total includes $2.09 billion for the actual concrete dam, $578 million for the power plant, $76 million for electric power transmission and a substation, $469 million for highway and road relocation, $79 million for site preparation and $904 million for contingencies. At the same time, the report says new land purchases above what has already been bought would amount to $2.3 billion. Mitigation costs would add another $1.5 billion to the cost of the dam.

/snip

While the dam’s initial 1963 cost-benefit analysis estimated hydroelectric power (the electricity)  would be worth about $6.5 million a year, the new study indicates that it would be worth between $53 million and $113 million. All estimates are in 2006 dollars.  }}}  

Imagine that one totally ignored the cost of the dam, left it out, and spent only spent 1.6 billion for a power generating plant. (Pretend the water just comes from somewhere)  Say it was to be paid off in 30 years for a total cost of 3.2 billion dollars.  Now, sell the electricity produced by this (ignoring the fact that you don’t really have enough water year round to generate those 800 Megawatts)  at the incredibly underpriced 1.5 cents per kilowatt hour, (when the real cost per kwatt hour now is about 8 to 10 cents an hour for the cheapest electricity)  and figure out how much some taxpayer is going to get stuck financing this welfare project for the Republican Party.

Ow, I made somebody’s head hurt there, didn’t I ?

Well, yes, but this is how the Republicans do this.  About a 100 million in revenues a year of electricity, multiplied times 30 years, = 3 billion, just completely ignore the price of the dam  and the price you’re selling the electricity for and the numbers … sorta work.  Just forget about the other 14 billion.  It doesn’t count.  Dams pay for themselves.  Just like the Iraq War. Right ?

The other lie that I wanted to point out about this is Crazy Tom’s assertion that having another Big Dam upstream therefore “protects” the levees downstream.  This ignores the fact that the river levees of any area must be constantly maintained, and that some sort of government authority must tax somebody and then appropriate the money to the Army Corps of Engineers to do the work.   Levees are under constant water wear in the winter rainy season, because the reservoirs upstream must release water flows.  The current Republican Congressperson of CA- 04, John Doolittle, has been in a very long battle with the city of Sacramento over levee maintenance funding, refusing to seek to appropriate funds for it unless it also included funds for restarting the construction of his pet project, the Auburn Dam Boondoggle.   Folsom Dam has also very badly needed a new spillway (for emergency overflow)  for a very long time.  In 2007 the USBR approved the environmental review of the plans,  and finally, in January of this year,  work began on Folsom Dam to make it better able to function during a bad winter storm.  In 2006 Gov. Schwarzenneger met with President Bush, attempting to get a federal disaster declaration and more federal funds for levees, and to put it bluntly, the state was rebuffed.   http://gov.ca.gov/press-releas…       A bond was put on the ballot and passed that November to fund flood control measures.  Levee repairs to the ones lining the riverbanks of Sacramento are still ongoing, and the needed upgrades to bring Sacramento’s Natomas basin area up to 100 year level flood protection may be done by the year 2011.

We should be asking ourselves why anyone in California would want to send Tom McClintock to Congress to replace John Doolittle, if he’s going to be just as foolish to put the state capital at risk again just to get some campaign money from real estate speculators.  This Auburn Dam project has been dead a long time. The area is now used for recreation. The canyon trees give us oxygen to breathe. The river fills the other lake.  Crazy Tom just didn’t get the message.  

CA-04 Protester Says McClintock=Deadbeat

0451_2  S.A. closeup

McClintock

Why is this man standing in front of the Placer County Republican (and McClintock’s Campaign HQ)  office building in Roseville last Saturday morning?

0449 distance, #2

8/23/8McCRose

Steven Arreguin, who says he worked for the PCRP this spring doing voter registration work and has not been paid for it, in front of the McClintock/PCRP offices on Eureka Rd in Roseville Saturday Aug 23.

August 23, 2008.

This past Saturday morning in Roseville, passerby could see a curious sight in front of Tom McClintock’s official campaign Headquarters located in the district he’s trying to take over. A set of Republican protesters.   This is the photo of the one with the catchy sign I snagged as I drove by.  I parked nearby and observed for awhile.  The man in the photo did ask if I were a reporter for [“x”] and I said no, sorry.

This building, at 1700 Eureka Rd, also is the headquarters of the Placer County Republican Party, which is chaired by Tom Hudson.  Since Tom McClintock, a southern Californian from Thousand Oaks in Ventura County, does not have an in- district office, they share.  A man physically resembling Tom Hudson came out and yelled at the protesters during that morning.  He did not sound…. pleased with their presence.  But they didn’t go away.

The man in the photo, whom was introducing himself to other people as Steven Arreguin, and did not act in the least bit camera shy, claims the Placer County Republican Party and its Executive Committee owe him and his friend Joshua Kregger (not pictured but name was also on a handout being distributed) money for work they performed doing voter registration drives.   They also claim other people have been paid for this work, but not them.  They also claim that a person from Tom McClintock’s campaign “stated he would work to get us paid, even if it means he would go out and do the fundraising himself.  That was 2 weeks ago, and we still have bills to pay”  and they have not gotten their money, according to them, they are owed $3000.

Since the handout mentioned 5 names total, I decided to study the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) financial filings for the Placer County GOP and McClintock campaigns to see what they showed.  I also discovered some interesting background on Mr Arreguin, who has been doing voter registration type activities for years.  

This is a press release from the Shasta County Clerk’s office dated January 7, 2008 of this year.   http://www.elections.co.shasta…


Cathy Darling, County Clerk, announced today Steven Arreguin, 33, of Marysville was convicted Friday, January 4 of negligently holding a Shasta County citizen’s voter registration for three weeks, instead of turning it in to the county registrar within three days, as required by law. Arreguin was convicted of one misdemeanor count of Elections Code 18103 and was sentenced to three year probation, five days of community service and ordered to pay $490 in fines.

Arreguin is a petition and voter registration circulator active in Northern California that was working in Shasta County securing petition signatures for the Davis Recall. In Spring of 2003, Arreguin turned in 139 voter registration cards to the Shasta Registrar that he had been holding for as long as three weeks.  An investigation by the Secretary of State’s Election Fraud Investigation Unit found that, in addition to being late, two of the 139 registrants lived in the Mayers Memorial Hospital District that had just held a Special Election on 06/17/03. By the time the county received the voter registrations for these two residents, the deadline to register for the Special Election had passed. As a result, the two would-be voters were disenfranchised from casting their ballots in this Special Election.

The office of Shasta County Registrar of Voters Cathy Darling first forwarded information about the late registrations to Secretary of State investigators in June 2003. At the time, Arreguin was under investigation for turning in late registrations in Placer County. He was subsequently convicted on 10/22/03 in the Placer case and sentenced to three years probation and ordered to pay $2700 in fines.

Shasta County District Attorney Jerry Benito originally charged Arreguin with two misdemeanor counts of Elections Code Section 18103, negligently interfering with transfer of affidavit to a county elections official in May of 2004. Arreguin pled guilty to one count on January 4, 2008 and the second count was dismissed. The delay between the filing of the charges and the plea of guilty was due to the arrest warrant being outstanding.

So, Steven Arreguin has been convicted twice of turning in late voter registrations, for activities:

in spring 2003 in Placer County, convicted, fined, probation Oct 2003

in spring 2003 in Shasta County, charged 2004, convicted, fined, probation Jan 2008

CA state election law requires the voter registration cards be turned in to the county registrar’s office in 3 days.   The InterMountain News of Burney CA, and a Redding newspaper also ran the January 2008 press release.  

Steven Arreguin was mentioned in an October 2007 Sacramento Bee story as a former assistant to a long time financial supporter of John Doolittle, R, named Ken Campbell, the former head of the Placer County Republicans.  Campbell, a Lincoln real estate developer and the world’s most frightening ex- dentist,  was at that point turning his attentions and efforts towards ditching the Abramoff scandal- plagued Doolittle and finding a less tainted Republican candidate for the CA- 04 district.  I remember reading that article at the time and being astonished that Ken Campbell thought he could hide his distinctive writing style by trying to pass his anti- Doolittle website off on a surrogate.  http://www.sacbee.com/111/stor…

It was in October of 2007 that other Republicans began admitting in public that they wished Doolittle would just quietly go away and not run again.  It must have been the subpoenas.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/…  

Have the Placer County Republicans paid Joshua Kregger any money before for voter registration? Yes. Here is a March 2008 FEC filing that shows he was paid $184 in February 2008. http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

In January 2008, he received 2 payments, $391  and $251.

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

In March 2008, Kregger recieved 3 payments, $172, $240, and $147 .  

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

In April, May, June, July 2008 I didn’t find any payments disbursed to either Arreguin or Kregger, although payments were being disbursed to others for “Voter Registration” .

Since a “Mrs Atterberry” was mentioned on the protest handout as having been paid to “process”  the registrations, therefore the protesters thought they should also be reimbursed,   I searched for her identity both as a politically involved Republican and as a person who was paid by either the Placer County Republicans or the McClintock campaign during this spring, or both.

On May 5, 2008, a “Karen Atteberry,” (one less “r” ) of Roseville was paid $500 by the Placer County Republicans for “administration support services. ”

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

The next month, June 5, 2008, Karen Atteberry, Roseville, was paid $120 , with the notation “see memo.”  (filings are made the subsequent month, so this is a July 2008 FEC document. )

Now look at this schedule H3 ( a detail of the different types of disbursements) for the same month.    http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

TRANSFERS FROM NONFEDERAL ACCOUNTS

ALLOCATED FEDERAL/NONFEDERAL ACTIVITY

FILING FEC-353502

Committee: PLACER COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY (FEDERAL ACCT.)

Name of Account

Placer County Republican Party

Date of Reciept:

06/03/2008

Total Amount Transferred:

3168.00

Administrative / Voter Drive

    Administrative / Voter Drive Amount: 3168.00

Name of Account

Placer County Republican Party

Date of Reciept:

06/05/2008

Total Amount Transferred:

4761.71

Name of Account

Placer County Republican Party

Date of Reciept:

06/18/2008

Total Amount Transferred:

1951.74

What does this mean?  It means, in June of 2008, The Placer County Republican Party was transferring thousands of dollars of money on June 3, June 5, and June 18 to pay Somebody or Something. $3168 was paid to Somebody to do Admininstrative/ Voter Drive activity.

Look at schedule H6 for same report, same month,June 2008

These people were paid for “Voter Registration Service” for a total of only $1327  

Jim Dwyer Roseville 6/9/08        $146

Jim Dwyer Roseville 6/9/08         $ 96

Jim Dwyer Roseville 6/3/08         $471

John Anderson Fair Oaks 6/12/08      $253

Jim Dwyer Roseville 6/3/08          $361

There is a nearly $2000 gap between what the grunt walkers are getting and what Somebody is getting reimbursed for on June 3 for Voter Registration Activity.

Look at the Summary Page for this report June 1 thru 30,  2008          http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

cash on hand  $7988

cash recieved  $9347

subtotal avail.    $17,336

_____________

Total disbursements    $14,721

cash on hand leftover    $2615

For the next month of July, 2008, the Summary Page says

 http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

CASH ON HAND    $5440

DISBURSEMENTS $4248

___________________

LEFTOVERS           $1191

So it does appear that the Placer County Republican Party has spent much, is still spending some, but is not receiving at this point.  Historically, this account has supported just 3 candidates:

Rep. John Doolittle (R, CA- 04)

Bill Jones, when he ran and lost for Senate

Tom McClintock (R, Thousand Oaks) running out of district to replace Doolittle

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…  

Steven Arreguin has been paid by the Placer County Republican Party in February 2006 for Voter Registration.    It can be found on Schedule H4 for Report FEC 217404, Disbursement for Allocated Federal/Nonfederal activity.   He would have been on probation from the first problem, since that conviction was in Oct of 2003, which was 2 years and 4 months back, leaving 8 months to go.

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…        This is an amended report filed 5/12/2006 ,  covering period 2/1/2006 thru 2/28/2006

PAYEE   STEVEN ARREGUIN

(former address. he has a lot of them )

CARMICHAEL CA 95608

Purpose of Disbursement:  Service for Voter Registration Prior to Date of Event =  2/23/2006

AMOUNT DISBURSED =  $756.00

Look who gave the Placer County Republican Party Committee money that month:

  http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

Ken W Campbell   Lincoln

Henry C Walther Granite Bay

John Doolittle for Congress    

Friends of Bruce Kranz

California Republican Party

(A Local Restaurant where they held meetings is listed as an equivalent donation)

Rep. John Doolittle and Ken Campbell, former deep pockets financial supporter, former employer of Steven Arreguin, had not yet officially become ex- very best friends at that point.  Doolittle went on to win his 2006 re election by a hair’s breath, winning by a few thousand votes over Democratic candidate Charlie Brown.   That fall- out  happened after April 2007, when the FBI raided Doolittle’s house in Oakton, VA, and Doolittle didn’t tell anyone about it for several days.

Was this payment to Arreguin a one- time deal? No.

AGAIN,  IN JAN 2006, Steven Arreguin was paid to do Voter Registration by the Placer County Republican Party.  (remember, Campbell is the former head of this group)

Look at Schedule H4, Disbursement for allocated federal/nonfederal activity  filing FEC – 203217  Placer County Republican Party Federal Acct

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

Payee:  Steven Arreguin

(former address )

Carmichael CA 95680

Purpose of disbursement:   Service for Voter Registration

Date of Event= 1//24/2006

Activity is Generic Voter Drive

Amount disbursed =  $864

There was also $1132.45 transfered to the PCRP account 1/7/06 for Admin. /Voter drive

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

During that same filing month of January, 2006, under receipts,  the Placer County Republican Party received 2 payments, $2500 and $5000, = $7500, from the Superior California PAC.   That is John Doolittle’s PAC.   They had total disbursements that month of $4302.

~~~~Conclusion~~~~

• So, what do we know? From examining the FEC financial filings for this organization, The Placer County Republican Party was paying at least one of the protestors, Josh Kregger,  in January, February, and March of this year, 2008, for “Voter Registration Drive” work.

•The Placer County Republican Party HAS paid a Karen Atteberry for “voter drive/ administrative” work.  Somebody not exactly specified is getting paid thousands of dollars for “administrative/voter”  work per the FEC filings.   Another consultant is getting paid thousands of dollars for GOTV “management.”

•The Placer County Republican Party HAS paid the man in the photo, Steven Arreguin, in previous years for the same type of work, but is not logging it officially this year. During January and February of 2006, Arreguin was paid by the Placer County Republican Party for “Voter Registration” while he was on probation for a conviction for voter registration fraud. During that time, both Ken Campbell and John Doolittle  gave money to the PCRP account.   Steven Arreguin has also been convicted of voter registration fraud in January 2008 for activities he was performing in Placer County in  2003, during the time of the CA governor’s recall election (a race in which Tom McClintock ran in, placing 3rd behind the winner, Gov. Schwarzenegger, (R) and Cruz Bustamente, (D).

•Tom McClintock (R) is running for office again, this time only in this district instead of statewide. This is still an interesting coincidence.

•Steven Arreguin is claiming he has worked for the Placer County Republican Party THIS SPRING doing voter registration and has not been paid, yet he also says that 2 weeks ago the McClintock campaign also has promised to pay him and that has not happened.

•Steven Arreguin is not claiming he’s any type of angel.  He just wants to get paid for work he claims to have performed so far.  He is willing to ask publically why he has not been paid, when other people also working on this activity have been.  This is a good question.

•As of June, 2008, the Placer County Republican Party had $2615  cash on hand.  As of July, 2008, they had $1191.   They are currently running low on money.  They are also running solicitations right now on their Republican websites for voter registration workers.  Notice how Karen Atteberry is mentioned on this page :

http://www.sacrepublicans.org/…

And on this one.     http://www.placergop.org/offic…

•The Tom McClintock for Congress Campaign, from studying their FEC financial report filings,  HAS paid the Placer County Republican Party at least $5000  (in May 2008) for GOTV type activities.   There is proof of a financial relationship between the 2 organizations concerning voter registration activities.  Doolittle’s Superior California Leadership PAC is also NOT DEAD YET.  It has received donations recently this year from an El Dorado County Real Estate developer in May,  and from Rep. Wally Herger (R, CA ) in March 2008.  Doolittle’s Superior PAC has so far given money to the Placer County Republican Party account in Feb 2007 this election cycle, but it’s still solvent, up, and ready to donate with a $6000 + balance.

•If the Placer County Republican Party is using people to collect voter registrations and then there is no official acknowledgment of their activities, plus there are OTHER people getting paid to “administrate”  such activities,   it is reasonable for people to ask just what is being done with those registrations in the interim.   We have a responsibility to each other to make sure that every registration of a voter makes it to the proper place on time and is not delayed or neglected, resulting in a loss of registration without the potential voter having any inkling as to what is really going on if it were to come down to the voting day when they found out. Or if they just didn’t receive their mail- in ballot.

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0451 last pic

McClintock

“Republicans Not Paying Republicans. Why?”   Now, that’s a good question.                    

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(photos by diary author. Disclosure. Nobody paid me to write this, either. )

cross posted at dailykos, EENR blog

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Links

http://www.theimnews.com/Archi…   this is a pdf of the Inter Mountain News of Burney, CA January 2008 archives, had the article about Arreguin’s previous convictions on violating election law.

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…   This is the FEC disclosure for Committee C00395590   Placer County Republican Party Federal Acct.  (plug in this number into the electronic file retrieval  for the documents I was working off of)

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…    This shows this Committee has supported 3 candidates in the past and currently:

John Doolittle (R) Congressman CA- 04, not running again

Bill Jones, (R) failed Senate Candidate in 2004

Tom McClintock (R) candidate to replace Doolittle

Mama link page for Electronic filings by Placer County Republican Party Federal Acct

http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…

CA-04 Shale

Recently, on Aug 10, Tom McClintock(R, Thousand Oaks) trying to carpetbag his way up into federal level congressional office by using our Northern CA district, released his version of an “energy” policy.  http://blog.tommcclintock.com/…   I looked at it, and I thought, this is seriously so bad, somebody must have been smoking crack when they composed it.  

That bad.  The entire thing, start to finish, is riddled with factual errors. This is what happens when Republicans running around here want something. They just make stuff up.

When you make stuff up, and then base your decisions on fantasy or deceit, the outcome is not good.  If you try to do this in engineering, the results are failure.  Let’s learn about shale.

(ARC note:  When I was doing the final editing on this diary which I first posted very late Sunday evening on dailykos, I didn’t know that McClintock was about to finally do what I predicted:  disappear the evidence of his ineptitude, and scrub the policy off his site.  When I rechecked my links after posting, I of course got an “error not found page for his website, but the original is all over the internet thanks to his blobber, er, blathering it.  When I then checked the Auburn Journal, they had an updated story about the scrub.  This is it:   http://auburnjournal.com/detai…          )

The original is below.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Sunday, Aug 17, 2008~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Crazy Tom McClintock has since gotten some public feedback pointing out some of the errors in his “plan.”   A rational person would then apologize for insulting the public with such drivel, since it’s government money he would be using on it if he were elected, but oh, no, not Crazy Tom McDooduck.  He’s now given yet another public speech repeating the exact same things.

Here’s another link to crazy Tom’s “energy” policy: (it is also on his website, as I did in the intro, but  I’m also linking to a newspaper which is slightly less likely to mysteriously disappear or be altered :

http://auburnjournal.com/detai…

A Summary of Tom McClintock’s “energy” policy:

He doubles the known domestic oil reserves and claims nobody is allowed to drill them

He  fantasizes that all the oil shale in the western states can be turned into enough barrels of oil to last us another century. He ignores the part about digging up half of 4 states to get to it.

He claims it’s illegal to look for oil on 93% of our land. Only 7% of our landmass is not BLM ? People can’t look on private property?  Remember illegal immigration ? Now we have faith based persecution of illegal geology exploration.  Apparently the man cannot tell the difference between LOOKING at something, formally exploring it using geologists, and LEASING it and DRILLING it.  

He claims The Chinese Government is drilling all of Florida’s offshore oil reserves, by using Cuban water bases, at the behest of Nancy Pelosi.

Since Hydrogen is the most abundant element in the universe, it’s going to be the Next Big Thing. ( Oh, no, not the Doolittle Hindenburg Theory again. )  Crazy Tom says if only Pelosi wasn’t conspiring to keep electrical prices high so we could start processing all the ocean water to get hydrogen.

He then claims electricity costs 6 times less per kilowatt hour than it does currently. This is to bolster his previous claim that the dead Auburn Dam project should be built.  If electricity was that cheap, then building a dam for hydoelectric over 4 earthquake faults would make sense in Tom’s world.  If you then ignored the cost of the dam, the infrastructure, the transmission lines, the redesign, and the financing.

–  end of the summary.

Did I mention the Foresthill bridge over the nearby American River needs a 43 million dollar seismic retrofit ?  I can’t wait to see what an Auburn Dam designed to withstand the same potential earthquake potential would cost, as the last time the thing was designed was about 30 years ago, and the 2006 Bureau of Reclamation/Army Corp of Engineers study that Doolittle commissioned and then tried to delay, which said the proposed dam project would be a very expensive way to hold back water already being used downstream in an existing dam, Folsom, used those old 1970’s numbers.

The contention that hydropower would give us nearly free electricity was particularly mindboggling.  It ignores the cost of designing and building the physical plant producing it, and ignores the fact that the transmission lines and other hardware and generation/maintenance costs are creating the bulk of what the home consumer pays for it.  Because these things need to be financed.  Even if they are done through the sale of bonds or by a private investor, they have to be paid for. The private investor would still pass the costs on to the consumer buying the final product.  Alright, let’s ignore this for a second.  Let’s look at a current electric bill from PG&E.  Even if you took all those hardware costs out of it, you would still be paying 8 cents a kilowatt hour, not a cent and a half.

So Tom McClintock is already lying about what is on your electric bill. You’d think he’d know better, after 2003.  This is just one example. The amount of water the damn could save, and the number of people it could serve, is another.    

I wasn’t sure where to start with this turkey, it was so bad. It was like a John Doolittle (R,Chevron, Not Yet Indicted)   plan on steroids.  Except with Doolittle, he had been too far gone for so long that nobody ever expected much.  In Tom’s world, he was feeling the need to assuage his supporters that he could outwhack Doolittle on the reality scale.

Since Congress voting to subsidize development of the Green River Valley Formation shale oil fields in Wyoming, VP Dick Cheney’s territory, seems to be really what they’re after, I’ll go with that in the most detail.  

This oil shale extraction mining was attempted before in Parachute, Colorado. The company, Exxon, couldn’t do it from both a financial, technical, and practicality standpoint (Federal rules say no developing worse  EROEI petrofuel mining systems than what we already have) and the $5 billion dollar project turned turtle in 1982. May the 2nd of that year became known as “Black Sunday.”   Link to Newsweek article from this July 14, 2008  “America’s Untapped Reserves”

http://www.newsweek.com/id/146161

The Republicans claim decades later that developing this oil shale formation will cause prices to drop at the pump, but this is absurd. One, you can’t use this stuff at the pump, unless you’re driving a diesel, and secondly, it would take years to develop the fields, third, and most important, to be economically feasible the price of oil HAS TO STAY HIGH for this to be competitive.

One ton, or 2000 lbs, of oil shale yields 150 liters or 40 gallons or about 320 liquid lbs of shale “oil.”   That’s about 50 lbs of rocks that have to be accessed and treated to make 1 gallon of liquid “shale oil”.  That has to be further refined, and you still don’t get gasoline.

There is also a way to make liquid fuel out of coal.  By contrast, one ton, or 2000 lbs of coal can make 170 gallons of oil, or over 4 times as much.

So already I’ve shown that this oil shale is worse than coal.

One ton shale rock = maybe 40 gals that needs to be refined further to get anything useful as a fuel

One ton coal = 170 gals that need to be refined further

That, in a nutshell, is why Congress kiboshed federally leasing this land out in the past for development for this purpose.

You can stop reading now if you need the short version.  You now know more than the Republicans. This isn’t being a “Luddite,” as Crazy Tom McClintock says. It’s call “Geological Engineering.”

But there’s more.  There’s this concept in mining called Energy Returned On Energy Invested, or EROEI .  It’s exactly what it sounds like, it’s a way to measure how much energy you put in a project vs. how much energy you get back out.

When the Energy Returned is less than what you started with, which is less than “1”,  it’s called an “energy sink.”  This means you’re losing energy doing the project.

Domestic oil shale has, as you guessed, a low EROEI.  Numbers vary, from .7 to maybe 3,  but it’s lower than coal and regular oil, which is about 5.

The more you do to shale rock to try to turn it into something resembling diesel, the more energy you have to burn trying to do it.  

One could say that the entire Bush Adminstration, start to finish, has set the record for low EROEI.  

Okay, Estonia uses oil shale as a coal substitute to burn in power plants for electrical generation, but do we really aspire to be just like Estonia ?  Crazy Tom McDooDuck does !  I’m not even getting into the problems with the smoke plume from burning it for fuel, which would be spreading things like sulfer and uranium around.  To get the massive amounts of fuel needed to process oil shale, they would have to be using oil shale itself, because it would be the only thing close by.

___ Now we’ll explore the topic of how much oil the country uses:

links we’re going to use:

http://wiki.answers.com/Q/Unit…

United States Oil Consumption (2004/2005 estimate)Early Bush 2nd Term  

Oil production      8.3 million barrels/day

Oil exports             1 million barrels/day.  yes, we export oil.        

Oil consumption  20.8 million barrels/day

Oil imports           13.2 million barrels/day

20.8 million barrels day x 365 days/yr =  7,592 million,

or 7.6 billion barrels used per year total, estimated

use 20.8  million barrels,  have 7.3 = needed 13.5 million barrels a day

= 4927.5  million barrels/year or

~ 4.9 billion barrels/year need to be imported  

proven US oil reserves Jan 2006  21.76 billion barrels.  not much, ~ 3 years

if we kept up the current consumption rate in the US of 7.6 billion barrels of oil per year, x 100 years per century, it would = 760 billion barrels

There are 42 gallons of oil in a barrel and 55 gallons in a standard drum.

There are 158.9 liters per barrel. About 19 to 23 gallons of gasoline can be made from one barrel of oil, the rest is made into other products.  

__What about those Fabulously Oil Soaked Middle Eastern Countries?

proven Saudi oil reserves Jan 2006  267billion barrels (produced 10 mil/d

proven Iraq oil reserves Jan 2006    115 billion barrels (produced 2mil/day)

proven Iran oil reserves Jan 2006     113 billion barrels (produced 4mil/day)

http://www.gravmag.com/oil.html

_______

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O…

Oil Reserves:  The amount of oil in a subsurface resevoir is called oil in place, OIP.  Only a fraction of this oil can be recovered from a reservoir, and this is the portion that is considered to be proven reserves.

At the current rate of production, the United States is generally thought as having about 11 years left.

That’s right.  11 years.

_____ Enter the Politicians….   notice how our side isn’t pushing this

http://www.reuters.com/article…

Obama says would consider limited offshore drilling 8/1/08  


“My interest is in making sure we’ve got the kind of comprehensive energy policy that can bring down gas prices,” Obama said in an interview with The Palm Beach Post during a tour of Florida.

“If, in order to get that passed, we have to compromise in terms of a careful, well thought-out drilling strategy that was carefully circumscribed to avoid significant environmental damage — I don’t want to be so rigid that we can’t get something done,” Obama told the newspaper.

In a statement, Obama said he remained skeptical of the value of expanded offshore drilling in fighting rising gas prices. He has said he prefers oil companies to use the land already available.  

The offshore drilling areas proposed would be in the Gulf of Mexico, the North and South Carolinas, US Georgia, and Virginia if those states gave permission and it would still have to be 50 miles from the shore.  He also said

“I do welcome the establishment of a process that will allow us to make future drilling decisions based on science and fact.”

Science and fact. That ought to frighten the Republicans.

So that’s an awful lot of “ifs.”  There’s not that much proven oil reserves offshore of the US, compared to what the United States consumes on a yearly basis.   I wonder if those states are looking forward to becoming another version of Louisiana under a Republican McCain administration. Notice how they left out California for now.

While as a political negotiating point I really didn’t like this, from a reality point, Obama knows that the oil companies are trying to hype the speculation to attract investors,  and one must be careful where to put an oil rig.  Because new rigs will be very expensive.

The reason for drilling in the Gulf or off the East Coast is slightly safer than the West, is that they don’t have a big tectonic plate butting up against their coastline plates, with a lot of sudden earthquakes, caused when something gives and shifts, like the west coast does. See how the east cost brown area extends far out into the ocean, past Greenland.

Pic here of world’s tectonic plates:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P…

On the west coast we have a lot more seismic activity. This current map is unusually quiet as it it showing only 398 earthquakes when I pulled it it. This means that pressure has either been released and we’re in a lull, or all hell is going to break loose.

Pic here of earthquake monitoring map of CA:

http://quake.usgs.gov/recenteq…

This area here, off the Northern Coast near Ft. Bragg/ Eureka, is one of the most interesting, because it has huge earthquakes all the time, mostly between 4 and 6 magnitude, but they occur off the coastline out in the Pacific, so they don’t make the news very often.  Offshore earthquakes can cause tsunamis, which are giant tidal waves.  

http://quake.usgs.gov/recenteq…

Eureka, CA, has had huge earthquakes in 1922, 1980, 1991, 1992, 1994,1995, 1997… 2007….  you get the idea.

Here’s one that happened in 1954, 2 years before Tom McClintock was born. http://www3.gendisasters.com/c…

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/reg…

Because the Republican candidate for Congress does not understand this, and keeps referring to geologists as “Luddites,” if you see him, be sure to tell him not to try to site an offshore oil rig up by “Petrolia, CA.”

What the East and Gulf Coast does have as a danger to oil rigs is threat from Hurricane damage. A hurricane is very serious, long lasting traveling ocean thunderstorm with extremely high winds. (I’m writing this for Republicans. There is one approaching Florida right now. Evacuate if you’re in the Keys. Now back to our regular diary.) During the 2005 Hurricane season, there were more hurricanes than any other time in the past century. 27 named storms, 15 hurricanes, 7 major hurricanes, and 4 hurricanes which reached category 5.

A category 5 strength hurricane will cause catastrophic property damage.

Another way of looking at this is to measure and add up how strong the storms are and how long they last.  When looked at that way, the year 2005 is still up in the top 3, behind 1950 and 1995.  Since 1995, there have been more and stronger hurricanes in the Atlantic because of warmer conditions in the Atlantic ocean, which affect water and wind currents.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/cl…

Here is a great government link about the most famous Hurricane of the 2005 season. It hit the Gulf Coast on August 27th. (many satelite pics, loads slowly)

http://www.nasa.gov/vision/ear…

Some people like to argue about what causes these in an attempt to do nothing about the consequences.

Here is a map of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita’s winds superimposed over the location of oil pipelines in the Gulf of Mexico:

http://skytruth.mediatools.org…

Here is a picture of post- Hurricane Katrina oil slicks in the Gulf of Mexico, based on government satellite pictures:

http://skytruth.mediatools.org…

So coastline drilling would have to be done in a way that the new kind of hurricanes didn’t tear it apart and dump all the oil into the ocean every year or two. Democrats would not be trying to sabotage the tighter engineering and enviromental standards that the Republicans keep trying to ignore.  

I’m still not a fan of offshore drilling. I want to force Congress to make them stop bleeding oils into the oceans carelessly and killing all the coastal tidal nurseries that provide baby fish food.  

___ On to the Republicans, or, where did Crazy Tom get this “shale”  idea from?_______

This is an alleged AP article from a Louisiana Republican Senator candidate’s campaign website.  Unfortunately it does not have a date on it, but it’s from this year.  It’s not unusual for a campaign person to submit a press release to the local media and the media to run it uncut as a news article, which could possibly explain why this Republican, who is most unfortunately named John Kennedy, is able to run it on his site without the AP killing it. (the original AP link was gone and this is where I traced the article to )  

http://www.johnkennedy.com/new…


Republican candidate John Kennedy said unlocking the energy source from oil shale – as much as 800 billion barrels of oil locked in underground rock in Colorado, Wyoming and Utah – could shrink the nation’s dependence on foreign oil and could help ease prices at the pump.

Kennedy, the state treasurer, said his Democratic opponent, U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu, has helped block the oil shale development. Kennedy’s campaign is highlighting the energy issue, hoping to undercut Landrieu’s image – and campaign pitch – as a senator who has crossed party lines to push for more oil and gas drilling and exploration.

Earlier this year, Landrieu cast the deciding vote in committee against lifting a moratorium on commercial oil shale leases, a vote she said she made at the request of U.S. Sen. Ken Salazar, D-Colo. Congress must agree to remove the ban before oil shale development can begin.

“You can’t just turn your back on a billion plus barrels of oil for politics,” Kennedy said.

Yes you can.

I don’t think Ken Salazar wanted to host the Democratic National Convention this year in his home state of Colorado with the potential backlash from opening up his state to massive strip mining for shale rock.

Link has map showing potential mining areas: http://www.coloradoconfidentia…

Nearly 2 and a half million acres could be set aside for mining in a tri state area. Notice how Utah and Wyoming also are involved. Will this map impact the potential Republican Vice Presidental selection?  Yes.  

The Republicans have been happily inflating the amount of oil shale reserves and the amount of actual oil that could be extracted from the reserves in this country.  This is from August 12, 2008 Investor’s Business Daily:

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/I…

Shell Oil is going to survey and develop one forth (25%) of the surface area of the nation of Jordan for oil shale production.  The Brazillion oil company Petrobras, Jordan Energy and Mining (JEML, a British- Jordanian duo), and a Saudi company are also wanting to survey other blocks. If a small middle eastern country is doing it….


Meanwhile, we sit on enough oil to make OPEC look like a mom-and-pop operation. In the West we may have what could be called a Persia on the Plains. A Rand Corp. study says the Green River Formation, which covers parts of Colorado, Utah and Wyoming, has the largest known oil shale deposits in the world.

“The United States has 2 trillion barrels of oil shale,” according to the Institute for Energy Research. “This is more than seven times the amount of crude oil reserves found in Saudi Arabia and is enough to meet current U.S. demand for over 250 years.”

A report from the Energy Department’s Argonne National Laboratory states that “even a moderate estimate of 800 billion barrels of recoverable oil from oil shale in the Green River Formation is three times greater than the proven oil reserves of Saudi Arabia.”  

Before you get all vastly excited about that, remember how little oil the Saudi Arabians actually export to us.  In 2007, according to our DOE, it was only 14.5% of what the US imported from 46 different countries.  In June of this year, it was 1.47 million barrels, a slight decrease from last year.  http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil…  

There is some level of controversy over just how much the Saudis really have left in “proven” reserves, anyway.  This is because of energy speculators and the competition. Nobody likes to tip their hand during a winning run.                                                

This is also like saying your dog is really big because the other guy’s dog is a chihuahua.

It’s also assuming that the oil shale reserves are a certain size, and that the oil shale processing could somehow magically transform rock into petroleum without burning more fuel in the process. Notice also how they are using referring to the amounts of shale in barrels. Rocks do not come in barrels in nature. They come in formations. They’re rocks. Solids. Not liquids.  This is entirely speculation. Estimates.  What exists now is trapped in rock, which may or may not be able to be mined.  In mining, there is no such thing as a “proven” reserve until the mining process actually starts to produce the mineral, because only a small amount of the total mineral, even in oil drilling, is recoverable.  In other words, they are estimating how many tons of rock might be oil shale, assuming they can physically access all of it, and calling it “proven.” This is incorrect.  But to a person with no knowledge of geology or mining practices, it might make the idea sound feasible.

____OIL SHALE & GAS SHALE, in more detail  ___

So just what is oil shale, anyway?  From the American Association of Petroleum Geologists


http://emd.aapg.org/technical_…

Most oil shales are fine-grained sedimentary rocks containing relatively large amounts of organic matter from which significant amounts of shale oil and combustible gas can be extracted by destructive distillation.  Included in most definitions of “oil shale”, either stated or implied, is the potential for the profitable extraction of shale oil and combustible gas or for burning as a fuel.  Oil shale differs from coal whereby the organic matter in coal has a lower atomic H:C ratio and the OM:MM ratio of coal is usually greater than 4.75:5.

Oil shales were deposited in a wide variety of environments including freshwater to saline ponds and lakes, epicontinental marine basins and related subtidal shelves.  They were also deposited in shallow ponds or lakes associated with coal-forming peat in limnic and coastal swamp depositional environments. It is not surprising, therefore, that oil shales exhibit a wide range in organic and mineral composition. Most oil shales contain organic matter derived from varied types of marine and lacustrine algae, with some debris of land plants, depending upon the depositional environment and sediment sources.

Uh, say what?

Oil Shale is a kind of rock that is like soft coal but much lower in quality.

There are 3 kinds of rocks. Igneous, metamorphic, and sedimentary.

Igneous rocks are made of cooled magma (like hot lava, like comes out of volcanos.) Think “ignite.” Granite is a igneous rock.

Metamorphic rock is made up of other rocks that were put under great heat and pressure, which caused them to change form. Think “mashed rock.” Marble is a metamorphic rock.

Sedimentary rock is made up of the “other kinds” of rocks. Igneous and metamorphic parent rocks weather, erode, and break off into very fine particles, which then get washed or blown away and are deposited elsewhere. They may be carried down a stream, to a river, to an estuary at the ocean, and then washed out onto the continental shelf. They form layers. There, they may combine with the organic (once living) remains of other plants or animals, and by the pressure applied by the top and side layers, they slowly turn into rocks again. Think “sediment.” Sandstone is a sedimentary rock.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S…

The sedimentary rock cover of the continents of the Earth’s crust is extensive, but the total contribution of sedimentary rocks is estimated to be only 5% of the total. As such, the sedimentary sequences we see represent only a thin veneer over a crust consisting mainly of igneous and metamorphic rocks.

In addition, sedimentary rocks often form porous and permeable reservoirs in sedimentary basins in which petroleum and other hydrocarbons can be found (see Bituminous rocks).  

Remember that last line I bolded. That’s important. “Porous.”  “Resevoirs.” Water cachements underground.  Bituminous rocks contain burnable carbon such as tar or petroleum.  Bituminous is also a type of medium hard coal when used as a coal adjective. But they aren’t the same thing.

Okay, but how does this sedimentary rock show up in places like the California Sierra mountains, or the Midwestern United States?

The Earth is constantly changing. At times in the past, what we see now as dry land was underwater in an inland sea in the middle of the country.  This also has happened on the California coastline, as the ocean tectonic plate shoves into the land plate and the result is the mountains slowly rising up out of old ocean floor.  

How is Oil Shale different from regular shale ?

It’s burnable. The old organic, carbon based (formerly alive, now deceased) plants and animals in it have been slowly turned into something like…. flammable rock compost. Oil shale is full of fossils.

Remember what plants do.  They suck carbon out of the air as a part of photosynthesizing (taking energy from the sun to grow) . Oil shale products are hydrocarbon fuels.

Oil shale has been used on a small scale basis for centuries in Europe, in the same way coal is used.

Electrical Power Plants in this country run on Coal, Natural Gas, or Nuclear fuel, a little bit of hydropower or “other,” btw.  

I’ve been reading these Republican blog descriptions of what “oil shale” is and does and they have managed to make it sound like alchemy.

pyrolysis can convert the kerogen in oil shale into synthetic crude oil.  

uh, Say what?

Heating up oil shale to really hot can make part of the stuff liquefy and/or turn into shale gas, with solid residue leftovers.

In the past centuries, this has been done above ground. They mined it like coal, and then broke it up into little pieces, heated it, and used it to make oil or kerosene fuels or just burnt it au naturel like coal.

  In the recent past, there have been small scale experiments with doing this oil shale processing “in situ.” (on site, in the ground) This means that instead of tunnel, open pit, or strip mining the stuff, they try drilling into it while it’s still underground, heating it to extraordinary temperatures (842ºF to 932ºF ) with no oxygen, which is called retorting, FOR A PERIOD OF THREE YEARS,  and the oils and gases are drawn off.  Then those oils have to be further refined.   http://www.newsweek.com/id/146…

If you heated it up that hot with oxygen, it would burn. Here comes the fun part:

from wikipedia, again:



Shale oil does not contain the full range of hydrocarbons used in modern gasoline production, and could only be used to produce middle-distillates such as kerosene, jet fuel, and diesel fuel.[4] Worldwide demand for these middle distillates, however, has increased rapidly.

 While it is true that the continental United States has a lot of oil shale deposits, there is a reason that they haven’t used the stuff on any sort of large scale basis.  

It contains less energy than coal.  It requires much MORE processing to get the usable part of the burnable carbon out of it.

Remember that “porous” part above I emphasized ?  Oh, yeah, frequently  oil shale is found near fresh water aquifers.  read this:  http://oilshalegas.com/greenri…

….. back in 2006, the BLM in CO issued 5 shale leases for research projects.  They grant rights to develop oil shale on 160 acre plots for 10 years.  ….. there is estimated to have been over 3000 wells drilled already.  Shell Oil Company is working on an experiment called the FREEZE WALL which creates a barrier around the drilling area under ground so nothing would be contaminated.  This freeze project started in 2007 and will end around 2010 – 2012.  A system will also pump out the water from the drilling area of the Shell Oil Freeze Wall. The freeze zone is about the size of a football field and is located in Rio Blanco County CO.  Shell is not allowed to develop the property, it is only for testing purposes.

…. there is an aquifer, halfway down. When you get down to the Shale Oil there is water that provides drinking water in Western Colorado.  Shell is working above the aquifer, what they do is pump out the water from below where they are working, and they freeze, create a freeze wall so that water cannot get in.  The water, if any oil drips down, the water is not polluted with it.  Once they remove the heat from the rock and extract the oil and things cool down, they unfreeze the water and it goes back…..  

So, this is a pretty complex operation they are trying to do underground, or “in situ.”  You are superheating rock for years in some areas to nearly 900 degrees, sucking all the oxygen out, and supercooling rock below freezing in other areas trying to keep the oil from leaking into the aquifers.  ALL of this takes additional energy, and puts the drinking water in aquifers at risk of contamination.  Also, water is necessary to add hydrogen back to the mined shale oil afterwards before it can be shipped to a refinery. So large scale mining of oil shale would require large quantities of …. water.  The Green River Basin area does not have a lot of rainfall.

Click here for pic of an experimental in- situ (underground)  oil shale processing site done by Shell near Rangeley, Colorado. I can see about 6 little cricket pumps in this, it is a very tiny oilfield.

http://skytruth.mediatools.org…

Here is an operating in- situ oil shale site near Gladstone, Australia.

http://skytruth.mediatools.org…

Searching the web for functional oil shale plants brings up only a few pictures and stories about Estonia and also Australia and Germany, which have small electrical plants that use oil shale.  But it’s a dirty fuel.

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This is the type of place I suspect Republican Tom McClintock is getting his energy information from:

  http://www.energyandcapital.co…

August 15th, 2008

U.S. oil production has been spiraling downward for the last 40 years.

But there’s one area that’s just starting to heat up…

Locals call it “The Bakken.” It’s a behometh oil reserve stretching across North Dakota, Montana and southeastern Saskatchewan… a basin so massive it contains 10 times more barrels of oil than Alaska’s North Slope.

The U.S. Geological Survey has reported the Bakken Formation could hold more than 400 billion barrels of recoverable oil!

Until recent years, the technology simply wasn’t available to economically extract the oil from the Bakken shales. But with breakthrough techniques such as horizontal drilling, the full potential of the Bakken play can now be developed.

And unlike Northern Canada’s oil sands, the Bakken’s oil can be extracted relatively cheap, without the use of energy intensive processes.

The next oil boom is already upon us.

And, considering that oil prices are likely to remain above $100 a barrel, the time for shock is over. Investors are now faced with an unprecedented opportunity to play the U.S. and Canada’s new hottest oil stocks… several of which are poised to make 300% gains during 2008.

And McClintock probably sees this type of “come on” as justified:


http://www.whiskeyandgunpowder…

The world consumes 85 million barrels of oil every day. And right now we’re facing the world’s worst fuel shortage…

But every crisis equals an opportunity for investors…

In the frigid tars sands of Alberta, Canada, just north of Fort McMurray, lay billions of barrels of oil, trapped beneath the earth’s surface.

In your free oil sands investing report, you’ll learn about an oil sands company that has a huge pile of natural resource assets – billions of barrels of recoverable oil and gas reserves in Western Canada, the North Sea and off the coast of West Africa.

Its biggest project is the world’s fifth-largest oil recovery project.

And this company’s oil sands “project” should be producing light, sweet synthetic crude oil by the second half of 2008.

All the details are in your FREE Oil Sands Investing Report.

Simply enter your email address and you’ll start receiving Whiskey and Gunpowder by email each day.

W&G also serves as “an outlet for that segment of macro-economic and geopolitical writings that don’t steer directly toward portfolio recommendations…you know, the type of open analysis often only posted on out-of-the-way blogs…”    

Any given shot of Whiskey & Gunpowder might speak about economic trends, personal liberties, big-picture history, Peak Oil, commodities investments, gold exploration and production, banking and the real estate bubble, or institutional-level analysis of individual companies

             

“Water’s worth fighting for, but whiskey’s for drinking”

Old Western Proverb

___ The Conclusion, or PTL and pass the whiskey

Tom McClintock ran in the CA governor’s recall race in 2003 and came in 3rd.  The recall of Gov Gray Davis and his replacement by a Republican governor Schwarzenegger was instigated by ENRON manipulating the electrical market in CA so there was both spiking electrical rates and rolling blackouts, which Gov. Davis got the blame for. The reason ENRON was able to manipulate the energy market was that the Republicans had convinced the CA state legislature to deregulate the electrical energy generating business, using the guise that the “free market” would let consumers pick which electric company they wanted to do business with, as if electricity was just like any other thing one buys at a store, and the competition would force companies to offer cheaper rates.

Well, we here in California saw how that turned out.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E…   The Enron Scandal

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E…   California’s Deregulation and Enron

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C… California electricity crisis of 2000- 01


In October 2000, Daniel Scotto, the top ranked utility analyst on Wall Street, suspended his ratings on all energy companies conducting business in California due to the unlikely probability that the companies would receive full and adequate compensation for the deferred energy accounts used as the cornerstone for the California Deregulation Plan enacted in the late 1990s. Five months later, Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) was forced into bankruptcy. Senator Phil Gramm, the second largest recipient of campaign contributions from Enron, succeeded in legislating California’s energy commodity trading deregulation. Despite warnings from prominent consumer groups which stated that this law would give energy traders too much influence over energy commodity prices, the legislation was passed in December 2000.

As Public Citizen reported, “Because of Enron’s new, unregulated power auction, the company’s ‘Wholesale Services’ revenues quadrupled-from $12 billion in the first quarter of 2000 to $48.4 billion in the first quarter of 2001.”[7]

Before passage of the deregulation law, there had been only one Stage 3 rolling blackout declared. Following passage, California had a total of 38 blackouts defined as Stage 3 rolling blackouts, until federal regulators intervened in June 2001. These blackouts occurred mainly as a result of a poorly designed system that was manipulated by traders and marketers. Enron traders were revealed as intentionally encouraging the removal of power from the market during California’s energy crisis by encouraging suppliers to shut down plants to perform unnecessary maintenance, as documented in recordings made at the time.[8] These acts contributed to the need for rolling blackouts, which adversely affected many businesses dependent upon a reliable supply of electricity, and inconvenienced a large number of retail consumers.

 

Senator Phil Gramm has been Republican Candidate John McCain’s economic advisor during the present Presidential campaign. What a delightful coincidence !

It’s not a coincidence that once again Republican Tom McClintock is attempting to vault himself into another higher political office based on voter dissatisfaction with higher fuel prices and the myth that he cares anything about it.

So here is the man once again huckstering more phony ideas.


We in the Reality Based Community Now Know Better. Remember:

Shale oil cannot be made into the regular gasoline we use now because it lacks the same hydrocarbon structure.

Shale oil is much more inefficient to make and use that coal oil, because shale rock is a much lower grade of raw material than coal.

Shale oil only approaches price parity with other hydrocarbon petrofuels if the other petrofuels are already extremely expensive.

Shale oil is a hydocarbon fuel, dirtier than coal, and using it will release more CO2 into the atmosphere. It will contribute to smog.

Shale oil mining requires water the west doesn’t have to spare, and risks polluting vital aquifers.

Shale oil takes 3 years of baking underground at temps 3 times hotter than it takes to make cupcakes before you even get any raw oil out !

So even if the private companies start mining it, there is no financial incentive to let the stuff become too cheap, or they lose money on it because it is an unusually long term investment and mining process. But right now, there is a real feeding frenzy trying to drive up prices for speculators. And some companies certainly would be trying to get government research subsidies or sweet deals on leases on federal lands.  Including some very good friends of VP Dick Cheney.  And some politicians would certainly be trying to get more oil company campaign contributions. Like Tom McClintock.

So much for that “relieving the price at the pump theory”.  Republican blackmail again, anybody ?  Didn’t we already do this in 2003 ?

CA-04: McClintock Using Substitute Younger Family in Campaign Appearances?! McFloat, pt1

It’s time to take a closer look at our Republican candidate running against Democrat Charlie Brown.

LameDuck State Senator Tom McClintock (R,  Thousand Mailing Addresses, currently using one in SoCal ) the Republican candidate for CA- 04, a district in the North,  went to the Rocklin Unified School District Board on Wed, July 16,  and did a little 3 minute speech in favor of  Rocklin Academy’s company being able to establish a charter high school for grades 7 to 12, which would be called Western Sierra Collegiate Academy, aka “WSCA.”  http://www.wscacademy.org/  

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7/16/8RocMcC

Southern CA State Senator Tom McClintock at the Rocklin School Board meeting July 16, 2008  

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The public meeting started late while the Rocklin school board wrestled in private session with the teacher’s union, and finally got going after 8pm.  (The teacher’s union is not real happy that the charter school would use the public facilities yet pay the private teachers a higher salary.)  This gave me a chance to study the written curriculum proposal in detail, it resembled what I took in high school for college prep classes over 30 years ago.

Finally, after the proponents began the proposed WSCA Charter School presentation, they let Tom McClintock go first as one of the public commentators because He Was Important.  Before that he was sitting up in front of the room full of Moms who wanted the Chartered School.  It was a little bit scary for me to be there, I was the only one not in polyester, I was really hoping I wouldn’t be standing out as {{{  A Potential Secular Humanist for having read George Bernard Shaw’s “Major Barbara” in High School, besides all that Shakespeare }}} but the lady handling the information packets was super nice and helpful.  

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Besides the thick notebooks full of the details, and various endorsements from politicians, there is even a single page handout with what McClintock’s Opinion On the Charter School Proposal.  Mind you, this is a private business enterprise.  The Rocklin Academy, which runs a charter elementary school in the district, tried pitching this high school before, and their proposal was rejected on not having the proposed financial budget being realistic.  The WSCA Charter School would use state funding, therefore, it must operate in the black and not on a deficit.

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7/16/8RocMcC

Tom McClintock (left, front row, red tie ) and the professional advocates of the proposed Western Sierra Collegiate Academy (WSCA) Charter School, at the Rocklin School Board meeting July 16, 2008 . This is what the school board is looking at.  They’ve threatened to sue the school district if they don’t get the charter school approved, the district is balking over the financial budget.  The photos on the wall in the background are the schools in the district. The Charter company is proposing using the public facilities for its high school.

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So Tom McClintock goes into his little prepared speech about the Chartered School.   This is one of his first SPEAKING public engagements since he started running for the Congress seat being vacated by Rep. John Doolittle (R, CA-04, Chevron, Not Yet Indicted),  so there are people with Real Cameras there, beside me with the smaller camera.

Where is Rep. Doolittle ?  He’s here in the state the same day, but he’s flying around overhead with President Bush and Governor Schwarzenegger  and Rep. Wally Herger , chaperoned by Senator DiFi, and surveying the catastrophic wildfire damage caused by lightning strikes June 21, which were ongoing.  He doesn’t dare show up in his own burning district with Bush and McClintock when the air is literally this thick.

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7/23/8Firesmoke

A month after lightning sparked over a thousand wildfires, smoke still chokes the foothills of Northern CA near Lincoln, at 8am in the morning over 50 miles away from the 2 largest ones near Paradise and Foresthill. ( This picture was taken a few days after the Presidential flyover. )

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 They are instead going to land in Redding.  I created a graphic image for this using magic markers on posterboard.  

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0441

McDooDuck

July 16, 2008.  Chart of locations of politicians that day in California. President Bush, the state’s Governor Schwarzenegger, Rep. Doolittle, Rep. Herger, and Senator Diane Feinstein have flown over the state looking at the ongoing wildfire castastrophe, which started June 21, and landed in Redding.  The aspiring Doolittle replacement is in Rocklin.  Map is to scale, drawn by author.

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CA- 04 is in the upper north eastern quadrant of the state.  

See how far away Redding is from Doolittle’s district. It’s in Wally Herger’s (R) district in CA 02.  See how far away State Sen. McClintock’s current district, down in Southern California on the coast near LA,  is from our district.

I talked to some people in Wally Herger’s (R) CA 02 district afterwards, and much to my relief there was a protest contingent up there in Redding to greet the President and the Enablers.  

Back to Rocklin.

McClintock is chugging along at the podium for his 3 minutes with his notes, comparing private vs public school competition to that of Ford automobiles to GM automobiles, and how that makes cars better, and I feel a tiny glimmer of hope that maybe the Republicans will say something vaguely interesting before November.  I’m a little surprised he didn’t use Model T vs. Horse and Buggy, but he’s obviously being coached by a lot of expensive campaign consultants and it is having results.

And then he mentions that when he was renting a house here in Rocklin during the 1995- 1996 school year, (he’s real proud of that one, he RENTED a house in the district 13 years ago so that’s his local residency proof of purchase )  when his daughter was attending Cobblestone School in Rocklin, he wished that there was THIS charter school there at the time.  

And I thought,  whoa Nelly.  Here’s why.  This is a picture I took during the 4th of July parade this year in Lincoln. I had a small pic of his float in my previous diary which was on the EENR blog. http://www.eenrblog.com/showDi…

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7/4/8LinPar

Republican Parade Float Entry Lincoln 4th of July parade 2008

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 This was his first large scale public appearance during the general election campaign, the others were done mostly as Republican debates with the other Republican candidates in front of mostly Republican adult audiences during the primary this spring.  This is a closeup of the McClintocks on the float.

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0361

McClintock

Tom McClintock & “Family” on the 4th of July parade float in Lincoln

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As you can see, this is Tom McClintock, and that is his wife, Lori McClintock.  I know this is Lori, because she was at the March 2008 McClintock campaign launch in Auburn, where somebody produced a bouquet of daffodils, handed it to the male Republicans, and they kept passing them around like yellow cooties until Lori got stuck with them.   McClintock’s press releases always say  McClintock is married to Lori and they have 2 children, Justin and Shannah.  It would not be unreasonable to assume, therefore, that if somebody has 2 kids and they and their wife are on a parade float that has ANOTHER FAMILY FOR McCLINTOCK placards plastered all over it,  plus is surrounded by Republicans bearing the same signs, that those could be the McClintock children.

Now, note how YOUNG those children look in the photo. The little girl looks maybe 10 or at most 12,  and the little boy about 5 years old.  Tell me how old the girl on the parade float must have been in 1995.  

Did this child even exist yet in 1995 ?

And then I thought, this is absurd.  He is standing here in front of a bunch of mothers who want to send their kids to a charter high school and pretending he had a like aged child ready for high school college prep classes 1995,  and he didn’t.  Otherwise the child would now be 13 years ago + age 14 ready for 9th grade class, or about 27 years old by now !

But it gets better.

I went through lots and lots of “official” Tom McClintock information on the web,  and all it ever says is “he has 2 children, Justin and Shannah.”   No ages.  I want to know old they are.  

So I went digging back through some older back issues of various news articles until I finally found several in different years (because he has run for so many different state offices ) that referenced their ages.  They are currently approximately 17 or 18 years old for the girl, and 15 or 16 years old for the boy.  From an August 2003 story in the LA Times

“McClintock and his wife Lori, have a son, Justin, 11, and a daughter, Shannah, 13”  

 http://articles.latimes.com/20…

I also searched for any pictures, and finally came up with this, taken in September of 2003. Click here for what the McClintock children looked like 5 years ago:

http://www.jamd.com/search?tex…  

http://www.jamd.com/image/g/25…      (edit. try clicking on this)

As you can see, these children 5 years ago already looked much older than the children on the parade float.  So by now the daughter is too old to attend that charter high school anyway.  But the resemblance of the real ones to the parade float children is spooky, is it not ?

The town the parade was held in, Lincoln, CA,  has quadrupled its population in the last 10 years from about 10,000 to 40,000. This means that most of the people don’t know the McClintocks, not that he ever lived around there recently. They would be looking at the parade float, and be fooled.  McClintock and his family have lived for years in Elk Grove, south of Sacramento, which is in Dan Lungren’s ( R )  CA- 03 district,  although McClintock uses Thousand Oaks in SoCal as his “official” residence and collects a tax free per diem payment from the state of CA for the travel obligation.

I was very tempted to title this story “Forever Young.”  I have seen lots of cynical attempts to manipulate one’s public image, but this one has to take the cake.  When it happens more than once, it is definitely a trend.  

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photos by diary author unless otherwise attributed.  Appearance of candidate continues to be pinker than his surrounding humans, creating a difficult quandary…. decided to leave him pinker and let it be.

cross posted at EENR blog. cross posted at dailykos.