All posts by Brian Leubitz

Santa Rosa Island pried out of Duncan Hunter’s Pocket

DiFi, who will become Chair of the Senate Rules Cmte, and Barbara Boxer, who will become Chair of the Environment Cmte. overturned Rep. Duncan Hunter’s provision to keep non-native deer and elk hunting on Santa Rosa Island.  The new agreement will allow access to the island for recreational purposes.  Hunter had wanted the island closed off for private hunting for several groups over the years.  Hopefully with his quixotic run for the presidency in 2008 and the Dem majority, this will be the last we hear of this stupid hunting on Santa Rosa Island B.S.

Full press release over the flip.

  http://feinstein.sen…

Feinstein-Boxer Amendment to MilCon/VA Appropriations Bill

Would Ensure Santa Rosa Island Remains Open to Public

Washington, DC ? U.S. Senators Dianne Feinstein and Barbara Boxer (both D-Calif.) today announced that the Senate has approved their amendment to the Military Construction and Veterans Affairs Appropriations bill repealing a provision in the FY2007 Defense Authorization bill that sought to restrict public access to Santa Rosa Island.

Senator Feinstein is the ranking member of the Senate Appropriations Sub-Committee on Military Construction and Veterans Affairs.

?Today, we cleared a major hurdle in the effort to repeal Representative Hunter?s provision that would have allowed private hunting to limit the use of Santa Rosa Island by the general public,? Senator Feinstein said.  ?With this amendment we can ensure this beautiful part of the Channel Islands National Park remains open and its wildlife will be enjoyed by all for years to come.?

?This amendment corrects a terrible mistake that should never have been made in the first place.  With today?s victory in the Senate, we are one step closer to protecting Santa Rosa Island and keeping this natural treasure open for Californians and all Americans,? Senator Boxer said.

?I want to thank Senators Feinstein and Boxer for continuing to work with me to protect public access to Santa Rosa Island,? said Representative Lois Capps (D-Calif), who represents the coastal area where the islands are located.  ?Their amendment to repeal Chairman Hunter’s proposal to continue hunting on Santa Rosa Island indefinitely will ensure that the public will be able to enjoy full access to its National Park.?

Senators Feinstein and Boxer?s amendment repeals a provision, sponsored by House Armed Services Committee Chairman Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.), which effectively limited public access to the island by extending the practice of allowing privately organized deer and elk hunting expeditions.  These hunts require the closure of about 90 percent of the island to the general public for about four to five months each year.

Representative Hunter?s measure also prevented the National Park Service from carrying out a court-approved settlement to remove non-native deer and elk from Santa Rosa Island by 2011.  According to the National Park Service, the deer and elk herds pose a threat to the island?s 11 endangered species, including the bald eagle, rare plants, and native birds and fox.

 

Odds and Ends 11/14

Originally I had planned on only doing this until the election, but I’ve found it quite satisfying to just write a short pithy comment on each story and move on to the next.  Also, I felt that I had been ignoring so many issues out there.  These will probably be shorter now, but I’ll try to get these out daily during the week.  No guarantees though. 🙂

So, teasers: Waxman attacks?, Jerry goes to DC, the failure of the metrics, and the LA Times saga continues.  Plus more!!

  • Will Henry Waxman challenge President Bush?  You know as well as I that there is no love lost between these two.  Waxman wants to investigate some of the policies of the Bush administration, and that is his job as Chair of the House Gov. Reform Cmte.  There are issues of war profiteering that have never been answered, and those should be investigated.  But the “storm of subpoenas” that the conservatives have been talking about? Don’t expect it…unless of course Bush has a reason to stonewall the sunshine.  When Waxman had subpoena power, he issued NO subpoenas.  The same can not be said of the Republicans in the Clinton era.
  • Mr. McNerney goes to Washington.  No word on his new committee assignments, but expect him to push hard for a spot on the Energy Committee, where he can put his background in wind energy to use.  As he campaigned on making the 11th a district focused on renewables, expect him to push for more resources on biofuels, wind, solar, etc.
  • A friend of mine forwarded me this from the Capitol Morning Report, a subscription only service.  It is an op-ed of sorts by strategist Tony Quinn, one of the editors of the California Target Book, about the failure of the GOP GOTV machine that Duf Sundheim (CRP Chair) had been pushing so hard.  The GOP GOTV in California completely failed to extend Arnold’s coat tails.  In a year when Dems had a weak top of the ticket, when you would expect some level of push back from the GOP, they got nothing.  In California, the Rove strategy of motivating the base just won’t work.  Of course, that’s especially true when you have a president who is hated, even by his base.  It all added up to a very poor night for everybody except Arnold. And Poizner I suppose, but I think anybody not named Cruz could have won that race.  Here’s a portion of the article:

    The much-touted Schwarzenegger/Republican get-out-the-vote effort in this election turned out to be a big flop. It’s not the first time the GOP effort to turn out its own voters has failed; but this year the party convinced itself that it would make a difference.
         The Schwarzenegger campaign spent millions on phone banks and mailers, the campaign flooded Republican mailboxes with slick brochures and pestered voters with robo calls at dinner time, something Republicans call micro-targeting. (I received three calls from “Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger” telling me to vote while hosting an early election night party at my home and I had voted weeks ago.)
         They said this would bring out Republican voters, but it did not. Why? There are several reasons. Certainly a factor was Republican disgust with Bush and Iraq that kept many of their voters home. A large number of safe Republicans saw their vote percentage fall from 2004 levels. For instance, Sacramento GOP Rep Dan Lungren received only 59 percent this year; two years ago, he received 62 percent. That three percent drop was stay-at-home-Republicans. All the robo calls in the world could not get these voters to the polls.
         But that’s not the whole story. Republican registration is just 34 percent of statewide voters, an historic low. Republican strategists seem to believe they can overcome their registration deficit by pushing a higher turnout among their loyal voters, thus the robo calls and slick mailers aimed at GOP voters.
         But they fail to recognize that an appeal to the GOP base alone is not sufficient to win any longer in California. There are simply not enough like-minded voters outside the Republican base to forge a victory. Just look at the difference between Schwarzenegger and the rest of the Republican ticket.

  • The LA Times and the Tribune Company, its parent, are the subject of several takeover bids.  David Geffen is rumored to be trying to buy the Times from the Trib, and several bidders are trying to buy the Tribune Company.  As to how this will all turn out? Who knows, but one thing that is clear is that LA and the Times would be better off without the Tribune Company and its conservative ownership involved in the day to day operations of the paper of record on the West Coast.
  • Doolittle out, Dan Lungren in for leadership post in GOP

    Well, brace yourself dear readers.  John Doolittle has withdrawn his candidacy for the House Republican Conference Secretary. I previously noted John Doolittle’s attempt to maintain his status as a leader in the House GOP.  Apparently Doolittle feels that his narrow victory over netroots hero Charlie Brown should be a sign that he needs to lavish favors upon his district for a couple of years.  Oh yeah, I’m sure the GOP wasn’t thrilled by the corruption charges that will likely bring an indictment soon.  Other Republicans are likely to be wary of electing a man that is almost synonymous with corruption in his district. 

    So, why not turn to the Congressman next door, Dan Lungren? 

    Rep. Dan Lungren, who earlier this year moved to force elections for all of the Republican leadership positions in the aftermath of the Jack Abramoff scandal, is seeking election to head the House Republican Conference.

    The Gold River Republican said it’s essential that the Republican leadership adjust rapidly to the fact that the party was ousted from control of the House in the elections last week. He said he wants to see the assembly of House Republicans run more democratically, with members given more opportunities to shape positions on key policy issues.(SacBee 11/14/06)

    Well this idea of a bottom up organization sounds pretty un-GOP-like to me.  C’mon? You think John Boehner or his successor is going to want to let lesser members muddy his message?  Good luck on that Dan.

    Lungren, the former California AG and Gubernatorial candidate, doesn’t carry the baggage of Doolittle and is facing three Congressman from the South.  The possibility of a split Southern vote and no other Western candidates leaves Lungren in a good position to win the post.

    SF Drinking Liberally TONIGHT

    UPDATE: Oops, forgot the time.  It will be at 7PM tonight.

    Hey folks, sorry this is late notice, but the travelling has got me pretty ragged.  Tonight there’s going to be a Drinking Liberally SF in the Mission.  Instead of the normal Zeitgeist location, it will be at Doc’s Clock – 2575 Mission btw 21st and 22nd.  Google Map.  As I understand it, Justin Krebs, one of the founders of Drinking Liberally will be at tonight’s event…drinking…liberally.

    The Lie That Binds

    Well, the election is over.  Dowd and Schmidt will be off on their merry way to whatever state will be next hoodwinked by those two.  But us? We’re stuck with Arnold.  This time it’s an Arnold that made some promises that he shouldn’t have, and the budget will be the worse for it.

    Arnold made two statements that could have disastrous ramifications for our state in the upcoming year.  One: “There really is no plan for the deficit”.  You can view one of my Tracking Arnold videos the quote in question here.  The disastrous nature of this quote is quite simple here.  The man that was re-elected as Governor has no ideas of how to confront the pending defecit.  And it’s no small one either, current best guess? 5 billion dollars.  Yup, that’s with a “b.”

    His other statement? The “I won’t raise taxes” pledge.  How is he going to square the defecit and that pledge?  Beats the hell out of me.

    Once his victory celebration ends, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger may be in for a nasty post-election hangover — partly of his own making.

    A host of daunting, potentially multibillion-dollar problems confront the governor as he begins his second and final term. Prisons are filled dangerously beyond capacity. Public schools are badly in need of reform, the governor has said. More than 6 million Californians lack health insurance. And a $5 billion budget deficit looms next year.

    But Schwarzenegger faces those challenges constrained by his central, George H.W. Bush-esque campaign promise: No new taxes. How the governor reconciles his sweeping policy ambitions with that anti-tax stance could prove a defining challenge of his governorship.

    “If the state’s economy grows and brings in new revenues, he’ll be able to hold to the no-taxes pledge” and pay for new programs, said Jack Pitney, a political-science professor at Claremont McKenna College. But that’s a big if.

    “He may eventually face a situation,” Pitney added, “where the state will have to either raise taxes or make some very unpopular cuts.” (SJ Merc 11/13/06)

    The no-taxes pledge will put our entire economy at risk.  I know that’s a big statement, but it’s true.  Will Arnold give ground and accept some new taxes or fees? Or will he become obstinate and demand cuts, likely from education as he did in 2003. If we do nothing, we will have to pay more interest (both rate and actual dollars), and our economy will begin to spiral out of control.

    In the new legislative session, we need to boost up pressure upon Arnold to come up with some resolution to the structural defecits.  All he has said so far is No. No vehicle license fee (aka car tax), No new taxes, No, No, No.

    At some point, he’ll have to say yes.  He cannot obstruct forever, and will eventually have to work with the Legislature to fix the structural deficit.  These are hard decisions, and he’s got to pick a side.

    A growing coalition

    A few articles came out yesterday describing some of the demographics of the election last Tuesday.  Both are positive in terms of the Democratic coalition, regionally, statewide, and nationally, going forward.

    First, unsurprisingly, Latino voters shifted towards Democrats this year. Nationally, this is likely due to the James Sensenbrenners and Duncan Hunters of the world attacking immigrants. (Oh, yeah, I’m going to love seeing Duncan Hunter in the presidential debates).

    Anger over anti-immigrant rhetoric helped fuel a shift in the Latino vote to Democrats, damaging Republican hopes of luring this fast-growing population into its fold, Latino activists and political analysts said Thursday.
    {snip}

    Analysts said that Republican attempts to use immigration as a wedge issue to galvanize conservative voters backfired by instead rousing more Latinos to vote. Those results were particularly apparent in Arizona, “ground zero” of the immigration debate, where several Republican immigration hawks were defeated, analysts said.

    “[Republicans] have done long-term permanent damage to their brand with this community,” said Simon Rosenberg, president of the Washington, D.C.-based New Democrat Network. (LAT 11/10/06)

    And who else would the immigration message of the Republicans (“GO HOME!”) offend? Well there’s a wide range of groups, especially here in the cultural mish-mash of California.  One group is California’s Asian-Americans. In the SF Bay area, they voted strongly in favor of Phil and the Dem ticket.

    [As for the] governor’s race, the Bay Area’s Asian-American voters favored Democratic Party candidate Phil Angelides ? about 67 percent ? while Los Angeles County voters were again nearly evenly split between Angelides and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, according to the poll.(Oak Trib 11/10/06)

    It’s also important to note the role of Asian-Americans in John Chiang’s victory over Tony Strickland in the controller’s race.  Given the vast IE resources supporting Strickland, grassroots and identity politics played a big role in our victory in that race.  The state party needs to encourage outreach in the Asian-American community.  We need to cultivate a diverse range of leaders, and encourage further involvement in state and local politics.

    Odds and Ends 11/10

    Still recovering from election night?  Well, so are the Republicans.  The blood is flowing from the Right.

    Teasers: A bloodbath in the Assembly, Arnold as a Dem?, the new power for our Senators, and our Progressives versus…our Business Dems, and MORE!!!

  • Arnold is a Democrat.  Well, pretty much.  The CDP is encouraging him to join up.  Why you ask? Well, it turns out that Arnold was thrilled that the Dems took both chambers of Congress.
  • As for the real Republicans in California? There’s a “bloodbath” going on in the Assembly.  Somewhat sane Minority Leader George Plescia has been replaced by Mike Villines of Fresno. Villines is a former staffer for Pete Wilson and Pooch, and a hard-liner conservative.  Apparently the Assembly Reps intend to be obstructionists, or “suicidal” as Pepperdine Professor PoliSci Stanley Moore notes.
  • Rumors are flying about Arnold’s career post-governor.  The latest…he wants Boxer’s Senate seat . I’m not sure I buy it.  There are a couple of questions of course.  Will Boxer run again? Will Gavin run? One thing is certain, the Dems aren’t going to just give that seat away.  The whole Republican thing will be a big obstacle…
  • There are more fawning Nancy stories.   The SF Chron marvels at her work.  Of course the question will be whether she can make any legislative progress. The SacBee thinks that the President will actually have to be a “uniter”. Wow…that was hard to type.
  • Our Senators suddenly have a lot more power (SF Chron).  Boxer will become the Chair of the Environment and Public Works Committee.  Formerly, it was headed by James Inhofe…who thought global warming was some enormous hoax.  As for Feinstein, it isn’t clear which committee she will head, but her seniority likely means that she will be a chair of something.  Most likely is the Senate Rules Cmte, or perhaps the Intelligence Cmte.
  • You know that House Resources Committee Website that I told you about? You know the one decrying the lack of drilling in ANWR and the myth of globabl warming? It’s still up, but as the Chairman, Richard Pombo, won’t be a member of the 110th Congress and the Committee will shift to Dems who don’t view the environment as a mere basket of resources to plunder, it will be down soon as Nick Rahall of W. VA. takes over.  Ding-Dong, the witch is dead…
  • California’s progressives won’t be sidelined in the new Congress, but don’t tell Ellen Tauscher that.
     
  • Prop 83, Jessica’s Law, ruled unconsititutional

    Well, that didn’t take long.

    A federal judge in San Francisco on Wednesday imposed a temporary restraining order on a key portion of the state’s newly approved Proposition 83, the controversial Jessica’s Law, blocking enforcement of a provision that would prohibit convicted sex offenders from living near a school or park.

    U.S. District Judge Susan Illston called the residential restrictions in Proposition 83 “punitive by design and effect” and agreed with registered sex offender “John Doe,” who had filed a lawsuit hours earlier Wednesday, a day after voters overwhelmingly passed the proposition passed at the polls.(SacBee 11/8/06)

    The Runners’ version of Jessica’s Law is terribly flawed.  Just because you whip 70% of the electorate into voting for something out of fear, doesn’t make it a reasonable law.  It would seriously endanger children in rural areas and picks on rehabilitated offenders.  We have addressed these issues in a piece of legislation signed into law this term.  We don’t and didn’t need this onerous piece of legal crap.

    Exit Polls for CA-Gov, CA-Sen and Prop 85

  • Exit polling for CA-GOV.  Interestingly, Angelides got only 67% of the vote for people who strongly disapproved of Bush.  He barely won the Bay area and tied LA Cty (ouch!).  Republicans/conservatives voted overwhelmingly for Arnold
  • Some very encouraging results from the exit polls for Prop 85.  Most encouraging? It looks like choice will be safe for the long-term.  The only age group that supported (well, tied) Prop 85 was 60 and up, and that was 50-50.  As for those younger than 30? Yes: 35, No: 65.
  • DiFi’s exit poll shows she won in just about every imaginable group.  Well, except Republicans and associated groups.