All posts by Brian Leubitz

CA-11: McCloskey: “Jerry McNerney is an honorable man, …Richard Pombo is not”

The Revolt of the Elders, the Pete McCloskey led movement to get primary challengers against corrupt republicans, has made a lasting impression upon the CA-11 race and Congressional elections in around the nation. On Wednesday, McCloskey wrote a letter arguing for the need of a Democratic majority in Congress and a McNerney win in CA-11.Here are some highlights:

It is clear that the forthcoming campaign will be a vicious one, with Mr. Pombo willing to stretch the truth as he has in the past with respect to the elderberry beetle, levee breaks, his steadfast opposition to veterans’ health care, including prosthetics research for amputees from Iraq and other wars, the impact on Marine lives of endangered species protection at Camp Pendleton and other issues. That Mr. Pombo lied in testimony to the Senate in 1994 is an accepted fact. He testified that the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service had designated his farm near Tracy as habitat for the endangered California kit fox. This was untrue, and Pombo admitted to the untruthfulness a few months later when questioned over public television, an agency for which he recently voted to cut federal funds. Such a man should not be allowed to be in charge of the nation’s public lands and waterways, a position to which he was elevated by the now-departed Tom DeLay.
***
There is another strong reason, I believe, for Republicans to work this fall for Democrat challengers against the DeLay-type Republicans like Pombo and Doolittle. That is the clear abdication by the House over the past five years of the Congress’ constitutional power and duty to exercise oversight over abuses of power, cronyism, incompetence and excessive secrecy on the part of the Executive Branch.

On the flip you will find the complete text of the letter that McCloskey wrote arguing for the need of a Democratic majority in Congress.  Hat tip to Seeing the Forest

  E NEED FOR A DEMOCRAT MAJORITY IN THE U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES IN 2007

  I have found it difficult in the past several weeks to reach a conclusion as to what a citizen should do with respect to this fall’s forthcoming congressional elections. I am a Republican, intend to remain a Republican, and am descended from three generations of California Republicans, active in Merced and San Bernardino Counties as well as in the San Francisco Bay Area. I have just engaged in an unsuccessful effort to defeat the Republican Chairman of the House Resources Committee, Richard Pombo, in the 11th Congressional District Republican primary, obtaining just over 32% of the Republican vote against Pombo’s 62%.

  The observation of Mr. Pombo’s political consultant, Wayne Johnson, that I have been mired in the obsolete values of the 1970s, honesty, good ethics and balanced budgets, all rejected by today’s modern Republicans, is only too accurate.

  It has been difficult, nevertheless, to conclude as I have, that the Republican House leadership has been so unalterably corrupted by power and money that reasonable Republicans should support Democrats against DeLay-type Republican incumbents in 2006. Let me try to explain why.

  I have decided to endorse Jerry McNerney and every other honorable Democrat now challenging those Republican incumbents who have acted to protect former Majority Leader Tom DeLay, who have flatly reneged on their Contract With America promise in 1994 to restore high standards of ethical behavior in the House and who have combined to prevent investigation of the Cunningham and Abramoff/Pombo/DeLay scandals. These Republican incumbents have brought shame on the House, and have created a wide-spread view in the public at large that Republicans are more interested in obtaining campaign contributions from corporate lobbyists than they are in legislating in the public interest.

  At the outset, let me say that in four months of campaigning I have learned that Jerry McNerney is an honorable man and that Richard Pombo is not. Mr. Pombo has used his position and power to shamelessly enrich his wife and family from campaign funds, has interfered with the federal investigation of men like Michael Hurwitz, he of the Savings & Loan frauds and ruthless clear-cutting of old growth California redwoods. Mr. Pombo has taken more money from Indian gaming lobbyist Jack Abramoff, his associates and Indian tribes interested in gaming than any other Member of Congress, in excess of $500,000. With his stated intent to gut the Endangered Species and Environmental Protection Acts, to privatize for development millions of acres of public land, including a number of National Parks, to give veto power to the Congress over constitutional decisions of the Supreme Court, his substantial contributions to DeLay’s legal defense fund, and most particularly his refusal to investigate the Abramoff involvement in Indian gaming and the exploitation of women labor in the Marianas, both matters within the jurisdiction of his committee, Mr. Pombo in my view represents all that is wrong with the national government in Washington today.

  It is clear that the forthcoming campaign will be a vicious one, with Mr. Pombo willing to stretch the truth as he has in the past with respect to the elderberry beetle, levee breaks, his steadfast opposition to veterans’ health care, including prosthetics research for amputees from Iraq and other wars, the impact on Marine lives of endangered species protection at Camp Pendleton and other issues. That Mr. Pombo lied in testimony to the Senate in 1994 is an accepted fact. He testified that the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service had designated his farm near Tracy as habitat for the endangered California kit fox. This was untrue, and Pombo admitted to the untruthfulness a few months later when questioned over public television, an agency for which he recently voted to cut federal funds.
  Such a man should not be allowed to be in charge of the nation’s public lands and waterways, a position to which he was elevated by the now-departed Tom DeLay.

  Some 18 months ago, my former law partner, Lewis Butler, an Assistant Secretary of HEW in the Nixon Administration and subsequently the distinguished Chair of California Tomorrow and the Plowshares Foundation, and I initiated an effort we called The Revolt of the Elders. All of us were retired and in the latter years of Social Security entitlement. Most of us were Republicans who had served in the Congress or in former Republican administrations with men like Gerry Ford, John Rhodes, Bob Michel, Elliot Richardson, Barry Goldwater, Ronald Reagan and the president’s father, George H. W. Bush, all men of impeccable integrity and ethics.

  We had become appalled at the House Republican leadership’s decision in early 2005 to effectively emasculate the House Committee on Standards of Official Conduct by changing the rules to protect Majority Leader Tom DeLay. DeLay had been admonished three times by the Committee for abuse of power and unethical conduct. It was our hope to persuade Speaker Hastert and the Republican leadership, of which Northern California Congressman Richard Pombo and John Doolittle were prominent members, to rescind the rules changes and to act in accord with the promise of high ethical standards contained in Speaker Gingrich’s Contract With America which brought the Republicans majority control in 1994. We failed. Letters to the Speaker from an increasing number of former Republican Members were ignored and remained unanswered. Then, only a few weeks ago, the House leadership refused to allow even a vote on what could have become an effective independent ethics monitor. Instead of repudiating the infamous “Pay to Playâ€? program put in place by DeLay to extract maximum corporate campaign contributions to “Retain Our Majority Partyâ€? (ROMP), DeLay’s successor as Majority Leader called for a continuance of the free luxury airline trips, mammoth campaign contributions to the so-called “Leadership PACsâ€? and the continuing stalemate on the Ethics Committee. Strangely, even after the guilty pleas of Abramoff, Duke Cunningham and a number of former House staffers who had been sent to work for Abramoff and other lobbyists. The Republican House leaders don’t see this as corruption worthy of investigation or change. That their former staff members and Abramoff were granted preference in access to the legislative process is not seen as a problem if it helps Republicans retain control of the House. It reminds one of the contentions of Haldeman and Ehrlichman long ago that the national security justified wire-tapping and burglary of Ellsberg’s psychiatrist’s office and the Democratic National Headquarters at the Watergate. Republicans are happy with this new corporate lobby/House complex, which is far more dangerous that the Industry/Defense complex we were long ago warned about by President Eisenhower.

  I have therefore reluctantly concluded that party loyalty should be set aside, and that it is in the best interests of the nation, and indeed the future of the Republican Party itself, to return control of the House to temporary Democrat control, if only to return the House for a time to the kind of ethics standards practiced by Republicans in former years. I say reluctantly, having no great illusion that Democrats or any other kind of politician will long resist the allure of campaign funds and benefits offered by the richest and most profitable of the Halliburtons, oil companies, tobacco companies, developers and Indian gaming tribes whose contributions so heavily dominate the contributions to Congressmen Pombo and Doolittle.

  As an aside, it seems to me that the Abramoff and Cunningham scandals make it timely for the Congress to consider public matching funds for small contributions to congressional candidates, the same type of system we adopted some time ago for presidential elections. It may be cheaper for the taxpayer to fund congressional elections than to bear the cost of lobbyist-controlled legislation like the recent Medicaid/Medicare drug bill.

  There is another strong reason, I believe, for Republicans to work this fall for Democrat challengers against the DeLay-type Republicans like Pombo and Doolittle. That is the clear abdication by the House over the past five years of the Congress’ constitutional power and duty to exercise oversight over abuses of power, cronyism, incompetence and excessive secrecy on the part of the Executive Branch. When does anyone remember House Committee hearings to examine into the patent failures of the Bush Administration to adhere to laws like the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978, or to the arrogant refusal of the President to accept the congressionally-enacted limits on torture of prisoners? When can anyone remember the House’s use of the subpoena power to compel answers from Administration officials? Why have there been no oversight hearings into the Cunningham bribery affair or Abramoff’s Indian gaming and exploitation of women labor in the Marianas?

  When three former congressional staff aides join Abramoff in pleading guilty to attempting to bribe Congressmen, and a fourth takes the 5th Amendment rather than answer Senator McCain’s questions about his relationship with Abramoff and Indian gaming, with all five having given substantial campaign contributions to Mr. Pombo, with Indian tribes alone having given more than $500,000 to Pombo, would it not seem reasonable to ask him to conduct an appropriate oversight committee
  Hearing into these matters, as long demanded by members of both parties, notably including his neighbor, George Miller?

  For all of these reasons, I believe and hope that the Republicans who voted for me on June 6 will vote for Mr. McNerney and against Mr. Pombo in November.

  The checks and balances of our Constitution are an essential part of our system of government, as is the public faith that can be obtained only by good ethical conduct on the part of our elected leaders.

  If the Republicans in the House won’t honor these principles, then the Democrats should be challenged to do so. And if they decline to exercise that privilege, we can turn them out too. I appreciate that I had serious deficiencies as a candidate, and that four months of campaigning and the expenditure of $500,000 of the funds contributed by old friends and supporters were unsuccessful in convincing Republicans of the 11th District to end the continuing corruption in Washington. I hope, however, to partially redeem my electoral failure by working, as a simple private citizen, to rekindle a Republican sense of civic duty to participate in the electoral process this fall. The goal of The Revolt of the Elders was and is to educate voters to the need for a return of ethics and honesty in Washington. That goal was right 18 months ago, and seems even more worthwhile today.

  Pete McCloskey, Dublin, California. July 26, 2006

Three Strikes On Ballot Again?

Dem. Sen. Gloria Romero, disappointed after her 3 strikes reform bill, SB 1642, died, has begun hinting that a reform package might appear on the ballot, possibly in 2008.

Senator Gloria Romero, D-Los Angeles, and L.A. District Attorney Steve Cooley say it is “highly likely” that voters will see another initiative designed to change the state’s three-strikes sentencing law in 2008. The pair, who worked together this year on a stalled Senate proposal to change the law, said they still think voters are ready to alter the sentencing policy.
  *  *  *
Three strikes was moved to the top of many district attorneys’ priority lists by Proposition 66 in 2004. This measure was narrowly defeated by voters after a late full court press by law enforcement groups and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. Cooley opposed that measure, saying it went much too far in terms of eliminating third-strike offenses.

However, he said, it got him thinking about the need for reform. This led to a Dec. 3, 2004, meeting in San Francisco between himself, San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris and Alameda District Attorney Tom Orloff. Cooley said the meeting spurred him to write numerous measures, including 1642 and a currently-active ballot measure, number 1213, on the secretary of state’s Web site. Cooley said that after consulting recently with campaign consultant John Shallman, he decided there was not time qualify the initiative this year.  (Capitol Weekly 7/27/06)

The initiative and statute have not made Cooley any friends within the California District Attorneys Association (CDAA) either.  It’s not hard to understand why a bunch of district attorneys would oppose a 3 strikes reform effort, after all the “tough on crime” people will vilify you for your efforts.  But Romero and Cooley are working to see that some three strikes reform happens, and that’s a credit to them in that they are standing up for their principles and helping reform the prison system where it really needs it: in sentencing.

SB 1642 had some holes, as most bills like this do.  However, it would have gone a long way towards not only reducing the three strikes population but also towards discussing further sentencing reform.  Prop 36, the drug rehab instead of prison initiative, is being attacked on all sides, but the fact remains that it has been far more successful than locking drug addicts up.  Now is the time to consider some truly bold reforms in an attempt to build a correction and rehabilitation system that will be stable in the long-term.  And three strikes reform would be a good first step towards these goals.

Democratic Reunion Events

The DNC under Howard Dean, whatever its faults may be, has done a good job of helping the grassroots be more effective.  One of the ways they are doing this now is through the “Democratic Reunion” events. They have a listing of all the events in California. If you have some time, consider participating in helping to make the state and country more “blue.”  I’ll try to put some of the events in the event section, but there tons of events, so make sure you search for your city.

CA-Gov: PPIC Poll has Arnold leading

The July PPIC Statewide survey was released late last night.  It’s focused on environmental issues, but the gubenatorial election data that was also obtained in the survey was not great news.  According to PPIC, Schwarzenegger is leading Angelides 43-30.  Part of the difference between this and other polls is due to the way the question was asked.  Rather than just saying Angelides, Schwarzenegger or other, the question mentioned specific candidates like Green Party candidate Peter Camejo. Camejo gets 4 percent in this poll and likely takes most of that from Angelides.

PPIC is generally a very good survey organization.  It doesn’t have quite the accuracy of Field, but it’s certainly not something out of left field.  That being said, Schwarzenegger is still polling well below 50%, the traditional indicator of a safe incumbent.  Interestingly, it appears Democrats have yet to be convinced by Angelides.  Currently only 54% of Democrats say they support Angelides.  This is a real growth opportunity for Phil; he needs to get his message out to the Democrats around the state.  Arnold pulls down 79% of the GOP vote, and Angelides will need to get a similar percentage of the Dem vote. 

A sizable ad campaign will help reverse some of the poor numbers.  If you think about it, this poll is really taken in the valley of Phil’s popularity.  He’s coming out of a bruising primary and is being massively outspent.  Future spending and additional appearances around the state will improve his standing not just among Dems, but also among independents, a category that Arnold is leading 43-25.

So, what can we do to help get Phil’s message out.  One interesting opportunity is Phil’s “volunteer center”, a virtual phone bank.  It is imperative that the voters of this state are aware the stakes of this election.  Let’s not let Arnold coast.  As always, the Poll HQ has been updated.

CA-11: Pombo’s B.S and McCloskey’s Endorsement

It’s quite clear by now that Pombo has no problems with taking thinly disguised bribes from Indian tribes, anti-environmentalists, anybody with a few bucks, etc.  Say No to Pombo points out another questionable case from the Tracy Congressman:

That would mean the $5,000 buffalo was, indeed, a gift (albeit an unreported and untaxed one) from the Rosebud Sioux Tribe to Congressman Richard Pombo, serving in his role as Chairman of the House Resources Committee and head of the Bureau of Indian Affairs.

So I’ll repeat my question from Saturday, phrasing it a little bit differently: If there are “rules banning federal officials from accepting gifts from people who are regulated by, or might do business with, their agency,” why has there been no federal investigation of this apparently unreported gift to Richard Pombo from the Rosebud Sioux? (Say No to Pombo 7/26/06)

The entire post is a compelling read and features some excellent analysis of this buffalo hunt.  As that dirty Ricky story is coming out, Jerry McNerney picked up a big endorsement, that of Pombo primary challenger, former Congressman Pete McCloskey.  While not a surprise, McCloskey’s endorsement  signals an opportunity for McNerney to pick up the votes of a big portion of the approximately 1/3 of Republicans who voted for McCloskey.  And Pombo’s big stash of money shows that he expects no cakewalk this election.  His days are numbered; it’d sure be great to get rid of him before he does any more damage than he’s done already.

CA-Gov: The GOP Nativ(ists) are Restless

All politics is local, right?  Well, if you’re Arnold Schwarzenegger in a precarious balancing act, you pass the buck upward.  Specifically, Arnold is trying to court Latino voters in order to get his magical 33% figure all the while trying to keep the nativists in his party in his camp.  It’s not clear if the strategy is really working:

A heavily Republican crowd grilled Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger during a campaign appearance in San Diego County on Tuesday, badgering the governor to justify his position on immigration. Typically, such sessions are a breeze for the gregarious governor, in part because they are publicized among local Republicans to ensure a heavy partisan turnout. Less so Tuesday, when Schwarzenegger, who is seeking a second term, saw firsthand how incendiary an issue immigration still is for many Republicans.

Some political analysts believe the governor is pushing the boundaries of how much he can woo Latinos before he risks alienating his party faithful. Immigration ranked as the No. 1 concern among Republican voters in a major poll released Tuesday.

During a question-and-answer session with 150 people at Harry Griffen Park in La Mesa, the governor never lost his composure, but he did lose at least one vote….“I voted for you. And right now, I don’t see much difference between you and Phil Angelines,” Plata said, mispronouncing the name of the governor’s Democratic challenger. “I don’t see that you’re standing up for the citizens of California,” she said to scattered boos and applause from different factions of the audience. (SJ Mercury-News 7/26/06)

The GOP Coalition is being held together by rubberbands and chewing gum at this point.  It’s one thing to claim a “big tent”, another to deal with the devil as Arnold is forced to do.  The fact remains that the GOP is counting on Schwarzenegger’s celebrity to garner a few votes where they couldn’t before…and that doesn’t sit to well with the Natives.

CA-Gov Polls: Some good news(Zogby)…some not so good news (Field)

A couple of polls came out this week as I was vacationing with my sister’s family in lovely, but cloudy, San Diego.  First, we have the WSJ/Zogby poll (H/t CPR) that came out July 24.  It has Angelides up, 44% to 42.3%, with a 3.5% MoE.  So, it’s definitely good news.  Last month’s poll had Angelides up by a fraction of a percentage point.

However, as I’ve said before, the Field Poll is the gold standard in California polling.  And, well, they have the governator with an 8 point lead (45-37).  It’s a little bit worrisome to see the lead in the Field Poll hovering at that 7-8 point lead.  It appears that Phil hasn’t made much headway since the June primary election.

So, it’s a mixed bag, but by no means is it time to panic.  Phil is just beginning to get a good feel for the race, and I have high hopes for the next few months.  He’s been outspent about 15-1, and he’s definitely still in the race.  You might also want to read John Meyers’ post about the silver lining of this poll.  For one thing, Arnold still is struggling with Latinos, losing by 58-22.  He’ll need to pick up some support there to win the race, especially if there’s a big debate about immigration.  As always, these polls will be added to the Poll HQ

Revision of 3 Strikes favored by Large Majority of Californians

I was going through PowerPAC’s April poll and just noticed the question regarding 3 Strikes.  Politicians seem to think it’s some sort of third rail.  It’s not:

Changing three strikes and you’re out law: 71 percent of Anglos and 78 percent of Latinos support changing the current law, with Latinos much more likely to strongly support changing the law (61% strongly support), though Anglos still strongly support changing it with just shy of a majority (48%) strongly supporting this change. Only 26 percent of Anglos and 19 percent of Latinos oppose changing the law. (PowerPAC 4/06)

I would like to see some honest debate about this issue in the gubenatorial election.  Our prisons will not be fixed by merely building more.  Revisions of 3 strikes and drug laws are necessary to add rehabilitation capacity.  Our rate of recidivism (70%) is outrageous, and locking people up in prisons where the only thing they learn is new crime skills is not the answer.

The Hidden Electorate: Latino Votes in the Governor’s race

Latinos are a typically underpolled minority, and Latino votes will make a huge impact  partially because of language issues, but also for a lundry list of other reasons.  That undercounting could end up having a big impact this November, as even national news sources (h/t CPR) are picking up the growing discontent with the Governator amongst Latinos.

[Arnold Schwarzenegger] “cut the budget for the schools,” Gonzales said. Her answer is not unusual in this heavily Hispanic section of Los Angeles County. Mentioning the Republican governor elicits an almost invariably negative opinion about him.

The harsh views illustrate how far Schwarzenegger’s star has fallen among Hispanics since the heady days of the 2003 recall election, when he won 32 percent of their vote. That accomplishment was magnified because his main Democratic opponent was Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, a Hispanic.

Today, polls indicate Schwarzenegger’s support among Hispanic voters is much lower as he seeks re-election. A recent survey by San Jose State University found 58 percent supported his Democratic rival, state Treasurer Phil Angelides, while just 12 percent supported the governor.  (ABC News 7/22/06)

It’s now a well-known cliche (and cited in the ABC News article) that the Governor must win at least a third of the Latino vote in order to win the race.  The best poll I’ve seen of Latino issues is the PowerPac poll that has Arnold with 25% support.  However, that poll is a bit old.  More recent polls have him a bit lower.  If Latino voter participation is high, I think we might be in store for a surprising result come November.

CA-Gov: New CDP Ad and Arnold’s Approval

You take a few hours away from the computer, and a whole bunch of stuff comes down the pike.  (H/t to juls) First, SurveyUSA released their monthly governor approval poll. Here’s the graph, which is also available in the PollHQ.

Next, the CDP and the CRP (what a perfect acronym) are making another ad volley. The CDP fired first with this Angelides ad poking at Arnold as “an actor, not a leader.” The ad criticized Schwarzenegger for cutting soical services and highlighted the fact that Angelides has fought him the whole time.  It’s a great ad, especially if this were the primary, a little less great now.  It relies on the disapproval of Arnold, which, while sliding down to 57%, is still quite high.

The CRP followed up with their ad, another in a series of “Moving California Forward.” You know that series where they glorify him and do their best at putting lipstick on their “moderate” pig.  You know the funny part about Arnold’s “moderate” thing is that the GOP has moved far enough to the right where perhaps to some he looks moderate.  But the real fact behind this is that he has done nothing for the GOP in terms of making the party as a whole more electable in California.  Tom McClintock is still the same Tom McClintock. Go right down their list of candidates in competitive races, and moderates are few. 

And I still don’t yield the term “moderate” to Arnold anyways.  A “moderate” wouldn’t make that stupid tax pledge that binds our government to the post and doesn’t allow for true investment in our infrastructure.  A “moderate” doesn’t call a special election to cut unions off at the knees and to pull off a Delay-esque mid-decade redistricting.  No, Arnold talks a new, more moderate game, but he’s the same “reformer” he was last November.