Tag Archives: recovery

Recovery: The Proof is in the Pudding at the Worksite

In my last post, I cited a New York Times story that indicated that most economists think the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is helping to create jobs and stimulate our economy. Earlier this week, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office confirmed the economists’ findings.  

According to the CBO, in the third quarter of this year alone, 600 thousand to 1.6 million jobs were directly created or saved by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, reducing our country’s unemployment rate by 0.3 to 0.9 percent. This is an especially important finding for my home state of California, which at 12.3 percent, suffers from the third worst unemployment rate in the nation.

Indeed, it’s worth noting that the CBO report does not measure indirect job creation. Jobs created through most sub-contractors and vendors are not included in the report nor are the jobs created at local businesses when 1.6 million Americans have sufficient wages to put their money back into the economy.

They say all politics is local, and that may or may not be true, but it’s certainly the case that all jobs are local. When I talk to constituents, I hear from understandably frustrated people who think the stimulus has been ineffective. I understand that 1.6 million jobs created is just a statistic when you are still unemployed, when your family is still struggling, when your phone is ringing off the hook from relentless creditors, when you’re falling behind in your rent or mortgage payments.

More solutions over the flip…

Even for these individuals, the stimulus passed by President Obama and Congressional Democrats back in February has improved things. When 1.6 million more people are gainfully employed, the challenging job climate for those still unemployed is a little bit easier. When 1.6 million more people are able to put food on the table from their own wages, the reduced usage of government and non-profit assistance means more resources are available for families still struggling in this difficult economy. When half the stimulus package has yet to be distributed, many families are not yet aware that help is on the way.

Nevertheless, when 15.7 million Americans are unemployed, including well over 30,000 people in the 10th Congressional District, I know our work in Congress is far from done. Yesterday, I joined my Democratic colleagues on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee to highlight the findings of a report by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) that identified 9,500 “ready-to-go” highway, bridge, transit, port, rail, and aviation projects worth more than $69 billion that would create hundreds of thousands of jobs if we funded them in Congress.

We know that in an economic downturn, governments are well advised to invest in their infrastructure, employing people in the present to lay down the building blocks for future economic growth. In California, AASHTO identified 120 projects worth more than $4 billion that, with federal approval, would get thousands of newly employed boots on the ground in 120 days or fewer.

Crumbling roads throughout my home state are delaying commutes, slowing down freight traffic, impeding the attractiveness of bus travel, and discouraging area residents from engaging in commerce. A more robust investment in our public transportation networks would also do much to reduce congestion, better integrate public transit, and help us reach our carbon emission goals. In the three town halls I will be hosting this Saturday in my district, I know the deteriorating status of our region’s transportation infrastructure will be a frequent topic of discussion from constituents.

Today, President Obama holds his jobs summit, and based on public reports, the importance of more investment in transportation will not go unnoticed. My Democratic colleagues in the Transportation and Infrastructure Committee have alerted the President of our desire to move ahead with many of AASHTO’s recommendations. Working together, we will produce a number of bills in the coming months that will continue our important work rebuilding an economy left in shatters following eight years of neglect and misguided priorities.

While you may not agree with every bill passed by Congress or every decision made by the President, when I say that we take our responsibility as incubators of a better economy seriously, I hope you’ll take me at my word. If not, the proof is in the pudding of the lunches of the 600 thousand to 1.6 million people now employed because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.

Congressman John Garamendi (D-Walnut Creek) represents California’s 10th Congressional District. You can follow Congressman John Garamendi on his new Twitter and Facebook accounts.

Because Recovery Works, 3.5 Million Americans to Work Too

In the months following the end of George W. Bush’s disastrous term as President, my Congressional colleagues and President Barack Obama worked tirelessly to create an economic recovery plan that could begin the difficult process of creating jobs and rebuilding our economy. Had I been in Congress at the time, I would have gladly voted for the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, and as a recent New York Times article by Jackie Calmes and Michael Cooper reveals, “the accumulation of hard data and real-life experience has allowed more dispassionate analysts to reach a consensus that the stimulus package, messy as it is, is working.”

They continue: “The legislation, a variety of economists say, is helping an economy in free fall a year ago to grow again and shed fewer jobs than it otherwise would. Mr. Obama’s promise to “save or create” about 3.5 million jobs by the end of 2010 is roughly on track, though far more jobs are being saved than created, especially among states and cities using their money to avoid cutting teachers, police officers and other workers.”

“It was worth doing – it’s made a difference,” Nigel Gault, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, a financial forecasting and analysis group, explained in the article. “I don’t think it’s right to look at it by saying, ‘Well, the economy is still doing extremely badly, therefore the stimulus didn’t work.’ I’m afraid the answer is, yes, we did badly but we would have done even worse without the stimulus.”

So despite the consternation of some pundits, it turns out the President was right. Stimulus relief worked, and Democrats in Congress keep working. Since I joined Congress earlier this month, my House colleagues and I have backed a number of bills that will strengthen small businesses and create more jobs.

More over the flip…

For example, H.R. 3738 by Congressman Glenn Nye (D-Virginia) would offer $250 million in financing to help early-stage small businesses in technology sectors, and with loan returns, it’s self-financing. Another bill, H.R. 3014 by Congresswoman Kathleen Dahlkemper (D-Pennsylvania), would offer loan guarantees to small business health professionals to be used for the acquisition and installation of health information technology. Another good bill, H.R. 3737 by Congressman Brad Ellsworth (D-Indiana), would expand small business microloan eligibility and lending limits while lowering interest rates. When constituents ask me what I’ve done to help fix our economy at my three district town halls on December 5th, these are some of the bills I will highlight.

Like President Franklin D. Roosevelt and the New Deal Democrats before us, we’ve inherited a mess from a Republican administration, and we’re picking up the pieces to rebuild our economy, brick by brick, job by job, solar panel by solar panel. But if you listened to some of the pundits, you’d think President Obama and Congressional Democrats were responsible for our present economic downturn.

Some people seem to forget that President Bush turned President Bill Clinton’s $559 billion surplus into a $1.2 trillion deficit. Indeed, President Bush spent more taxpayer money than any of his six immediate predecessors, including President Lyndon B. Johnson. Under President Clinton, real discretionary spending increased by 0.1 percent. Under President Bush, real discretionary spending increased by 44 percent. To date, the Iraq War alone has cost the country more than $700 billion, and President Bush’s tax cuts for the wealthiest five percent of Americans cost more than $1.3 trillion.

The American people have made it clear that they prefer Democratic solutions to economic crisis. They want a proactive commitment to job creation, and they know that the federal government is able to provide some relief to local schools, job training programs, and senior centers devastated by state and local budget cuts.

Over the coming months, my colleagues and I will be back in Washington to try and bring some additional relief to American workers. There are plenty of good bills on the table that will improve the climate for small businesses, reinvest in jobs-creating infrastructure, provide incentives for research and the creation of green jobs, and offer targeted tax assistance for working and middle class Americans. We can’t afford to wait.

Congressman John Garamendi (D-Walnut Creek) represents California’s 10th Congressional District. You can follow Congressman John Garamendi on his new Twitter and Facebook accounts.

The Slow Recovery: Unemployment in CA Rises to 12.2%

Perhaps the rumors of a recovery aren’t yet reaching the ears of California employers, because these numbers aren’t all that recovery like.

Despite signs an economic recovery has begun in the state, California’s unemployment rate inched up in August, once again setting a new postwar high at 12.2%.

The state is one of 14 in the nation with an unemployment rate in the double digits, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning. Only Michigan, Nevada and Rhode Island, at 15.2%, 13.2% and 12.8%, respectively, have higher unemployment rates than California. The national unemployment rate in August was 9.7%. (LAT 9/18/09)

Now employment is a lagging indicator of economic health, because employers like to be sure business is picking up before they hire workers back.  So this very well could be that the economy is recovering, but just not yet for jobs.  However, here in California the job situation is quite bad, and the addition of more state budget cuts as we move forward into the fiscal year and next won’t help either.  It’s going to be a sloooooow recovery here.