[From NCP] Initial Evaluation: SF Ranked Choice Balloting

[Originally posted at NorCal Politics on February 16, 2006]

I don’t have too much to add to this BeyondChron story on the first run at ranked choice balloting in San Francisco. The long and the short of it seems to be this:

  1. No need for expensive run-off elections (the last one cost the city $3M);
  2. Higher voter turnout; and
  3. Higher voter turnout in traditionally low-turnout neighborhoods and ethnicities.

There’s also a strong argument that IRV tends to select candidates who reflect the true preference of the electorate, as:

  1. There’s no penalty for truly voting your first choice first, which avoids the “don’t vote third party” problem; and
  2. If candidates are sufficiently extreme to reflect only a small core consituency, the system will settle on the more moderate candidates who represent the natural compromise candidates.

All of which means, of course, that it threatens both of the existing party establishments and the pundit class who make their living on complaining about the status quo while doing their best to maintain it.

Busby: Jefferson Should Resign

(Busby is taking a stand against the ethical violations of both parties. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

(cross-posted on daily kos)

I love this and it damn well better get some play in the press.  This is a great example of Busby continuing to stand up for ethics, no matter which party the accused politician is a member of.

Hotline has the goods:

CA 50 Dem candidate Francine Busby (D) today endorsed an ethical standard that Beltway Dems have so far found unpalatable.

Busby, in a statement, “called on Representative William Jefferson (D-LA) to resign immediately from Congress.”

Busby:

    “Americans deserve the highest standard of ethical conduct from our members of Congress. We must fight corruption in both parties to make Congress work for the people of this country. Mr. Jefferson should do what is in the best interest of the people of his district and resign from Congress immediately.”

Busby, of course, is a candidate in the June 6 special election to replace ex-Rep. Duke Cunningham (R). VP Cheney today hosted a fundraiser for ex-Rep. Brian Bilbray (R), who is running neck-and-neck with Busby (if polls and the NRCC’s IE expenditures are to be tea-leaved) in this SoCal Republican district.

The press release is not up on Busby’s website yet.  Other than calling in talk radio in the area and spreading this in the blogs I am not sure what all else we can do to play this up.

As always, don’t forget to send some turkee to Busby, let’s help Francine make up for Cheney’s fundraiser.  Volunteer here.

SB 1437 debate heats up

Sen. Sheila Kuehl’s SB 1437 is back in the news.  The SacBee published an excellent article about the current debate:

Sen. Bill Morrow, R-Oceanside, agreed that bullying and harassment have no place in school. However, he doesn’t believe the bill is a panacea.

Morrow, who spoke out against the bill on the Senate floor, called the legislation unnecessary, noting there’s nothing in the state’s education code preventing schools or teachers from discussing homosexuality.

[Student gay activist Lance] Chih said he has had to seek out his own heroes in literature.
***
Chih believes there are lessons to learn. For example, the gay rights movement was sparked by civil disobedience. The 1969 Stonewall riots in New York was one of the first times in modern history a significant body of gay people resisted arrest when police raided gay bars.  Students whose memories may include the slaying of Wyoming college student Matthew Shepard in 1998 could get a civics lesson on the subsequent push for hate crimes prevention.  “It’s not talked about in U.S. history. It should be,” Chih said. (SacBee 5/23/06)

As Chih states, it’s not about any agenda.  It’s about giving LGBT students the opportunity to thrive in educational settings.  Health classes just don’t cover enough. LGBT students are far more likely to attempt suicide and generally have lower grades. This law will help LGBT youth deal with the coming out process and the questioning that comes during adolescence in addition to promoting tolerance. 

California Blog Roundup, 5/22/06

Today’s California Blog Roundup on the flip.  Teasers:  Schwarzenegger’s steadfast commitment to saying whatever he thinks people want to hear, Westly & Angelides, immigration / mother tongues / National Guard, CA-04, CA-11, CA-50, other fun stuff.

Race for Governor

Immigration Issues

Paid-For Pombo / CA-11

15% Doolittle / CA-50

CA-50, Miscellany

Credit Rating Increases with a side of cynicism

From Dan Weintraub’s California Insider, a portion of Moody’s report describing the increase of California’s bond rating to A1:

California’s rating remains low compared to other states due to its ongoing fiscal challenges. The most immediate challenge is the state’s stubborn structural budget gap. Although moderate in size on its face — at less than 4% in the fiscal 2007 budget proposal — the gap remains a concern for three reasons: (i) its persistence after several years of good economic performance; (ii) the state’s still relatively narrow budget reserves; and (iii) the state’s high degree of reliance on tax revenue from volatile sources such as corporate net income, capital gains, exercised stock options, and high-income taxpayers generally. Although the conditions do not appear to be in place for a sharp high-end income decline in the near-term, this represents a significant area of potential exposure for the state. Any significant revenue underperformance in the near term would directly lead to a swelling of the structural imbalance and cause difficult budgeting challenges.(California Insider 5/22/06)

The upgrade, along with the similar move by Standard and Poor’s, will make the bonds substantially cheaper.  For a quick history of our credit rating, see the Treasurer’s website.  This is a really great thing for the state, it will save us millions of dollars on both outstanding and upcoming bond issuances.  However, the cynicism showed is probably something that should be taken to heart by those in Sacramento.  The windfall is not something that we should be counting on next year.  We still have yet to really fix the structural deficit. 

And the phrase “difficult budgeting challenges”, that’s a laugher huh?  Every year has difficult budgetary challenges.  Every year we hash out some sort of bizarre plan that makes nobody happy, but is required by the damn supermajority rules.  If push comes to shove and there is a real revenue crunch we end up imploding (see: Davis, Gray).

In the past we sought to use the extra revenue in fashions that bought us peace in Sacramento.  but that’s not necessarily what we need most.  What we need most is a workable budget that kowtows to nobody, but succeeds in following a vision of long-term stability.  The windfall should be used to ensure that the state can sustain economic hardships without resorting to political rarities.

CA-4: Doolittle’s Baby-Problems

The Buzz from the SacBee mentioned an article in the Washington Post about Doolittle’s wonderful campaign finance practice of using campaign funds to pay for baby-sitting for his 14 year old daughter:

CHILD CARE, most any parent knows, can be a huge expense. Some members of Congress, though, have found an innovative — and brazen — way to defray the cost: Their campaign funds pick up the tab when child care is needed because the candidate is out campaigning. A leader in this creative billing is Rep. John T. Doolittle (R-Calif.), who has had his campaign reelection committee and his leadership PAC pay $5,881 in child-care costs since 2001 for his daughter, now 14. This election alone, Mr. Doolittle’s campaign committees have paid almost $975 in child-care bills to a woman who lives near his family’s Oakton home.
***
This may be permissible under the lax guidance of the congressional enablers at the FEC. That doesn’t make it right. It’s the attitude of congressional entitlement to a subsidized lifestyle — cut-rate private jets, lavish private travel — that drives public disdain for Congress. Mr. Doolittle makes $165,200 a year as a member of Congress. His wife has already taken in close to $100,000 in commissions this election as his fundraiser. They should just pay the sitter, as other working parents do.(Washington Post 5/16/06)

But Doolittle has a habit of using campaign funds as his own personal piggy bank.  He, like many other GOP congressman, see the letter of the law as the only boundry, and only their vision of the law.  That they violate the spirit of laws, or any ethical constraints that most people would stick to seems to be a nonissue.  Doolittle is amongst the most egregious examples of this.  And it appears that the only thing that will stop him from running his own little fiefdom is a loss in November.

jane you ignorant slut

(A diary Chevy would be proud of… – promoted by SFBrianCL)

jane harman, who is facing a challenge from newcomer marcy winograd in her home district of venice california, is also facing a challenge from the democratic leadership (yes, we know it’s an oxymoron) to rotate ms. harman off of her seat on the house intelligence (another oxymoron) committee. the latimes:

the dispute pits the venice lawmaker against house democratic leader nancy pelosi of san francisco. its outcome could determine what role harman, who once ran for california governor and is one of the most quoted democrats on intelligence matters, will play in the next congress — if she is reelected.

pelosi has informed colleagues that she intends to force harman to step down, replacing her with rep. alcee l. hastings of florida, the second most senior democrat on the intelligence panel.

if democrats take control of the house in the november midterm elections, which some polls indicate is possible, they will name the next chairperson of the intelligence committee, which became one of the most important congressional panels after sept. 11.

we take interest in this because skippy international headquarters lies within jane’s district…tho to be honest, we are supporting her challenger, marcy winograd.

jane is running some highly visible ads here in los angeles of herself sitting at a desk taking aWol to task for warrantless wire-tapping (she’s the one taking aWol to task, not the desk). she doesn’t care if it’s “inconvenient for the president,” she tells us, it’s illegal and she intends to do something about it.

sure, now that marcy is actually gaining traction in her bid to upset jane in next month’s primary, jane is all hot and bothered about aWol and his friends at at&t. a report from impeachpac tells us:

in a startling upset, winograd supporters blocked california democratic party endorsement of harman, a six-term incumbent, at a pre-primary endorsement meeting. winograd got 35 percent of the delegates’ votes, enough to prevent harman from gaining the 70 percent needed for an automatic party endorsement. a floor fight is anticipated at the state convention april 28, where either candidate could win the state party endorsement by capturing a 60 percent margin.

jane managed to get the endorsement on april 30, but apparently not without breaking a sweat. so it’s no wonder that jane is talking tough against the “leaker-in-chief,” as she calls him. but as tom hayden over at the huffpo points out, this is a new stance for jane:

it’s no secret that harman is the center of democratic friction. she was one of a handful of congressmembers invited into the secret white house briefings on what has mushroomed into a major scandal: the launch of domestic spying by intelligence agencies without warrants. the ranking democrat on the house intelligence committee, harman promised the white house to keep secret what she heard at the meetings.

she could have been a whistleblower, but chose not to be.

she could have refused the unconditional promise of secrecy, but chose not to.

she could have resigned the secret committee without comment, letting her silence do the talking, but chose not to.

left to harman, the spy scandal would still be a secret today. it was the new york times, not democratic leaders, who first broke the silence and secrecy.

harman actually approved the spy program in her initial comments, then sought a legal opinion before commenting further.

with the nedmentum running high on the right coast, we here on the left coast are feeling pretty optimistic about marcy’s chances (even gore “f*ck norman mailer” vidal publically supported marcy at the latimes festival of books last month).

we’ll see what happens. even if jane keeps her seat, at least the heat is making her start to act like a democrat.

California impeachment update

Nice surprise this morning. As I’m skimming through my daily LA Times email, there is this headline: “Democrats McCloskey (29th C.D.) and Coleman (28th C.D.) aren’t waiting ’till Nov.” I’ve never heard of these guys, but that is not surprising as we have over 50 Congressional Districts in California, all completely gerrymandered so there are very few meaningful races. These must be some of the hopeless long shots.

The accompanying link looks like just another LA Times link: email.latimes.com/cgi-bin1/DM/y/e23r0IQus50G2B0HYJt0EN Curious, I click on it. You can too.

And here’s some of what I see:

Impeachteam

I don’t know how these guys got in the LA Times email (guess this is a poorly marked ad), but I do know what I am seeing. As resistance builds against the lawlessness of the Bush regime, little acts of protest are turning up everywhere. These guys aren’t going to be in Congress — McCloskey is taking on incumbent Adam Schiff in a Glendale-Pasadena-Alhambra district that has in recent years become solidly Democratic. Coleman is being a pesky fly in Democratic power Howard Berman’s district. But it is sure nice to see these guys making a splash to push their Congresscritters to do the right thing.

See also Freeway Blogger for lots of good ideas for grass roots resistance.