Westly endorsed by SF Chron

(Westly gets a big boost in the major Democratic battle field. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Today the SF Chronicle  endorsed Steve Westly in the Democratic primary race for CA Governor:

What distinguishes Westly is his specificity and courage in taking on important, but politically thorny, issues that others in Sacramento would rather avoid. For example, he embraces a plan by Los Angeles District Attorney Steve Cooley to reform the “three strikes” sentencing law so that the third strike is a violent felony. He advocates setting aside a portion of the state’s surge in revenue to cover promised health-care benefits to retirees, a multibillion-dollar time bomb for the state if it is left unaddressed. He recognizes that the state’s failed foster-care system is resulting in a “stunning” number of its emancipating youth becoming homeless or incarcerated. He supports reforms to take the drawing of legislative districts out of the hands of legislators. He has even taken on “Turbo Tax” maker Intuit in pushing for a streamlined income-tax process that would not require filling out a separate state return.

Of the two candidates Westly, in my opinion, is the better candidate.  Of course if Angelides wins the primary I will support him in the general, however I do think that Westly has the best chance to take out Ahnold.

Westly is a good, strong Democrat, he has supported Democratic values and issues all his life, and he is also someone who works hard to do what is best for our state.

While Angelides has the endorsement of the CA Dem Party (as a delegate I can tell you that the party endorsement is skewed, and our party would be better served if we stayed away from endorsements in primaries), Westly has the ear and attention of many voters.

In just a few short weeks the primary will be over and we will all be supporting our Democratic candidate, and it is my hope that Steve Westly will be that candidate, and the SF Chron agrees with me : )

A sample of what Prop 82 could do for the state

The SacBee published an article outlinin Alpine County’s preschool program.  The program offers free preschool for nearly every child in the county:

Like most 4-year-olds in California, Megan and Nathan Cruz spend their days away from home, in a bright colorful room where they draw, sing, socialize and learn the letters of the alphabet.
Unlike most children in California — whose parents pay an average $7,500 a year for child care — the twins attend a preschool that costs their parents nothing.

The unusual program in Alpine County — a rugged 727-square-mile stretch of the Sierra south of Lake Tahoe — offers both a glimpse of California’s rural past and a vision of what could become the state’s educational future.

Using public money generated by cigarette taxes, Alpine County has already done what the rest of California is now contemplating under Proposition 82 on the June ballot. For the past three years, it has provided free preschool to nearly all children whose parents want it.
***
Kati Bell has two kids at the preschool — 3-year-old Sophie and 5-year-old Ryan. The family moved to Alpine County this fall, in part because of the preschool. In Palo Alto, Bell said, she paid $150 a day for her children’s preschool. Now preschool is free and her children couldn’t be happier.

“They love it here,” Bell said. “If I come too early, they say, ‘Can we stay?’ ” (SacBee 5/20/06)

Prop 82 holds a lot of promise for the state.  Yes, it has its fair share of flaws.  But,as many reports have esitmated, we get $2.78 back from every dollar we invest in preschool programs.  Now it’s up to the people of California if they want to make that investment.

SD-8: A primary campaign descending into the muck

As you can probably guess from my username, I live in San Francisco.  More specifically, I live in SD-8, so I’m currently represented by Sen. Speier.  She’s termed out and is running for Lt. Gov.  However, the race to replace her has gotten really, really ugly in the last few days.  In the last week, I received about 10 mailers.  However, these 2 stuck out for their ugliness.  First I received Nevin’s attack on Yee, which was soon followed by Yee’s attack on Nevin.  Click on them to see them in greater detail.  There’s more on the flip…

Nevin on Yee

   

Yee on Nevin

Both of these mailers are negative garbage.  Both make me want to vote for Lou Papan.  Oh yeah, did they not mention that there is another candidate running.  Yeah, Lou Papan, the longime assemblyman from San Mateo county, is also running for the seat. 

Personally, I’m not totally sure why Nevin decided to go so negative with this attack on Yee.  It’s easily debunked.  Yee has received only one contribution from the oil companies, and his record certainly doesn’t indicate that he is beholden to BigOil.  But, that even being said, I’m not sure high gas prices are the most important issue in such progressive district.  For one, I’m sure you could find many evironmentalists that aren’t that upset by high gas prices.  Personally, I’d rather that money go to the oil companies in a windfall, but perhaps the high prices will begin to ween our state (and nation) off the bottle.

The prescription drug issues that Yee focused on are a bit easier to understand.  Nevin has worked in a firm that does some lobbying.  That immediately opens up the door to imputed positions.  Nevin is just the victim of that.  Whether Nevin actually worked against Prop 79 is unclear, but it’s certainly an overstatement to say that he is beholden to drug interests.

Of course, once again, we waste our time with meaningless attacks.  Perhaps both of these candidates would be better off by saving their money for mailers that inform the candidates who they are, not attack their opponent.

Capitol Weekley says this of the race:

SD 8 – This district includes parts of San Francisco County and most of San
Mateo County.

There’s been bad blood between Lou Papan and Mike Nevin since the 2001 redistricting, when Nevin accused Papan of drawing him out of an Assembly district to ease the path for Papan’s daughter, Gina. Papan denies the allegation, and even if it were true, it didn’t work, as Gina Papan lost to Gene Mullin. Conventional wisdom has Papan in the race to help draw votes away from the other San Mateo candidate, Nevin. But Nevin did pick up the endorsement of Leland Yee’s hometown newspaper, the San Francisco Chronicle. Capitol Weekley 5/18/06

For more about this nasty race, see [Around the Capitol], which has lots of articles about the race.  Three taped debates will be airing on PeninsulaTV (Ch. 26), beginning on May 23.  Check the website for showtimes.

California Blog Roundup 5/19/06

Today’s California Blog Roundup is on the flip. I’m pressed for time, so it ain’t as pretty as it normally is, but I’ve tried to sort things properly. No teasers, sorry.

California Must Lead on Climate Change

Governor Schwarzenegger announced his environmental plan last month, but ended up watering down the suggestions of his Climate action team.  A spokesperson called Schwarzenegger’s manner of dealing with the environment “bit of a Jekyll and Hyde approach.”  He does not provide the type of leadership on the climate change issues that we need.  Yes, he is substantially better than the President.  At least the governor has acknowledged that there is no more substantial debate (i.e. Science magazine did a review of 928 scholarly articles on the subject, they all said human activity was contributing to warming).

We need real leadership on this issue: We need a Democratic governor who is committed to reducing greehouse gases such as CO2.  Why is this so important?  Well, take a gander at these ads produced by the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a oil-funded lobbying group.  Essentially, the ads say that the more carbon dioxide the better.  They are quite funny too. The exact quote: “Carbon Dioxide: They call it pollution, we call it life.”  I don’t think I really need to go into the science here, but suffice it to say that the wingnuts will continue to push against environmental action.  In California, we need to make sure that we are the leaders on this.  We brought the world catalytic converters, we can do the same with CAFE standards, CO2 emissions, and more.  And we can do a lot better without Arnold Schwarzenegger.

“Where Does Brian Bilbray Really Live?”

It’s one thing for Democrats to call Brian Bilbray, Republican lobbyist and 50th CD congressional candidate, a carpetbagger. Considering that Bilbray has never lived in the 50th District and considering that for the last 5 years his residence has been in Virginia, the Democrat’s claim that Bilbray was an carpetbagging opportunist may have been valid, but until now it didn’t resonate.

Things seem to have changed. Yesterday, Democrats claimed that Bilbray has made fraudulent claims regarding his place of residence and that he may have actually claimed three legal residences for different legal purposes. The Union Tribune soft sells the story today, keeping the political aspect up front, but local ABC affiliate, KGTV, has taken a far more aggressive stance and is actually investigating the story.

In a story first run last night and repeated today, KGTV asks, “Where Does Brian Bilbray Really Live?

In fact, there are serious questions about where Bilbray really lives. Virginia property records show Bilbray claims a home in Alexandria, Va., as his primary residence, for tax purposes.

The same is true for a home in Imperial Beach. Bilbray and his wife, Karen, also claim the Imperial Beach home as their primary residence. […]

“I live in Carlsbad, taking care of my mother,” Bilbray said.

He said he has lived in the Carlsbad house since March 2005.

It is the address he used in his declaration of candidacy for the North County congressional seat.

Democrats said Bilbray does not live at that address.[…]

Neighbors told 10News they rarely ever see Bilbray at the house, which is his mother’s home.

“He comes here occasionally to see his mother like boys will do, but he doesn’t live here,” said neighbor Frank Knudsen.

“If he does live here, he must leave late at night and come back early in the morning,” said neighbor Bill Rider.

Another man, who lives right next door, said he wondered when people would catch on that Bilbray does not live here.


It’s not going to help the floundering Bilbray campaign to have television news following him around to see where he sleeps at night.

Calitics Poll Headquarters

Say hi to a new feature of Calitics: Calitics Poll HQ.  You can find it on the left side, just below the about box.  I’ll be working on collecting lots of polls together before and after the primaries.  Today it only has the Field Poll for the governor race.  Expect it to grow dramatically over the next week or so.

Time sensitive: cast a vote for our future

You can help pick the winners of a contest that will give California students scholarship money for college. Before 11am PDT, May 21, visit the contest page of the Campaign for College Opportunity. There you can read finalist essays by middle and high school kids and view the posters and TV ads they’ve created on the theme “Save a Spot for Me in College.” Take a look and cast your vote for the overall winners.

Do this and you’ll be participating in an innovative grassroots lobbying effort.

The Campaign for College Opportunity seeks to impress on state legislators the need to support community college education for all students who graduate from high school. The state master plan has called for such support for many years; the state’s higher education system has been much of the engine of California’s prosperity. But state government has been hamstrung by the refusal of Republicans to agree to any new tax measures, and consequently, community colleges have begun to crack under demand that exceeds the supply of places. They have raised fees, limited the availability of classes, and cannot provide the counselors who might help get students through the bureaucratic maze.

So the Campaign wanted to collect California students’ own thoughts and dreams about college to share them with legislators. What better way than a contest with real money prizes?

Last month I wrote about serving as a reader in the first phase of the contest. It was a fascinating experience. Hundreds of us helped winnow down 8000 entries.

Now the Campaign seeks our online votes which will be used alongside those of a panel of judges who include:

  • Farai Chideya, author and correspondent for National Public Radio
  • Don Hahn, Interim Head of Feature Animation at the Walt Disney Company
  • Joe Kapp, former NFL star
  • Josefa Salinas, radio personality for Hot 92 Jamz in Los Angeles
  • Peter Schrag, columnist for the Sacramento Bee
  • Mike Sklut, host of “High School Sports Focus” on Action 36 in the Bay Area

Reading these student essays, what came through so poignantly is that these young people, many of them immigrants or children of immigrants, want to be what they think of as “good people” — productive workers, supports to their parents, participants in their community. Read their own words at the contest page and help give them a leg up toward their dreams..

CA-4: The DCCC says it’s going to challenge 15% Doolittle

The DCCC is a really great bunch of people who are very successful.  Ok, sorry, I need to stop laughing now.  Anyway Rahm and the crew are finally considering supporting a candidate against 15% Doolittle:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said Wednesday that it thinks it may have a shot at unseating Rep. John Doolittle, who is listed as among the most powerful members of the California congressional delegation in a nonpartisan survey out this week.

“The DCCC is very interested in this race and will possibly invest in it,” said Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., the committee’s recruitment chief. Citing the Roseville Republican’s associations with key players in two congressional corruption scandals, Van Holleen said, “All the signs are good in this district.” (SacBee 5/18/06)

How forward looking of the DCCC.  They are challenging a corrupt Republican.  Wow, how ever did they come up with that idea?  Ol’ 15% has been cheating hhis consituents and the country as a whole, and you are going to think about sending some money in this direction.  Well, Representative, I suggest you think real hard about it.  California has been very, very good to the DCCC, perhaps it’s about time that the DCCC returns some attention in this direction.

And to the Democrats in this race: they are Lisa Rea, a Sacramento-area insider who has worked at the California Legislature, Charlie Brown, a retired Air Force helicopter pilot, and Mike Hamersly, a former whistleblower on large tax shelter fraud and employee of the California franchise tax board.  While it wouldn’t take much to improve upon 15% Doolittle, both Rea and Brown would be welcome additions to the California Congressional Delegation.

Calitics Poll Headquarters

Welcome to the Poll Headquarters.  We’ll be posting notable
Polls
and Endorsements here. The dates are the date of release to the public,
not the dates of survey. The Governor related polls will be in the
main, congress, down-ballot, and other polls will be in the extended. Here
are the polls with primary data.
If you know of any
additional polls, let me know. Thanks!

California Governor Polls

Phil Angelides (D) vs. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R)

Descriptions:

Field California Polls

The dates are the date of release to the public, not the dates
of
survey. The Field Poll is the gold standard of California political
polls. I always trust the Field Poll when it’s in conflict with
another.

Rasmussen California Governor Polls

The Rasmussen poll is a computer polling operation. Its
results are
a little more questionable within California and can sometimes be
skewed towards the political right.

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) and L.A. Times
Polls

The LA Times poll and the PPIC poll also have polls on down
ballot
races. I didn’t summarize them here, but click the links for the full
PDFs. The PPIC is known for in-depth research, and their survey guru,
Mark Baldassare, is highly respected for his statewide surveys. The LA
Times is, well, a major media organization. I’ll leave it at that.

Survey USA Governor Approval
Pollshttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=1137993a-c120-4ea6-bc97-017dd6931c94

Are on the flip. There are lots of crosstabs available at
their website. 

Many of the links are PDFs.

Poll/Candidate Angelides Schwarzenegger U/DK Other MoE
Zogby
9/28/06
33.8 43    12 ±3.5
PPIC
9/26/06
31 48 15 6 ±2
SUSA.
9/27/06
38 52 9  1 ±4.5
Field
9/26/06
34 44 15 7 ±3.8
Datamar
9/18/06
31.4 53.6 3.6  11.4 ±2.3
Rasm.
9/12/06
39 47 14   ±4.5
Zogby
9/06
40 43.5     ±3.5
Rasm.
8/31/06
42 48 10   ±4.5
PPIC
8/06
32 45 17 6 ±2
SUSA.
8/28/06
38 52 8  1 ±4.5
Zogby
8/06
40.3 45     ±3.5
Rasm.
8/1/06
41 47 12   ±4.5
PPIC
7/06
30 43 19 8 ±2
Field
7/25/06
37 45 15 3 ±3.8
Zogby
7/06
44 42.3     ±3.5
Rasm.
7/13/06
46 44 10   ±4.5
SJSU
7/6/06
37 44 14 5 ±3.3
Zogby
6/06
44.6 44.5     ±2.7
Datamar
6/5/06
34.3 53.5 12.2   ±2.46
Field
6/2/06
39 46 11   ±3.8
LA
Times 5/26/06
46 45 8 1 ±5
Rasm.
5/24/06
45 45 10   ±4.5
PPIC
5/06
38 38 24   ±2
Rasm.
4/17/06
36 49 15   ±4.5
Field
4/14/06
40 44 13   ±3.8
LA-Times
4/28/06
43 43 13 1 ±5
SJSU
4/4/06
37 40     ±3.3
PPIC
3/06
29 41 30   ±2
Rasm.
3/23/06
45 44 11   ±4.5
Field
3/2/06
39 39 20   ±3.8
Rasm.
2/13/06
40 41 19   ±4.5
Rasm.
1/24/06
39 41 20   ±4.5
Rasm.
12/15/05
44 40 16   ±4.5
Field
11/3/05
47 41 12   ±3.8
Field
9/7/05
43 40 17   ±3.8
Field
6/29/05
46 42 12   ±3.8
Field
2/25/05
35 52 13   ±3.8

S-USA Schwarzenegger Approval

The actual Survey USA site has the ability to do demographic
breakdowns.

Schwarzenegger Approval Ratings Through June 06

California Proposition Polls

Infrastructure Bonds

Poll/Prop 1B: Transp. 1C: Housing 1D: Educ 1E: Disaster 84: Water
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Field
9/29/06
52 36 12 58 28 14 52 33 15 51 36 13 50 30 20
Datamar 9/06 55.9 31.2 12.9 34.5 53.9 11.7 41.4 46.6 12.0 60.8 27.7 11.5 47.6 36.3 16.0
PPIC
8/06
50 38 12 57 32 11 51 39 10 56 35 9 40 45 15
Field
7/28/06
54 27 19 33 42 25 48 37 15 47 33 20 49 31 20
Field
6/5/06
57 24 19 39 38 23 48 34 18 58 25 17 N/a N/a N/a
PPIC
5/06
62 32 6 60 37 3 74 22 4 62 34 4 N/a N/a N/a

Other Initiatives

Poll/Prop 83: Sex Offenders 85: Anti-choice 86: Cigarette Tax 87: Oil &
Alt. Energy
90: Em. Dom.
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Datamar 9/06 79.4 13.0 7.6 48.5 42 9.5 52.1 41 6.9 43.4 44.0 12.6 61.3 24.0 14.7
Field
8/2/06
76 11 13 44 45 11 63 32 5 52 31 17 46 31 23
PPIC
7/06
N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61 23 16 N/a N/a N/a

Down Ballot Polls

Candidate Field
Poll 8/1/06
(MoE: ±5.2)

Lt. Governor

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Garamendi (D) 48 46 17 37
Tom McClintock (R) 38 40 17 43

Attorney General

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Jerry Brown (D) 54 45 36 19
Chuck Poochigian (R) 33 9 7 84

Secretary of State

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Debra Bown (D) 38 10 6 84
Bruce McPhereson (R) 35 19 9 72

Treasurer

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Bill Lockyer (D) 52 43 16 41
Claude Parrish (R) 27 9 5 86

Controller

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Chiang (D) 38 13 5 82
Tony Strickland (R) 27 11 8 81

Insurance Commissioner

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Cruz Bustamante (D) 43 38 43 19
Steve Poizner (R) 39 7 8 85