GAY MARRIAGE – how we get our asses kicked

(Lessons can be learned from every defeat. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

This fantastic article was written by CA-based Dem consultant Eric Jaye, an advisor to San Fran Mayor Gavin Newsom.  He’s coming at this issue from a strategic position rather than from self interest (he’s straight).  With the elections coming up it seems appropriate to recirculate, as it’s very relevant.

First the profile of Eric Jaye and then the article (feel free to skip the profile).

In our ongoing “Great Debate” series, we tackle the Dem response to gay marriage. To kick off the conversation, we asked CA-based Dem consultant Eric Jaye, an advisor to San Fran Mayor Gavin Newsom, to share what he’s learned.

— Jaye’s been on the frontlines on this issue, not just with Newsom, but also working against inits in places like OR and Topeka, KS. Jaye believes Dems are in a box because too many have tried to find a middle ground on this issue when voters don’t believe there is a middle ground.

— Jaye’s prescription: own up to being for gay marriage/civil unions. Turn it into a leadership issue, a la Pres. Bush model on other issues and gamble that there aren’t that many one-issue gay marriage voters that were somehow in the Dem camp. To some, Jaye’s advice might seem perfectly reasonable, to others, too risky of a gamble. But is the bigger problem for Dems that because the party itself is split, the public will always view the Dems as pro-gay marriage no matter what an individual says?

One of the Dem consultants whose on the frontlines on the gay marriage issue is Eric Jaye, founder of Storefront Political Media, a CA-based firm specializing in general consulting and media. His recent campaigns and clients include No on 36 in OR (a gay marriage ban), the MI Dem Party and Gavin Newsom for Mayor of San Francisco. Because gay marriage is among the cultural issues that many Dems believe is the cause of many of their problems, we thought it would be good to see what consultants and strategists are advising on this issue. We asked Jaye to share the advice he’s giving in column form.

Among the arguments Jaye makes on the gay marriage issue is that no campaign against a gay marriage ban is going to succeed if those campaigning against the ban are not making the case FOR “something else.” The something else, in his opinion, is gay marriage or civil unions. This is a topic Dems all over the country are wrestling with; we hope Jaye’s article starts a debate and we’re open to printing the responses from other strategists who are trying to figure out this issue.

A Democratic Strategy on Gay Marriage
by Eric Jaye

Last year the Democrats had numerous opportunities to stand on principle — and in doing so show they had the courage to stand for something. No opportunity was greater than the raging debate over gay marriage.

Facing an evenly divided electorate, Republican strategists surmised that victory in 2004 lay in driving turnout among their base voters. That’s why they placed attacks on gay marriage on state ballots in swing states. They believed that such a debate would drive turnout, particularly among low-turnout Christian evangelical voters.

What did the Democrats do? By and large they ducked, with poll-crafted drivel that made them seem like typical politicians, not courageous leaders.

Most voters do not yet support gay marriage – although support for equal matrimonial rights has risen dramatically in the past decade. Polls show a sharp generational divide, with the majority of voters under 40 in support of gay marriage and the majority of voters over 60 strongly opposed.

But in this day and age, most swing voters reserve more venom for vacillating politicians than they do for two gay people deciding to adopt the bourgeois convention of lifetime commitment and matrimony.

It is this disdain for vacillating politicians that allows President George Bush to take so many controversial stands yet still win elections for himself and his party. It’s called leadership and voters reward it.

On a woman’s right to choice, Iraq, environmental protection, outsourcing and Social Security – Bush is ‘wrong’ from a pollsters’ perspective. Yet, why does he still seem so right to so many voters?

Bush wins by being “wrong” because his controversial positions resonate as authentic. American voters don’t agree with him on key issues — but they tend to believe he “stands up for what he believes.” In a political landscape in which character matters more than ideology, Bush wins by seeming “real” to voters.

So while Bush seems authentic at the very moment he is pursuing a political ploy to excite his right-wing base – Democrats seem weak and untrustworthy – not just to their base supporters, but to the broad mass of swing voters.

With a few exceptions, most Democrats simply lack credibility when they say they oppose gay marriage. We have the honor of belonging to a party that has been on the forefront of the civil rights movement for more than 50 years. Most voters, in most states, expect us to stand for civil rights – even when these very same voters are taking a go-slow approach.

So who do we think we are fooling when we mumble finely nuanced positions on gay marriage? The truth is we are only fooling ourselves.

We have now survived an entire generation of poll-tested politicians and incremental politics. Finely crafted “agreement” messages, once an innovation, are now an invitation to ridicule. Not just late at night on television, but at almost any hour, we can all enjoy a good laugh at the expense of a politician who is merely reading from a poll-tested script.

So what’s the right answer when Democrats are asked, “Do you support gay marriage?” The right answer, in almost every case, is the truth. And in most cases, the truth is “Yes.”

First and foremost – by saying “Yes” we are standing for something, even when the majority of voters don’t yet support our position. And telling the truth makes us sound like real people, not like robo politicians. But more than this – by saying “Yes” we can seize political terrain that allows us to drive the debate, not duck it.

And we are finding that when we take the offensive on the issue of gay rights and gay marriage, we can make real progress. At the very least, we have a fighting chance when we stop ducking the issue of gay rights and start debating it with clear and concise language.

Along with a team of top-notch consultants, we worked on the successful campaign in 2004 to repeal Article 12 of the Cincinnati City Charter, which allowed discrimination against lesbian and gays. Just this month we helped defeat the Topeka City Question in Topeka, Kansas that would have allowed discrimination against gays. Both campaigns were played out in the context over the debate on gay marriage.

Last year, as former consultants to San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom, we were closely involved in presenting the “winter of love” gay marriages to the public. We were also part of the unsuccessful effort in Oregon in 2004 to defeat the attack on gay marriage.

We took away from those successes, and that failure, the belief that when it comes to gay marriage the simple truth is better than a complicated lie.

But more than that – in the long run we can’t win if we don’t debate. And let’s not fool ourselves, this debate is not going away. The Republicans put it on the agenda, and they will keep it there, particularly so long as we refuse to even articulate our own position.

Cautious Democrats should face the fact that no position on gay marriage is the weakest possible stance. Silence is read as support for gay marriage. And your silence is seen as political at best, cowardice at worst. As a party, we might not have chosen this fight. But it is here. Unilateral surrender is not a workable strategy.

And to my fellow consultants I would offer this hard-learned lesson. Anti-gay marriage amendments are being fought on the basis of gay marriage — not some “hidden flaw” or “costly consequence.” These measures are not analogous to some down-ballot initiative that we can define. Voters know what they are about — gay marriage.

In California, we found during the San Francisco gay marriage insurrection that support for gay marriage increased slightly across the state, and support for civil unions increased dramatically, after we captured the airwaves with images of couples who were absolutely unremarkable in any way other than in their desire to profess life-long love and responsibility for each other.

First in Cincinnati, and then in Topeka, we won campaigns against discrimination in part by seizing the language of morality, rather than ceding it to our opponents.

We crafted mail pieces entitled “Not Just on Sunday,” and “Daily Bread,” that took up the language of the Lord’s Prayer in defense of tolerance and equal rights every day.

We didn’t hide from the issue. We didn’t run from the moral debate. We embraced it – and won. Democrats around the country have nothing to lose, and so much to gain, from doing likewise.

Strip Clubs for Local Governments: Tax Incentives for Job Creation

( – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Matt Singer of Progressive States wrote a good post on TomPaine.com today on the inherent lunacy of throwing money at corporations. 

Earlier this year, Georgia Governor Sonny Perdue offered an astounding $400 million in incentives to Kia, the Korean automaker, to develop a plan that would employ 2,500 Georgians. Each of those jobs came with a $160,000 price tag. But it was nothing compared with what Mississippi was reportedly willing to offer the Korean car company: $1 billion in incentives, or roughly $400,000 per new job created.
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One of the best things states can do is simply stop handing out public money to the companies that do not deserve it—using the money instead for programs that will actually further the goal of economic development.(TomPaine.com 7/6/06)

My analogy is to a strip club.  The local governments go throwing money around like a drunk cowboy.  They get ushered into the “Champagne Room”, whereupon they are shaken down for millions of dollars.  And of course, it’s a zero sum game.  All of the cities offer such tax incentives.  So, if they all stopped offering them, cities would win on their merits, not taxpayer giveaways.

And $400,000 per job?!  That is insane!  Think of what could be done with that kind of money.  They could hire additional state workers for 10 years.  Think of the benefits that could be seen by say, the Mississippi educational system with an additional billion dollars.  You could reduce class size, improve technology, increase after school programs, or all of the above.  But if instead you wanted to focus on economic development, how about adding some job training programs or other programs which actually help the economy of the state.

CA-Gov: Schwarzenegger Plays “Moderate” Card to a Lead in the Governor’s Race

A new poll has been released by the Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State.  The poll has him leading by a margin of 44-37.  However, keep in mind that any incumbent who is not able to garner 50% is considered to be in jeopardy.  Right now, Angelides  is just coming off a bruising primary.  A little time to heal the image and go on the offensive should serve Angelides well.

The Calitics Poll HQ has been updated and completely redesigned.  I think the new layout is a little more simple to understand.

The Unparalleled Corruption: Cunningham, Lewis, & Lowery

The Vanity Fair article on the Duke-Stir Affair that will appear in the next issue is an interesting summary of all that has happened in the Defense Appropriations Subcommittee Cunningham/Lewis Affair.  It is becoming painfully clear that we have not heard the last of this particular scandal.  Besides Lewis, expect a lot more scrutiny on Katherine Harris (“Representative B”).  Also, Bill Lowery, the Congressman that imediately preceded Duke, will also be using a lot of legal services in the future.  Of course, this is nothing new for Lowery, who lost his seat do to his role in the House Banking Scandal; Lowery and his wife cashed over 200 hot checks.  Dusty Foggo, Porter Goss’ No. 3 man at the CIA, will also be sharing the mess hall with the Duke Stir.

On trips to Washington, Casey recalls, Wilkes was able to usher him into the presence of important members of the armed-services and appropriations committees, including, most notably, Lowery and Lowery’s closest friend on the latter, fellow California Republican Jerry Lewis, now 71. The genteel Lewis and the earthy Lowery reportedly loved to dine and even vacation together. “Everyone on the defense committee always works cooperatively,” says Casey, who realized pretty quickly that no money came his way without their support. “It was team play, and they emphasized that to me constantly.”

Wilkes also introduced Casey to Dusty Foggo, who often passed through Washington. Around 1994, during a visit to a Washington strip club, Casey says, Foggo wore a gun in a shoulder holster and flashed his identification at the club doorman. He was promptly seated by the stage. “Foggo sits there the whole night telling me how he likes to fuck girls in the ass,” Casey recalls. “He sees a girl there, he jabs you and says, ‘She’s ready to go—let’s double-team her.’ The weirdest combination of sex and domination! And Wilkes, he’s just laughing the whole time.” (Vanity Fair 7/5/06)

Haha! Yes, it’s hilarious using your CIA badge to get laid at strip clubs.  I particularly think the whole double-team comment is a priceless one, and worthy of the Washington Hall of Corruption Fame.  But that’s just me.  The more telling part is that Lewis worked very closely with Duke.  Either he was naive or he was complicit.  The latter now seems far more likely:

“Tom, let’s cut to the chase. I want you to get stock options for Bill Lowery” was how Lewis opened their conversation, Casey recalls. Specifically, Casey adds, Lewis suggested that a very large number of Audre stock options issued in Canada be given to Lowery, but put under other names. Lewis’s actual words were “I am going to give you a list of names,” says Casey, who declined to go along. That was the last time he and Lewis had a pleasant conversation, Casey says. (Through a spokesman, Lewis acknowledges that he “thinks he remembers meeting Tom Casey,” but denies the story. “What’s described sounds illegal to me,” says the spokesperson. Through his lawyer, Lowery also denies any knowledge of the proposed deal.)

Unparalleled really doesn’t do this scandal justice.  It dwarfs the Abramoff scandal.  It dwarfs Rostenkowski, or Traficant.  This will end several careers, and see the exposure of Conservatism for what it really is: Great in theory, terrible in power.

Simply put, Conservatives cannot govern.  Their loathing of government works great in opposition, but not so well in power.  When they actually gain power, we see that they have no respect for the institutions and for those that elected them.

What is Barbara Boxer doing in CT?

Apparently, Barbara Boxer doesn’t mind the dupilicity of Joe Lieberman. 

Sens. Joe Biden of Delaware, Barbara Boxer of California and Ken Salazar of Colorado plan to campaign in Connecticut for Lieberman between now and the Aug. 8 primary. Their goal is to reassure the party faithful of the three-term senator’s loyalty to Democratic causes, including women’s issues, labor and the environment.(WaPo 7/5/06)

Well, we here in the netroots don’t really dig on Joe Lieberman’s Bush-Loving ways. Big Orange and DWT have been paying far more attention to the Lieberman race than I have.  What I do know is that Joe Lieberman rarely passes up an opportunity to appear on FoxNews to bash his fellow Democrats and has vowed to thwart the will of the Democratic electorate in Connecticut if he loses the primary.  We don’t need that kind of Democrat in such a safe Democratic seat.

So, here’s Barbara Boxer’s Phone Details:

DC office: (202) 224-3553
Sacramento office: (916) 448-2787
San Francisco office: (415) 403-0100
Los Angeles office: (213) 894-5000
Fresno office: (559) 497-5109
San Diego office: (619) 239-3884
Inland Empire office: (909) 888-8525

Call her and let her know your feelings about good ol’ Joe-Mentum.

Immigration Hearings in San Diego: Nativism’s Road Tour

Back in Congress, Brian Bilbray is trying to make a name for himself…or one of his old lobbyist clients:

Bilbray said the recent debates on illegal immigration show that not enough has been done to find and remove illegal immigrants.

“The United States has not been serious enough about our national sovereignty, defending our neighborhoods,” Bilbray said. “The problem is coming across the border and not being regulated under a mandate by our federal Constitution.” (San Diego U-T) 7/5/06)

There isn’t much of substance to this whole road show.  It’s just a big campaign for HR4437, Sensenbrenner’s nativist bill.  The Senate Bill was livable, but 4437 is not.  More border patrol doesn’t really solve the problem, which is a poor Mexican economy devestated by government corruption. (Also on that note, there has been no determination of Mexico’s new president, with AMLO trailing by less than one percent.)

A real solution to the immigration question is necessary and the theater isn’t helpful.  If the GOP can get past their grandstanding and nativism, perhas we can find real answers.