CA-Gov: Rasmussen has Schwarzenegger up by 6

Well, the polls continue bouncing around.  Rasmussen Reports  has Schwarzenegger up by 6 points, 47-41.  While this poll is closer than previous polls, especially the PPIC, it’s a four point gain over the last month’s poll.  Also, Schwarzenegger is gradually climbing towards the magical 50%. Also of concern is Rasmussen’s approval numbers for the Governator.  It currently stands at 55%, up from 51% earlier in July.  While Rasmussen’s number is generally a bit high, the upward trend in the last year is consistent.  Part of that is this moderate message that Arnold is trying to propogate, part of that is a lack of rallying behind the Dem nominee.

Given an expected upcoming push by Angelides, this race is far from over.  This poll and all California governor polls, along with my opinions on the polls, can be found in the CA Poll HQ.

Down Ballot Field Poll: Good News for Dems

The down-ballot Field Poll came out this morning, with pretty good, although unsuprising news for Democrats in statewide races. All 6 down ballot Dems are leading, and only SoS and Insurance Commissioner are really close right now.

However, these numbers should be taken with more than just a grain of salt. As shown in the table below, many voters have no opinion of either or both candidates. So much of this poll is really based on mere party affiliation. I suppose that it’s good to know that a D in a statwide race of unknowns still stakes you to a lead.

See the flip for the full table of information from the Field Poll. I’ll also put this in the extended of the Poll HQ.

Candidate Field Poll 8/1/06

Lt. Governor

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Garamendi (D) 48 46 17 37
Tom McClintock (R) 38 40 17 43

Attorney General

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Jerry Brown (D) 54 45 36 19
Chuck Poochigian (R) 33 9 7 84

Secretary of State

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Debra Bown (D) 38 10 6 84
Bruce McPhereson (R) 35 19 9 72

Treasurer

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Bill Lockyer (D) 52 43 16 41
Claude Parrish (R) 27 9 5 86

Controller

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Chiang (D) 38 13 5 82
Tony Strickland (R) 27 11 8 81

Insurance Commissioner

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Cruz Bustamante (D) 43 38 43 19
Steve Poizner (R) 39 7 8 85

CA-Gov: The warm and fuzzy Phil Angelides

Phil Angelides is genuinely a nice guy, well, at least that’s what I’ve gotten from him in my rather limited interactions with the current state Treasurer.  But, he’s a politician, so you stick a lectern in front of him, and he’ll lecture you.

But he’s more than a one trick pony: he plays a mean air hockey.

After a speech at a Central Valley youth center last week, Phil Angelides headed to the air hockey table for an intense, shout-his-heart-out match against a 12-year-old Merced boy.

Minutes later, the Democratic nominee for governor raised his arms in triumph. “Arnold Schwarzenegger, take notice,” Angelides told about two dozen children. “I was down 2-to-nothing, and I won 3-2.”

People who know him best say this was more like the real Phil Angelides, who during town-hall-style gatherings in the valley emerged as a problem-solving, humorous, compassionate and easygoing politician… (S.J. Mercury News 7/31/06)

Now, the media likes its sport stars, its celebrities, its charismatic young leaders.  It’s why the media loves Newsom and Villaraigosa.  But Phil, he doesn’t really fit their categories, so they label him boring.  I suppose you could call him a bit wonkish, but, um, we are electing a leader for our state, not the Homecoming King, right?  If the election was about who looks cooler with a bazooka under his arms, Arnold should win hands down.  But, since when is it a bad thing for our governor to be smart?  To truly understand the issues like Phil?

And besides, Phil can play a mean game of air hockey.  What more do you need to know?

California Blog Roundup for July 31, 2006

Today’s California Blog Roundup is on the flip. Teasers: Phil Angelides, Arnold Schwarzenegger, CA-04, CA-11, Jerry McNerney, Richard Pombo, John Doolittle, Republican corruption, Proposition 90, Proposition 89, Proposition 87, voting, prisons, health care, immigration.

Governor’s Race

Jerry McNerney / Paid-For Pombo / CA-11

15% Doolittle / CA-04

Other Republican Paragons

Propositions

The Rest