Good Candidates Can Win Everywhere! (eg my Hometown!)

( – promoted by SFBrianCL)

I was born and raised in a very catholic, very conservative county. The less evil German equivalent to the Republican Party, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has run this county continuously for the last 60 odd years raking in election results between 60 and 85% in all towns.

As everywhere, majority parties can get arrogant and complacent. This has been the case in the county of Vechta as well. The CDU is so used to winning that losing never came to mind. Traditionally, the parliamentary district comprised of the counties of Vechta and adjoining Cloppenburg always end up as the district with the best election results for the CDU in all of Germany. That is how conservative this area is.

However, voters in this county – like voters everywhere – aren’t as stupid as many politicians make them out to be. The CDU made some really bad choices when looking for candidates for mayor in several towns in the last few years which has led to the result that as of now only six out of ten towns have a CDU mayor.

Four years ago two towns, Holdorf and Dinklage (birthtown of Cardinal Clemens August Graf von Galen and myself) elected the independent candidates rather than the one of the CDU. In 2004 the city of Vechta elected the former state minister of agriculture Uwe Bartels, the candidate of the Social Democratic Party (of former Chancellor Gerhard Schröder) rather than the CDU candidate. It has to be noted that in all cases the CDU won the majority on the town councils easily.

Last Sunday, the town I was raised in was the fourth town in the county to chose the non CDU candidate. Manuela Honkomp was elected mayor of Steinfeld with 55% of the vote over the CDU candidate. You just have to click on her campaign website and you get an impression of why she won. This website is more professional than the campaign website of quite a few congressional candidates in the US and of a whole load of candidates for state legislatures. And this for a mayoral candidate for a town of 9,400 people! Her opponent didn’t even have a website. And her resume is quite impressive, too. She left the town to go to college and get her master in political science and later chose to come back. Since I’m not registered in Steinfeld anymore I couldn’t vote for her. I certainly would have, if only for the fact that her family hosted an exchange student from Toledo, Ohio last year. Manuela Honkomp was elected the first non CDU mayor of Steinfeld (and also the first female mayor in the entire county!) despite the fact that 70% voted for CDU candidates for the town council in the same election.

What I am trying to say here is that the county of Vechta and especially the town of Steinfeld are far more conservative than say the 2nd Congressional District in Nevada or the 4th Congressional District in California. If Manuela Honkomp can win in Steinfeld, Jill Derby can win in NV-02 and Charlie Brown in CA-04. The voters are smart enough to vote for the better candidates and are willing to cross party lines if they feel it is necessary.

All Jill Derby and Charlie Brown need are the resources. Please consider contributing to these great candidates. Whether you can give $5, $50 or $100, every dollar helps!

Contribute now!

cross posted from Turn Tahoe Blue

Pombo hates the blogs

(Poor Pombo, people don’t like him, and we dare to organize against him – promoted by SFBrianCL)

In a recent comment printed in the Manteca Bulletin, Congressman Richard Pombo (CA 11) gives blogs high praise by singling out their effectiveness.  Speaking of the Defenders of Wildlife, he said:

The group has a full-time office in Pleasanton with a full-time staff, Pombo said. They have drawn their activist workers from personal website blogs in the Bay area. They send them into the neighborhoods campaigning against him in his congressional district, he said.

“It’s a full-blown campaign,” he pointed out. “I don’t think there has ever been anything to this extent before.”

Just recently the campaign group had some six buses pick up the Bay Area activists they had searched out from San Francisco, Oakland and Berkeley taking them to district neighborhoods for door-to-door contact.

When Pombo was home in the district during the months of August and September, the group showed up at every event he attended with their signs charging him with corruption, he said.

Those blogs are PomboWatch  and SayNoToPombo. The effectiveness of getting feet on the streets is one thing that the Internet does as as well as it helps raise money. 

West LA Dem Club hosts fundraiser for CA Dem candidates

On Oct 4 West LA Dem Club screens Robert Greenwald’s new film – Iraq for Sale – The War Profiteers.  Portion of the proceeds (after we pay for venue, etc) will go to Dem candidates including Debra Bowen, Charlie Brown and Jerry McNerney. 

Join us.

When:  Oct 4, 7pm (doors open at 6:30pm)

Where:  2210 Lincoln Blvd @Victoria (1 block N. of Venice) next door to the United Methodist Church.

Suggested Donation: $10.00 (popcorn included)

rsvp:  [email protected]

Last Day for Matching Contributions: CA-SOS, CA-04, CA-11

[UPDATE] OK, as of 4:30 today, Bowen, Brown, and McNerney are all over their caps and I’ve made my matching contribution up to the cap amounts. Here are the numbers as of right now:

Debra Bowen:  $1,008.35
Charlie Brown:  $638.34
Jerry McNerney: $843.34

Thanks so much to everyone who participated. I may do another one of these next month before the elections.

Wednesday, I offered a proposal: I will do a dollar for dollar match for every dollar given to Debra Bowen (running for CA Secretary of State), Charlie Brown (running against John 15% Doolittle), and Jerry McNerney (running against Richard “Paid-For” Pombo) using the Calitics ActBlue page through 5:00 pm today, up to the following limits:

Debra Bowen:  $1,000
Charlie Brown:  $500
Jerry McNerney: $500

The McNerney and Brown teams have really stepped up, and put both of those candidates over my cap, leaving only Debra Bowen under the cap as of 7:30 this morning:

Debra Bowen:  $748.35
Charlie Brown:  $538.34
Jerry McNerney:  $578.34

I matched yesterday’s contributions (up to the cap) over coffee this morning. I would love to see the Bowen fans step up and hit the cap, so let’s see what you can do. She’s a great candidate, on the side of the angels as far as voting integrity, and she’s in a tight race, so your money really counts.

And for those who still want to contribute to Brown or McNerney, you can gamble against the Bowen folks. If Bowen’s contributions don’t hit my $1K cap, I’ll fill the gap with a proportional match of everything you contribute over $500 each up to a total of $2,000 for the combined contributions across all three candidates.

Let’s see what y’all can do by 5:00, California time.

And, because I’m a broken record, don’t forget to tip ActBlue. 

CA-Gov: Casting Phil as the Comeback Kid

So, you know what I really hate, when computers crash.  That really bugs me, although I think this one was kind of my fault.  But I’m still going to blame it on the Mac.  Anyway, before I crashed I had this great little rant going about the polling data.  Long story short, Phil is down by about ten.  But he’s not giving up, and neither should we.  It’s been said here before that we can just liken him to Bill Clinton and get some of that Comeback Kid Mojo.  And that’s great stuff, but I think there are more reasons than just plain hope to indicate that we have miles yet to go before we can call this one.

Reason #1: Seriously, do you people (and more importantly all you people who don’t read this) really think Phil is going to get less than 40%?  Really?  I’m sorry, but that is not going to happen.  The Democratic nominee will get 40, more likely 45% just for having a D after his name.  And as the crosstabs from the polling show, Phil is a little weak in the Democrats.  But that won’t last.  These Dems who are thinking of straying over to Arnold, well most of them will come home.  I’ve said this one for a long time, and it’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

Reason #2: There are a lot of pissed off people out there, many of whom are outside polling companies’ target audience.  For one, let’s look at PowerPAC’s new poll.  It polls native Spanish speakers.  These are people that won’t respond to surveys and/or won’t be asked because they answer the phone in spanish.  While the polling organizations won’t show that these are your typical “likely voters”, these people will vote. 

How do I know they’ll vote?  Well, they really, really don’t like Arnold.  They think he is something of a bigot.  From PowerPAC:

69% holding a negative view of him, but he is also seen as untrustworthy. 73% of these voters said they do not trust Schwarzenegger to represent the interests of the Latino community…68% of these voters said the recent comments by Gov. Schwarzenegger, in which he referenced a Latina Assemblywoman as being “very hot” due to her “black blood mixed with Latino blood” were insensitive or racist, with only 26% agreeing the comments were “mostly harmless,” as was the primary reaction portrayed in the media.

You don’t think those people will turn out to vote?  I think they will.  Now, most of these people don’t know who Phil Angelides is, but they do know that he is anti-Arnold, and that seems to be enough to support him at a 64% clip 6 weeks out from the election.

Day 3 of Matching Contributions: Bowen, Brown, McNerney

(Crossposted at DailyKos and MyDD.  Rec’s appreciated.)

Wednesday, I offered a proposal:  I will do a dollar for dollar match for every dollar given to Debra Bowen, Charlie Brown, and Jerry McNerney using the Calitics ActBlue page through 5.00 pm on Saturday, September 30, up to the following limits:

Debra Bowen:  $1,000
Charlie Brown:  $500
Jerry McNerney: $500

Well, here’s what’s been raised through 7:00 this morning:

Debra Bowen:  $665.01
Charlie Brown:  $460.01
Jerry McNerney:  $330.01

Charlie Brown is very close to meeting the goal.  Come on, McNerney & Bowen Fans!  You’re not gonna let the Charlie Brown people do that to you, are you? 

I matched yesterday’s contributions over coffee this morning.  Make me give away the rest tomorrow morning.

Once again, don’t forget to tip ActBlue. 

Bond Polls

Field has come out with their Bond Props polling data. Interesting Prop 1C made a huge rebound from their last poll (which can be found in the Poll HQ). It went from 33% to 58% support. That tells me really that the polling data just isn’t that reliable at this point. My guess is that people just aren’t paying attention to these yet. As we near the election, and people start thinking about these big bonds, you’ll see some slippage in these numbers.

Poll/Prop 1B: Transp. 1C: Housing 1D: Educ 1E: Disaster 84: Water
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Field
9/29/06
52 36 12 58 28 14 52 33 15 51 36 13 50 30 20

CA-Controller: John Chiang gets endorsement from national Dem. organization

In his bid to replace Steve Westly as the State Controller, John Chiang picked up a little national attention in the form of an endorsement from the Campaign for a National Majority.  They only endorse a handful of candidates each year, so this is quite an honor for Chiang.  A little from their press release:

While this race is marked by decidedly different perspectives on the role of government and fairness in taxation, it is ultimately about the financial challenges facing California. Both candidates are deeply concerned about the state’s annual multi-billion dollar deficits, but only Chiang emphasizes the importance of pursuing policies that ensure the support necessary to sustain high-quality public schools, health care for the disadvantaged and top-notch police and fire protection services. Chiang argues that state not only can, but that it also must meet those twin challenges with innovative financial leadership.(CNM)

Listen, this race isn’t on the radar of most Californians, but we really have a stark choice.  John Chiang will bring sensible ideas to the office.  Tony Strickland, former Assemblywoman, husband of current Assemblywoman Strickland, is the president of the California Club for Growth!  You know, the guy that extracts all those “No Tax Hikes Ever” pledges from every candidate, even if there is a serious reason why we need them. 

Strickland supports the Bush plan on economic reform, including his ridiculous tax cuts in a time of war.  Never in our history have we reduced taxes in a time of war, until GWB.  We are building massive deficits with no plan to conquer them.  Similarly we are building deficits in California, and Arnold has no plan to reign those in.  Strickland is cool with that.  In fact, he pushes for that in his role with the Club for Growth.  That’s just plain ridiculous; why would we trust him to watch our money?

Voter Outreach: Help needed in Richmond

(Turnout, Turnout, Turnout! It’s critical to all of our races, not just CA-Gov. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Greetings All!  I just want to make this simple a simple plea…

I am a member of the Democratic Party of Contra Costa County and we are trying to focus our resources of areas that have been more of less taken for granted or neglected.  Richmond is one of those areas.  It is 70% Democratic, but has only 30% turnout.  We are going to change that last number.

But we could really use some help.  We are hoping to start something that won’t disappear on Wednesday, November 8.  We want to make a permanent and ongoing effort.

Isn’t that the strategy?

Press release is on the flip.  Thanks for peeking at it!

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact
Tony Thurmond, Co- Chair, West County Democrats
(510) 681-4127
[email protected]

*West County Democrats Mobilize for Angelides & Statewide Democratic Ticket!*

On Saturday September 30, 2006, the West County Democrats will kick off a month long campaign to mobilize Democratic voters in the West Contra Costa County area. Elected officials and representatives from the California Democratic Party will gather to initiate phone banking, precinct walking, and other measures to help Gubernatorial candidate Phil Angelides and other Democrats win statewide office in November.

Co-chaired by Richmond Mayor Irma Anderson and Richmond Councilman Tony Thurmond, West County Democrats is a coalition of Democratic Clubs from the cities of Richmond, El Cerrito, and Hercules. Representatives from the West County Latina/Latino Democratic Club and the Democratic Central Committee of Contra Costa County are also part of the coalition. Organizers hope to translate the 70% plus base of Democratic voters in the Richmond ar ea into a strong turnout for statewide Democratic candidates and initiatives. Nightly phone banking and weekly mobilizations will be used to energize local Democratic voters.

The September 30th mobilization will take place at 10:00AM at the offices of United Heritage Industries located at 5216 Wall Avenue in Richmond, CA. Refreshments will be provided and members of the public are invited to attend and participate in phone banking and precinct walking activities.