SD-03: New Poll Gives Leno Big Lead

As of tonight, it looks like it is indeed a two-way race for the State Seanate District 3. A new Survey USA poll gives Mark Leno a strong lead over with Joe Nation and Carole Migden tied for a distant second place.

In a Democratic Primary today in California’s 3rd State Senate District, 18 days until votes are counted, incumbent Senator Carole Migden is defeated in her bid to keep her party’s nomination, according to this exclusive KPIX-TV pre-primary poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, Mark Leno, assemblyman from California’s 13th assembly district, gets 42% of the vote; Joe Nation, assemblyman from CA’s 6th district, gets 22%; Migden finishes effectively tied with Nation, at 21%. Leno leads in almost every demographic sub-population. The winner of the Democratic primary is favored to win the November general election in this heavily Democratic district.

It looks good, but Carole is campaigning hard in The City. EVery day now, we are getting calls and literature either from her campaign or an organization that supports her. If she manages to cut into his numbers, Nation could conceivably sneak in. However, this is very good news so far.

Tonight We Celebrate for Tomorrow We Fight

This is cross-posted from the California Majority Report. It was written by Richard Stapler, the press secretary for Speaker of the Assembly.

Today, the California State Supreme Court ruled in favor of marriage equality, allowing (in 30 days time) same sex couples to wed.

It’s a joyous occassion for my partner (soon to be my husband!) and myself — and the millions of LGBT Californians who will be shortly be afforded all the rights and responsibilities of marriage.

I heard the news on the Assembly floor this morning from a newspaper reporter — and fought back tears of joy. I read with glee the opening statement of the court’s action to the Speaker of the Assembly and several Members, halting with the overwhelming emotion I felt. Text messages and calls to my partner, friends and family ensued.

But there is a sobering reality to all of this. We’ve won this battle, but the war for our equal rights stretches on until November.  

An effort to write blatant discrimination into California’s constitution is nearing qualification for November’s ballot.

As California’s top ballot initiative strategist said to me in an e-mail shortly after the decision became public “the ante has now gone WAY up.”

This ruling is nothing less than a call to arms. I can guarantee you that the proponents of this initiative will use this ruling as a tool to raise tens of millions of dollars for their effort.

We must take the gloves off. We must out-think and out-spend our opponents. Our human dignity stands in the balance.

Over the coming months, California and the world will likely see images of thousands of same-sex couples marrying. And people will see that life goes on. Skies don’t fall.

That’s a start.

But tonight I will celebrate. Because tomorrow begins a long, expensive fight.

Listen to clammyc and hekebolos’ exclusive interview with Mary Pallant!

(While we’re celebrating equal marriage rights for all Californians, why not listen to one of California’s progressive Congressional candidates hold court on the issues? – promoted by Dante Atkins (hekebolos))

Full disclosure: I serve as a the (volunteer) Netroots Coordinator for the Mary Pallant campaign

If we learned nothing else from Travis Childers’ incredible victory in the R+10 MS-01, it is that all but the verry most conservative Republican House seats are in play and winnable this election cycle.  Democrats who may not have had a legitimate shot in other election years have a decent shot of taking over otherwise impossible districts this year.

What that also means is that many Democrats in swing districts that are trending blue may actually be favored to win this year–even if they’re not technically on the front radars of organizations like Blue Majority or the DCCC’s Red to Blue list.  Of course, demographics aren’t everything: the candidates themselves have to be capable, determined and charismatic.

Mary Pallant in CA-24 is just such a capable candidate in very swing district bordering the districts of progressives Henry Waxman in Los Angeles and Lois Capps in Santa Barbara–and you have the opportunity to hear her live or via podcast/download in an exclusive interview today at 5pmPST/8pmEST with our own netroots bloggers clammyc and hekebolos on Blogtalkradio!  (My brother hekebolos will be filling in on the show for me in order to avoid conflict of interest issues on my part, so you can hear Mary in her full glory without my temptation to spin on her behalf!)

Why does Mary have such a great shot at victory?  Look no further than a post I wrote back on April 21st:

Turnout numbers in this district are off the charts as voters get increasingly sick of Republican rule.  This R+5 district saw Democratic voters outnumber Republicans by almost 4,000 votes earlier this year, partly due to the historic primary race.  Nor is there any indication that the Democratic turnout will do anything but increase in November as we approach this historic general election.  I was quoted extensively in the local paper the Ventura County Reporter in its story on Ventura County’s flip from red to blue in overall voter registration–one of the major reasons for Tom McClintock’s departure to the supposedly friendlier climes of CA-04 to take on Charlie Brown.

Republican Elton Gallegly, meanwhile, is a do-nothing, nearly invisible Rubberstamp Republican who has essentially ignored the needs of the district for years while supporting the unpopular Occupation of Iraq, Bush’s unpopular tax cuts for the wealthy.

This is a district that is ripe for the picking for a strong, progressive Democrat.  And Mary Pallant is just such a Democrat.  Strongly opposed to the Occupation of Iraq and a supporter of the Responsible Plan, an avid supporter of universal healthcare and creating a green economy, and a supporter of efforts to  end corruption in government, she is just the sort of progressive Democrat we need.  That’s why the Progressive Democrats of America have given Mary their enthusiastic support.

Since the time I wrote that diary, Mary has also been racking up more and more endorsements from across the progressive and Democratic spectrum.

Not only can Mary definitely win this race, her positions on the economy, on healthcare and on Iraq are all heavily progressive positions we can all be proud of.  Here’s part of her economic platform:

Mary is running because she believes the people in Washington care more about Fallujah than they do about Fillmore. The 2 to 3 billion dollars a week we are spending in Iraq will get a much better return on investment if we invest here in our infrastructure, create green collar jobs, boost manufacturing, and assist with the sub-prime loan debacle. Wages have stagnated over the last several years, our dollar has declined, while our debt has risen to record levels. We are in an unsustainable downward spiral and we must act fast. We have witnessed the impact here in the district with falling or stagnate home sales, Amgen laid off 100’s of employees, Countrywide’s fall to near ruin, which affected 100’s of people who live here in Ventura County. The cost of goods and services has far outpaced inflation. For America to be a beacon of hope again in the world, a model of democracy, we must restore our middle class and become strong and secure again here first. It begins in our own back yard.

If you can, please help Mary by making a contribution to her campaign–every little bit helps in these congressional races.  And don’t forget to listen in or download the interview tonight to hear why Mary deserves our support!

—————————————-

Also, if you are interested in hearing interviews with other fine progressive candidates, below is a list of previous Heading Left candidate interviews conducted by myself and clammyc: