The recent LA Times/USC poll is a classic example of “I dare not hope this is true” polling. After giving Jerry Brown 13-point lead over Meg Whitman, today’s numbers on Props 23 and 25 are also good news for progressives:
Prop 23: 32% yes, 48% no
Prop 25: 58% yes, 28% no
I have to believe these numbers, like Brown’s 13-point lead, make this LAT/USC poll an outlier. Props 23 and 25 are almost certainly closer than this spread makes it appear. They have Prop 25 leading among every demographic group, including narrowly among Republicans and conservatives, and by huge margins among independents and moderates. Prop 23 similarly trails among most key demographic groups.
These results will only actually come true if we keep driving people to the polls. Courage Campaign (where I work as Public Policy Director) has a growing list of GOTV opportunities around the state. Take a look and see where you can contribute – and if you know of GOTV activities we don’t have listed, let me know and we’ll make sure it gets added.