All posts by Brian Leubitz

Popular Vote Bill on Arnold’s Desk

California could be the first state to sign on to the national populat vote compact.  The compact would not come into effect until enough states sign on to guarantee 270 electoral votes.  The law would make California relevant again in the presidential elections by making every vote worth exactly the same amount.  As it stands right now, California is ignored completely, unless you count the Dem candidates running to SF and LA for money and the Reps running to the OC and SD for money.

George Skelton gives Arnold some advice:

In a previous incarnation, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger was a self-described reformer and champion of direct democracy. That worked fine for him one year, but was a disaster the next. Now he gets another crack at shaking things up.
{snip}
No more battleground states or spectator states. Every state would be in play. Every vote would count.

Schwarzenegger’s signature on the Umberg bill would make California the first state to ratify an interstate compact obligating each signatory to cast all its electoral votes for the presidential candidate who wins the national popular vote. (LA Times 9/21/06)

This can only be a good thing for California.  Even if California gave 54.4% of its vote last time to Kerry, this compact would force the Dems to come here to the high population centers to campaign for ever last vote.

Plus, if this would have been law in 2000…well, you know…

The San Joaquin River will flow again

I was going to mention the deal that was struck last week to restore the San Joaquin River, but, other things arose.  However, I would like to point out the arrangement, and not my head vigorously in support of the pact.

This week there was good news from farther afield in the South Bay’s “back yard,” the vast San Francisco Bay watershed that extends from the Sierra to the Golden Gate. On Wednesday, environmental groups, Central Valley growers and the federal government announced an agreement to settle an 18-year-old lawsuit and restore the San Joaquin River, dewatered more than a half-century ago by the construction of Friant Dam near Fresno. (SJ Merc 9/14/06)

Think about this.  There are going to be salmon there! Probably.  The river should eventually flow all the way back into the Bay Delta.  This is a river right now that well…underwhelms.  A viable San Joaquin River benefits everybody along its path. 

Lockyer’s suit against the car companies

Bill Lockyer is leading a charge to seek damages from major car companies for the pollution that automobiles emit.  It’s the first such suit. :

California Attorney General Bill Lockyer sued the six biggest U.S. and Japanese automakers Wednesday, claiming their cars’ greenhouse gas emissions contribute to global warming that harms the state.

The lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court in Oakland, claims human-induced global warming has reduced California’s snow- pack and the fresh water it provides; raised sea levels along the California coast; increased smog over cities; and boosted the threat of wildfires. This collective public nuisance has cost the state millions for assessments and preparations, it says.

“Defendants, by their annual emissions in the United States of approximately 289 million metric tons of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, are substantial contributors — among the world’s largest contributors — to global warming, and to the adverse impact on California,” the suit says.

Named as defendants are General Motors Corp., Toyota Motor North America Inc., Ford Motor Co., Honda North America Inc., Chrysler Motors Corp. and Nissan North America Inc. (OakTrib 9/21/06)

Of course, if you asked me who was the problem, I’m not sure that I would point solely to the car companies.  The real problem is that the prices of both cars and gas do little to internalize the externalities of the ecological damage that they wreak upon the environment.

I think the suit is a valid one.  The car companies are enablers for our oil addiction. The car companies claim it’s a political stunt by Lockyer.  But let’s be honest here.  Claude Parrish?  Who? yeah, that’s Lockyer’s opponent for Treasurer.  To say that Lockyer is a VERY large favorite is a bit of an understatement.  I don’t really think Lockyer really needs this kind of stunt.

Rather, I think this is an attempt at a novel legal tactic. Like the gun manufacturers, car makers must own up to their responsibility for our oil-addicted economy.

The LA Times: Back off you Chicago Suits!

So, just in case you haven’t heard about the drama involving the LA Times, Marc Cooper gives a nice little recap:

Some have called it an “Alamo strategy.” The editor of the L.A. Times, Dean Baquet, has boldly drawn a line in the sand against his own employers, saying he refuses to make $10 million in cuts being demanded by the Tribune Company.BaquetDean_L.jpg

The general public may shrug it shoulders, but this battle is indeed of titanic proportions for journalists and for the future of journalism. Baquet has been joined in his public defiance by none other than publisher Jeff Johnson. And by an ad hoc group of 19 L.A. luminaries who suggest that the best thing to do is for the Tribune Co. to back off and maybe to relinquish control of the Times to local entrprenuers (several local billionaires including David Geffen have already volunteered to make the buy).(Marc Cooper 9/19/06)

First of all, I must admit that I have a little bit of a grudge against the Tribune Co.  As a lifelong Cubs fan, why the hell can’t you people field a winner!?!  You know why? It’s because of their corporate philosohpy, “Put the bare minimum in, and not a penny more.”  The LA Times isn’t exactly the greatest paper in the world, but it’s sure as hell far better than the Chicago Tribune.

These staff cuts would hobble the Times, and prevent it from gathering the stories that it should be gathering.  The Times should be the paper of record on the West Coast.  The Tribune Co. would abdicate that role faster than the Cubs swoon in June.

So, everybody, write letters to the editors of the Times, supporting them for their principled stance.  We need the Times more than the Tribune Co. needs a few more pennies.

CA-Sen: Dick Mountjoy, wingnut extraordinaire, inches towards a real race

In the most recent Datamar poll, Dick Mountjoy is within 11 points of Diane Feinstein.  Now, I’ve pointed out the flaws of the Datamar poll here, however this is a bit scary.  The man is totally insane.  And I mean that.  Totally. Insane.

I’d like to point out a few positions from this California Republican icon. Let’s start with immigration

Immigration:
Dick Mountjoy is the author of Prop 187, the proposition which cut off most benefits from people who could not show proof of legality.  His official position:

If we’re to protect our nation, we must control our borders.  That’s why, as our U.S. Senator, I will work to immediately strengthen our border with improved barriers and beefed up law enforcement.  I will also fight against any attempt to give illegal immigrants government funded services, and I will oppose ALL amnesty schemes.[(Mountjoy for Senate) If we’re to protect our nation, we must control our borders.  That’s why, as our U.S. Senator, I will work to immediately strengthen our border with improved barriers and beefed up law enforcement.  I will also fight against any attempt to give illegal immigrants government funded services, and I will oppose ALL amnesty schemes.]

On gay rights:
Anti-gay would be putting it mildly.  Check out this lecture from an anti-gay rally:

Some notable quotes from this video:

“They have been taught to not tolerate the sin, but tolerate the sinner.  They have been taught that these acts are sins no doubt about it…They say “it’s ok’.  You know Papa, you’ve taught us a Christian way of life.  My teacher says it’s ok.  Well, it’s not ok.”

“Separation between church and state, which is not really true.”

And there are a lot more of fun quotes.  Listen people, if this Datamar poll is even close to being accurate, we need to make sure that we get to the polls.  I know DiFi isn’t perfect, but would you really want to risk moonbat over there being in the Senate?

CA-Gov: Don’t Count Phil Out Yet: Unions to fight back

Apparently, the state’s unions (in the form of the Alliance for a Better California) are not throwing in the towel against Arnold Schwarzenegger just yet.  From the SF Chron (h/t to Julia at …the Alliance for a Better California):

A coalition of the state’s most powerful public employee unions has agreed to start an independent campaign opposing the re-election of Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger that could cost as much as $25 million, according to several sources familiar with the plan.(SF Chron 9/20/06)

Keep an eye on the Alliance for a Better California Blog  for more information.

CA-04: A Real Race for Doolittle

Charlie Brown’s candidacy is no longer some little joke in the district.  Brown’s internal polling (via TPM) (so take it with a grain of salt) shows a dead heat on name recognition alone.

Charlie Brown (D) 39
John Doolittle (R) 49
Neither  3
Don’t Know 17

Now, once you give positive campaign statements for each candidate, Brown has a sizeable lead. (positive and negative)

Charlie Brown (D) 47 (45)
John Doolittle (R) 39 (38)
Neither  3 (6)
Don’t Know 11 (12)

So, it’s pretty obvious what needs to happen in the next few weeks, huh?  We need to make sure that as many people as possible know Charlie’s background, his beliefs, and his ethics. Of course, all that takes money, so check out the Calitics ActBlue page too.

Antonio’s Big Gamble is On

Schwarzenegger has signed Villaraigosa’s LAUSD control bill, and thus, Antonio’s Big GambleTM is on.

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger handed Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa a much-anticipated prize Monday, signing a law that will give the mayor substantial control over the Los Angeles public schools.

Appearing together for a bill-signing ceremony at the Los Angeles Central Library, the officials said the change would bring new accountability to a system that fails students, teachers and parents.
{snip}
“I’m asking for people to hold me personally accountable for leading improvement in the schools,” the mayor said. He urged school board members to drop their challenge. “Accept the will of the people,” he said. (LA Times 9/19/06)

You know, this is really a huge gamble on Villaraigosa’s part.  The weakened bill that ultimately passed gives him only moderate power over the schools.  He has some authority, but it’s quite tempered by other mayors outside of the 3 high schools he will control. What can he accomplish? Schools can take a long time for improvement. Will he really be able to get results in time for his next election?  Additionally, it’s possible that the state courts might invalidate this whole deal.

But on the other hand, it appears the weakening could provide him with an escape route. If schools don’t improve, he can point out that he wasn’t given all the power he requested.

This is all quite uncharted territory.  It really is his Big GambleTM.

CA-InsComm: An Opening for Poizner, and that’s not a good thing

UPDATE: Oops! I got the District right, but the candidate wrong.  It was the 21stAD, but that’s Ira Ruskin’s seat, not Sally Lieber, who is in the 22nd AD. Ruskin beat Poizner in 2004.  Also, apparently Cruz has recently launched a new site: joincruz.com

Cruz Bustamante! Start With Cruz! Are you excited yet?  No? Well, that’s a problem.  Why? Because Steve Poizner is an up-and-comer in the world of California politics.  When he lost his race for the 21st AD, it was just the beginning.  He was willing to invest a boatload of money to be competitive in that heavily Democratic District.  Ira Ruskin won that race, but she had to really work for it.  That’s something of a surprise in that seat.

You see, Cruz Bustamante isn’t running much of a campaign.  It’s not that he’s been mired in scandal or something like that. No, he’s just literally not running a campaign.  Have you seen him campaign? It’s like seeing Loch Nessie. Grab a picture, it’s sure to be worth something. Have you seen his website? Well, yes, I guess I do mean Start With Cruz.  Yup, that’s his only presence on the web.  And cruzbustamante.com? Well, that links to Political Asylum, a liberal blog.  So, no real-world campaigning, no online campaigning…Sheesh.  That’s a doozy of a campaign, huh?

Well, my concern here isn’t really over the IC position itself.  Not that I don’t care about that position.  It’s just that Poizner doesn’t really need a platform to launch himself. He’s essentially the GOP answer to Steve Westly.  He’s a Silicon Valley businessman with loads of cash to spend on his campaigns and a seemingly moderate.  He’d be the strongest GOP candidate for the governor in 2010 if he won this race.  Now, it would be difficult for him to win the statewide primary against somebody like McClintock, but an unchallenged Poizner would be a formidable challenge, even for a powerhouse like Villaraigosa.

However, we don’t really want this job landing in Poizner’s hands for reasons of the job itself.  As numerous people have commented here, it’d be a little like the fox guarding the hen house? How can we trust a corporate-leaning conservative to protect the interests of ordinary Californians in relation to Big Insurance?  This job is meant to protect us, not the insurance companies.

So, Cruz…let’s start already.

Kerry and Phil

Recaps are streaming in from the media, and more importantly at GovernorPhil.  First, check out dday’s recap at GovernorPhil.  If you want some more info, try Carla Marinucci’s post at the SFGate Politics Blog.

Many top-flight Democratic stars are coming to the state to campaign with Phil. If you ever wanted to see a future presidential candidate up close and person, this is the time to do it! 😉

Photo is from the SF Gate.  I’ll replace it soon.