All posts by Brian Leubitz

Statewide Money Report…A Bit Late

So, on the flip you’ll see a table of money information from the statewide candidates from the July 31 FPPC Reports.  I meant to publish this a lot sooner, but well, it never happened. Until now.

A few questions from the data. 1) What the hell does Bill Lockyer plan to do with $10 million for his treasurer’s race?  First of all the race is entirely uncompetitive, and second it’s a treasurer’s race.  I know most of this was raised when people thought he was going to run for governor, but what the hell is going to happen with that money now?

2) Is Cruz going to survive?  Poizner has a big money lead, can self-finance, and Cruz has yet to attempt a campaign.  Given the fact that he’s not really popular amongst Dems after that Recall stunt he pulled, is he in serious trouble?  The Field Poll had him up by four points, but Poizner’s got only 15% name recognition, something he will change with all that cash he’s got.  Cruz also has a 43%  unfavorable and a net fav/unfav of -5.  Unless Cruz actually mounts a campaign once Labor Day hits, it looks like we may have a GOP I.C. Ick!

Candidate Party Q2 Contrib Q2 Expend Q2 EOQ Cash
Governor
Phil Angelides D $5,097,575.65 $7,426,086.85 $725,995.02
Peter Camejo G No Campaign Filings
Arnold Schwarzenegger R $4,273,008.33 $9,829,793.35 $4,073,110.54
Lt. Governor
John Garamendi D $590,338.00 $541,377.53 $408,238.39
Tom McClintock R $385,362.43 $103,755.40 $1,509,335.06
Sec. of State
Debra Bowen D $100,533.02 $81,410.77 $180,216.26
Bruce McPherson R $147,372.40 $60,577.37 $708,843.09
Controller
John Chiang D $151,759.48 $209,209.84 $116,555.05
Tony Strickland R $233,958.00 $278,940.56 $160,817.90
Treasurer
Bill Lockyer D $91,076.60 $114,028.12 $10,515,440.71
Claude Parrish R $22,034.44 $39,259.12 $205,709.87
Attorney General
Jerry Brown D $981,743.17 $413,329.30 $5,206,568.65
Chuck Poochigian R $543,438.80 $227,480.77 $3,595,714.43
Insurance Comm.
Cruz Bustamante D $249,968.03 $223,184.25 $387,988.17
Steve Poizner R $309,055.42 $556,532.02 $2,431,062.11

GOP: Don’t they bother to do ANY research before they put actors on tractors?

At Phil events in Fresno and Bakersfield, the California GOP decided it would be a brilliant idea to put some volunteers up on tractors to harass the Angelides campaign.  One problem, these actors didn’t have tractor permits.  Carla Marianucci was all over it on the SF Chron’s blog:

Some Republicans in the Victory ’06 effort to re-elect Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger had a king-sized campaign idea: getting huge tractors to drive back and forth today in front of Democratic candidate Phil Angelides’ “front porch” sessions in Fresno and Bakersfield. The tractors were carrying “Schwarzenegger” campaign signs to highlight the charge that Angelides, the state treasurer, would raise the “tractor tax” to a Central Valley audience.

But they forgot one tiny detail: No farmers these, they didn’t have the appropriate permits or licenses — or the required “pilot” car — for the big vehicles, which roamed back and forth in the residential neighborhoods.

Result: In Fresno, the tractor drivers, with “Schwarzenegger” signs on the big rigs, ended up getting stopped by officials and ticketed — and in Bakersfield, they were told to hit the road for the big booboo. (SF Chron Politics Blog 8/22/06)

The team responsible for this little stunt apparently got the tractors from a local tractor dealer (who happens to be a big GOP donor).  They also didn’t bother to ask anybody how you drive a tractor or the regulations about tractors.  You see tractors are actually heavy machinery that can be dangerous.  No big whoop for the GOP, as they continue to flaunt California laws.  First Arnold’s motorcycle now the GOP’s tractors.  What’s next, perhaps some unlicensed pilots?

The Minimum Wage Compromise that Compromises The Future of California’s Poorest Citizens

The Legislature and Arnold Schwarzenegger have agreed to a deal on a minimum wage increase from its current position at $6.75 to $8.00.  However, there will be no inflation indexing.  The Legislative Leaders were forced to abandon the indexing due to threats of veto from Schwarzenegger.  I understand the Legislature’s inclination to agree to get some sort of deal passed.  Any delay in getting an increase passed costs the poorest workers in the state.  That is not acceptable.

Schwarzenegger claims that his previous vetoes of minimum wage increases were because the business climate in the past couldn’t accommodate it.

Schwarzenegger praised the agreement as a boost for low-wage workers and the business climate. “I have always said that when the economy was ready, we should reward the efforts of California’s hardworking families by raising our minimum wage,” he said. (LA Times 8/22/06)

The problem with that is minimum wage increases do not result in job losses, but rather job increases. But the lack of an indexing provision is a travesty of justice. Card and Kruger have already disproved that one.  No, what Arnold is really trying to do is putting the interests of his big business contributors ahead of the state’s working families.

“It’s a long time coming, and frankly the reason it’s coming is because this is a political year,” said Art Pulaski, secretary-treasurer of the labor federation.

He said Schwarzenegger, running for reelection in November, had twice before vetoed similar bills but changed his mind this year as part of an electionyear move toward the political center.

Despite expected opposition from Republican lawmakers, a minimum wage bill is expected to win easy passage from the Democratic-controlled Legislature and be on the governor’s desk shortly after lawmakers adjourn Aug. 31.

The GOP still can’t bring themselves to support the working poor.  Do they respect big business that much more than California’s working families that they will push that hard against the bill? I guess so.  Isn’t that a bit scary? Yikes.

Indexing does nothing to increase the real wages of the state’s poorest.  It merely does what is done for most people in government jobs, ties their earnings to what stuff actually costs.  It takes politics out of the equation.  If we passed indexing, we could set a real minimum wage once and let the indexing take care of the rest.  But now we’ll be back where we started in five years.  Hopefully then we will have a Democratic governor who understands the valuable role of the state’s minimum wage workers.

First Right, Then Left for Schwarzenegger

After a giving a borderline racist speech to the CRaP Convention on Saturday, Arnold Schwarzenegger went to an African-American church on Sunday.  For whatever else his faults might be, one thing that is clear is that the Governator knows how to play both sides.

Of all the places for a Republican to campaign for governor of California, the Democratic stronghold of South Los Angeles rarely ranks high on the list.

Even more striking about Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s visit Sunday to a black church there was the abrupt switch in tone from his partisan speech a day earlier to a crowd of mainly white Republicans who applauded his newly sharpened rhetoric on illegal immigration.

Yet Schwarzenegger’s weekend pivot from right to left fit neatly with his two-step reelection strategy. One day, he moves to solidify conservative support; the next, he tries to broaden his appeal among moderates who are crucial to his fate in November. (LA Times 8/21/06)

Well, he does play a good part occasionally.  I mean, I loved Kindergarten Cop.  To this day whenever I get a headache, the “It’s not a tumor” line comes out.  That’s classic stuff right there.  But when it comes to being governor of the most populous state, we need a governor who actually knows the issues, and isn’t just reciting a script that his Bush 04 handlers gave him.  Fortunately, some churchgoers saw through the little stunt:

Ralph Walker of Covina walked out of the church just after the governor arrived, telling reporters outside that Schwarzenegger had torn down the state during the 2005 special election and was trying to repair his reputation.

“Everything in there is damage control and ‘Let me fix up my image,’ ” said Walker, 57, an independent. “Did he get lost? Why is he here?”
 

Ewww! SF CBS Affiliate climbs all the way into Arnold’s ass

Is that gross?  Well, it’s true.  In the span of 5 minutes or so, the local news says that:

  • Arnold’s CRaP Convention Speech was the best of his career.
  • Praised his comedic timing.
  • Stated that Arnold has a “keen understanding” of the issues.
  • Praised his “charm”.
  • Angelides has not made things tough on Arnold. The tax plan is blowing up on Phil.
  • Arnold is seen as a kindler gentler politician.

Ick! It’s been a long time since I’ve seen such an obviously tilted to the right report like that in the Bay Area.  But, let’s just break a few of those down.  First of all, comedic timing isn’t a prerequisite of the job.  Second, as for Arnold’s keen understanding of the issues, let’s just look at one issue, immigration.  We’ve seen Arnold twice praise the Minutemen only to retract that praise.  He’s called for closing the borders, then quickly retracted that as well.  He has a keen understanding when he’s been scripted to have a keen understanding.  We don’t need some sort of actor who’s pumped with a script to answer some questions.  We need a real leader.

Let’s not forget about the tax issues.  Those issues only blew up in Phil’s face if you ask a room full of GOP activists.  Oh, right, that’s what the CBS5 Reporter did.  He went into the CRaPpy convention and asked the delegates how they felt about Phil’s fiscal plan.  Surprise, Surprise, they weren’t a big fan of it.  But, guess what, they aren’t a representative sample.  They really like the free lunch that Arnold’s planning.  And they don’t much care about Arnold saying that the our university tuition is too low.  And they don’t care if our infrastructure withers away.  It’s no big deal to them, because they will all be living in one big gated community together in a few years.

Phil offers a plan that works to correct the structural defecit (an issue that Arnold “has no plan for”), reverse the massive tuition increases at public universities and community colleges and repay the Prop 98 funds owed to K-12 schools.  That he asks the richest in our soceity to help with those goals is just part of living in the greatest civilization in the history of the World.  But, if the CRaP likes third world infrastructure with third world education services, perhaps they can take their little experiment elsewhere.

Courage Campaign Blog Coverage of State GOP Convention

I wanted to point out the excellent coverage of the state GOP (CRaP) convention by Todd Beeton of the Courage Campaign.  Arnold has been having a little issue with his base not being convinced of him. (See the Friday LA Times.)  So, he knows he’s got to toss a little red meat their way:

But I guess it works for him, especially when he follows it up with the red meat:

  “My opponent wants to give illegal immigrants driver’s licenses!”

Crowd: “NOOOO!”

  “Being an American means learning English!”

Ahh, can you smell that?  Yeah, that’s the subtle wiff of racism.  Check out Todd’s post for the details of the event along with his conversation with Bruce McPherson. 

Prop 90 does far more damage than Eminent Domain could ever do

(Also posted at dKos. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Prop 90, the so-called “Protect Our Homes” Act, aims to curtail the use of eminent domain in the state of California.  The problem is that Prop 90 goes much further than that.  In today’s SF Chronicle, Ray King, a Montana columnist rips the initiative to shreds.  Let’s go issue by issue on the flip:

  1. E.D. as a smokescreen for the gutting of governmental regulation.

    The marketing on this initiative revolves around eminent domain, and much of the initiative text deals with that.  However, in the span of a few paragraphs, Prop 90 manages to totally change the purpose and structure of our government.

    Reforming eminent domain is partly a smokescreen. The multistate campaign has a bigger target: It aims to choke off governments’ ability to pass land-use regulations affecting millions of property owners.

    The libertarian Reason Foundation of Los Angeles revealed the strategy in an April policy paper that recommended pushing “Kelo-plus” initiatives to capitalize “on the tremendous public and political momentum generated in the aftermath of the Kelo ruling. …”

      (SF Chron 8/20/06)

    So why the stealth?  Could it be perhaps that they are trying to hide something?  No…never, huh?  Another point to all this sneakiness is the supposed groundswell of support, as indicated by all the donors that have given to the initiative to see it get on the ballot.  The problem with that?  Yeah, the money given to support Prop 90 comes from a few wealthy donors:

      This anti-regulation campaign is not as populist as it would like to appear. A few big financial backers have provided almost all the campaign money so far. The pro-Prop. 90 campaign raised and spent about $2.4 million through the end of June. Of that total, $1.5 million came from Howie Rich of New York, who grew wealthy in real estate and owns apartments across the country. He funnels his political money through his Fund for Democracy, which is based in his home. Following the money trail, an additional $600,000 of Prop. 90’s war chest came from a Montana group whose supporters include a Chicago-area Libertarian group called Americans for Limited Government, where Rich is chairman of the board of directors; and $200,000 came from Fieldstead & Co., an Irvine conduit for Howard Fieldstead Ahmanson, Jr., a savings-and-loan heir who also backs efforts to establish a “Christian nation” and oppose gay marriage and stem-cell research. (SF Chron 8/20/06)

    For those of us who don’t feel the need to do math in our heads, that’s $2.3 million.  Out of $2.4 million.  From 3 donors.  Yup, that’s a real ground swell.  What do these groups expect to get from this money? Well, let’s look at what they are really hiding.

  2. Prop 90 aims to drastically curtail government regulation…to the detriment of society.

    What is the “plus” in these initiatives? Libertarians and property-rights activists believe that many common government regulations on real estate, such as zoning and subdivision limits, take away property value. Therefore, they say, government should either compensate the owners or back off.
    {snip}
    Libertarians and property-rights activists persuaded Oregon voters to approve Measure 37 in 2004. Oregon had the nation’s toughest land-use regulations, and some loosening-up was needed, but Measure 37 blew huge holes in Oregon’s system. It allowed many longtime landowners to escape regulations for protecting landscapes, the environment and neighborhoods.

    Despite delays in Measure 37’s implementation caused by court fights, Oregon property owners have already filed about 2,700 Measure 37 claims, aiming to develop about 143,000 acres. The claimants demand that governments either waive land-use regulations or pay nearly $4 billion in compensation. In almost all of the 700 or so claims settled to date, governments have waived the regulations. (SF Chron 8/20/06)

    So, look what a similar initiative in Oregon did for the state: 2700 Claims.  $4 Billion. 143,000 more acres devoted to rampant development.  Sounds like a great plan.  In another example cited in King’s op-ed, a farmer wanted to subdivide his farm for 280 houses on a plot that was zoned agricultural.  Because of Measure 37, the state was essentially unable to afford the defense of the zoning and eventually just gave up.  In the end, the real loser with Measure 37 has been the people.  The government is a resource for pooling political power.  It enables a large majority to prevent activities on the land of others that it deems inapproriate for the area.  It’s a great thing.  Would you really want your neighbor who owns 5 acres to build a giant junkyard on your land?  No, and that’s where zoning and other governmental regulations come in.

  3. Winning the fairness issue
  4. :  As King notes, we must win the “fairness” argument;

    To defeat Prop. 90, California’s advocates for planning and neighborhood rights will have to win on the fairness issue. They need to find compelling examples of people who are helped by land-use regulations. They need to communicate to voters that one person’s rights can be another person’s ruin, and that strong regulations often raise property values rather than lower them.

    Government needn’t be our enemy.  Our government should work to improve the common good.  And with but a few exceptions, it does that.  A reasonable argument could be made that our eminent domain laws could benefit from some tightening here and there, and that reforming eminent domain is a reasonable goal. But we can’t let the Prop 90 forces use fear to push through a measure which would so profoundly hobble the government as it proceeds along its basic purposes, to regulate the use of land.

    Prop 90 beats the government over the head and kicks it in the shins a couple of times for good measure. The backers of this initiative aim to create a state where development knows no bounds and the pursuit of individual wealth trumps the greater good.  And after what we’ve seen in Oregon, it’s time to rebuff them.  It’s time to say that we will not accept any more of these government deconstruction initiatives any more.  It’s time to say No to Howard Rich and his cronies.  It’s time to stand up for our State.

This Week in Northern California 8/18/06

This Week in Northern California, which airs weekly on KQED TV produces an audio podcast, available here.  I have video of this week’s episode on the flip.  It’s less than stellar quality, but not terrible.  THe pictures are less important than the audio, so I’d highly recommend listening to the podcast. However, the stream is on the flip.

Who are all these kids that don’t have insurance?

California Connected, a joint production of several PBS stations in California, aired a segment about Alex, a 4th grader living in SoCal that does not have insurance.  You can view the segment here.

There a few issues that could truly be solved in the legislature. The list is short due to the influence of Prop 13 and its supermajority tax and budget requirements.  But one area which could be immediately fixed is health care.  And such a plan is currently pending in the legislature, it’s SB 840 sponsored by Sen. Kuehl.  SB 840 would change the insurance model of California to one where the state government would be the provider.

Now some would scare you by saying that we don’t want the state to choose which procedures we could get.  But let’s think about that honestly.  Who makes those decisions now? For-profit health care companies.  Who would make those decisions under SB 840? The State?  Is the state really scarier than the private insurance companies?  DOes the state have to report increasing profits every quarter?  The answer is clear: SB 840 is the right thing to do for the state’s children.

Look for SB840 to pass the Assembly but be vetoed by the “moderate” Arnold Schwarzenegger.  His insurance contributors will make sure of that.

The Death of Redistricting

Redestricting will not be on the November 2006 ballot.  At all.  No term limits or Fabian heroics could save it.  Nope, it looks to be dead until the 2008 ballot.  John Myers did an interesting post…with not one, not two, but three updates throughout the afternoon as the finger-pointing erupted.

Here’s the basics of what happened: the Senate passed Sen. Lowenthal’s SCA 3.  Speaker Nunez was anxious to get a vote on it.  He likely had the 2/3  of the Assembly that he needed, but the bill wasn’t “passed” to the Assembly before the deadline to get it on the 2006 ballot.  Speaker Nunez called a vote on a proxy bill, but it failed.  Myers claims that this failure had little to do with support for SCA 3, but rather it indicated a confusion on behalf of the Assembly.  Both parties wanted this past, but somewhere there was a stumbling block.  There were a lot of fingers outstretched yesterday afternoon:

A flurry of Capitol gamesmanship, finger-pointing and accusations ended Thursday with lawmakers failing to place onto the November ballot a proposal to change how California draws political districts.

When the dust settled, there was plenty of blame going around — with Assembly Speaker Fabian Núñez chastising the Senate, Republicans pointing at Democrats, and supporters of redistricting claiming sabotage.

But the fate of Senate Constitutional Amendment 3 remained unsettled.

“I think we’re beyond the double-cross and into the triple- and quadruple-cross on this one,” Sen. Debra Bowen, a Marina del Rey Democrat, said of Thursday’s whirlwind politicking. (SacBee 8/18/06)

Nunez claims that the holdup was with the Senate (a not so-subtle jab at Sen. Perata). The bill could still be passed and placed on the Nov. 2008 ballot, a reasonable outcome given the problems that might occur with a 50% turnover  in the Assembly.  If it’s going to be done, it should be done now.  And it should be done.

But in the end, this one might get mothballed for the next session.  Who knows if both chambers will have the wherewithal to pass it again.  Who knows if the term limits tie-in will again come up.  It’s a question that will likely linger until the new Legislature is seated next year.