All posts by jsw

Blog Roundup, 3/24/06

Very fast blog roundup for March 24, 2006 can be found on the flip:

No, seriously, that’s pretty much it today.

Rasmussen: Three-way Tie in CA Governor’s Race

According to Rasmussen Reports, a Republican-leaning polling outfit, these are the current numbers:

The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll in California shows Schwarzenegger trailing State Treasurer Phil Angelides by one percentage point, 45% to 44%. That is the same nominal edge Angelides enjoyed in our February poll, when he led 41% to 40%.

State Comptroller Steve Westly leads 45% to 44%. In our last poll, Schwarzenegger led Westly 39% to 34%.

The fact that both Democrats poll essentially the same numbers at this time suggests the race remains a referendum on the incumbent rather than a choice between competing candidates.

The Referendum-on-Arnold model is very different from Matthew Dowd’s (public) “it’s a choice” strategy for the Schwarzenegger campaign.

News Roundup 3/24/06

Today we offer what we hope will be a regular feature: a roundup of interesting news from across the state. It’s not all expressly political and it’s not as focused on the horserace as it will no doubt become. Today, we’ve got the anti-government crusaders in Santa Clara County, housing & sprawl, education, the fundraising competition, free speech, and San Jose public Campaign financing, all on the flip.

Blog Roundup: March 23, 2006

The (admittedly tardy) California Blog Roundup for March 23 is below the fold:

Blog Roundup: March 22, 2006

Today’s CaliBlogger roundup below the fold:

  • Daddy, Papa & Me notes that the San Francisco Archdiocese is looking at preventing SF Catholic Charities from placing children for adoption with GLBT couples. In related news, the SF Chronicle tells us that a new Field Poll finds a significant positive shift in Californian’s views of same-sex marriage, relationships, military service, and adoption. Can’t happen fast enough.
  • Left I on The News draws a contrast between the amount that the proposed Santa Clara County sales tax bump would raise, and the amount of money already spent in Iraq. Bottom Line: Santa Clara County residents have spent way more on Iraq.
  • Santa Cruz for Change notes that Christine Pelosi (Nancy Pelosi’s daughter) will be offering her perspective tomorrow night on the Reid / Pelosi plan for the 2006 mid-terms. I look forward to hearing that. Perhaps Ms. Pelosi can explain where regulating bloggers, coming out against Feingold’s censure resolution, and enforcing an ethics truce in the House play into that plan.
  • On that note, one should read Robert Shaw’s piece in BeyondChron, and the resulting letters.
  • Say No To Pombo has two good posts. First, Richard Pombo gets new House Ag Committee leadership role, no doubt to show that some good Pombo pork will come to the Central Valley should he be relected. Second, VPO suggests that some Dems switch their registration to Decline to State for the primary in order to vote for McCloskey in the Republican primary.
  • The BradBlog (the place to go for all your voting machine news) points us to a great summary of the suit against Secretary of State Bruce McPherson to prevent him from certifying the Diebold voting machines for the upcoming elections. The summary, unsurprisingly, comes from State Sen. Debra Bowen, herself a candidate for Secretary of State.
  • The California Observer points us to this handy list of the contributors who ponied up at the Schwarzenegger / McCain Corporate Interest Festival earlier this week.
  • The Left Coaster’s paradox rips into Carolyn Lochhead of the Chron for failing to call Bush out on a flat-out lie. Note as well, toward the end of the article, the verbatim reprint of Bush’s Luntz-approved “Democrat Party” sneer, without even a [sic]. Maybe Lochhead and the Chron don’t know that the name of the party is the Democratic Party, now matter how many times the Republicans call it something else.

Tax Kabuki in Santa Clara County

I lived and worked in Santa Clara County for years, so I have a soft spot for its politics. For the last month or so, I’ve been following the attempt by the Santa Clara County Board of Supervisors to levy a half-cent sales tax in order to finance new public transit . . . though that’s not and can’t be the official reason. The strictures of California tax law imposed by Proposition 13 and its progeny require a particularly ridiculous form of kabuki.

[More on the flip]

Santa Clara County’s supervisors say they’ve made no deal to spend part of a proposed new half-cent sales tax on the planned BART extension to Silicon Valley, but the first formal message by the campaign promoting the tax places BART squarely before voters.

The ballot argument, filed last week by the Silicon Valley Leadership Group, includes “BART, Caltrain, Light Rail and transit service for seniors and the disabled” among the “high-priority local needs” worthy of being funded by the proposed county tax increase.
But just how much would go to those specific projects — or any others — is something the supervisors who will control the money can’t tell voters before the June 6 election without opening themselves to a legal challenge. The result looks likely to be a campaign of hints but no promises, carefully crafted to imply popular projects will be favored, but without committing to them.

“The conundrum for us is that this is a general tax,” said Palo Alto Mayor Judy Kleinberg, who is trying to decide whether voters in her city should support the measure. “So when we ask questions about what this will do for our community or even for the region . . . we can’t get an answer. We’re told, `We can’t tell you, but trust us because in the past we’ve done right by you.’ ”

The uncertainty about the ballot measure — and the mixed messages voters probably will hear — are rooted in the supervisors’ decision Feb. 28 to pursue a 30-year “general purpose tax,” which needs only a simple majority to pass. If supervisors had specified where the money would go, the ballot measure would have become a “special tax” and require two-thirds approval from voters.

What’s happening here is that under SB566, (October 2003), counties (and cities) can put a general revenue sales tax increase before the voters, in a sort of mini-referendum. But, a simple majority of the vote in favor is adequate to enact the tax. I’m not a huge fan of this model (that’s why you elect representatives, after all), but it makes far more sense than the Proposition-mandated counterpart for special taxes, which requires a 2/3 vote to approve a sales tax which would fund a specific project or program. This requirement was imposed on SB566 by Proposition 13 (See CA Const. Article 13A, Sec. 4), Proposition 62, and again by Proposition 218.

Although the general consensus is that public transit is in need of more funding in Santa Clara County, it would be almost impossible to fund public transit specifically, thanks to the series of anti-tax propositions. So, everyone involved has to go along with a general tax, with the tacit understanding (and ultimately, the hope) that it will be used for additional transit.

I’m on record already (and will be much more often) as disliking earmarked taxes and expenditures (as is proposed, for example, in Proposition 82). I believe that we elect representatives to manage those things, and earmarking specific revenue flows breaks that process badly, removing flexibility, denying the possibility of expertise, and reducing political accountability. In this case, however, the anti-tax crusaders have created a painfully stupid situation for the county. The supervisors can’t even make a political promise that they’ll use the funds from the general tax a certain way. They have to say “We can’t promise anything.”

Proposition 13 and its stepchildren mandate wink and nod politics of the worst sort. And maybe that’s what their sponsors intended. Or maybe it’s the law of unintended consequences (a conservative mainstay, at least for conservatives of the Burkean sort) rearing its head yet again. Structural reform is clearly in order, on this and a host of other issues.

Blog Roundup, March 21, 2006

There’s lots of California bloggy goodness from the last couple days.

CA-50

There’s really only one story for CA-50 today. Francine Busby is coming up to the special election on April 11. She’s posted a diary on MyDD, and is asking for one more push for cash and phonebank volunteers. (Email to volunteer)

CA-4

Democratic candidate Charlie Brown receives the Californa Labor Federation’s endorsement in the Democratic primary. I note as well that Charlie Brown will be at the Plough & Stars this Sunday for a fund-raiser. That might be worth the price of admission.

CA-11

Statewide

  • Bill Bradley tells us that the Angelides and Westly campaigns are going to stop the attack memos emailed to bloggers and reports. We at Calitics are grateful — now we can take our fingers out of our metaphorical ears.
  • Shari of An Old Soul reminds us that partisan rancor in state capitols is a Grover Norquist goal, and points out some of the structural problems that help create that rancor in California.
  • Alliance for a Better California points us to an LA Times article on Schwarzenegger’s big-money, fat-cat big-spending ways.
  • And last, Cab Drollery points us to an LA Times Op-Ed on the political money trap generally, and the need for public campaign financing.

Think Piece

Kid Oakland on the absolute necessity of change whether we want it or not.

Californa Blog Roundup: Special Bond Edition

In which we investigate what various folks think happened to the bond measure last week.

Political Tactics

Structural Problems

  • Here at Calitics, Brian and our learned commenters point out that California’s supermajority requirement for bonds and budgets and the Proposition 13 revenue handcuffs actually cause most of the gridlock. Schwarzenegger is not much of a leader, but Sacramento is hard to lead.
  • Last, Frank Russo of California Progress Report points out that the question before the legislature wasn’t whether to approve the bond measure, but to let the voters approve it. The Republican’s refusal to do so was essentially a minority veto.

My take on it is pretty simple. The Republicans in California want to be the party of “tear it all down” just like the national Republicans. But since they can’t get a majority in the legislature, all they can be is the party of “no more progress, ever” by means of the supermajority requirements. Schwarzenegger is only a very little bit different. He’s a one-man party of “no progress except through Schwarzenegger”.

Last week, the Republicans in the legislature exercised their minority veto on the “except through Schwarzenegger” clause. No progress, ever. It’s that simple. And honestly, though California needs the infrastructure work badly, I can’t feel sorry for Schwarzenegger that his own party shot him down. After last year’s abusive and expensive failed hard-right Schwarzenegger power grab, this has the scent of poetic justice for Arnold.

[From NCP] Really, We’re Just Friends

[Originally Posted by Erik Wilson on Norcal Politics, October 25, 2005]

Quite amusing, the little pas de deux (or perhaps pas de don’t do) currently being danced by our governor and the visiting president. It seems that Arnold is just too busy — or too worried, or too calculating, or too something-or-other — to meet up with George Bush during the presidential visit here. Is it that he doesn’t want to be tainted with Bush’s unpopularity cooties? Hard to believe, since Arnold’s recent numbers aren’t much better than the president’s. And he certainly had plenty of time to pal around with Senator John McCain when he visited California not too long ago. So what is it that keeps the two of them apart?

It’s got to be the election. Arnold has put himself between a rock and a hard place by pushing for this unnecessary waste of time and money in the first place, and polls repeatedly show that there is little support for the measures he is pushing. Add an unpopular, polarizing figure like Bush to the mix, and who knows how much farther south those numbers will go among all but the Truest of Believers? So he keeps his distance.

This may be a wise choice on Arnold’s part, but it certainly doesn’t sit well with the RNC brass and Bush’s coterie of handlers and sycophants. They would have much preferred it if Arnold had come for the requisite photo-ops, and the two of them could have been pictured on the front pages of newspapers around the country glad-handing well-wishing supporters and each other. But alas, it’s not to be.

What is perhaps most amusing of all about this situation is that, from a Democratic perspective, Arnold is damned if he does and damned if he doesn’t. If he meets with Bush, he’s guilty by association, and becomes an easy mark for a largely Democratic voting populace. If he keeps his distance, he’s slammed by members of his own party for being selfish and self-centered. He really can’t win.

Excuse me while I think about that for a while and laugh.

— Erik Wilson

[From NCP] Arnold Inserts Foot Again

[Originally Posted by LSchwark on Norcal Politics, October 21, 2005]

California’s First Lady, Maria Shriver, will be hosting a women’s conference next week, the "Governor and First Lady’s Conference on Women". This was the conference where, last year, Governor Arnold made his famous remark calling nurses "special interests" and boasting "I kick their butts every day". A women’s conference was an especially unfortunate venue for issuing a smackdown of a profession that is heavily populated by women. It was also the point at which people began resisting his agenda with a passion and his poll numbers started to sag.

So you might think he would make an effort not to ruin his wife’s conference this year. Well, you’d be wrong.

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, at a Monday press conference, may have fueled the political fire when he said his wife might use the conference to talk about her view of the election ballot issues.

"You will hear from her," said Schwarzenegger after being asked a question about his wife’s positions on the special election measures.

Schwarzenegger, giving a plug for her women’s conference, then promised, "I think she’s going to talk about that there … and you will see what she thinks about my work and the initiatives and what we are trying to accomplish here."

But that has prompted a curt — and definite — denial from Shriver’s office.

Shriver won’t "use this inspirational day to discuss the upcoming special election — or her views on the various reform measures," said Terri Carbaugh, her spokeswoman. "It’s a day free from politicking, free from partisanship, free from electioneering. And the women who attend can feel safe from the political warfare that is naturally pervasive in the days prior to an election."

I can only imagine that this has Arnold in the doghouse, big time. I mean, it’s one thing to issue a statement that overshadows the conference once, but two years in a row? Even better, we may never learn her position on the issues. Her spokesperson has this to say:

As to the governor’s comments suggesting that Shriver would take a political stand at next week’s event, Carbaugh said she could not explain them. Indeed, she said he could not predict when or if Shriver would ever go public on her views on the special election.

"It’s important to remember that Maria comes from a journalist point of view, and as such, how she votes and the position she may or may not have, she tends to keep private, like most California journalists," she said. "She’ll cast her votes at the ballot box and leave it at that. "

Before I leave this issue, let me just note the actual measures he wants his wife to endorse:

  • Prop 74: Blaming teachers for the problems in out schools by extending the probation period for tenure from two to five years. That means teachers could be fired without cause for three years longer. How does this put kids first? It doesn’t. It just means more teachers will leave the profession after a few years. Teacher turnover is already a problem. Making it worse seems like a bad idea, to put it mildly. Moreover, as this AP article points out, the proposition is so poorly written it actually makes it harder to fire teachers after they have tenure.
  • Prop 75: Targets public employee organizations (such as teachers, nurses, firefighters, police — some of Arnold’s biggest critics) by adding additional requirements meant to restrict their participation in political campaigns. Once partially muzzled, it would be much easier to target schools, medical services, fire and police and other services for cuts if the proposal passes. It’s fairly plain — if the people who most understand what effect the cuts will have are partially silenced, the public will have a harder time learning of the true effects of further proposals.
  • Prop 76: Setting school funding limits that even the state legislative analysis admits will likely result in a "ratchet effect" (see page 3, second column of the PDF) that lowers future school funding levels following years where money is short, as growth would be limited by previous years’ funding levels. Again, like nursing, teaching is a profession populated largely by women.

Now, there are lots of ways to characterize these things. You could call them anti-worker and anti-education. But teachers are affected by all three and nurses by the "stifle yourself" Prop 75. I don’t think it’s unfair to add anti-women to the list.

No wonder Maria wants none of this at her conference.