Category Archives: Arnold Schwarzenegger

California Blog Roundup 5/19/06

Today’s California Blog Roundup is on the flip. I’m pressed for time, so it ain’t as pretty as it normally is, but I’ve tried to sort things properly. No teasers, sorry.

California Must Lead on Climate Change

Governor Schwarzenegger announced his environmental plan last month, but ended up watering down the suggestions of his Climate action team.  A spokesperson called Schwarzenegger’s manner of dealing with the environment “bit of a Jekyll and Hyde approach.”  He does not provide the type of leadership on the climate change issues that we need.  Yes, he is substantially better than the President.  At least the governor has acknowledged that there is no more substantial debate (i.e. Science magazine did a review of 928 scholarly articles on the subject, they all said human activity was contributing to warming).

We need real leadership on this issue: We need a Democratic governor who is committed to reducing greehouse gases such as CO2.  Why is this so important?  Well, take a gander at these ads produced by the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a oil-funded lobbying group.  Essentially, the ads say that the more carbon dioxide the better.  They are quite funny too. The exact quote: “Carbon Dioxide: They call it pollution, we call it life.”  I don’t think I really need to go into the science here, but suffice it to say that the wingnuts will continue to push against environmental action.  In California, we need to make sure that we are the leaders on this.  We brought the world catalytic converters, we can do the same with CAFE standards, CO2 emissions, and more.  And we can do a lot better without Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Calitics Poll Headquarters

Welcome to the Poll Headquarters.  We’ll be posting notable
Polls
and Endorsements here. The dates are the date of release to the public,
not the dates of survey. The Governor related polls will be in the
main, congress, down-ballot, and other polls will be in the extended. Here
are the polls with primary data.
If you know of any
additional polls, let me know. Thanks!

California Governor Polls

Phil Angelides (D) vs. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R)

Descriptions:

Field California Polls

The dates are the date of release to the public, not the dates
of
survey. The Field Poll is the gold standard of California political
polls. I always trust the Field Poll when it’s in conflict with
another.

Rasmussen California Governor Polls

The Rasmussen poll is a computer polling operation. Its
results are
a little more questionable within California and can sometimes be
skewed towards the political right.

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) and L.A. Times
Polls

The LA Times poll and the PPIC poll also have polls on down
ballot
races. I didn’t summarize them here, but click the links for the full
PDFs. The PPIC is known for in-depth research, and their survey guru,
Mark Baldassare, is highly respected for his statewide surveys. The LA
Times is, well, a major media organization. I’ll leave it at that.

Survey USA Governor Approval
Pollshttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=1137993a-c120-4ea6-bc97-017dd6931c94

Are on the flip. There are lots of crosstabs available at
their website. 

Many of the links are PDFs.

Poll/Candidate Angelides Schwarzenegger U/DK Other MoE
Zogby
9/28/06
33.8 43    12 ±3.5
PPIC
9/26/06
31 48 15 6 ±2
SUSA.
9/27/06
38 52 9  1 ±4.5
Field
9/26/06
34 44 15 7 ±3.8
Datamar
9/18/06
31.4 53.6 3.6  11.4 ±2.3
Rasm.
9/12/06
39 47 14   ±4.5
Zogby
9/06
40 43.5     ±3.5
Rasm.
8/31/06
42 48 10   ±4.5
PPIC
8/06
32 45 17 6 ±2
SUSA.
8/28/06
38 52 8  1 ±4.5
Zogby
8/06
40.3 45     ±3.5
Rasm.
8/1/06
41 47 12   ±4.5
PPIC
7/06
30 43 19 8 ±2
Field
7/25/06
37 45 15 3 ±3.8
Zogby
7/06
44 42.3     ±3.5
Rasm.
7/13/06
46 44 10   ±4.5
SJSU
7/6/06
37 44 14 5 ±3.3
Zogby
6/06
44.6 44.5     ±2.7
Datamar
6/5/06
34.3 53.5 12.2   ±2.46
Field
6/2/06
39 46 11   ±3.8
LA
Times 5/26/06
46 45 8 1 ±5
Rasm.
5/24/06
45 45 10   ±4.5
PPIC
5/06
38 38 24   ±2
Rasm.
4/17/06
36 49 15   ±4.5
Field
4/14/06
40 44 13   ±3.8
LA-Times
4/28/06
43 43 13 1 ±5
SJSU
4/4/06
37 40     ±3.3
PPIC
3/06
29 41 30   ±2
Rasm.
3/23/06
45 44 11   ±4.5
Field
3/2/06
39 39 20   ±3.8
Rasm.
2/13/06
40 41 19   ±4.5
Rasm.
1/24/06
39 41 20   ±4.5
Rasm.
12/15/05
44 40 16   ±4.5
Field
11/3/05
47 41 12   ±3.8
Field
9/7/05
43 40 17   ±3.8
Field
6/29/05
46 42 12   ±3.8
Field
2/25/05
35 52 13   ±3.8

S-USA Schwarzenegger Approval

The actual Survey USA site has the ability to do demographic
breakdowns.

Schwarzenegger Approval Ratings Through June 06

California Proposition Polls

Infrastructure Bonds

Poll/Prop 1B: Transp. 1C: Housing 1D: Educ 1E: Disaster 84: Water
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Field
9/29/06
52 36 12 58 28 14 52 33 15 51 36 13 50 30 20
Datamar 9/06 55.9 31.2 12.9 34.5 53.9 11.7 41.4 46.6 12.0 60.8 27.7 11.5 47.6 36.3 16.0
PPIC
8/06
50 38 12 57 32 11 51 39 10 56 35 9 40 45 15
Field
7/28/06
54 27 19 33 42 25 48 37 15 47 33 20 49 31 20
Field
6/5/06
57 24 19 39 38 23 48 34 18 58 25 17 N/a N/a N/a
PPIC
5/06
62 32 6 60 37 3 74 22 4 62 34 4 N/a N/a N/a

Other Initiatives

Poll/Prop 83: Sex Offenders 85: Anti-choice 86: Cigarette Tax 87: Oil &
Alt. Energy
90: Em. Dom.
  Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK Yes No U/DK
Datamar 9/06 79.4 13.0 7.6 48.5 42 9.5 52.1 41 6.9 43.4 44.0 12.6 61.3 24.0 14.7
Field
8/2/06
76 11 13 44 45 11 63 32 5 52 31 17 46 31 23
PPIC
7/06
N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61 23 16 N/a N/a N/a

Down Ballot Polls

Candidate Field
Poll 8/1/06
(MoE: ±5.2)

Lt. Governor

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Garamendi (D) 48 46 17 37
Tom McClintock (R) 38 40 17 43

Attorney General

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Jerry Brown (D) 54 45 36 19
Chuck Poochigian (R) 33 9 7 84

Secretary of State

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Debra Bown (D) 38 10 6 84
Bruce McPhereson (R) 35 19 9 72

Treasurer

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Bill Lockyer (D) 52 43 16 41
Claude Parrish (R) 27 9 5 86

Controller

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
John Chiang (D) 38 13 5 82
Tony Strickland (R) 27 11 8 81

Insurance Commissioner

Poll Support Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
Cruz Bustamante (D) 43 38 43 19
Steve Poizner (R) 39 7 8 85

California Blog Roundup 5/16/06

(Bumped for visibility over my long front-pager(s) – promoted by SFBrianCL)

Today’s California Blog Roundup is on the flip. Teasers: November initiative preview, the race for governor (money and TV ads, same as always), the budget process, education stuff, reform stuff, 15% Doolitle, Paid-For Pombo, immigration, typical Republicans, CA-50, CA-45, urban living.

Initiative Preview

Governor’s Race

Education

  • Assembly Democrats lay out their differences with Governor Schwarzenegger with respect to, vis-a-vis, and regarding the new budget. Alberto Torrico (AD-20), chair of the Assembly Transportation Committee thinks that Schwarzenegger is shorting transportation costs.
  • Educational Justice Blog reminds us that the big chunk of education funding in Schwarzenegger’s budget is only there because ABC and the CTA browbeat the Governor into actually keeping his promise. Why is it that Schwarzenegger needed to be pursued by the very people he attacked last year in order to keep a promise he made to the children of California?
  • California Progress Report has a guest piece expressing concerns about the high school exit exam.
  • The Mad Professah has written a thoughtful (and brief) post on the high school exit exam.
  • Randy Bayne is not so impressed with Sheila Kuhl’s proposal to call out the contributions of GLBT folks in California textbooks, arguing that it perpetuates labelling. I would have agreed with Randy once, but the problem is that almost everyone assumes that people (historical or otherwise) straight unless it’s pointed out that they’re not. Not mentioning a difference like that continues the assumption that GLBT folks haven’t contributed.

Reform & Reformers

Immigration

Paid-For Pombo / CA-11

  • Apparently, Paid-For Pombo is feeling the pinch on his sacrifice of the California salmon fisheries. So, the correct response is? You guessed it: destroy marine sancturies. The guy is a one man cascade failure.
  • Paid-For Pombo is all about stifling dissent, both in committee and in his campaign.
  • It seems that the Pombo-McCloskey debate was a slugfest. Good.
  • If I lived in CA-11, I would not vote for Pete McCloskey in the general, although I don’t think he’s a bad guy. I think a Republican majority in the House is a bad thing. The Republican Party is just too corrupt and too destructive for the few remaining honest Republicans to try to rein in. Pete McCloskey is not really a modern Republican, a charge also made by Pombo’s people. McCloskey takes umbrage and responds, proving that he’s not a modern Republican.
  • Jerry McNerney on renewable energy, at Daily Kos.

15% Doolittle / CA-04

General Purpose Republican Corruption

The Rest

[From NCP] Prevailing Winds

[Originally posted by Generik on NorCal Politics, December 13, 2005]

Is anyone surprised that Governor Arnold decided not to grant clemency to Tookie Williams? I’m not. I would have been much more surprised had he done so. Faced with a chance to do the morally right thing — indeed, to open up the question of capital punishment itself, the way the former governor of Illinois did when he declared a moratorium on the death penalty in that state — Arnold caved to the prevailing winds. He saw his popularity take a massive hit in the past year with his special election initiatives being unceremoniously kicked to the curb last November, saw his support drop precipitously among his base with his appointment of alleged Democrat Susan Kennedy as his Chief of Staff and naming of moderate justice Carol Corrigan to the State Supreme Court, and probably decided to take a pass on doing anything bold and/or controversial in this matter. That a two-thirds majority of Americans still back the death penalty — even if that number has come down significantly in the past ten years or so — made his decision a pretty safe bet.

So now California has one more state-sponsored death on its hands, the subject of whether the death penalty is fair or moral or not is swept aside for another day and Arnold gets to bask in the approval of those folks out there who have no qualms about this country continuing the barbaric practice of executing its citizens. What’s even sadder is the thought that former Governor Gray Davis would probaby have done the exact same thing under the circumstances.

"I will no longer tinker with the machinery of death." Where is Justice Harry Blackman when we need him?

[From NCP] “The most corporeal figure in American political history”

[Originally posted by Chuck Dupree on NorCal Politics, December 7, 2005]

Harold Meyerson makes some interesting comparisons between Bush and Ahnold in today’s Washington Post.

In the aftermath of his electoral debacle, Schwarzenegger has realized that in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than a million voters, and where independents are nearly as liberal as Democrats, governing from the right is a prescription for disaster. Still, no one courts defeat like rank-and-file California Republicans, who’d rather Schwarzenegger be far right than governor and who may back a primary challenge to him next spring.

Clearly, the prez and the guv have learned very different lessons from life. The distinctive feature of Bush’s career, as he moved from one floundering oil company to the next, was that there never were any negative consequences for failure, that any need to admit error and instigate change was always obviated by the willingness of his father’s friends to bail him out. Schwarzenegger, meanwhile, comes from a culture where you’re only as good as your last picture, where chins are lifted, tummies tucked, scenes reshot and careers reconfigured if the box office demands it.

The most corporeal figure in American political history has crossed the line from particle to wave, while our president is as steadfast, and as open to experience, as a bump on a log.

[From NCP] Arnold Moves Left . . . ?

[Originally Posted by Generik on NorCal Politics, December 4, 2005]

The recent appointment as chief of staff of former Gray Davis aide and Democratic activist Susan Kennedy by our less-than-esteemed Governor — after being kicked to the curb along with his Big Four initiatives in the special election last month — might seem to some as a shift to the left in an effort to woo back the moderates and independents (and even some misguided Democrats) who had once supported him. At least, his conservative base seems to think that he’s moving that way, and that it’s a move in the wrong direction. But will it work? Is he really moving left, or is he just tacitly acknowledging the fact that his previous CoS, Pat Clarey, who aggressively pushed the failed initiatives, was desperately out of touch with the mood of California voters and needed to be cut loose as soon as possible?

Kennedy’s endorsement by former Governor Pete Wilson gives little warmth to those of us on the Left, and her appointment has obviously been a disappointment — to say the least! — to the right-wing True Believers that had comprised his base up until now. So perhaps Arnold has shot himself in the foot again. How many Democrats, or even those mythical masses of Independents that supposedly swing back and forth somewhere in the middle, and, according the conventional wisdom, must be courted to win elections these days, will suddenly embrace his brand of scapegoating and blame-shifting and name-calling politics and decide to support him because of this move? Will it offset the numbers of Republican voters who will abandon him because of what they perceive as a sell-out to the Left? It would seem that he’s damned if he does and damned if he doesn’t.
If you ask me, that’s pretty damned funny.
— Erik Wilson

What will the Windfall Buy? Arnold Releases Revised Budget

Governator Schwarzenegger released his revised budget today:

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger today offered a $131.1 billion revised California budget for the 2006-07 fiscal year that includes $7.5 billion in new spending since January and promises to knock down the state deficit to $2.5 billion — an 80 percent reduction from the estimated shortfall his Department of Finance projected three years ago.
“Today, I am a happy governor,” Schwarzenegger said, in unveiling the new budget numbers that boasted $2.8 billion to “fully fund” schools in the next fiscal year.

The proposed school funding increase was part of a lawsuit settlement announced earlier this week that will restore $5 billion in K-1[2 sic] education through fiscal 2013-14. (SacBee 5/12/06)

I am a happy governor…uhh..I think this is exactly what happened to Gray Davis? No?  Well, we’ll see how well it works for the Governator.  He’s making his best effort to buy an easy budgeting process.  He needs an easy budget process this year.  A smooth government process clearly favors the Governator.

Will it go smoothly…uh, this is Sacramento, that seems far from likely

California Blog Roundup. 5/11/06

It’s big, it’s belated, it’s bloggy. Today’s California blog roundup is on the flip. Teasers: Republican corruption, Angelides, Westly, Schwarzenegger, 15% Doolittle, Paid-For Pombo (and CA-11 generally), CA-50, immigration, net neutrality, voting machines, auto insurance.

Republican Corruption

Governor’s Race + A Little About Bonds

Paid-For Pombo / CA-11

CA-50

15% Doolittle / CA-04

Immigration

Net Neutrality

Other

Debate Diary

I was not able to watch the debate, but from what Frank at California Progress Report had to say, it went down as I expected.  The two candidates spent their time attacking each other and then agreeing on most of the issues.

Last night’s debate, for all its insults and innuendos, did disclose differences that both Angelides and Westly have with Arnold Schwarzenegger in a number of policy areas. The June primary can come none too soon, so we can focus on the Fall classic in November. In the meanwhile, wear a helmet.

I’d tell both of these candidates to stress their differences with Schwarzenegger and cut out the personal attacks on each other. Respect each other’s differences while you are trying to draw distinctions between your approaches. Debate the big issues facing this state, as you will be doing in the general election. But I don’t think they would listen.(California Progress Report 5/11/06)

Agreed…if you are going to attack somebody, let’s make it Arnold.