Tag Archives: Ruckus08

Obama Blowing Out McCain In CA

But just you wait until St. BBQ starts cranking up those ads and spending an entire month non-stop in the state!  After all, he’s from the West, so people here like him!  He’s a maverick!  He’s-

Highlights of the latest Field Poll of Californians likely to vote in the upcoming November

presidential election reveal the following:

• Democrat Barack Obama now leads Republican John McCain by twenty-four points (54%

to 30%) in California.

• More Democratic Primary voters think Obama should not select Hillary Clinton as his vice-

presidential running mate (48%) as feel he should (40%).  Yet, the decision of whether

Obama does or doesn’t choose Clinton would have little effect on how these voters would

vote in the fall.

• Obama has consolidated the support of California Democrats and non-partisans who voted

for Clinton in California’s February 5th primary election.  The poll shows Obama preferred

over McCain by 80% to 8% among these voters.

• Three times as many Obama voters (51%) as McCain voters (17%) say they are “very

enthusiastic” about supporting their candidate for president in November.

• Obama’s image rating among the overall California electorate (63% favorable vs. 26%

unfavorable) is more positive than McCain’s (48% to 38%).

If you factor out undecided voters, it’s 61-34.  And Obama is leading 64% to 18% among DTS voters.  McCain’s only at 44% in the INLAND areas.

But McCain hasn’t even got rolling yet!  He needs to spend 6 weeks in Fresno just soaking in the local coverage!  I’m demanding that he come to Fresno and Bakersfield to make this a race.  He can do it!  Come on, McCain, who are you going to believe, some poll or the heart of a maverick?

Obama and the OC

The LA Times reports on a Barack Obama fundraiser in the heart of Nixonland.

On the Balboa Bay Club’s wall of its most famous guests, there are photos of Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Gerald Ford and, of course, the Duke.

There are no Democratic politicians. Securely tucked behind the Orange Curtain, Newport Beach is Republican-held territory.

But Barack Obama may be hoping to change that.

On Sunday, the Democratic Illinois senator brought his campaign to the center of Republican power and did what he has done better than any other presidential candidate — raise money.

Obama would leave with $1.2 million, an organizer estimated. With this infusion, he may exceed the amount GOP candidate John McCain has raised in Orange County.

I think this is laying it on a bit thick.  Even in the most Republican bastions in the country there are 3-4 Democrats for every 10 citizens, and some of them are wealthy.  So rounding up some donors for the guy who’s favored to become the next President of the United States doesn’t seem to me to be that difficult.  What’s notable here is the resistance to McCain.  Orange County was one of the better regions for Mitt Romney in the primary, although McCain won there for the most part.  In addition, there are demographic shifts in Orange County that may not reveal themselves in big donors, but is starting to catch at the grassroots level.  

I don’t think a $1.2 million dollar fundraiser is as indicative of an overall shift in the voting public, but in the fall, we’ll see some better gauges, particularly in CA-46 and the campaign of Debbie Cook, to note whether or not the Orange Curtain is opening a peek.

Oblivious Far-Right OC Activists Demand More Failed Conservatism

OK, this is hilarious.  With wrong-track numbers at over 80% and the current President near historic low approval ratings, you’d think this would be a time of soul-searching in the GOP.  Not so.  In fact, the Lincoln Club of Orange County, which is about as close as you can get to the eliminate-the-income-tax, stop-the-fluoridation-of-water far-right nutters in this entire country, is stamping its little feet over the fact that nobody likes their failed policies anymore.  They are calling for more completely unpopular ideas or they’ll withhold all their money.

(keep in mind when reading that this is Novakula, and as a GOP propagandist his view is skewed, but he has good sources inside the party.)

The Lincoln Club of Orange County is telling the GOP leaders of both the House and Senate that it is too late to repent. They must go — or else lose big money.

The message: “Come Nov. 5, should the current GOP leadership in either house survive to lead in a new Congress, the Lincoln Club of Orange County will review the financial backing of all congressional Republicans, and we urge others to do likewise. A GOP caucus that would re-elect such leaders is not one we would likely continue to support. Because, simply put, we refuse to support a permanent minority.”

The Lincoln Club estimates that its nearly 300 members will together contribute $1.5 million to federal causes and candidates in the 2008 election cycle. The club is spreading its message to angry Republicans throughout California and around the nation. The ultimatum finds responsive members of the House (if not the Senate), who even now are preparing a housecleaning after the additional loss of seats in this year’s election […]

That’s the view expressed in the Lincoln Club paper signed by Rich Wagner, the group’s president, and Chip Hanlon, a board member. It deplores the refusal by party leaders to support a one-year moratorium on earmarks, whose 285 percent growth when Congress was under Republican control is “the perfect symbol of the GOP-led profligacy that drives us crazy still.” Earmarks “epitomize the fiscal recklessness that led to Republicans becoming a minority in 2006. . . . It’s no wonder the Republican leadership continued to fail on . . . entitlement reform and a reduction in federal spending.”

They really do think, even at this late date, that their minority status is entirely attributable to federal earmarks which have almost no impact on the overall budget (try reducing military spending if you want to make a difference) and failing to eliminate Social Security or Medicare.  Nothing to do with a failed war in Iraq, skyrocketing costs for food, energy and health care, the crisis of climate change, our hated position in the world, growing inequality and the great risk shift onto the middle class, etc., etc., etc.

Here on Planet Earth, it’s amusing to see this crack-up between separate factions of the Birch Society crowd.  Some of the GOP establishment know that their policies are unpopular, and they hope to put some lipstick on them in presenting them to the public.  The rest, including the Lincoln Club, want their version of Gilded Age conservatism, disaster capitalism, denial of science and xenophobia to take center stage.

Conservative activists are preparing to do battle with allies of Sen. John McCain in advance of September’s Republican National Convention, hoping to prevent his views on global warming, immigration, stem cell research and campaign finance from becoming enshrined in the party’s official declaration of principles.

McCain has not yet signaled the changes he plans to make in the GOP platform, but many conservatives say they fear wholesale revisions could emerge as candidate McCain seeks to put his stamp on a document that currently reflects the policies and principles of President Bush.

In fact, Bush’s name is on 91 out of the 100 pages of the platform, which means the rewrite will be a knock-down drag-out fight between the really conservative and the really really conservative, with all the attendant ugliness on full display.  

It is to laugh.

Thanks Progressive Movement!

A lot of people are talking today about Sen. Obama’s stance against Prop. 8; it’s a recommended diary on Daily Kos.  We had this on Calitics two days ago and nobody noticed.  The Sacramento Bee reports on it and suddenly it’s on everybody’s lips.

I don’t begrudge the Bee writing about the issue; it’s newsworthy, and the result of a letter read to the Alice B. Toklas Democratic Club, not some secret.  I’m glad they picked it up.  But I’m very disturbed by the fact that progressive media is not supported to the point of being ignored, but when a dead-tree source goes with the same information it becomes a top story.  I expect that out of the traditional media, but not the blogosphere.  There is no question that Brian was the first person anywhere to report on Sen. Obama’s letter to the club.  And I can tell you that I did at least some behind-the-scenes work to promote the scoop to progressive media and blogosphere leaders.  Didn’t work.

I don’t care that the Bee didn’t report that Calitics was the first source to break this; would have been nice, but not totally necessary.  But could bloggers at least note that we had this two days before the traditional media?  If we aren’t self-reinforcing we’re never going to get anywhere.

John McCain – California Tax Cheat

Lucas mentioned it in Quick HIts but this needs to be amplified.  Turns out that John and Cindy McCain are the same kind of irresponsible conservatives who are so unpatriotic they don’t believe the country (and in this case, this state) is worth paying for.

When you’re poor, it can be hard to pay the bills. When you’re rich, it’s hard to keep track of all the bills that need paying. It’s a lesson Cindy McCain learned the hard way when NEWSWEEK raised questions about an overdue property-tax bill on a La Jolla, Calif., property owned by a trust that she oversees. Mrs. McCain is a beer heiress with an estimated $100 million fortune and, along with her husband, she owns at least seven properties, including condos in California and Arizona.

San Diego County officials, it turns out, have been sending out tax notices on the La Jolla property, an oceanfront condo, for four years without receiving a response. County records show the bills, which were mailed to a Phoenix address associated with Mrs. McCain’s trust, were returned by the post office. According to a McCain campaign aide, who requested anonymity when discussing a private matter, an elderly aunt of Mrs. McCain’s lives in the condo, and the bank that manages the trust has not been receiving tax bills on the property. Shortly after NEWSWEEK inquired about the matter, the McCain aide e-mailed a receipt dated Friday, June 27, confirming payment by the trust to San Diego County in the amount of $6,744.42. County officials say the trust still owes an additional $1,742 for this year, an amount that is overdue and will go into default July 1. Told of the outstanding $1,742, the aide said: “The trust has paid all bills shown owing as of today and will pay all other bills due.”

Keep in mind, California Republicans want this type of tax-dodging for those who can most easily afford it to be the LAW.  They think it’s perfectly fine for wealthy yacht and private plane owners to avoid their taxes.

There’s also the question of whether people, who are so ridiculously wealthy that they forget about properties where their relatives are living for four years, can be credibly seen to be at all in touch with the concerns of the average American.

John McCain is thrilled to Oppose Equality!

From another chapter of the “Arnold and McCain Feud”, McCain officially endorses the end of marriage equality. Today the Destroy Marriage propaganda operation released this statement from McCain (h/t CapAlert):

“I support the efforts of the people of California to recognize marriage as a unique institution between a man and a woman, just as we did in my home state of Arizona. I do not believe judges should be making these decisions.”

How very “Maverick” of him.  He’s really taking it to those “agents of intolerance” by, um, supporting their agenda. That will show them!

John McCain’s California Adventure

Well, John W. McCain had a great couple of days in the Golden State.  First he went to Santa Barbara, site of a huge 1969 oil spill, to promote his plan to cancel the moratorium on offshore drilling, and he ran into an expert who rebutted his entire premise.

Feeney also took issue with McCain’s controversial proposal to lift the moratorium on offshore oil exploration: “It makes me nervous to think about those who are proposing to drain America’s offshore oil and gas reserves as quickly as possible in the hopes of driving down the price of gasoline, because I think when you look at the good sources of information, were we to open up the California coast or the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge to drilling, it would be 12, 15, maybe 20 years before those resources came online and got to full productions.”

Adding that some research shows that drilling in ANWR would only “reduce our dependence on foreign oil from 70% to 67%,” Feeney added, “I’m not sure most Americans would think that’s really worth the price of admission.”

Then, in Fresno, he admitted that there would be no material benefit to offshore exploration:

That Charlie Black comment wasn’t McCain’s only off-message moment yesterday. At a town hall in Fresno, CA, McCain admitted that the offshore drilling proposal he unveiled last week would probably have mostly “psychological” benefits, NBC/NJ’s Adam Aigner-Treworgy notes. “Even though it may take some years, the fact that we are exploiting those reserves would have psychological impact that I think is beneficial.” Uh oh.

Later, at a fundraiser, an attendee very nicely called him an idiot:

“We’re really kind of goosey here about oil spills, and we’re goosey here about federal drilling and oil lands, which are abundant offshore,” the attendee said. “So we ask you to look out there to the south and the southeast and remember the greatest environmental catastrophe that’s hit this state and then balance that with the notion of winning California.”

And McCain topped it off by telling Fresno that we went to war for oil.

I also want to make sure that we will take concrete steps towards eliminating our dependence on foreign oil.

And I am confident that uh, the, the conflicts that we are in in both Iraq and Afghanistan have also a bearing on that.

(Incidentally, is there anyone in America who doesn’t know this?  We’ve been going to war for oil since oil became profitable.  Before that the world used a lot of whale oil, and if we still did America would be at war with Sea World.)

Thanks for coming, Big John!  Please stop by again sometime and further ruin your candidacy!

McCain: Screw You California, We’re Going to Drill on the Coast

Despite the McCain campaign’s rhetoric about contesting the election here in California, he can’t really be interested in our 55 electoral votes if this is what he is bringing:

Republican Sen. John McCain said Monday he supports lifting the federal moratorium on offshore drilling – a position that sets him at odds with most California officials, including his ally Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who see the ban as the best way to protect the state’s coast.

The announcement was a move to the right for McCain, who has courted environmentalists by opposing drilling in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and backing climate change legislation. But conservatives have been clamoring for more domestic oil and gas drilling, and GOP strategists believe the issue plays well with voters as gas prices hit record highs.

So, this is the straight-talk? This is the man that wants America to think him a “moderate” with “practical solutions.” First, John McCain panders to the voters with his 2008 gas tax holiday, which he really can’t do anything to implement except drop a bill in the Senate and watch it die there. By the way, even Dick Cheney finds that one asinine.

Now this? Drilling for oil off our coasts will bring relatively little oil and do nothing to actually affect the price of oil.  This is a demand problem. We need to find new ways to reduce our reliance on oil, not stall the inevitable by 3 or 4 years by scarring our oceans with derricks.

Do you think the GOP National Convention will give away the flip-flops this year now that their candidate has donned them so well?

UPDATE: I’m reminded that back in 2005, the Assembly and Senate approved a resolution supporting a continued moratorium with overwhelming support. Several Republicans supported that resolution too.

Former California Obama field director moves to Missouri

The former field director for Barack Obama’s campaign in California will become Missouri’s State Director.

Buffy Wicks will be the Missouri State Director. She helped to put together the campaign’s winning primary field teams and served as field director in California and deputy field director in Texas. (Marc Ambinder)

I happened to run into her in both California and Texas, and she seemed quite competent.  Missouri is currently a toss-up state for the presidential election, so it’s an important gig.

John W. McCain Really Thinks He Can Win California

I’ve always thought that the repeated assertions by the McCain campaign that California is somehow in play, despite all polling to the contrary, was just bluster, an effort to get Democrats to throw money at a perceived problem, reminiscent of George Bush campaigning in the state in 2000 as a way to unnerve Al Gore.  And the Huffington Post has obtained a Power Point presentation from the McCain campaign that suggests this is exactly what they’re going to try.  This slide includes the states McCain thinks he can contest in November.

The fine print reads: “McCain’s unique appeal to independent voters creates opportunity in CA.”

Those must be the independent voters that have a 42/48 favorable/unfavorable rating of McCain, compared to 72/19 for Obama in the latest Field Poll.  The independents who preferred Obama by 30 points in the last LA Times poll.

This is a common trick by the Republicans, trying to bait Democrats into spending money here.  All I can say is, please, please, John McCain, come campaign in the Golden State early and often.  I’ll do the advance work for you.    And be sure you go up with a week or two of commercials at about $3 million per.  I can think of no better way for you to waste your money back up your bold statements about victory in California than to focus all your efforts on this electoral prize.

And while you’re at it, pay a little attention to your own home state of Arizona, which you acknolwedge might be a loss.