For years upon years, most states had consistent vehicle license fees. They didn’t vary all that much from state to state, averaging around 2% of stated value. You paid your couple hundred bucks per year and for that you got to use a tremendous system of roads, traffic lights, and stop signs. All very helpful to your average driver.
Then something happened in Virgina in 1997. Jim Gilmore was elected governor. Yes that crazy guy at the end of the stage in the first few presidential debates. He focused his campaign almost exclusively on eliminating the “car tax” in Virginia.
And it worked. The vehicle license fee was slashed in the state. Funding for the roads and transportation suffered, and eventually the government began to feel the effects across the budget. Stop me if you’ve heard this before.
But Virginia was able to bring itself out of the abyss. How? They went and elected themselves in 2001 a courageous governor who stood up to the “goverment sux” crowd in now Senator elect Mark Warner. Warner went and did the unthinkable, he raised taxes. He restored some of the license fees and increased other fees to ensure that the state of Virginia didn’t have to slash across the board.
Here in California, we had quite a similar story, didn’t we? Of course, Schwarzenegger didn’t really need to campaign on the “car tax.” He did it because he could and it calmed the right-wingers that he needed to keep away from Tom McClintock. Let’s be honest, had he not even touched the issue, he probably would have won anyway.
But he did campaign on the issue, and so he went about and made deals with interest groups to get his bills paid. Higher ed got their compact to increase funding. K-12 got promises to increase their funding later. All this to slash and burn through our revenue stream. So he paid for the several billion in local government infill with general revenue. In FY 2004-2005, it cost us about $6B, and that number has increased since. Some back of the napkin math gets you to about $25 Billion in the four completed fiscal years since.
Now, what could we have done with $25 Billion? Oh right, we could have avoided a budget crisis.
But it’s unclear if there is a Mark Warner in our future. Our 2/3 rules gives a minority a veto power they didn’t hold in Virignia. Furthermore, a few republicans were even willing to come along to help Warner clean up the mess there. Arnold is finally looking at raising taxes, but he only gives a quick smirk at the VLF, raising it by a $12 flat fee. Kevin Drumm has a better idea:
Unlike a sales tax, which needs to be a flat rate for administrative reasons, the VLF could easily vary by assessed value. It could stay at its current rate of 0.65% up to, say, $10,000 in assessed value, increase to 2% for more expensive cars, and increase still further to 4% for top end cars. The average rate would still be about 2%, but the incidence of the tax would be more progressive.(Mother Jones 11/2008)
The main element of Arnold’s tax plan is the inherently regressive sales tax. Drumm argues for this progressive VLF. As for me, I’d like to see an element that contributes towards our goals under AB32 as well. A quick idea would be to give discounts for low-polluting vehicles while penalties for high-value cars with poor mileage. Yes, Hummer owners I’m looking at you.
But however you do it, we need to restore balance to our tax system. We can’t keep eliminating without considering that we are just becoming more and more dependent on the cyclical income tax. It’s a recipe for boom and bust that we’ve seen play out too often here.