All posts by Julia Rosen

CA-04 Carpetbagger Debate

Yesterday, carpetbaggers Doug Ose, Tom McClintock and Suzanne Jones held their debate for the Republican nomination in CA-04.  Naturally their carpetbaggery was topic #1 at the debate, which seemed to have pretty paltry attendance.  The Bee reported only a few dozen in the audience.

Rep. Doug Ose touted his long ties to the Sacramento region and the 4th Congressional District, even though he never lived there.

Ose wants the voters to believe that living in the area is just the same as living in the district. Riiiight.

State Sen. Tom McClintock, whose Thousand Oaks district is 400 miles away, declared that he is answering the call of local voters for conservative leadership.

McClintock tries to argue that his carpetbaggery is cool because he lived in the district even though he was supposed to be down in So Cal, living in the district he was ostensively supposed to be serving.  It makes you wonder if McClintock will just move his family to DC, like he moved them to Rocklin.  In which case, the voters in the 4th district will be just as SOL as his current constituents.

And upstart GOP candidate Suzanne Jones of Citrus Heights stressed that her community was once part of the 4th District “but the district moved away from me – not me away from the district.”

At least this one makes some sense.  It wasn’t her intention to live outside the district, even though it does make her a carpetbagger too.  More over the flip…

These two paragraphs are really just classic.

McClintock accused Ose of being a champion of pork-barrel “earmarks” during three terms in Congress representing Sacramento’s neighboring 3rd District. Ose depicted McClintock as a career politician helping himself to regular pay raises and legislative financial perks.

But the most critical arguments they appeared to be making to voters had to do with what they were even doing in this race – and congressional district – to begin with.

So what McClintock is saying is that I will represent you in Congress, pick up my salary, max out my benefits, but I won’t bring money back to the district.  Sounds like a good deal for the voters he is trying to woo.  The both of them are just opportunistic serial seat hoppers.  They could care less about the district.  They just want to be Congressmen and are trying to establish residency in the first place that has an open seat.

Charlie Brown does not have to spend time convincing voters why he is in the race.  He has been making his case to the voters for the past 3 years, not the past three weeks, not to mention living in the district with his family for the past 17 years.

The presence of the two highly touted GOP contenders seemed to amuse the spokesman for Democratic candidate Charlie Brown.

“Charlie will be here every day fighting for the people of this district as he has every day living, working and raising his family here for the past 17 years,” said Todd Stenhouse, who appeared at the forum on behalf of Brown, a Roseville resident. “… I also, of course, want to welcome our friends Doug and Tom to the 4th Congressional District.”

Good snark from Todd.  

The contrast between the questions Ose and McClintock are facing are pretty stark from Charlie.  Instead of talking about carpetbaggery, he has been making donations to local veterans charities.  These carpetbaggers had the nerve to question him giving back to his own community.  Pathetic really.

McNerney an initial no-show/Newsom’s speech

Art Torres attempted to kick off the afternoon general session.  Unfortunately the first speaker, Jerry McNerney was nowhere to be found.  Torres actually said “paging Jerry McNerney.  If you can hear me come up to the front of the room.”  Congressman McNerney must have been out earshot because he never made it up to the podium.

Art spoke for a bit and then introduced Gavin Newsom.  Mayor Newsom at his impromptu meet the bloggers session told us that he had only been given 8 minutes to speak.  He may have some leeway now that McNerney is a no-show.

Newsom is focusing most of his remarks on his health care proposal and global warming/green standards.  The general theme is that “they say it can’t be done, but we are proving it can be done.”  He has now switched to education, stating it is not good enough just to stave off the cuts, but that we need to increase funding.  Newsom closed by talking about poverty and in particular public housing.

Overall it was a well received speech and most of the audience was standing and clapping as he concluded.

Cong. McNerney seems to have found his way to the stage.  Torres is introducing him at the moment.

McNerney is speaking without a teleprompter and is now focusing on the need to elect more Democrats to office.  He is using his race as example of inspiration to Democrats across the country.  It was a very short speech.  Art Torres seemed to call him Jerry Mac-a-Nerney as he left the stage.  He then gave a shout-out to Charlie Brown.

Free Rent: Who Pays?

One of my favorite tidbits to tell people about our fair governor is that he doesn’t really reside in Sacramento.  He most certainly does not live in a governor’s mansion.  Instead he resides in the Hyatt Presidential Suite.  He takes a motorcade to work…across the street (how very green of him).  But who pays for that full time hotel bill?  The answer is that we don’t know.  The governor set up a legal structure where he does not have to disclose who is paying his hotel tab and refuses to voluntarily name them.  SacBee

The governor’s backers formed the Governor’s Residence Foundation of California as a 501(c)(3) nonprofit in 2004 after the FPPC determined Schwarzenegger could not use campaign funds to pay for his room at the Hyatt after his first year in office.

The Governor’s Office considers the foundation payments as gifts to the state and believes it is in compliance with FPPC regulations, said Schwarzenegger spokesman Aaron McLear. The Governor’s Office is relying on a 1984 FPPC advice letter that says a governor does not have to report the contribution on his personal gift form.

The governor is arguing that the wealthy donors who are paying for his swanky hotel room are giving a gift to the state, therefore the taxpayers do not have the right to know who is ponying up the big bucks.  That is a bunch of crap.  If someone wants to pay for our governor to stay in a fancy hotel we should know who it is and how much they are giving.  What does he have to hide?

Presidentials at CDP Convention: Clinton Doubtful

There has been some speculation and perhaps wishful thinking that Hillary Clinton and/or Barack Obama might make a swing out here to California around the time of the CDP convention.  There will be a bunch of super delegates floating around that the candidates could make their pitch to in person.  Plus, there is always the California ATM to make a withdrawal from.  But this from Ben Smith makes me think it is unlikely that Hillary Clinton will make an appearance.

The votes have been counted in California, but the money’s still coming in.

Hillary’s got a pair of fundraisers scheduled there: April 2 in Menlo Park and April 3 in San Francisco.

If she were going to come for the convention she would have timed those fundraisers for the weekend, not the middle of the following week.

It would be great to have them there and perhaps Obama will make an appearance.  Heck, Clinton could still come, but it seems unlikely at this point.

How about we use this thread as a roll call of Caliticians heading to San Jose in a week for the CDP Convention.  I will be there as a blogger for this fine site.  Are you coming?

UPDATE by Brian: Bob reminded me in the comments that we should remind everybody of Calitics mobile, which you can read on your cell phone. The new version even allows you to sign in and comment on diaries.  There likely won’t be much in the way of other press coverage, so Calitics will be your best source for news on the convention. So whether you are at the convention or at home, make sure you keep an eye on Calitics. And hey, if anybody needs signatures, Calitics would be a great place to let other delegates know about that.

LAT: Clinton only raised $20M in Feburary

Damn.  Now this could come back to bit her in the rear.  It turns out that the $35 million figure included $10 million from her Senate account and the $5 million loan she gave the campaign.  Not to mention the $3.7 million she owes people.  Dan Morain dropped the bombshell in this LAT story.

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) was second in fundraising. She collected $34.6 million in February, pushing her total to $173.8 million. That includes $10 million from her Senate campaign account and a $5-million personal loan. Clinton owes consultants and other vendors an additional $3.7 million.

While that is well above the $11 million McCain raised, it is well below the $55 million Obama raking in during the same time period.  She heavily promoted the amount she brought in and the discovery of the potency of online fundraising.  Since then we have seen her do goal based asks, with a version of a thermometer and other well known fundraising techniques.

So she had $20 million less to spend (not deducting her debts) than Barack Obama and only $20 million of it was really raised that month.  The rest were transfers and loans.  I wonder if this will turn into a negative news cycle as people reflect back on the claims made when she first announced these numbers.  There was nothing in the reports that indicated that a huge chunk of it came from her Senate account.  Indeed they were highlighting the small donor online contributions.  MSNBC

In their call to fundraisers, Clinton’s advisers announced that the campaign had raised the money from 300,000 donors, including 200,000 new contributors, most of them donating through the Internet. Aides said almost all the money was for the primary election

The $20 million figure makes sense, given the number of donors she cited.  Divide that by 300,000 donations and that gives you an average of $66.67 per contribution.  (Obama’s average for February was $75.56, given that he raised $55M from 727,972)

The Yacht Party

full disclosure: I work for Courage

From Calitics to the airwaves….

Dave’s video a few weeks ago on the yacht tax loophole inspired the Courage Campaign to create this TV ad, which with your help we will get up on MSNBC, CNN, The Daily Show and the Colbert Report.  Please contribute using our ActBlue page to place it on the air.

The goal is simple: frame the Republicans as the Yacht Party and draw more attention to their refusal to close the loophole.

Check the flip for the email we sent out to Courage Campaign members a few minutes ago, which gives a h/t to Dave, Robert and Calitics, plus quotes from Mark Leno’s blog post here.

Dear Julia,

It’s shocking and unbelievable.

California is in crisis, facing a $16 billion budget deficit. Social services are being slashed to the bone. Teachers and education professionals are being laid off by the thousands (up to 20,000, according to California Department of Education). Tuition and fees at state universities and colleges are being raised through the roof.

And California Republican Assembly members are unanimously supporting an appalling loophole in our state’s tax code that allows the super-rich to avoid paying sales taxes on…

Yachts.

Still blinking in disbelief? You read that right: Tax loopholes for yacht owners.

While you are wondering if your child’s school is going to be shut down because of the brutal cuts proposed by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, his California Republican “Yacht Party” colleagues in the state legislature are protecting the lavish lifestyles of the super-wealthy.

With the budget crisis approaching catastrophe, it’s time to change the conversation inside our state capital. Inspired by California netroots activists like David Dayen and Robert Cruickshank, the Courage Campaign asked our friends at Agit Pop Communications to create a memorable ad to air on cable news programs watched by Republicans in Sacramento (OK, we also want to air it on “fake news” shows like The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, but not fake news like the Fox News Channel).

The 30-second ad is called “Yacht Party” and you can watch it by clicking here. To air this ad Wednesday on CNN and MSNBC, plus the Daily Show and Colbert Report, we have to raise $10,000 by Tuesday from members like you.

That means we need 250 generous donors contributing an average of $40 per person ASAP. Will you chip in $25, $50 or $75 or more on ActBlue to fund our “Yacht Party” ad campaign no later than Tuesday at 12 p.m.?

http://www.actblue.com/page/Ya…

Yacht purchases aren’t the only tax loophole California Republicans are blowing open for the fat-cat donors who paved their path to power in Sacramento.

Get this: Private jets are tax-free as well.

The only catch? Richie Rich must stash his yacht or private jet outside of California for at least 90 days.

So, if you’re wealthy enough to not only own a yacht but spend a sizable chunk of time vacationing on it (or sneakily ship it elsewhere for a few months), you don’t have to pay one dime of sales tax on your ultra-luxurious extravagance. Meanwhile, people like us pay sales tax on essential needs, from clothing to school supplies. And the Republicans in the state legislature march in lockstep, calling for draconian cuts that will destroy California’s social safety net.

It’s time for someone to tell the truth inside Sacramento: instead of serving the people of California, Republicans are serving their yacht-owning paymasters.

Will you help us raise $10,000 to air this “Yacht Party” ad on the Daily Show, Colbert Report, CNN and MSNBC? If you can contribute $25, $50, or $75 or more on ActBlue by noon on Tuesday, we can air this ad Wednesday on the huge flat-panel TV’s of Republicans across Sacramento:

http://www.actblue.com/page/Ya…

We don’t have much time. But if 250 generous supporters of the Courage Campaign contribute an average of $40 per person before Tuesday at 12 p.m., we can raise the stakes in Sacramento, change the conversation, and maybe even embarrass Republicans into doing the right thing.

Can’t contribute? Then please forward this email to your friends who can ASAP.

Your activism is making 2008 a new era for progressive politics in California. Together, we helped kill the GOP’s electoral college “dirty trick,” count the “double bubble” votes in Los Angeles County, and block Blackwater’s base on the California border.

Now, with 30 seconds of your time and a few dollars, we can change the conversation in Sacramento.

Rick Jacobs

Chair

P.S. On Monday, Democratic Assemblymember Mark Leno blogged the details behind this outrageous “yacht tax” loophole on Calitics (a community blog for Californians):

“In February, the legislature considered closing the loophole that gives the wealthiest in the state a tax exemption for their extravagant toys. The proposal was simply to adjust this loophole in the tax law and increase the waiting period to a year–an action that is estimated would have netted the state $26 million. No-brainer, right? Well, not to the Republicans in the legislature.

Because Republicans in both houses voted against the bill, it failed to garner the two-thirds majority needed for passage. Republicans in the legislature have taken a pledge to never, under any circumstances, consider tax increases, even during budget deficits like the $16 billion one we currently face…

… (Governor Schwarzenegger) is now proposing that we cut more than $4.5 billion from K-12 education; decimate our AIDS Drug Assistance Program; further reduce reimbursement rates for health care providers; put the children of mothers on state assistance at risk of homelessness; deny the blind, the elderly, and the disabled even a minimal cost-of-living adjustment; slash funding for our court system; virtually close down our state parks system; and continue to under-fund our higher education systems.”

Enough is enough. Please watch the “Yacht Party” ad. Contribute what you can afford on ActBlue by Tuesday at noon. And spread the word by forwarding this email to your friends across California as soon as possible:

http://www.actblue.com/page/Ya…

A Blue State Getting Bluer

The turnout numbers for the presidential primary were absolutely insane.  The official numbers from Secretary Bowen state that 74.26% of registered Democrats in California cast ballots.  Now that isn’t totally accurate because that includes the DTS voters who pulled Democratic ballots.  The real number is expected to be closer to 65%.  But even that number is striking.  Tim Herdt has a great column today on how this is part of a shift to Democrats larger than just this one election.

Those numbers suggest that Republicans can no longer count on a voter-turnout advantage that in the past has helped GOP candidates overcome the party’s minority status in voter registration.

“Republicans have almost always done better because they have the people who always vote,” said Republican analyst Tony Quinn. “But this year you had the reverse.”

To some degree, the numbers reflect the unusual excitement arising from the contentious nomination battle between Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama, an unsettled battle that may linger until the Democratic convention in August. That historic contest helps explain – but does not fully account for – the enormous disparity between the 5.1 million votes cast for Democratic candidates in the state Feb. 5 and 2.8 million cast for Republicans.

Quinn, co-publisher of a data book that breaks down every political district in the state, says the Democrats’ February surge in turnout is the continuation of a trend.

It has been conventional wisdom in California that since Republicans outperform their voter registration, compared to Democrats that the voter registration gap is not as significant as it appears.  That appears to be changing.

Herdt points to the Lt. Gov. race in 2006 as being further evidence of a trend.  The last-minute polls had McClintock leading Garamendi.  But Garamendi won on election day by 4%.  The turnout model the pollsters were using was off.  Democrats turned out in greater numbers than expected.

Quinn, who’s been analyzing partisan races in California for decades, said it was once a truism of state politics that because of the partisan turnout advantage a Republican could win any district in which GOP registration reached 40 percent.

He doesn’t believe that applies any longer.

Although both parties have declined as a share of the electorate in recent years as the number of independents has soared, Quinn said the remaining Democrats are more loyal and more reliable than Democratic voters of the past.

“You’ve got a more pure Democratic electorate,” he said. “You no longer have the Reagan Democrats.”

(emphasis mine)

That means that there are a lot more seats in play than were earlier.  Dave is the man with the numbers, but as we look to challenge Republicans for their seats. the calculation of viability for Democrats in an individual district is changing.  That is a damn good thing considering our voter registration numbers are slipping, though admittedly the Republicans are dropping faster.

Naturally this has an impact on the presidential election.  Sen. McCain has been making noise about making a run here in California for our electoral votes.  The numbers last month should give him pause.  California is a blue state.  If anything we are trending more blue, not purple.

The latest set of numbers, Quinn believes, will make it more unlikely that Republicans will seriously compete in California in the fall presidential election.

“It makes it very hard for Sen. John McCain’s people to argue they will be able to put the state in play,” he said. “Those turnout figures are bad because, in order for this state to be in play, Republicans have to come out the way they did with Reagan.”

Ben Tulchin, a pollster at Greenland Quinland Rosner notes that there is currently a 21%  gap between Republican turnout numbers and Democrats.  That is nearly double what Al Gore and John Kerry carried California with.

Do state employees have a right to privacy?

Or should I ask: Do state employees have to assume that newspapers will put their name, title and salary into a searchable database.  Or what about a more specific question: what is the added public benefit from having names attached to salary and title information?

Why am I asking all of these questions?  Well, the SacBee decided to create a searchable database of state employees’ salaries on their website.  Needless to say state employees are upset.  Yesterday SEIU 1000 staged a protest in front of the newspaper’s offices.  The leadership presented 3,000 signatures demanding that the database be taken down.  SacBee:

Union President Jim Hard told the protesters that he was “disgusted” by what he described as the paper’s “crass commercialism” and “callous disregard” for his members’ safety.

“Our union is completely in favor of public access to information regarding the use of their tax money, the pay scales, the classifications, the number of state employees and comparisons in any reasonable fashion to counties, cities and the public sector,” Hard said. “But to post my name up there, I’d like The Bee to explain how that helps any public policy of public finance discussion or issue.”

There is no significant need or public sunshine benefit to attaching people’s names to salary/title information.

Some state workers are already feeling the repercussions of the Bee’s actions.

The paper’s explanations have not satisfied state workers. At Wednesday’s rally, Dana Meza, who has worked at the Department of Motor Vehicles for eight years, said that since the salaries were posted “some people actually were called by bill collectors.”

Aleta Prudhomme, an employee at the Department of Social Services, said her husband, a correctional officer, once had his identity stolen, and she fears it’s going to happen again. “I just don’t see how this is really helpful,” Prudhomme said of the database.

The paper is arguing that the data has always been available and that the paper is making sure that it is not just accessible by journalists and lawyers.  That may be true, but there is a big difference from people having to request the information through state sunshine law disclosure rules and have it be in a searchable database.  Just because you can do it that does not mean that you should.

Marriage Equality: Myths and Reality

Immediately after the 2004 presidential election results came in many political analysts floated the notion that the Massachusetts Supreme Court ruling that required the state to enact marriage equality was responsible for George Bush’s re-election.  The hypothesis was that the anti-marriage equality initiatives on the ballot energized the right to turnout and they helped push Bush over the top.  That theory was roundly rejected by the actual exit polling data.  Unfortunately that myth still lives on and is influencing political analysis to this day.  Today it appeared in Peter Schrag’s column in the Bee, which was picked up by Boi from Troy and subsequently linked by Marc Ambinder in the Atlantic.

Given its hot-button nature in an election season, there must be a lot of Democrats, from the presidential candidates down, who are hoping that the court follows Jerry Brown’s pleadings. To this day, a lot of people believe that the 2003 decision of the Massachusetts Supreme Court striking down that state’s ban on same-sex marriages was a major factor in the defeat of John Kerry in the 2004 presidential election.

Schrag really needs a phrase in there that recognizes that while people continue to believe that myth, it has been disproved.  It is something the bloggers, particularly kos harped about, but did not make it very far into the mainstream, despite the numerical evidence.

In that decision, the Massachusetts court held that that “the right to marry means little if it does not include the right to marry the person of one’s choice.”

The ban, the court found, “works a deep and scarring hardship” on same-sex families “for no rational reason.”

The backlash to a similar California ruling would make the reaction to the Massachusetts ruling seem mild.

Why?  Why would California’s reaction be any larger than Massachusetts?  The state’s electorate has been moving slowly toward support for marriage equality.  I suspect that a poll conducted now would show opposition below 50%.  The voters in this state are more likely to support marriage equality now than at any point in the past.  There has been a great deal of positive movement in the past few years, particularly as the Milenials come of voting age.

If indeed the court does rule that the state constitution requires that all persons be treated equally, then we will see an attempt by the right-wing to put an initiative on the ballot to amend the constitution in a way that the Courts cannot overrule.  That would be a big huge fight.  However, if 2004 is any guide, it would not effect the presidential election in any measurable way.

Blackwater Pulls Plans for Potrero

(full disclosure: I work for Courage)

Score another big victory for the little guy.  The people of Potrero have beaten back Blackwater and kept them out of their community.  After the stunning recall of the local planning board members who supported Blackwater in December, Blackwater was facing clear local opposition to the plan.  Regional groups had been working hard to raise opposition in San Diego County.  Meanwhile, the Courage Campaign was teaming up with the locals to turn this into a broader fight.  There were significant questions about it’s environmental impact on the community and area.  The company was awaiting the official Environmental Impact Review.  Instead of continuing to fight against the town, Blackwater decided to pack its bags and leave tiny Potrero.

The letter from Brian Bonfliglio of Blackwater pulling the project is on the flip.

March 7, 2008

Mr. Jarrett Ramaiya

County of San Diego

Department of Planning and Land Use

5201 Ruffin Road, Suite B

San Diego, CA 92123

Re: Application for Major Use Permit (P06-069)

Dear Jarrett:

On behalf of Blackwater West, I am writing to inform the County of San Diego that, effective today, we are withdrawing Application P06-069 for a Major Use Permit for our proposed project in the community of Potrero.

After examining the capacity of our existing facilities and our business development goals, we have decided not to pursue plans for a training campus in Potrero.

Although our project would have brought a great benefit to San Diego County- providing local, state and federal law enforcement with access to low-cost superior training facilities while brining much-needed jobs to the area- the proposed site plan simply does not meet our business objectives at this time.

Please refund all funds on deposit and not expended for permit processing.  Thank you for your assistance.

Sincerely,

Brian Bonfiglio

Vice President

Blackwater West

You have to assume that Blackwater’s declining reputation in this country has had an impact on their “business objectives”.  They are toxic and any agency that hired them for training would have serious public relations problems.

While they have pulled out of Potrero, Bonfiglio is “not going home”.  They appear to have broken this story to the friendly SD Union-Tribune:

Bonfiglio said noise tests the company conducted at the site did not meet county standards, and the cost of reducing the noise was too expensive. He said Blackwater had spent well over $1 million in its effort to get government approval for the site.

Blackwater worked the county hard, at one point a former lawyer pushing for the approval actually went to work for the county.

But all of that is over now.  It is time to celebrate.

“It’s great news for the community of Potrero,” said Carl Meyer, the recently-elected chairman of the Potrero planning group. “I think Potrero will start to rejoice tonight. We’ll have a party.”

Speaking of Carl….here is the video the Courage Campaign put together about the community’s battle to keep Blackwater out.

It sure is nice to watch that again and know that Carl and all of the other local heros in Potrero get to go to bed tonight knowing that Blackwater will not be moving into their town.  Congratulations Potrero!