All posts by Lucas O'Connor

A Brave New GOP?

Yesterday over at Red County was an interesting stab at what the purpose of the California Republican Party should be now that they’ve demonstrated an inability to prevent tax increases. It’s a fascinating amalgam that’s roughly equal parts proof that there’s no particular logic governing the GOP and a blueprint to a Republican version of the DLC.

Answering the question “why do we exist?”, the leading principle as stated is

We exist to find solutions to problems that do not increase the size or cost of government.

Which of course means government can only get smaller. We’ve heard this before when Grover Norquist was having wet dreams about drowning government (sidenote: why doesn’t anyone call Grover Norquist an anarchist? He wants to eliminate government.). But it sets the tone nicely by establishing that there’s nothing new here, just an attempt to paint over the fundamental failures of GOP ideology. But we’re just getting started.

We exist to ensure a responsive, transparent, competent government that provides essential services in an efficient and timely manner.

Those are all nice words, but none of them alone or in combination actually equal “effective” essential services. Note that “effective” is not the same as “cost effective.” If I wanted to maximize the cost effectiveness of my grocery shopping, I’d just spend all my money on rice and die of scurvy. But I digress. Presumably this is a subset of the first principle of not expanding government. So you only get responsive, transparent, competent, efficient and timely as long as it costs no more than what you’re getting now. In other words, the plan is straight from Homer Simpson: “Can you guys work harder?” But this is reasonable next to…

We exist to lower healthcare costs through competition, not regulation.

Healthcare costs are set via competition right now. Has anybody noticed their healthcare suddenly getting cheaper lately? But wait, there’s more. MUCH more!

We exist to guarantee that every Californian will receive an above-average primary and secondary education and that our state will continue to have the world’s foremost public system of post-secondary education.

Well sure. Me too. But the explanation leads off with “…I love beating up on the teachers’ unions as much as anyone (probably even more)…” In my experience, being the enemy of the folks delivering the education is step one to getting the best product from those people. Then comes gems like “We need to let parents know that we’re willing to spend more money on education” and “I think we should actually go a step farther and reclaim the promise of a free college education for every qualified student.” You know where I’ve heard this? From Democrats. For my entire life. And for generations before that.

Thing is, I suppose being “willing to spend more money” isn’t the same as actually spending it since that would presumably not maintain or reduce the size of government. Neither, presumably, would the additional professors, administrators, support staff, classroom space, textbooks and other supplies needed for all those new free college educations likely be free or less than free. Alright, but something has to make sense right?

We exist to preserve our environmental heritage and to protect the environment against the worst abuses in ways that do not harm economic growth or undermine personal liberty.

You may have heard this argument before in its original form “the environment is a top priority right after any other priority” or “let’s absolutely protect the environment except from anything that actually poses a threat.” The suggestions from this post focus largely on clean parks and beaches, conservation and underfunded state parks. Mind you, we aren’t going to increase the size of government, so we’re going to increase funding for state parks by cutting funding elsewhere. Maybe education. No wait, we’re expanding education. No wait, the GOP just spent months holding the budget hostage to cut education. My head hurts. And this is getting long, so let’s take the next two together:

We exist to protect individual rights and fight laws that detract from those rights.

We exist to ensure the stability and virtue of our society through traditional values.

These statements seem like they would be natural enemies in the wild, no? Of course, because imposing morality in a libertarian manner isn’t exactly possible. By definition. No matter though. Why? Because “that’s the burden of being the party of conservatism, but I’m happy to bear it.” Right. The burden of being the party of conservatism is trying to package and sell doublethink. That’s gotta leave you feeling good at the end of the day. And finally we wrap up with another classic:

We exist to create a business climate where entrepreneurs of all kinds are allowed to thrive.

Is this last for any particular reason? Is it supplicated to the previous or the most important saved for last? I ask because there are times when the bottom line health of a business is not, in fact, the same as the best interest of society as a whole. I know, I know. Even allowing such a thought to flicker in my mind makes me a communist. Whatever. I’m pretty sure that if we’ve learned anything in the past 12 months, it’s that entrepreneurs can screw things up pretty badly, and not because they were chasing after the greater good for humanity. Should we try to allow people to flourish? Of course. Are there limits on the quest for personal wealth and power based on the negative impact on society as a whole? That’d be nice too.

Lest you think our blogger is too much a dreamer and are concerned because:

“We’re never going to be able to attract environmentalists, convince the education establishment and their supporters that we care about kids, or get poor people to believe we’ll give them a better deal on healthcare than the Dems.”

Take heart. None of that matters:

You’re right, but that’s not the goal. The objective is to break down the growing resistance that the electorate has towards all things Republican.

It seems to me that another option would be actually taking a meaningful look at all the things the electorate is resisting and…like…changing some of them. But the concession here that the brave new GOP will not actually care about kids or give poor people a better deal on healthcare is convenient at least.

But that’s just me. I don’t want to come off like a total curmudgeon though. If there’s an option to have a pony with my cake, sign me up.

San Diego Government’s Crowdsourcing

I don’t know what the specific ratio of placating-the-masses to completely-out-of-ideas might be, but San Diego’s city government is asking for ideas. The big one is Mayor Sanders soliciting lightning bolts on budget cuts. I’m kinda terrified to imagine what this might elicit, but maybe there’ll be a few gems. At the very least, it’s a nice shift from his consistent (if often unsuccessful) fits of dictatorial governance.

With San Diego’s budget future linked to woes at the state level, negotiations beginning with HUD over millions in mismanaged funds which may need to be repayed, and major concerns over access to food stamps, it’s probably not a bad time to see if anyone happens to be particularly inspired.

At the same time, a charrette (pdf) is kicking off soliciting bright ideas for community redevelopment, specifically the Grantville area. SD Business Journal explains that the neighborhood “is undergoing a Master Plan transformation that could prove a blueprint for the greater redevelopment of our neighborhoods throughout the city.”

There’s lots of talk about “stakeholders” and communities investing in their own futures, which is a good start. And with the San Diego Democratic Party bouncing back fast from rock bottom in the June primary to strengthen its hold on the city council, hopefully this is the beginning of legitimate dialogue with the community. The November election brought a consumer advocate reporter (Marti Emerald), a long-time community volunteer (Sherri Lightner), and a Housing Commissioner and District Director (Todd Gloria) to the board. Three people who are, at the very least, used to soliciting opinions and perspectives from the broader community as an essential function of their professional lives. It’s a valuable shift in mentality that the Mayor seems to also be picking up on, even if it’s also a reflection of how few good answers seem to be forthcoming these days.

We’ll have to wait a while for the payoff. In the meantime, a little more openness is a decent place from which to start.

Update I should add that Mayor Sanders has taken the request for ideas to twitter. It isn’t exactly Debra Bowen, but it’s a lot better than many politician accounts. At least he’s stepping outside the tubes and into the ether.

California Leads Continuing Real Estate Collapse

The S&P Case-Shiller Index is one of the leading trackers of the national housing market. It recently reported a 16.6% national drop in home prices for the third quarter, and included projections for 2009 and 2010. Happy holidays- Eight of the ten worst projected housing markets for 2009 are in California:

1. Los Angeles

2008 median house price: $375,340

2009 projected change: -24.9%

2010 projected change: -5.1%

2. Stockton

2008 median house price: $248,050

2009 projected change: -24.7%

2010 projected change: -4.0%

3. Riverside

2008 median house price: $256,540

2009 projected change: -23.3%

2010 projected change: -4.8%

5. Sacramento

2008 median house price: $225,140

2009 projected change: -22.2%

2010 projected change: 2.3%

6. Santa Ana/ Anaheim

2008 median house price: $532,810

2009 projected change: -22.0%

2010 projected change: -3.5%

7. Fresno

2008 median house price: $257,170

2009 projected change: -21.6%

2010 projected change: -3.3%

8. San Diego

2008 median house price: $412,490

2009 projected change: -21.1%

2010 projected change: -2.9%

9. Bakersfield

2008 median house price: $227,270

2009 projected change: -20.9%

2010 projected change: -2.5%

Just the technical populations of those eight cities is a combined eight million people. The metropolitan areas are of course much larger. While Republicans in Sacramento continue to watch the state’s financial situation spiral further and further out of control, home owners still have a lot further to fall. Which means that as the GOP tries to force deeper cuts into safety net programs, they’re going to be that much more desperately important in the future.

These numbers should be extremely scary. Nine of the state’s thirteen biggest cities are on the above list. This morning, Paul Krugman wrote: “Whatever the new administration does, we’re in for months, perhaps even a year, of economic hell.” That’s with the best minds in the nation formulating policy that will find executive and legislative branches working together to pass a recovery plan. On the other hand, California is staring down the barrel of a gun at the freezing of transportation projects, furloughed state workers, wage freezes, and deep cuts to the programs that protect citizens in times of economic downturn.

Nothing is going to be enough to truly counterbalance these grim economic times in the next year. But doing nothing simply can’t be an option with California now not only self-destructing, but leading the rest of the country down as well.

Save the Parties from DiFi

Last week, the DC city council passed a measure that would allow all bars to stay open until 5am and all restaurants to operate 24 hours a day during inauguration week. This seems like an awesome idea for a number of reasons. With millions of people descending on the city, these bars wouldn’t know what to do with all the money. Plus, tons of people will be showing up without anyplace in particular to sleep or anything in particular to do, so keeping them off the streets (and their probable partying off the streets) and in establishments somewhat equipped for such things seemed reasonable. Plus it struck exactly the right tone with regards to this being (to crib Hunter Thompson) “an affirmation of everything right and true in the national character. It isn’t and wasn’t about drinking, it is and was about everyone coming together and sharing an historical moment- one in which so many of us are so deeply invested. And things were good.

But then on Tuesday, Sen. Dianne Feinstein joined with Sen. Bennett of Utah to tut tut the idea with concern trolling that only a mother could love. Feinstein frets that “[w]hat is clearly meant as a boon to local businesses may instead create tremendous problems for already overwhelmed law enforcement agencies.” Of course, our curmudgeonly senior senator overlooks the reality of several million people looking for a party: they will find it. Tossing them all into the streets isn’t going to help law enforcement. Plus, on a more visceral level, ARE YOU FREAKIN KIDDING ME? You’re joining with Bob jumped-up Bennett to tell everyone to calm down and stop being so excited? Way to completely miss the boat on the national mood. ahem.

Not surprisingly, DC is up in arms over this. From the Washingtonian to DCist, on Facebook and all over Twitter, and perhaps most overtly at Save the Parties. Save the Parties has a petition in support of the hours extension and Mayor Fenty, who to his credit is thus far standing firm against DiFi.

Personally, I was born and raised just across the river in Arlington and learned about the night in DC. The cuisine, the bars, the music, the shows- it’s more than a cash cow; it’s a chance to really put on display all that DC has to offer- and it’s a lot. More specifically, I’m going to be heading back for the inauguration because I have the opportunity and therefore I kinda have to, and I have absolutely no interest in things shutting down OR spilling into the streets after last call each night. If you want to talk dangerous and irresponsible, it’s 4 million revelers all trying to travel at 2am. Senator Feinstein’s killjoy disapproval notwithstanding.

Join the Impact San Diego

full disclosure: I work for the Courage Campaign

Police expected 5,000 people today for San Diego’s Join the Impact march against Prop 8. Police are currently estimating 20,000 marchers turned out in support of equality (link will also lead to some cool pics and video). Organizers upped their estimate early this morning to 25,000 and they’re sticking with that number. Either way, it doubles last week’s 10K strong San Diego march.

I arrived at the jumping off point at the appointed 10am hour. There were thousands of people spread throughout Balboa Park- old and young, gay and straight, male and female, all races and ethnicities. Some were alone, some came with families, some with groups of friends. It took about 30 minutes to get things organized, in part probably because of people like me who were working the crowd as much as possible. And I’ll tell you how I knew right away that this was a really big deal: While I’m sure many were there, I didn’t see a single person I know from political activism. But I saw people I knew from my neighborhood, from bars, from sports, from music, from church. In other words, this wasn’t the same old political demonstration with the same old faces. This was everyone who normally don’t obsess about politics. People who normally may not even be out of bed at 10am on a Saturday much less marching for miles in the 85 degree heat. This wasn’t politics, this was a movement.

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I was very careful to pack my trusty Flip Video, and I got some shaky clips of the beginning of the march (above) and the pivot from 6th Avenue to Broadway (right). The march ran a three mile course south on 6th Avenue along Balboa Park, west through downtown on Broadway, and up Pacific Highway past the Star of India before culminating at the County Administration Building (where marriage licenses are issued). Gloria Allred, city councilman-elect Todd Gloria and reps from the ACLU, Equality California and the Human Rights campaign were on the docket for the rally between the building and the bay.

Chant sheets were everywhere and the chants rarely stopped. The homemade signs were plentiful and ran the gamut from Lincoln to Hitler and Chickens to Satan. I was pleasantly impressed though by the VAST majority of people embracing the positive messaging. People get that this is about love, acceptance and equality. And that abandoning that is to let agents of intolerance win.

The only arrest reported at this point was a member of the Minutemen. Which is a nice juxtaposition to the experience of marching through downtown. Cars honked in solidarity, people cheered from balconies and streamed out of offices and hotels to root us on and give high-fives. In the course of 3 downtown miles, I spotted maybe 7 Yes on 8 folks. Organizers kept people reasonably well behaved, and nothing advanced beyond an occasionally aggressive air horn. Heck, the handful of unattended Yes signs we passed had police attendants.

This is just one of the first reports to come today. There are more than 300 events scheduled throughout the state and across the country. And I said to a friend who marched with me, “You will not be able to stay home brother.



Because…people will be in the street looking for a brighter day.



The revolution will be live.”

Darrell Issa Aims for Oversight Spot

I can’t even begin to link to all the examples (just click back through the tag), but Darrell Issa is an embarrassment, an idiot, and a fundamentally mean person. Which, if you think about it, makes him a perfect contender for Ranking Republican on the House Oversight Committee.

His line to the top was cleared in the past few months by the retirement of Rep. Tom Davis and the defeat of Rep. Chris Shays. Issa spends most of his time in Congress picking fights, “whispering and giggling…like a schoolboy” and pitching stupid fits over not being able to hang signs and charts on his office door.

But with Rep. Waxman looking to leave the committee for more glamorous pastures and the heir to the chairmanship on the Democratic side still unclear, FedBlog notes, this would be

a great opportunity for Republicans who want to make names for themselves. In the Senate, Susan Collins, the ranking member on HSGAC, presumably isn’t going to go anywhere, but she’s not going to go out of her way to score points against Obama. So it makes sense that members of the Republican Conference would look for an attack dog in the House. Issa fits that bill.

Which is the point of course. He gets to grandstand and spew vitriol from a better pulpit and fashion himself into a no-holds-barred attack dog of the new, more-extreme GOP minority. And with Rep. Dan Lungren making a play for Minority Leader and Chuck DeVore announcing his plans to challenge Sen. Boxer in 2010, it looks like the lack of Obama coattails in California is inspiring some ambition from the far right of the state.

After following Darrell Issa for several years, I know with considerable confidence that he’s often sophomoric but always vicious. His is a scorched earth, nose-to-spite-the-face approach to government that prefers the fundamental destruction of function to anything besides his own agenda moving forward. He’s filthy rich in an exceptionally safe seat, so he’s not going anywhere unless he chooses to. Which means that obnoxious as it’ll be, Issa is likely gearing up to be a professional pain in the ass for at least the next two years. Time to get used to dealing with his antics.

Will Feinstein Learn the Lieberman Lesson?

With word yesterday that President-Elect Obama wants Joe Lieberman to stay in the Democratic Caucus, the issue of his near-term future is a bit clearer. Wanting Lieberman to stay in the caucus of course is not at all the same thing as allowing him to keep his chairmanship of the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, which is the real question. But since the prospect remains of him retaining his chairmanship, it’s worth considering what the impact would be.

It’s maybe the second day of Group Psychology 101 that as soon as you start creating special rules for individuals, the entire system breaks apart. If Joe Lieberman keeps his chairmanship, what’s the functional message to everyone else in the caucus? If I’m a conservative, red-state, but generally well behaved Senator like Ben Nelson, I’m thinking to myself “I didn’t just spend two years with subpoena power over the Bush administration to campaign for the Republican presidential nominee and Senate candidates. I didn’t refuse to stamp down Obama-is-a-Muslim rumors. I don’t fear for the country if the party I want to caucus with gains power. I didn’t spend the past year undermining the Democratic nominee for President. I didn’t quit the party when it became personally inconvenient. If Lieberman gets to chair Homeland Security after all of that, what do I get?” And I won’t even start to delve into what traditional liberal lions like Sen. Boxer must or at least should be thinking about all this. Doing the right thing gets you where?

It would create an active dis-incentive to party loyalty over personal ambition. The problem child gets the special attention. Anyone who grew up with a sibling or simply attended school knows how this works. Which brings us to Senator Dianne Feinstein. ALl indications are that she’s in line to chair the Senate Intelligence Committee in the next Congress. Meanwhile, she’s laying claim to the CW’s inside track for California Governor in 2010. Combine those circumstances with the considerable number of Feinstein boosters who are convinced that there’s some sort of magical party-bucking ratio that makes a reasonable and moderate California Democrat (the only sort of Democrat who could possibly win the Governor’s race, natch) and Feinstein’s dicey record on FISA, on trainwreck Attorney General Michael Mukasey, and support for the nomination of homophobic and racially questionable Judge Leslie Southwick, and you’ve put Feinstein in quite a position.

If Lieberman is allowed to retain his committee, then the lesson that chairing a committee is secondary to personal priorities leaves Feinstein campaigning for Governor as chair of the Intelligence Committee. Specifically, if burnishing her middle-of-the-road credentials for the governor’s race collides with the interests of the Democratic Senate Caucus, the presidential agenda, or even the right thing, Senate Democrats would have signaled to her that her electoral ambitions come first. And in fact, that acting out is the best way to get special favors in DC, which would be good to have when it comes time for big name stumpers in 2010.

Now, far be it from me to suggest that the United States Senate operates on the same psychological level as a group of children. But the potential power-play aspects of this are clear and inescapable. Unless we rally to the Lieberman Must Go cause now, we risk a free for all that undermines the Senate and the Obama agenda and sets a clear example that personal ambition trumps Democratic functionality. And if bucking the system is how you get places, then bucking the system is what we’ll get more of. And I certainly don’t want to give Senator Feinstein more incentive to run to the right for the next two years.

full disclosure: I work for the Courage Campaign but write this independently

The Catholic League Blasts Courage Campaign Ad

full disclosure: I work for the Courage Campaign

The Catholic League condemned the Courage Campaign’s ‘Home Invasion‘ ad opposing Proposition 8 via press release earlier today. Catholic League President Bill Donohue said in part:

Radical homosexuals have a long history of anti-religious bigotry, so it is not surprising that with a pro-marriage initiative on the ballot in California (Proposition 8 would secure marriage as a right between a man and a woman only), they would resort to gutter tactics. This group is not some fringe operation-it works closely with George Soros’ MoveOn.org, another organization that has not shied away from bashing people of faith.

Making Bill Donohue’s list is no small feat. In the past he’s attacked Bill Maher, Marilyn Manson, Joan Osborne, secular Jews who run Hollywood and hate Christianity and John Edwards bloggers Amanda Marcotte and Melissa McEwan. He has also declared the Catholic Priest scandals “a homosexual scandal, not a pedophilia scandal.” Somehow, it seems, Bill Donohue and Catholics are constantly under attack from some agent of intolerance. But when it comes down to it, Proposition 8 is an attempt to insert religion into the California Constitution. It just is. And its proponents proudly sell that point. We’re glad they worship passionately in they way they see fit, but it has no place in our Constitution.

In related news so far today, the Catholic League and Mormon Church picked up a new Yes on 8 ally. As already noted today, arranged-mass-marriage enthusiasts The Moonies have jumped aboard the push to “save traditional marriage.” Which simply serves to confuse the “traditional marriage” waters all the further.

You can volunteer for the No on 8 campaign right up until polls close at 8pm. Every vote counts.

Breaking from The Call at Qualcomm: Nobody’s Here



full disclosure: I work for the Courage Campaign. I went to Qualcomm because that’s where the fight to maintain human rights is being waged.

Let me be clear. I’ve been to a lot of all day music festivals, and generally people skip the first seven hours. So maybe that’s what’s going on here. But after a couple hours at Qualcomm earlier for the massive Yes on 8 rally organized by The Call…nobody’s here. Check out the poor but illustrative video I grabbed with my Flip Video. I was down on the field, just to stage left. Joint was empty. They threw a party and nobody came.

The parking lots were mostly empty. The trolley station that goes essentially right up to the door was almost entirely empty. The concourses and hallways were empty. Most of the seats were empty. A popular shirt as I walked around (but don’t have a picture of right now) was a bright yellow Tshirt reading “You can’t change God’s Law: Yes on Prop 8.” But you know…don’t worry about this being the effective repeal of the separation of church and state. It’s just God’s law. Being written as state law. Right. “It Ain’t Just Genetics” was another personal ‘favorite’ of mine.

Let me also add: Not a single solitary counter-protester. Nobody at all. Everyone’s on the phones making real calls. Completely non-political friends of mine were talking last night in the midst of Halloween parties about their plans to phonebank today. This campaign is doing a tremendous job channeling the energies of supporters to the work that really matters. Really impressive to see.

Update: Photos from earlier today can be seen here

Update: I’m about to crash, but I wanted to confirm: nobody else ever showed up. The No on 8 counter-rally at 9pm in Hillcrest rivaled the Qualcomm turnout- it stretched for blocks and blocks, many people deep. All the more striking because the Qualcomm rally was designed for busloads from around the state and across the country while the No on 8 rally was only motivated locals. Volunteer now. We can do this.

Use It or Lose It California

In 2006 I contributed to a project originated by Chris Bowers called Use It or Lose It. It came back in lower profile again this year, but it’s a good habit to get into up and down the political spectrum every election cycle. The premise is that our elected Democrats- when safe or unchallenged for re-election, should be dipping into their campaign cash reserves to bolster our chances in competitive races. It’s been particularly relevant these two most recent election cycles because of the myriad pickup opportunities across the country and across the state.

Dave in particular has been hammering around these Calitics parts for a long time on the need to target a 2/3 majority in the state legislature if we’re ever going to pass a reasonable budget or pass a legitimately progressive budget (Democrat does not necessarily equal progressive I realize). So how have our state Dems been doing when it comes to spreading the wealth? We all know that incumbency is a powerful force in this state, so generally sitting on a lot of cash can’t be explained by anticipating a re-election fight. A quick chart of the notable and the affluent Democratic state legislators submitted without further comment. You can make your own analysis and comparisons, though there are certainly some aspirants to leadership here: