All posts by Robert Cruickshank

Will Arnold Schwarzenegger Destroy Caltrain?

Arnold Schwarzenegger’s war on public transportation could be about to claim a very high-profile victim: Caltrain. Caltrain CEO Mike Scanlon gave a dire warning yesterday about massive cuts that would wipe out half of Caltrain’s services:

Caltrain has gone broke and will likely need to wipe out half its service – including weekend, nighttime and midday trains – officials warned Thursday, bracing passengers for a major shake-up to the popular commuter line that links San Francisco to the South Bay.

“This is not an April fool’s joke,” Caltrain CEO Mike Scanlon told the agency’s board of directors. “This is real. We’re at a watershed moment where there’s a possibility this railroad could go away.”

Scanlon said the service cuts, which would idle trains for much of the day, would need to be completed by June 2011, although the agency may begin slashing its schedule as soon as this fall.

The impact of these cuts would be nothing short of catastrophic for the Peninsula’s economy, which relies on Caltrain to get workers to their jobs and consumers to retailers (and in many ways that includes the San Francisco Giants and San Jose Sharks) to a far greater extent than is realized. Losing this much Caltrain service would be a massive step backward for the Bay Area, a step away from mass transit and back toward the failed model of dependence on cars and freeways that the region had begun to move beyond.

As Michael Scanlon pointed out, the loss of state funding has been simply devastating:

The agency has lost $10 million in funding from the state each of the past three years. And for more than a year, it has been losing riders, which account for 40 percent of its revenue.

But now a new, more damaging problem has emerged. Scanlon, who is also the CEO of the San Mateo County Transit District, or SamTrans, said he will ask that agency’s board of directors to lower its Caltrain contribution by nearly 70 percent by July 2011.

SamTrans, the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority and San Francisco Muni each provide Caltrain with a subsidy, which combined amounts to $39.4 million. But with the smaller SamTrans contribution, VTA and Muni will lower their shares proportionately. SamTrans, Muni and VTA all recently cut service and raised fares, and Scanlon said they are “beyond broke.”

A fare increase has not been proposed, as officials say it would drive away even more riders. They also don’t expect to propose any ballot measures, such as tax increases, citing the recession.

In short, because Arnold Schwarzenegger has used the state budget crisis to wage war on public transportation to benefit his oil company donors, with a Department of Finance full of right-wing ideologues who demand mass transit pay for itself when freeways aren’t held to the same standard, local transit agencies are hemorrhaging money, worsening Caltrain’s already precarious situation.

Ultimately the response will have to be some sort of regional funding source to support mass transit. There should be a Bay Area-wide tax, ideally on gas, to fund operations of the region’s transit agencies, from Muni to BART, from Caltrain to AC Transit, and the smaller agencies in between.

And of course, there will need to be an all-hands-on-deck effort to restore state public transportation funds. This needs to become a top priority not just of the passenger rail advocacy community, but of Californians as a whole. In the summer of 2008 local transit agencies had much more capacity to handle the massive increase in ridership that helped California avoid the worst of the gas price increase. As we face another increase in gas prices later this year, we are left with much less transit to fall back on. The result could be a choking off of our state’s halting steps toward economic recovery.

Arnold’s war on public transportation has extremely dire effects for all of us. It’s time to band together to save not only Caltrain, but transit services across the state, and our own future prosperity.

Read more about this, and the impact on high speed rail, over at my California High Speed Rail Blog.

Judge Bars John Eastman’s Misleading Title From Ballot

John Eastman, a Republican from the wingnut factory that is Chapman University in Orange, is running in the Republican primary for Attorney General. He wanted to be listed on the ballot as “Assistant Attorney General” which is an actual title he has – in South Dakota. As the LA Times reported last month, Eastman was given a temporary appointment as SD’s Assistant AG while working on a case.

LA County District Attorney Steve Cooley, another Republican candidate for AG, sued to reject that ballot title. As Shane Goldmacher reports, the suit was successful:

On Thursday, Sacramento Superior Court Judge Timothy Frawley ordered Eastman, who recently resigned as dean of Chapman University School of Law in Orange County, to be identified as a “constitutional law attorney.”

Of course, Eastman isn’t even a very good con law attorney. He is one of the wingnuts who believes the federal health care bill is unconstitutional, a view that the Sacramento Bee slammed as being a form of “nullification” which was settled by the Civil War.

The Bee editorial also mentioned the Supremacy Clause, which as a con law attorney, you’d think Eastman would understand. Apparently not.

Prop 15 Gains Momentum

The California Fair Elections Act, on the ballot as Prop 15, has been getting some serious momentum of late. Which is fitting, since it is one of the necessary first steps for breaking corporate power in this state. Yesterday the San Jose Mercury News came out in support of Prop 15:

Proposition 15, the initiative on the June ballot to publicly finance the 2014 and 2018 campaigns for secretary of state, won’t eliminate the influence of money in politics. It’s a small step in the right direction, however – and if it’s successful, it could lead to much-needed broader campaign finance reform. Vote yes….

Proposition 15 is a pilot project that attempts to remove the corrupting influence of money in one race. Given that the secretary of state oversees elections, it’s a good place to start.

Democratic and Republican candidates would have to show broad support by collecting 7,500 $5 contributions. In return, they’d get at least $1 million for the primary and $1.3 million for the general election. And they could receive up to $4 million for the primary and $5.2 million for the general to match a candidate who declines public financing and its limits – think Meg Whitman – or for counterattacks against independent groups.

This obviously isn’t a full public financing system, but it’s a good place to start. While it’s unclear whether institutional resistance to public financing will wither away if Prop 15 passes and is a success in the 2014 Secretary of State race, it would show that the public is indeed willing to support this and give fuel to efforts to create a full statewide public financing system.

Assemblymember Bill Monning (AD-27, Monterey-Santa Cruz) elaborated on the case for Prop 15 in his own op-ed:

Since the 2000 election, campaign contributions to California candidates have exceeded $1 billion! The spectrum of contributors spans the range of businesses, unions, environmental groups, and others who have an interest in California laws and regulations.

At the federal level, the top 13 private health insurance companies contributed over $23 million to congressional candidates in the last nine months of 2009. These contributions were received during the most important health care debate in the nation’s recent history. In California, the American Health Insurance Plans’ members have contributed more than $280 million to candidates since 2000.

As the new chair of the Assembly Health Committee, Monning understands well the impact of these contributions, and makes a strong case as to why we need public financing in order to accomplish progressive goals such as universal health care.

It’s also appropriate that this is going onto the June ballot, where two other propositions – Props 16 and 17 – are nothing more than efforts by a single corporation to pick the pockets of Californians. Prop 15 is the only progressive measure on the June ballot, and deserves strong support from Californians.

Obama Embraces Offshore Oil Drilling, But For What Purpose?

President Obama is proposing a major expansion of offshore oil drilling around the nation, as the LA Times reports, with the Pacific Coast states of Washington, Oregon, and California excluded from the new drilling:

President Obama will announce new plans to drill for oil and natural gas off America’s coasts Wednesday but will rule out drilling off California, Oregon and Washington state through 2017, administration officials say.

Obama’s plans will include opening new areas of coastal Virginia and other parts of the mid-Atlantic region, Alaska and the eastern Gulf of Mexico for drilling. But officials say the president will block drilling in Alaska’s Bristol Bay, where the George W. Bush administration’s drilling plans in 2007 angered environmentalists.

One obvious question that comes to mind is “why?” Offshore oil drilling is no solution to our country’s energy problems, as it would provide only a tiny fraction of the overall national demand for oil at a major environmental cost. Some reports have claimed that Obama is embracing this as part of a deal on the long-stalled climate bill, but Calitics alum David Dayen questions whether that would be sensible:

I see it more like showing your cards before the end of the hand. Why would you let Republicans know about a pre-compromised offshore drilling regime, so that they can push for even more? This won’t garner one Republican vote any more than compromising the health care bill garnered any Republican votes. If this was the result of a negotiation, fine, but this comes BEFORE the negotiation.

RL Miller shares her thoughts at Daily Kos, pointing out that the federal government won’t see much in the way of new revenue and also questioning whether this will help with a climate bill that has already been stripped of the parts that would actually help the climate. She equates this policy to “fucking for virginity” which seems both an apt and descriptive way of putting it.

So what does this mean for us in California? It will likely increase pressure to open our coasts to drilling. If drilling supporters can point to new rigs off the coasts of the Southeast or Alaska and say that they haven’t (yet) caused any noticeable environmental damage, that will help wedge open the California coast to drilling.

Even if the CA coastal ban stays in place, John Myers of KQED’s Capital Notes argues this might help the Tranquillon Ridge project because it could more credibly claim to have a valid shutdown plan.

In any case, Obama’s embrace of drilling is a sad and depressing shift away from sensible policies to reduce carbon emissions and address global warming. While the health care reform bill was imperfect, it was at least a step in the right direction. The president’s climate and energy policies, however, are big steps in the wrong direction.

Race To The Top’s “Blackmail” While California Schools Suffer

Calitics alum David Dayen takes a look at the recent announcement that Delaware and Tennessee have won a chunk of the “Race To The Top” funds awarded by Education Secretary Arne Duncan, and reaches a conclusion I wholly endorse:

I hope we can be honest about what this actually represents: blackmail. It forces states to change their education laws to fit particular notions about how to manage public education in America. And it does so at a time of crippling state budgets, when the Race to the Top funds mean the difference between thousands of teachers laid off or kept on the job, between class sizes expanding or shrinking. Basically, Arne Duncan and the White House are leveraging crisis to make preferred changes in education policy….

But the metrics for winning these stimulus funds comes down to “what Arne Duncan likes about education policy.”…What we do know is that only one side of this debate is withholding funding until their preferred policy prescriptions are enacted. And they’re doing it at a time when the biggest obstacle to education in America in the near-term can be measured in dollars and cents. Giant budget shortfalls in the states mean layoffs for teachers and worse opportunities for students, whether your state has a cap on charter schools or not.

I’ve been slamming Arne Duncan’s shock doctrine attack on public education for some time now, calling on Sacramento to repeal policy changes recently enacted to pursue the Race To The Top funds, only for Secretary Duncan to deny California’s grant application. I also similarly called on the Washington State legislature to reject proposals that would make that state eligible for RTTT funds.

It makes no sense for states to adopt unproven educational reforms merely because the Secretary of Education pulls a dollar on a string in front of legislators. So it’s good to see that this message is getting wider attention.

Although DC policy wonks like Ezra Klein embrace Duncan’s attack on schools, those who study state budgets are sounding the alarm about the disastrous cuts looming at California schools. The California Budget Project today released a study of the local impact of state education cuts. The cuts are devastating to the ability of our children to learn, and the ability of our schools to provide the mandated improvements under current state and federal law.

Let me offer an example. Here in Monterey County, the Alisal school district in Salinas, which has been in program improvement under No Child Left Behind and is now being overseen by a state trustee. Alisal is in line for a $2 million reduction in funding, which translates into $287 fewer dollars per child – in a state that is already one of the lowest in per-pupil spending in the country.

The fact that Arne Duncan is as silent as the night on those cuts, but aggressively pushing his shock doctrine “Race To The Top” scam, is a disturbing sign of a lack of commitment to K-12 education on the part of the federal government. President Obama pushed through stimulus funds that helped lessen the blow of state cuts in many districts last year, but is so far not making any moves to renew that funding this year.

On a day when the White House is touting its commitment to higher education, it is sad that they are not working to ensure that students in K-12 classrooms today will be able to make use of the student loan reforms when it comes time for them to apply to college. Unless the federal government reverses its policies and starts addressing the immediate crisis in the classroom, a whole generation will lose out on their education.

Carly Failorina Strikes Again, This Time on Passover

As someone raised in an Irish Catholic household, I don’t know the first thing about a Passover seder. As a generally intelligent human being, I also know to not act as if I have knowledge about something I actually know nothing about – like a Passover seder.

Unfortunately Carly Failorina doesn’t share that sensible outlook on the world. In an email this morning she showed a stunning lack of knowledge of Passover and its key rituals:

Passover is a time of remembrance and thanks. This festival provides us all — Jewish, Christian and all faiths — an opportunity to reflect on the challenges we have faced and the triumphs we have achieved together. It is also a reminder of the resilient spirit that has carried people through trials of every kind through every generation.

“This week, as we break bread and spend time with our families and friends, I hope we also take a moment to say a word of thanks for our freedom and for those who have given their lives in freedom’s name. Let us also look ahead with hope to the opportunities to come.

Someone who actually does understand what happens at a Passover seder, SF Chronicle reporter Carla Marinucci, explains why this is a huge FAIL for Failorina:

OK, so Fiorina needs a little help in the campaign research department: Bread is a definite no-no on Passover, the Jewish holiday also known as the “Festival of the Unleavened Bread” the annual remembrance of the escape of the Hebrews from Egyptian slavery. On the run, they didn’t have time for bread to rise, so at this time of year, to commemorate that plight: it’s matza, please — matza.

Oops. This particular FAIL has gotten a lot of attention on the blogs and Twitter this morning, with former Orange County resident Atrios offering one of the best replies:

carly fiorina will celebrate rosh hashana with traditional bacon and cheese sammich

At some point you have to wonder what if anything aside from pure greed and a massive ego is driving Carly Fiorina’s campaign for US Senate. She is not only clearly unqualified for the position, not only brings a long record of massive failure encapsulated by having run Hewlett-Packard into the ground, but doesn’t even have a basic grasp of how to reach out to your electorate without offending them on one of their most important holy days.

Mythbusting the State Budget

Jean Ross and the California Budget Project have long ago proven themselves to be indispensable to the progressive movement in California, particularly to helping us cut through the BS and understand what is actually going on with the state budget. They’ve gone and proved their value again with this list of myths about the state budget – and what the truth really is. A sampling:

Myth: The largest share of the state budget goes to prisons.

Fact: The state spends 4 times as much on K-12 education than prisons, and 3 times as much on health and human services than prisons.

Myth: State spending is out of control.

Fact: State spending is $21 billion below the 2004 baseline projections, and as a share of the state economy, spending is lower than at any other time since the early 1970s.

Myth: California’s schools don’t have a “money problem”

Fact: By all measures, California’s schools rank near the bottom in terms of per pupil spending.

Myth: Raising taxes during a downturn is bad for the economy.

Fact: Prominent economists agree that spending cuts are more harmful to the economy than carefully targeted tax increases.

The full CBP report busts those and several more myths, all accompanied by charts that show very clearly what the truth is. It’s definitely worth a read.

Overall, it paints a very clear picture of what has happened to California’s budget. Hammered by the worst recession in 60 years, tax revenues suffered a catastrophic fall, worsening a situation in which the state already was keeping taxes artificially low. Since 2007, Sacramento has made the choice – and the CBP makes clear that it was indeed a choice – to enact austerity budgets characterized by unprecedented cuts that have shrunken state government to its smallest size (proportionally speaking) in 40 years. That comes despite the fact that the recession has increased demand for state services, and as the CBP shows, despite the fact that the most effective form of economic stimulus comes in the form of health and human services programs like food stamps.

These mythbusting facts are good things to keep on hand the next time you hear someone spout off about California’s “spending problem” or about some other aspect of the budget debate that cannot be supported by the evidence.

If It Was Good Enough For Reagan, Why Isn’t It Good Enough for Whitman and Poizner?

“It” refers to granting amnesty to undocumented immigrants. In 1986 Ronald Reagan signed a bill that included amnesty provisions, yet conservatives and Republicans still revere him. That 1986 bill did not destroy America or its economy, as we had at least two sustained periods of significant economic growth in this country afterward.

Despite the myriad other problems facing California, Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner have apparently decided that “illegal immigration” is the most important issue facing Californians. Both have written op-eds in today’s LA Times on the issue, and both try to outdo each other in opposing amnesty, blaming immigrants for California’s problems, and pledging a crackdown, even though none of this is either practical or necessary.

Meg Whitman:

As a Republican, I believe it’s important to both continue our rich tradition of protecting the rule of law while diligently reaching out to the millions of Latinos who share our values.

While I am a strong proponent of legal immigration, I am 100% opposed to granting amnesty to immigrants who entered the country illegally. It is the wrong policy for California, it is the wrong policy for America, and it is grossly unfair to those immigrants who have followed the law to obtain legal status….

Taken together, these steps would make a significant difference in reducing the burdens of illegal immigration without casting unneeded and discourteous aspersions on Latino American citizens and driving them away from the Republican Party.

I have been criticized for opposing Proposition 187, which was on the California ballot in 1994. It is true that I am opposed to cutting off public education and healthcare services to immigrant children. I do not believe that kids should be punished for the sins of their parents.

This is notable for a few reasons. First, it’s one of the first times Whitman actually acknowledges she’s a Republican, something she won’t do in her TV ads. Second, it shows she is calling Reagan’s own policy “wrong for America.”

Third, it is intended to show she is sensitive to concerns that she might alienate Latino voters with this stance. She mentions her opposition to Prop 187 not out of a desire to clear the air, but as a signal to Latino voters that she’s not Pete Wilson (just that he’s one of her key advisors).

She’s gambling that her 50-point lead over Poizner is enough cushion to try and ever so timidly reach out to Latinos. There’s no reason to believe Whitman is driven by anything other that political calculus here, and it doesn’t hide the fact that the Republican Party as a whole in this state remains deeply hostile to Latinos, does not see them as legitimate members of our society, and instead sees them as a scapegoat at best, villains at worst.

If any evidence of that is needed, just read Steve Poizner’s op-ed:

Above all, California has too many policies that reward illegal aliens and act like magnets, drawing them to and keeping them in our cities and communities. We have to change those policies.

Ten other states, including neighboring Arizona, have passed laws to cut taxpayer-funded benefits for illegal immigrants. We need such legislation too. In this time of fiscal crisis, we can’t afford to subsidize the presence of illegal aliens.

One taxpayer-funded benefit for illegal aliens that should be stopped is in-state tuition at our public colleges and universities. Today, California is one of just 10 states that allow illegal immigrants access to reduced college tuition at taxpayer expense.

In other words, Poizner actually does believe that we should punish children for their immigration status or that of their parents. He justifies this by claiming that such policies act as “magnets” for immigrants, which is total nonsense.

As Poizner almost certainly knows, immigration is driven largely by job opportunities in this state. Immigrants have been among the hardest hit Californians during this recession, especially those engaged in agricultural and construction work, industries with unemployment rates of 30%-40% depending on the location.

Poizner thinks the path to the Republican nomination lies through bashing Latinos and immigrants. Usually that might work, but with a 50 point deficit, I’m doubtful it will. Still, by once again scapegoating immigrants for economic problems caused by others (large corporations and banks), the Republican candidates are once again unleashing a monster of hate and intolerance. It’s unnecessary, and Californians will be able to render their judgement on these vicious campaign tactics in November, no matter who the Republican nominee turns out to be.

Why Don’t The Gubernatorial Candidates Support Marijuana Legalization?

This was a particularly depressing article from the Sacramento Bee:

All three leading guv hopefuls oppose legalizing weed for recreational use.

“I’ve already indicated that that’s not a provision I am likely to support,” Attorney General and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown told a gathering of law enforcement officials in Sacramento this week. “I have been on the side of law enforcement for a long time, and you can be sure that we will be together on this November ballot.”

GOP candidate Meg Whitman’s spokeswoman, Sarah Pompei, said Whitman is “absolutely against legalizing marijuana for any reason. … She believes we have enough challenges in our society without heading down the path of drug legalization.”

Steve Poizner’s communications director, Jarrod Agen, said Poizner “feels we need an across-the-board tax cut to reignite our state’s economy, not an attempt to smoke our way out of the budget deficit.”

These statements are damning evidence of just how disconnected from California public opinion these three candidates are – 56% of Californians support legalizing and taxing marijuana, according to the Field Poll from April 2009. Support for legal marijuana is an idea fully in the mainstream of the state’s electorate, especially in the tightly regulated forms proposed in the legalization initiative that qualified for the November ballot last week, or in Assemblymember Tom Ammiano’s AB 390.

It also suggests a certain lack of seriousness about exploring all reasonable options to deal with the state’s budget deficit. Jerry Brown is particularly disappointing on this, even if his stance isn’t at all surprising. Brown has gone around the state pointing out, correctly, that we spend too much money on prisons at the cost of other core services, such as schools. Brown also signed a bill in his first year as governor in 1975, sponsored by then-State Senator George Moscone, decriminalizing possession of small amounts of marijuana.

Unfortunately, in recent years Brown has been totally unwilling to revisit the sentencing policies that produce those high prison costs. He opposed Proposition 5 in 2008, which would have provided sensible sentencing reform and was widely supported by drug treatment professionals. That didn’t move Jerry Brown then and doesn’t appear to move him now.

Brown’s framing of his opposition to legalization – that he’s “on the side of law enforcement” – is both inaccurate and profoundly unhelpful. Groups such as Law Enforcement Professionals Against Prohibition (LEAP) are strongly supportive of legalization. Many local police agencies and county prosecutors would welcome the ability to shift their attention away from pot and toward actual threats to public safety, especially at a time when police budgets are under stress.

Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner are no less out of touch for their opposition, even if it is also unsurprising. Both Whitman and Poizner apparently believe they must hold the line against ANY new tax, in order to justify their reckless plans for massive new tax giveaways to their wealthy friends.

All three candidates are turning down what could be as much as $1.4 billion (according to the Board of Equalization study of AB 390) in desperately needed budget savings, coming from new taxes on marijuana.

In the absence of leadership from the gubernatorial candidates, Californians will have to lead the way themselves this November by voting to approve the legalization initiative.

Carly Fiorina: Global Warming Denier?

Most Californians accept the reality of global warming. They also understand that its effects are to be taken very, very seriously – from rising sea levels that threaten the SF Bay Area and the Port of LA-Long Beach to drought and firestorms to threats to the wine industry. Only a fool would say we have no reason to take quick and aggressive action on global warming to forestall and/or deal with these and other related impacts.

So does that make Carly Fiorina a fool? Or just a global warming denier? Check out what she told the Sacramento Bee:

Calling it an “unbelievable job killer,” GOP Senate candidate Carly Fiorina today urged the elimination of California’s landmark global warming law….

And she said the science involved in global warming should be subject to more scrutiny.

“I think we should have the courage always to examine the science,” she said.

Fiorina, caring not a whit about the thousands of jobs AB 32 has created in the green tech industry, has apparently declared herself a climate scientist. She’s offered no facts or analysis to support her claims that AB 32 kills jobs or that global warming science needs greater scrutiny.

More importantly, she’s proved that she cares nothing at all for the millions of people who either live in a place or depend on places that will be underwater if the Greenland Ice Sheet or one of the Antarctic Ice Sheets melts in the coming years and decades.

I guess all those people who live and work in those areas don’t count as much as the handful of folks who might possibly be impacted by AB 32. Not to Fiorina, who seems to believe that any change to the status quo is bad, even if that change is designed to avert catastrophe in the near future.