Tag Archives: Election2012

A Good Morning for California Democrats

Wins on 30/32 and legislative races. I’ll be on KALW Your Call radio to discuss the results of the election at 10AM.

by Brian Leubitz

Sen. Leland Yee may just deserve as much credit as anybody for the big tunrout yesterday, turnout that may have yielded some key Democratic victories. His bill to move forward with online registration saw nearly a million new voters into the system, and record turnout resulted. Over the past few years, it has become crystal clear that higher turnout is a good thing for progressive causes.

On the national front, obviously President Obama’s re-election and the victory for marriage equality in four states was huge. But, the results in California were not to be exceeded. Prop 32, the deceptive anti-labor Special Exemptions Act, was handily defeated and is now slightly below 44%. And in something of a surprise, Prop 30, additional revenue for schools, is on course for a relatively smooth passage. It is now sitting just below 54%.  You can get the full ballot measure results here.

In other measures, the loss on Prop 34, the death penalty measure is a big disappointment. However, without much of a campaign budget, the anti-death penalty measure exceeded 47%. This is a good sign for the future to be sure. Wins on Prop 36, 3 strikes reform, and Prop 39, closing the out-of-state tax loophole, were also big wins for progressives.

The more surprising news is that it looks like California Democrats will have 2/3 supermajorities in both houses of the Legislature next year. There are a few close contests remaining that look good enough now that Speaker Perez has claimed a 2/3 majority in the Assembly. And in the Senate, all of the close races, save Cathleen Galgiani’s race(SD-5), are leaning slightly towards Democrats. However, with 27 seats required for the 2/3 line, Republicans seem in danger of losing their relevance there too.

The big question is where the Dems go from here in what is rapidly becoming a one-party state.

Join me on KALW Your Call radio this morning at 10 to talk about the state (and national) races.

Your California November 2012 Propositions

Lengthy ballot contains several big questions

by Brian Leubitz

Monday, the SoS office released the ballot numbering. Now, typically being at the top of the ballot is better, but unless you are very close it doesn’t play a huge role in the outcome. Here are a few off the cuff explanations. Though many are opinion-based, these shouldn’t be construed as endorsements.

Proposition 30              Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. Initiative Constitutional Amendment. The Governor’s Tax Measure would bring in billions of dollars for education and public services.

Proposition 31              State Budget. State and Local Government. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute. Restricts the budgeting process to a “pay as you go” formula through an unnecessarily strict and inflexible process

Proposition 32              Prohibits Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Prohibitions on Contributions to Candidates. Initiative Statute. (I work for No on 32) Right-wing attempt to go after labor, yet again. We’ve said no twice already, we need to say NO, NO, NO!

Proposition 33              Changes Law to Allow Auto Insurance Companies to Set Prices Based on a Driver’s History of Insurance Coverage. Initiative Statute. Mercury Insurance measure to change loyalty discounts.

Proposition 34              Death Penalty Repeal. Initiative Statute Repeals death penalty.

Proposition 35              Human Trafficking. Penalties. Sex Offender Registration. Initiative Statute. Former AG candidate Chris Kelly helped to get this on the ballot, it would further strengthen laws against sex offenders.

Proposition 36              Three Strikes Law. Sentencing for Repeat Felony Offenders. Initiative Statute. Reforms wasteful 3 strikes sentencing measure.

Proposition 37              Genetically Engineered Foods. Mandatory Labeling. Initiative Statute. Would require labeling of GMOs.

Proposition 38              Tax for Education and Early Childhood Programs. Initiative Statute. Munger tax initiative dedicated to public education. Flat income tax boost.

Proposition 39              Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy and Energy Efficiency Funding. Initiative Statute. Changes a tax provision of a budget from a few years back. Would use revenue to fund clean energy projects.

Proposition 40              Redistricting. State Senate Districts. Referendum. GOP temper tantrum gone awry. Could invalidate the State Senate Maps.

Like the TEA Party? You’ll love the Special Exemptions Act!

Tea Party is all on board for the Special Exemptions Act

by Brian Leubitz (Note: I work for the Stop Special Exemptions Campaign. Cross-posted to DailyKos)

At first blush, some would think that the Special Exemptions Act would be a step in the right direction.  That it would somehow reform our broken campaign finance system.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

In fact, the Special Exemptions Act ends up making the system worse, and more biased against working Californians. It leaves open huge loopholes for Billionaires to spend in SuperPACs and Independent Expenditures(IEs), while stifling the voice of labor and working Californians. It’s an unbalanced and unfair measure that would just increase the power of the undisclosed and poorly regulated SuperPACs and IEs and their tea party allies in California.

How do we know the tea party loves the Special Exemptions Act? Well, how about the San Diego GOP’s very special invitation to a rally for the Act in San Diego a day after they plan how they can smash and burn Obamacare?

STOP SPECIAL INTEREST MONEY BRIEFING… Come learn about this CRITICAL statwide ballot measure in November to ban corporate and union contributions to state legislators to level the playing field and empower taxpayers. (SD GOP)

Except that the measure does nothing of the sort. Corporate money would simply move to IEs and SuperPACs. And that doesn’t even start the discussion of all the exemptions put into the measure to protect their friends. Are you formed as an LLC? You get an exemption! LLP? You get an exemption! Hedge Fund? You get an exemption! It’s almost like the authors of the Act consulted Oprah Winfrey on gift giving.

With the growing power of SuperPACs and IEs, it becomes increasingly easy for corporations to contribute in non-traditional ways that simply aren’t possible for regular Californians. A group of your friends aren’t likely to get together to donate $10 million to a candidate supporting SuperPAC as Sheldon Adelson did a few weeks ago. More locally, a contribution of $100,000 can turn a legislative race on its head. And in several races this year in California, Independent Expenditures spent far more than that.

The Special Exemptions Act does nothing about this so-called outside spending, just facilitates it through new and ever more anonymous routes.  And these SuperPACs and IEs are finding new ways to hide the true source of their money. Just last week, the New York Times reported how “non-profit” corporations are being used to hide corporate money.

Two years after the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision opened the door for corporate spending on elections, relatively little money has flowed from company treasuries into “super PACs,” which can accept unlimited contributions but must also disclose donors. Instead, there is growing evidence that large corporations are trying to influence campaigns by donating money to tax-exempt organizations that can spend millions of dollars without being subject to the disclosure requirements that apply to candidates, parties and PACs.

It probably won’t surprise you too much to learn that the Tea Party has some affinity for these “non-profit” organizations. In fact, Freedomworks, one of the biggest Tea Party funders, is just such a group. It is not required to disclose their donors, and yet they use this money to finance SuperPAC campaigns across the country. Nothing in the Special Exemptions Act does anything about even these disclosure issues, yet these groups stand to become more powerful under the Act.

The campaign behind the Special Exemptions Act likes to talk about how they are going to change California’s political finance scheme. Yet real reformers are opposing the measure. Don’t let your friends get fooled by their slick positioning, the Special Exemptions Act will take California and our campaign finance system in exactly the wrong direction. In the direction favored by the Tea Party and their supporters.

In other words, the Special Exemptions Act is wrong for California.

If you haven’t joined the campaign online yet, please take a moment to get connected now. We also need your help on social media to show the strong opposition to this cynical ploy. Please like the campaign on facebook or follow on twitter.  

A Crystal Ball to the Post-Special Exemptions Act Future in California

The Special Exemptions Act would make it even easier for Super PACs to buy our elections.

by Brian Leubitz (Note: I work for the Stop Special Exemptions Campaign. Cross-posted to DailyKos)

In 1980, Ronald Reagan spent $29.2mil to win the presidency. The incumbent, Jimmy Carter, spent $29.4mil to lose it.

In 2012, with the nominating convention still two months away, Sheldon Adelson, a casino magnate with ambiguous goals has committed, so far, over $35mil to ensure that his voice is millions of times larger than any single everyday voter. Just a few days ago, Adelson committed another $10mil at the Koch Brothers luxury convention. No matter how committed the volunteer, no matter how many phone calls they make, no matter how many doors they knock, no single volunteer will ever approach the impact that Sheldon Adelson will have simply by writing a check.

And, with a net worth somewhere in the $25 billion range, it is chump change to Adelson. For comparison’s sake, it’s like you giving a political candidate a hundred dollars. Maybe he’ll notice a small dip in his bank account, but it won’t affect him. And so, the Super PAC Billionaires get to exert massive influence on our elections.

And yet here in California, the Special Exemptions Act would grant these same Super PAC Billionaires a big ol’ pat on the back. The measure crafts out exemptions for some of the biggest businesses and campaign spenders. The measure purports to be an even-handed reform, but instead it protects one side from any change of their big spending ways.

This measure is just far too risky for California. Who knows what kind of disastrous results it could bring? Resurgent anti-environmentalists with corporate polluter money? Anti-public education with for-profit education money? In the end, the Special Exemptions Act would give them a huge leg up in elections, and in the Legislature. You don’t need a crystal ball to see that their real agenda goes far beyond November.

California doesn’t need to protect the Super PAC Billionaires. People like Sheldon Adelson are doing quite alright on their own.  If you haven’t joined the campaign on social media, please take a moment to get connected now: join the campaign today. You can also like the campaign on facebook or follow on twitter.

The Special Exemptions Act – Like Miracle Grow for Spiraling Campaign Cash

Initiative would do nothing about SuperPAC insanity.

by Brian Leubitz (Note: I work for the Stop Special Exemptions Campaign. Cross-posted to DailyKos)

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’ve seen the outrageous levels of spending on campaigns this cycle. What’s more, the SuperPac Billionaires are apparently willing to go to unprecedented lengths to get their cronies elected.

It doesn’t take much to realize just what Citizens United and the associated fallout has meant for our elections. Individual Billionaires are giving unprecedented sums to SuperPACs to get their way. Sheldon Adelson, a gambling magnate, is just one example, but his $10mil to a Romney SuperPAC means that his voice will be far larger than any of us can afford. In other words, our elections are now a free for all for those that can afford to spend millions on a campaign. And much of it is done through “non-profits” that don’t even disclose their donors.

The Special Exemptions Act will only make this worse here in California. It will act like miracle grow for the outrageous growth of campaign spending. Rather than being a balanced approach to campaign finance reform, it leaves loopholes for the SuperPAC Billionaires to drive their armored trucks through. Here are just a few of my favorite Special Exemptions:  Sole proprietorships, Real Estate Investment Trusts, LLCs, and  LLPs. And there are many more, just waiting for “investment.”

All this means that the voice of the wealthy would be even more disproportionate to everyday Californians. The Special Exemptions Act tries to pretend that it is Roundup for our campaigns, but in reality, it’s just Miracle Grow for the out of control campaign spending. That’s the last thing we need.

If you would like more information about the Special Exemptions Act, you can join the campaign today. You can also like the campaign on facebook or follow on twitter.

Brown Signs Bills to Move Ballot Measures to Novembers & Online Voter Reg

Measure would put signature initiatives on November elections

by Brian Leubitz

First, let’s say one thing, SB 202 is not a simple stroke of genius that makes initiatives all of a sudden a great system. But, it is a fair reform that lets the full electorate vote on important measures.

In short, SB 202 moves all future (so doesn’t apply to measures already qualified for the ballot) initiatives placed on the ballot through signatures to general elections.  In other words, gubernatorial and presidential elections.

Of course, the Right is pretty livid about this, as this June was going to be their dream election to put a bunch of right-wing crap on the ballot. With low turnout on the Democratic side, we would basically have the electorate of Arizona or something.

You can read Governor Brown’s signing message for SB 202 here or below the fold.  He refers to a rainy day fund measure that will be on the ballot that is moved by SB 202, in the context of wanting to avoid putting additional money into a bank account when we are broke.  (Makes sense, huh?)

In other news, the Governor also approved finally allowing people to register to vote online. Which, if you think about it makes perfect sense. So, apparently Jerry has some of that common sense thing. Hooray!

SB 202 Signing Message

An Overdue Initiative Reform: General Elections Only

Reform would force Secretary of State to hew to state Constitutional requirements

California Constitution, Art. II, Sec 8(c)

(c) The Secretary of State shall then submit the measure at the  next general election held at least 131 days after it qualifies or at any special statewide election held prior to that general election.  The Governor may call a special statewide election for the measure.

That would be the founding document of our state government, with a requirement that initiatives gathering sufficient signatures to qualify for the ballot be placed on the next general election.  However, over the years, as the Legislature has put measure after measure on primary ballots for expediency, or whatever reason, and the various secretaries of state over the past 40 years just put the signature-based initiatives on the primary ballot. Ho-Hum.

Except that really isn’t what the Constitution states, and there is a good reason for that.  Primary elections have wildly shifting electorates, in good ways and bad.  Of course, the June primary this year is just one such example.  The Republican base is going to be motivated, or at least somewhat motivated, while Democrats don’t have a presidential primary, as of yet, to get excited.

And, as you may know, “paycheck deception” is now headed to the ballot.  And given that they have now pulled the measure off the streets, it seems likely that they have the signatures.  Paycheck deceptions not only threatens the power of labor, but also of the Democratic party.  So, you know, the Legislature is getting some pleas from labor to help pull the initiative system back to 1971:

Democratic legislators are considering an 11th hour bill that would shift all initiative ballot measures to the November ballot — a move that, if enacted, would help their union allies stave off some measures they oppose.(SacBee)

Thing is, we probably never should have strayed from the Constitution, and now that we’ve let it go for this long, we look very kind of strange making the big change now.  But, the Constitution is the Constitution, and getting the SoS to act like Art. II exists seems like a reasonable goal no matter how the winds of a particular election are blowing at our backs or into our face.

UPDATE: CalBuzz ran a story with a bunch of background on the legal definitions.