Tag Archives: Prop 92

The State Budget Dominates the Props

As Brian noted below, the propositions are pretty much a done deal. 92 lost (though by a much closer margin than earlier in the night, suggesting Obama supporters went for 92), as did 93. The Indian gaming compacts all won by healthy margins.

The common factor that explains all six outcomes is the state budget deficit. It now looms over state politics like nothing else. Sure, there were reasons specific to each measure that influenced the outcome, but looked at as a whole, voters appear to have seen these ballot measures through the lens of the state’s dire fiscal situation.

Prop 92, which was seen by some as squeezing the budget to help community colleges, failed. Props 94-97, which the barrage of ads claimed (questionably) would raise $4 billion for the state, passed. And Prop 93, which would have reformed term limits and given current legislators more time in office, failed – voters seem to have held them responsible for the budget crisis.

The lesson here is that it is long past time for state legislators to help craft a permanent budget solution. A 30-year succession of one-time and short-term fixes haven’t gotten us any closer to a stable budget, or to fixing the structural revenue shortage. As a result, community colleges are now facing budget cuts without any protections, four of the state’s largest casinos now can operate without strong unionization rules, and 120 legislators are looking at an early end to their terms in office.

Add to that toll the Núñez-Schwarzenegger health care plan (which I opposed, but was still primarily a victim of the budget crisis) and the possibility of future programs getting axed, like the high speed rail bonds on the November ballot, and it should now be clear that the state budget crisis isn’t just a fiscal problem but a major political obstacle.

Term limit reform will be back. We likely haven’t seen the last battle over Indian gaming and labor rights. Public education at all levels is still hurting and growing less accessible. The health care crisis continues, and we badly need 21st century, sustainable transportation solutions. But until the state budget crisis gets a permanent solution, it’s going to be very difficult to move forward on any of that.

That is where our focus must now turn.

Other Random Thoughts

I’m about to head out to some polling places to see how the turnout is, and generally poke around. But, there are some issues that I wanted to raise:

  • Prop 92: How is this going to turn out. There isn’t any public polling about it at all. I’ve heard whispers that the polling is pretty bad. I’m very concerned that this could have devastating consequences for education funding on the ballot if Prop 92 go down in flames. Other funders of initiatives would be wary if it’s not at least somewhat close. Feel free to disagree with me on this one.
  • Robert at LeftInSF has a great post about the LGBT community and Obama.
  • Todd Beeton is voting for Hillary.
  • Just got back from my poll checking, and you know what, I’m not sure if it’s really a very representative sample. Scratch that, it is NOT a very representative sample. I asked the pollworkers if they’ve had many DTS voters. They said no. Then I checked the voter role and found out why: the precincts that I checked were about 90% Democratic, maybe 1% Republican, a few American Independent Party (people, that’s a frickin’ Biblical Law Party, not independent!), and the rest DTS.  The DTS issue just isn’t all that relevant here with such high Democratic registration.
  • The SF Bay Guardian Endorsements: Obama, Yes on 92, 93, No on 94-97

    The San Francisco Bay Guardian has long been considered the voice of progressives in the Bay Area. Publisher Bruce Brugmann has been working to give progressives a voice for a long, long time. (He even supplies the world with transcripts of Sup. Tom Ammiano’s joke of the day voicemail message.) That the “Weekly” papers have now been brought under a larger corporate banner and have moved considerably to the center, their publication has become one of the most important reads for progressives in the state, if not the most important. (Save Calitics of course. 😉 )

    With that, I bring you the Bay Guardian’s endorsements. As a good non-partisan paper they made endorsements in all three primaries by endorsing Obama, Ron Paul, and Cynthia McKinney.  On California Propositions, they said yes on 92 & 93, and No on 91, and 94-97.  As for the SF props, Yes on A&B, No on C.

    See the flip for more discussion of the SFBG endorsements.

    President: Obama, Paul, and McKinney

    The SFBG readily acknowledges that Paul and McKinney will not win, and for Paul, that is a good thing. They take fault with his libretarian, anti-tax, “anti-gummint” (jsw’s phrase) stances. However, they point to the importance of having a Republican that is anti-war on the ballot as a point of contrast.  As for the Dem race, well, it reads kinda like the Calitics endorsement. We loved Edwards, but it was not to be. The same for the BG. On Clinton, here’s the money quote:

    We are convinced that deep down she has liberal instincts. But that’s what’s so infuriating: since the day she won election to the US Senate, Clinton has been triangulating, shaping her positions, especially on foreign policy, in an effort to put her close to the political center. At a time when she could have shown real courage – during the early votes on funding and authorizing the invasion of Iraq – she took the easy way out, siding with President Bush and refusing to be counted with the antiwar movement. She has refused to distance herself from such terrible Bill Clinton-era policies as welfare reform, the North American Free Trade Agreement, and don’t ask, don’t tell. We just can’t see her as the progressive choice.

    Prop 91: No

    While we merely stated that Prop 91 had no campaign, the good folks at the Bay Guardian were absolutely correct in pointing out the underlying reasons for not supporting any such measures to restrict gas taxes to roads:

    Driving a car is expensive for society, and drivers ought to be paying some of those costs. That should mean extra gas taxes and a reinstatement of the vehicle license fee to previous levels (and extra surcharges for those who drive Hummers and other especially wasteful, dangerous vehicles). That money ought to go to the state General Fund so California doesn’t have to close state parks and slash spending on schools and social services, as Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger is proposing.

    Prop 92: Yes

    Different place, same story as the Calitics endorsement:

    Some teachers fear that Prop. 92 could lead to decreased funds for K-12, and that’s a real concern. … But many of the same concerns were voiced when Prop. 98 was on the ballot, and that measure probably saved public education in California. The progressives on the San Francisco Board of Education all support Prop. 92, and so do we. Vote yes.

    Prop 93: Yes  (Brian’s Disclosure)

    The Bay Guardian diverged in only one place from the Calitics endorsement, and this was it. They, like Mal Burnstein, oppose term limits in general, especially the “Mark Leno versus Carole Migden bloodbath.”

    But it’s sad that the California State Legislature, once a model for the nation, has been so stymied by corruption that the voters don’t trust it and the best we can hope for is a modest improvement in a bad law. Vote yes.

    Props. 94-97: No

    The Calitics Editorial Board view on these is about the same as the Bay Guardians. Not enough money to the state, not enough labor protection, and too much to too few:

    The governor cut this deal too fast and gave away too much. If the tribes want to expand their casinos, we’re open to allowing it – but the state, the workers, and the other tribes deserve a bigger share of the revenue. Vote no on 94-97.

    The Calitics Editorial Board February 5, 2008 Endorsements

    First, I want to make sure that everybody is clear that these endorsements come from the Calitics Editorial Board, not the community as a whole. The Calitics Editorial Board consists of Brian Leubitzjsw, Julia Rosen, David Dayen, Lucas O'ConnorRobert in Monterey. We would have liked to endorse as a community, but there are tremendous problems with ballot stuffing that this software just can't deal with. That being said, all are welcome to agree, disagree, flame us, whatever, in the comments. I'll give you our endorsements here, and then briefly discuss them over the flip.  An endorsement required 4 of the 6 votes. Furthermore, this post should not be considered of anybody specifically. Rather, it is the voice of the Editorial Board as a whole. So, without further adieu, here they are:

    President: Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)

    Proposition 91, Transportation Funding: No

    Proposition 92, Community Colleges: Yes

    Proposition 93, Term Limits Reform: Neutral/No Recommendation

    Propositions 94-97, Native American Gambling Referenda: No 

    Flip it for more.

    President: Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)

    It was one of those fantastic things this year, we had a multitude of great candidates. You had a real progressive lion in the form of Chris Dodd who stood proudly for the values of the Constitution. You had Joe Biden who presents a coherent place for America in the new global environment. Kucinich, Richardson, Clinton, Gravel also brought much to the table. And, of course Sen. John Edwards was a very attractive candidate. For many of us, it seemed a tough course to reject Sen. Edwards; his message is so powerful. He is willing to stand tall against corporations and the anti-populists of the country.

    However, when it comes to today, and given the current standing of the race, Sen. Obama is our choice. His vision of hope has brought countless young and otherwise new voters to the world of politics. In California, where 15-20% of the state makes decisions for the entire state, that is a particularly strong argument. And while some would say that he lacks experience, we ask them to look back over his political career in Illinois and DC. It is genuinely trying to find someone that really knows the man and will speak ill of him. He is an effective messenger for so many progressive causes.

    Some also say that he hasn't spoken of specifics enough; we suggest they look to BarackObama.com and review his positions. They are specific enough for us to oppose him on several issues: “clean” coal, marriage equality, and healthcare, just to name a few. He's not perfect. He's not offering Medicare for all, like every other non-Kucinich candidate, and he is unable to leap tall buildings in a single bound, either.  But, he is a tremendous pioneer and agent of progressive change that can get elected this year. And that's a great step forward.

    Prop. 91, Transportation Funding: No

    This issue was dealt with in Prop 1A in Nov. 2006, but was not removed from the ballot. It has no supporters, and there is no reason to vote for it.

    Prop. 92, Community Colleges: Yes

    This is a really tough issue for many of us. Ballot box budgeting is a bad concept in general, but occasionally, it's a good thing. While, it doesn't makes budgeting any easier, there are reasons to vote yes sometimes.

    Rules such as the 2/3 requirement to pass a new tax mean that the legislature rarely takes action on big matters and we can't move forward on new programs. That's not a knock of any specific legislator, it's a flaw in our system. And, as we've said before, our entire system needs reform. But, today, we must deal with the world as it is. And in this world, our community colleges are flailing, struggling from consistent underfunding. How are we to be a state of innovation if we have no innovators? How can we succeed if the labor pool can't progress beyond high school due to the prohibitive costs associated with college?

    We are aware of the opposing talking points that the tuition fees are only a small part of costs associated with college, but the facts show that when fees jumped from $11 to $26/hour, 300,000 students left California's community colleges. Fees matter. So, we support Prop. 92.

    Prop 93, Term limits reform: Neutral/No Position (Brian's Disclosure

    Prop 93 changes how term limits work, from 6 years in the Assembly and 8 years in the Senate, to 12 years total in either House. We split on this measure, so we remain neutral.

    Props 94-97, Native American Gambling Referenda: No

    A No vote on these referenda would overturn the compacts. These compacts do not make any guarantees of revenues to the state, although they toss around huge numbers in their ads, $9 B is the normal number. This number is through 2030, the life of the compact, and the Legislative Analyst's Office estimates that on an annual basis, the income will be no more than $200M for the next few years, ranging up to the mid-hundreds of millions at their height.  That is between 0.2% and say, 0.5% or 0.6% of the annual general fund income, which is currently $100B.  Furthermore, if non-gaming tribes do not receive enough revenue, as dictated by the compacts, the state has to dip into its portion of revenues.

    Furthermore, there is the issue of the unions. The tribes are not subject to NLRB standards, and these compacts make no assurances that the workers of this casino will have fair opportunity to organize.

    A lot of money will be spent on this, and a lot of communities will be ripped apart. Even if one were to disregard Marc Cooper's story about the troubling incidents in the Pechanga tribe, the issues remain in favor of a No vote.

    California Young Democrats- the face of Prop 92

    (CYD is one of the larges Dem. organizations and regularly works in the trenches for progressive change. – promoted by Brian Leubitz)

    I am the VP of Membership for the California Young Democrats

    This weekend in Anaheim, CYD President Tim Steed addressed the California Democratic Executive Board delegation in Anaheim and was the strongest voice addressing the general session in support of Proposition 92 – the Community College Initiative (on the February 5th ballot), taking a public stand for young people in California.

    Last week at our biennial Lake Tahoe retreat and Executive Board meeting the California Young Democrats overwhelmingly endorsed Proposition 92. This initiative is the most progressive expansion of public education in a generation and the first chance our state has had to roll back the regressive and unjust fee hikes of the last several years.

    In his address to the CDP board in Anaheim, President Steed said, “I come from a family where four of us got our start in the community college system. It was our gateway to the American Dream, we must do all we can to ensure millions of other Young Californians have the same access to the American Dream as me and my family had”.

    ( join us on the flip side…..)

    CYD had a strong presence at every caucus meeting, bringing the message of college students and community college graduates (yours truly included) to the CDP.

    During the Resolutions Committee Meeting; Andrew Acosta, the campaign manager for the Yes on 92 campaign in his address to the committee identified Christopher McDonald, the California College Democrats Political Director as, “the face of Proposition 92”.
    Chris (the face) is a student at Sierra College outside of Sacramento and hopes to transfer to a UC next year. “Proposition 92 will end the rollercoaster ride of college tuition in our community college system and create stability for the 2.5 million students who attend annually.” said McDonald.

    The California Young Democrats are working to ensure that young people are heard on this important issue.

    CALL TO ACTION–go to www.Prop92Yes.com and personally endorse the initiative, write a letter to the editor or plan a voter registration drive in support of Prop. 92.

    CYD will fight hard against all tuition increases, especially when UC Regents and CSU trustees are so out of touch with reality…UC chancellors’ pay could increase up to 17% in 2008 (11/10/07 By Eleanor Yang Su, San Diego Union-Tribune) “UC’s proposal comes on the heels of California State University’s decision in September to raise campus presidents’ salaries by an average of 12 percent.”

    CYD, the largest caucus in the California Democratic Party- needs your support for a sustainable future. Go here to donate today!

    E-board members: Yes on Prop 92!

    CTA is out in force trying to prevent the CDP from endorsing Prop 92, just as they did with the Clean Money proposition last year. The reason they’re against it is that most community college faculty are AFT members rather than CTA. The California Labor Association is in favor of Prop 92.

    If you’re an eboard member, please join me this Sunday in voting to endorse Prop 92. A letter from Senator Jack Scott follows.

    Dear Fellow Democrat:

    According to a statewide survey recently released by the Public Policy Institute of California, over 70 percent of Californians say that the state’s economy will need a higher percentage of college-educated workers in 20 years.  In addition, over 75 percent say the state’s college system is “very important” to California’s future.

    Unfortunately, a strong majority (65 percent) also say that many residents who are qualified don’t have the opportunity to attend college.  Two-thirds of adults think that the cost of college prevents qualified, motivated students from pursuing higher education.

    This survey reinforces the need for Proposition 92 – the Community College Initiative set for the February 2008 ballot.

    I’m supporting Proposition 92 because it does four simple things:

      * It lowers fees to $15 per unit – ensuring that community colleges are affordable.  In 2004, when fees were hiked, 305,000 fewer students enrolled at California’s community colleges.
      * It also limits the rise in future fees to the cost of living.
      * It provides stable funding for California community colleges.
      * It guarantees that the community college system is independent from state politics.

    As the former President of Pasadena City College, I know how important it is to ensure that the California Community College system continues to offer affordable academic and vocational education for both recent high school graduates and Californians returning to school.

    Passing Proposition 92 will mean that even more Californians will have a chance to attend college.  In addition, it will allow California’s community colleges to continue to fulfill their mission of providing an affordable, quality education.

    I hope you will join me in supporting Proposition 92 – the Community College Initiative.  You can contact the campaign for more information at (916) 444-8897 or by visiting www.Prop92Yes.com.

    Sincerely,
    Senator Jack Scott

    P.S. The California State Labor Federation recently endorsed Proposition 92.