Tag Archives: Prop 87

Prop 87 Proponent Says NO PROP 10!

Another No on Prop 10 Website, this time from the Prop 87 Proponent, Anthony Rubenstein.  In 2006, Prop 87, a royalty tax on the oil companies, was really the most contentious item on the ballot because Arnold had pretty much pulled away from the pack.  With the support of big-time enviros like Al Gore and a ton of money, it was kind of close for a while. But then Chevron threw down and that was that.  This time, Rubenstein says of Prop 10 in an email:

Prop10 is being funded by Texas oil billionaire T. Boone Pickens and Oklahoma natural gas tycoon Aubrey McClendon who have been spending millions on TV ads pushing their national so-called “Pickens Plan” for U.S. Energy Independence. The reason these out-of-state guys operating in California’s initiative process is, in my opinion, because they can use their wealth to a fund a ballot initiative campaign in order to avoid going through the California Legislature where this measures would never have stood a chance.

For example, in contrast to presently on-going California alternative fuel subsidy programs, Prop 10 requires no accountability in terms of measuring tailpipe emissions reductions, petroleum usage reductions, and doesn’t even require that taxpayer subsidized natural gas powered trucks and cars even stay in California.  Meanwhile Prop 10’s commercials tout support for hybrid vehicles, while the only hybrid on the road that actually qualifies for funding from Prop 10 is the Toyota Prius, which arguably doesn’t need any subsidy because it’s on back-order.

All of prop 10’s dubious programming will be funded by making the State borrow $5 billion which when paid pack with interest will cost California taxpayers around $10 billion paid over 30 years at a cost of $330-plus million per year. This at a time when our state is in the midst of a budget crisis caused by a $15 billion deficit. Think about Prop 10 this way: would you ever buy yourself a car on a 30 year mortgage?  Not with your own money, you wouldn’t.  And neither would Prop 10’s backers, Pickens & McClendon – that’s why they’re trying to spend yours.

The Consumer Federation of California has a No on 10 website here.  While the Calitics Editorial Board is currently making decisions on the propositions, I can say for myself that I sincerely hope that Prop 10 is defeated.  Soundly.  It is an effort to wrap a gift to T Boone in a green pashmina.

Results!

I told you I’d be back bright and early! Well, all in all, a pretty good night.  So, let’s get to some results:

  • Yes, Arnold won.  But the only thing he proved is that the Democratic vision for this state is alive and well.  By co-opting our platform, Arnold showed that the Republican vision for this state is just not one that we are prepared to deal with.
  • CA-11: Jerry won!  Ding-dong the environmental witch is dead. Congratulations, this was really a victory for the netroots, a victory for ethics, and a victory for the environment.
  • Arnold’s coattails were non-existent, well, unless you can add Poizner’s $15million of his own money to those tails. The GOP took only the two statewide races, Gov and InsComm, and they were resoundigly defeated elsewhere.
    • CA-LtG: McClintock’s name ID wasn’t sufficient to propel him over the top and John Garamendi will be our next lite gov.  I know this position is essentially powerless, but would you really want McClintock to have gubenatorial powers when Arnold leaves the state?  Or to give him any further platform? Me neither.
    • CA-SoS: Woohoo! Debra Bowen won!!! Finally, somebody will address the issues of electoral integrity from the SoS office. Bowen will be a phenomenal SoS.  You’ve done a good job, California.
    • CA-Controller: All that money that Intuit and the Indian gaming interests dumped into IEs for Strickland were completely unsuccessful.  Chiang won this one going away.  Again, he’ll do a great job.
    • The less competitive races: As expected Jerry Brown defeated Pooch and Lockyer defeated the repo’d man. Both were far better than their scary competition.
    • CA-InsComm: Well, Poizner was right, we cruzed, we losed.  Next time, we’ll get some better candidates.  However, in the interim, Poizner is now primed to run for governor, the position he wanted anyway.  It’s time to start branding him the way we want.

  • DiFi won.  Oh look, we have our “independent” senator back. We missed our shot to push her back to the left by running a primary challenger, but I think we learned a lesson from CA-36, where Marcy Winograd forced Jane Harman to pay attention to her consitituents. Perhaps that’s a lesson that some other Congress people should pay attention to
  • Right now it looks like Lynn Daucher(R) won by 13 votes in SD-34.  Yes, thirteen. Currently the tally stands at 38,666 for Correa and 38,679 for Daucher.  There will be a recount for sure and a thorough counting of all ballots and a check for provisionals.  There was a lot of dirtiness in the OC’s elections, so this one is far from over.
  • Props: Well paint me stupid.  I thought that some of the bonds would go down, but it looks like they all came through easily.  Hmm, well, I was wrong. It happens sometimes when you go out on a limb, but Arnold and the DemGang went all out in the last two weeks and that seems to have worked.  However, Props 85 and 90 were both defeated.  Yay! Maybe they will stop trying to put that stupid parental notification on the ballot again and again.  But I doubt it. This time it was beaten more soundly receiving only 45.9%,as compared to 47.2 last year. 

    We barely squeaked by on Prop 90.  Whew!! That was way too close for comfort at 47.4% Yes. We’ll need to address paid signature gathering soon.  I’m really sick of the Howie Rich’s of the world coming here and trying to mess with our system.

    Props 86-89 all failed.  The forces against them, Big Tobacco, Big Oil, the monied special interests and well I don’t know about 88, but they just got wiped out by the TV ads.  They obfusicate the issue and hope people will just vote no.  It worked this time.  Next time we’re going to work just as hard.  Particularly, Clean Money and the Alternative Energy/Oil Tax were good ideas. You haven’t heard the last of them.

  • Ok, I’ll be back soon; I need to take a nap.

    Odds and Ends

    The Clock is ticking, there’s tons of stuff going on, and I’m sick. Yuck.  But what can you do?  So, teasers: POLLS  on the props, Clinton across California, Charlie Brown stands up to Doolittle, Arnold Schwarzenegger has taken lots of special interest money, and The OC GOP is F’d, seriously, f’d up.

    And more…see the extended.

  • Debra Bowen has some new radio ads
  • The Clinton campaign chronicles
    • The SF Chronicle notes that Bill’s support is incredibly valuable to the Prop 87 campaign.
    • SNTP has pics of Bill Clinton’s GOTV rally in Stockton.
    • The Stockton Record said over 1,000 people waited in the rain to see the Big Dog.
  • BlackBoxVoting has uncovered a way to vote multiple times. Oh yeah, these machines are in use in California, and McPherson doesn’t think the voting machines are a problem. Sure, Bruce, sure.
  • Arnold has now raised over $113 million.   Wow, for somebody who can’t be bought, the special interests have sure put a big down payment on purchasing Arnold.
  • Field Poll (PDF)   released their data on Props 85, 86, 87, and 90: 3.5% MoE
    • Prop 85 is slightly ahead, but within the MoE: 46% Yes, 43% No,  11% undecided
    • Prop 86 is tied: 45% Yes, 45% No, 10% Undecided
    • Prop 87 is slightly behind: 40% Yes, 44% No, 16% Undecided
    • Prop 90 is slightly behind: 35% Yes, 42% No, 23% undecided.
    • Hopefully some of those undecideds on 90 will be swayed by Arnold’s rejection of Prop 90.
  • Also, the new Datamar poll (PDF) is out.  Again, take this one with a BIG grain of salt. Heck, they insist repeatedly that the DiFi race is closer than the governor’s race.  Sorry, but something is wrong with your LV model. Seriously wrong
    • Gov: Arnold leads Phil 53-36
    • Senator: DiFi leads Dick “Pray for Me” Mountjoy 53-38
    • Bonds:
      • 1A (I know not a bond, but a bad budgeting amendment) leads 57-27
      • 1B(Transportation) and 1E (Disaster Preparedness) are comfortably ahead, 1C (Housing) and 1D (Schools) are struggling.
    • Other Props:
      • 83 (Jessica’s Law), 84(Parks and Water Bonds) comfortably ahead, 88 (Parcel tax), 89 (Clean Money) are behind
      • 85 (Parental Notification), 86 (Health Care), 87 (Alternative energy) are too close to call
      • Prop 90 has a small lead, down a lot form Datamar’s last poll. (46 Yes – 41 No)  Still folks, this one is still too close.  However, this is likely before Arnold’s rejection of Prop 90.
  • The Clean Money Election Folks are having a bus tour around the state.  This is a real opportunity, no matter what the crazy Datamar poll says. Clean Money will increase the strength of people-powered politicians.  In the new system, rich people won’t have more power than anybody else.  Clean money works (see Arizona and Maine). Schedule here.
  • CA-04: Brown said that the war was wrong in 2004 , and somehow that’s attack on the troops? Direct quote from a Doolittle commercial: “When troops are under fire, there is no difference between supporting the troops and supporting their mission.” Really, so people at home should never question our leaders when they go to war?  Sure, Doolittle sends his proxy to do that.  You see, Doolittle can’t really attack a 26-year veteran, as he didn’t serve at all.  The notion that Brown is somehow unpatriotic for questioning our leaders is preposterous.  Real patriotism is using our democracy to find the best policy.  We need to protect our troops from leaders like Cheney and Doolittle who avoided service yet criticize others who have served.
  • The Hoover poll (via CA Majority Report) shows all Dems ahead, except Phil and Cruz.  However, there are some super scary numbers in there about the props. 90 appears to be far ahead, but the question on these polls becomes really important, and I’m not convinced of any of these numbers.  I really don’t think anybody has an idea of where the props are.
  • How very GOP of Mike Carona: He’s demoting his primary challenger, Bill Hunt, for criticizing him during the election and talking to the media.  Oh, and Carona also demoted two other deputies that supported Hunt. So, that’s not protected speech how?
  • The OC GOP doesn’t like Arabs…or Cynthia McKinney. (LAT)
  • Odds and Ends 10/24

    Exactly 2 weeks left.  The CA-LtG debate was yesterday, and you can view it at CBS5.com here. Unlike the controller debate, this is well…dirty.  McClintock goes on the attack on his Executive Life Hooey and then scares us all:

    McClintock, who has served in the Legislature for 20 years, said the state would benefit from a look back to the 1950s when roads were less crowded, water was so plentiful many cities didn’t meter it, and public schools were the best in the country. He called for the lieutenant governor’s office to be “an idea factory” that would help make government more efficient. (SF Chron 10/24)

    Yikes, but I’m pretty sure I don’t want his kind of ideas (no minimum wage, no choice, no equality, and well…no government).  The best part is McClintock thinking that somehow the fifties are going to come back.  He complains that people are leaving the state, and then complains that the roads are too crowded and we have too little water.  Well, Tom, you can’t have it both ways. Growth means crowded freeways or paying for new ones.  Which are you planning to support? Well, you aren’t supporting the bonds, so I’m thinking that you’ll have to stick with crowded freeways.  No Tom, we really don’t need your backwards ideas.

    Let’s move. Teasers: GOP freaking out, Prop 87 as a rallying point, Prop 90 is getting too little attention, The Gav, and The Levees

    I’ve changed the link types to make them open in new windows.  If that bothers anybody let me know.

    • The NRCC is worried…very worried about CA-11. The NRCC has spent over $600,000 compared to the people helping McNerney at $80K.  What does all that money go to? Well, push polls and dirty mailers of course?  The Pombo campaign is getting desperate, and getting dirty.  With only 2 weeks, expect Pombo to get more desperate and more dirty.
    • Oh yeah, the NRCC is pouring money into CA-04 too. So far, over $150K, plus a bunch more from the GOP cronies of John Doolittle in the House.  Maybe he should quit taking 15% of his campaign funds (through Julie Doolittle).
    • Prop 87 could be the big energizer we need. With all the star power coming into the state (Gore, Bill Clinton) to campaign for Prop 87, and a popular enemy in Big Oil, Prop 87 makes for a good rallying cry.  So, go vote for Prop 87 and tell your friends! Global Warming Bad, Big Oil Bad, Prop 87 Good!
    • Dan Weintraub hits the nail on the head when he says that Prop 90, “is a constitutional amendment that could change the face of California government forever. It deserves far more attention than it has received to date.
    • For a guy who isn’t running for re-election, Gavin Newsom is sure acting like a candidate.
    • The levees are in danger.  They need to be fixed.  Now. Do we need to have Sacramento under 10 feet of water before we do something?

    More Odds and Ends from around California 10/23

    Wowsers, lots of stuff…

  • Al Gore’s appearance in Berkeley was very energized.  That man still has a lot of motivation to work for issues that are important to him.  And, all of a sudden, he’s an impassioned speaker.  Berkeley Bubble has it covered.
  • Charlie Cook’s National Journal Campaign Race Rankings have bumped CA-11 and CA-04 up the charts.  CA-04 (Charlie Brown vs.  John Doolittle) has moved up to #46 from #41. CA-11 (Jerry McNerney vs. Richard Pombo) has moved up to #34 from #37.  Neither race has received anything in the way of support from DCCC, but this is the year that we need to take these two crooks out.
  • Speaking of Doolittle, juls notes on dkos that he’s pulling out all the negative tricks in his arsenal now.  His latest? Calling people at all hours with a robocall that leads in with “Let me tell you more about Charlie Brown.” Dirty and desperate…that’s our 15% Doolittle!
  • More from CA-11 and CA-04: The USA Today, which I think has the highest circulation (I could be wrong), has a story about Doolittle and Pombo’s connections to Jack Abramoff.  Wow, more national attention for our dirty duo.  You know, corruption never loves the light.  Let’s get the flood lights on these 2 crooks.
  • More from CA-11: McNerney is challenging a Pombo ad.  Apparently Pombo didn’t feel that it was really that important that he follow the rules.  He didn’t properly “I approve this message” on the end of the ad.  Bad crooked Congressman, bad!
  • In other races, The Rogue on dkos points out David Roth’s (CA-45) latest achievement of getting on the DCCC’s emerging races list.  You know that list is to me? Rahm’s list of races that he will take credit for if they win, and he will blow off if they lose.  But, Roth is a hard charger and would  be a great Congressman.
  •  

    Tom Friedman: Endorse 87 Arnold!

    The Prop 87 Folks are spreading around a petition that hooks up with an editorial by Tom Friedman in Friday’s New York Times, that begs Arnold Schwarzenegger to endorse Prop 87:

    With one move, Governor Schwarzenegger could make California America’s hub for developing “green” clean-power technologies — which are going to be the growth industry of the 21st century — and do something that President Bush has only paid lip service to: really help to end America’s oil addiction.

    Do it, Arnold. C’mon, just do it.
    {snip}
    Passage of Prop 87 would be huge. To begin with, it would be the perfect complement to the carbon reduction law that Arnold just signed. That law requires California to reduce its carbon dioxide emissions to 1990 levels by 2020. Prop 87, for its part, sets a goal of a 25 percent reduction in oil consumption in California in 10 years. Today, California consumes about 16 billion gallons of gasoline a year, so a 25 percent reduction, if realized, would put California well on its way to meeting its new carbon emissions goal.

    Of course Friedman is right on the issue of Prop 87, it would be a phenomenal resource for our state. But Friedman reveals his naivete of California politics, he has been suckered in by Arnold’s new “green” image.  Perhaps he missed that executive order that pulled the legs out from underneath AB32.  No, Arnold won’t endorse Prop 87, just like he wouldn’t sign Alan Lowenthal’s bill to clean up California’s ports. Arnold is just an actor, today he’s playing green. Tomorrow, who knows?

    Inevitable Slide Towards No on Cigarrette and Oil Tax Props

    The inevitable slide towards status quo is visible already.  All the negative ads against the propositions are doing their work to muddy the waters, and the people of California are getting a little skittish about these two props. The Field Poll (PDF) was released today on these two.



















    prop/response Yes 9/06 (7/06) No 9/06 (7/06) Undecided 9/06 (7/06)
    Prop 86 (Cigarretes) 53(63) 40(32) 7(5)
    Prop 87 (Oil) 44(52) 41(31) 15(17)

    Cigarette taxes are usually pretty easy to pass, but I’m not so sure in the current climate.  The tobacco companies are spending a lot of money on this one, $40 million by the SF Chronicle’s count. And the oil companies have plunked down about $35 million.  That’s not chump change, but Stephen Bing, the entertainment mogul, has also put an incredible $40 million of his own money into the Yes on 87 campaign.  That’s more than Steve Westly put into his gubenatorial campaign this spring.

    The amount of ads for these two props will likely draw attention away from where it should really be focused, the bond props. This elections is getting ridiculously expensive.  Think of all the things that the $100 million+ could have bought.  It’s why propositions have made my list of things that I would change if I were king of California for a day.  I’ll post that list sometime after the election as a discussion starter.

    Courage Campaign Prop Watch

    The California Courage Campaign has launched our fall campaign to oppose the Bush agenda on the ballot in California this November in the form of several propositions.

    Our Stop Bush in CA page is an excellent resource for information regarding the initiatives on which we’re taking stands:

    No on 85

    Yes on 86

    Yes on 87

    Yes on 89

    No on 90.

    We’ve also just launched a letter to the editor writing campaign to get the word out in the media that Proposition 90 is unacceptable and needs to be opposed. Please join the effort by going HERE and using our user-friendly webtools, complete with talking points, to send an LTE today.

    I’m also going to be keeping tabs on all the proposition news in my weekly (or perhaps more frequent, as needed) “Prop Watch.”

    Join me for all the latest proposition news over the flip.

    Proposition 85

    The OC Register has an article reminding us that this year’s Prop 85 is essentially a re-write of last year’s parental notification bill, Prop 73. The bills are nearly identical except for some strategic changes that have been made to the wording of this year’s model:

    Proponents have adjusted the wording of the measure in an effort to weaken some arguments against it. One change is removing the definition of a fetus as "a child conceived but not yet born." Opponents last year pointed to that as an indication of the philosophy and ultimate intent of the backers…

    Another change is stating explicitly that a parent can sign a standing waiver for their daughter, which would allow her to get an abortion any time without special notification. This is designed to defuse the argument of the parent who says, "I just want my daughter to be safe if she's going to have an abortion, I don't care if I know," said Albin Rhomberg of "Yes on 85."

    Proponents are confident that even if the original wording remained intact, 85 would pass this year. They attribute the 53-47% defeat of 73 to the "vote No on everything" anti-Arnold wave of the 2005 special election.

    While The L.A. Times acknowledges the changes to the newer bill, it says Prop 85 "still contains the same troubling provisions" and "remains part of a broader campaign to chisel away at a woman’s right to privacy."

    More over the flip.

    They lay out the case against Prop 85 in a recent OpEd:

    By requiring doctors to notify a girl’s parents (or seek court permission) before she can end her pregnancy, Proposition 85 interferes with the doctor-patient relationship. The measure would almost invariably delay abortions, and because teens are more likely to find out later rather than sooner that they are pregnant, it could lead to more later-term procedures, which are riskier and more complicated.

    For girls who are afraid to report molestation by a family member, the proposition would create an almost insurmountable obstacle. Similar laws in other states have not appreciably changed teen pregnancy or abortion rates.

    Let’s make sure Prop 85 doesn’t pass. VOTE NO ON 85

    Proposition 89

    In their ongoing quest to make the case for clean money, The Yes on 89 folks have compiled a list of the special interest money that has flowed into California from out of state in the last 5 years. Remarkably, Middlesex County, New Jersey is responsible for more donations to California campaigns ($10.2 million) than Kern County, California is ($7.5 million.) Why?

    Middlesex County is the home of Johnson & Johnson and other pharmaceutical companies involved in last fall's high-priced ballot battle over discounts for prescription drugs.

    Big Pharma isn’t the only special interest investing in California campaigns. This year, add big tobacco to the list.

    Since the June election, there have been at least nine new contributions of more than $5 million, led by a $13.8 million donation from Philip Morris and $10 million from R.J. Reynolds, of out-of-state tobacco companies that have each put up more than $20 million to fight Prop. 86, which would boost the state tax on cigarettes by $2.60 a pack.

    That fact alone makes you want to support Prop 86, doesn’t it? We are. Learn more at Yes on 86.

    Meanwhile, a new poll shows that while Californians are critical of the role of big money in our elections, Prop 89 has not yet made its case with voters.

    A poll released today by the Public Policy Institute of California showed that 61 percent of likely voters are convinced the current system that allows politicians to collect millions of dollars in special interest campaign contributions is hurting the state, while only 6 percent think it's good for California.

    But when asked whether they backed Prop. 89, which is designed to take almost all private money out of California campaigns, only 25 percent of those surveyed said yes, compared with 61 percent who said they would vote against the initiative

    Proposition 90

    The City Council of Pasadena has joined the California League of Cities in formally opposing Proposition 90, the so-called “Protect Our Homes Act.” You almost have to admire how perfectly Rovian its title is considering what a far cry it is from describing what the measure would actually do.

    While acknowledging some reform is necessary, opponents said a provision requiring the government to pay property owners for substantial economic loss resulting from regulations on use of private property would end up costing taxpayers billions in lawsuits. "This goes way, way too far," said Kathy Fairbanks, spokeswoman for the No on 90 campaign. "Now, when a developer wants to build 50 houses and the city tells him he can only build 25 – he can sue for compensation for the others."

    While Prop 90 would

    prohibit local governments from using eminent domain to acquire private property unless the government itself plans on using it.

    The Pasadena City Council took issue with the fact that 90

    would prevent cities from acquiring blighted areas, eliminating slum lords, building affordable housing and providing public facilities by private for-profit agencies.

    In other words it would prevent the government from doing what’s best for its citizens. 

    Help us fight Prop 90 by writing a letter to the editor today.