Shortfall

A billion dollars is quite a lot for any one state to be short on monthly tax revenue, even a state as big as California.  This is especially true when you have a budget deficit to begin with, and those projections are being used to try and balance it.  The Governor often makes it seem like everything in the state is going great, but this sign (probably due to the slumping housing market) is ominous.  Meanwhile, home buyers in Cali are going deeper into debt, taking out mortgages with no down payment and not being able to keep up.

But never mind, it’s always sunny in the Golden State!

Why Should Peter Ragone be Fired?

The press secretary for Gavin Newsom is catching a lot of heat. He was full on busted for being a sock puppet online, flat out lied to the press about it before admitting he was indeed a sock puppet who had lied to the press. He also has huge credibility issues for stonewalling the press on the mayor’s drinking problem and for generally acting like he was auditioning for a job in the Bush press office. However, there is a serious debate over why, specifically, he should be fired.

Randy Shaw says because he stabbed Newsom in the back. Steven Jones says because he has zero credibility. I agree on both counts. Shaw is right, P.J. Johnston has mad skills and would have handled this far differently. And Jones is right, there is zero reason to believe anything Ragone says. If the Newsom team doesn’t take advantage of tomorrow’s potential for a Friday night news dump to throw out Ragone, then I think it is clear that they have no idea how to move forward.

Losing the Nguyen-Nguyen Situation, And More Fallout from the OC Special Election

As we continue to watch the still unresolved special election to replace Lou Correa on the Orange County Board of Supervisors, here are some questions that we progressives should be thinking about:

Which Nguyen is more of a win (for us)? My friend Mike Lawson, of The Liberal OC, weighs in on which Nguyen would be the less wingnutty of the two.

Where’s the new center of political power in OC? Frank Mickadeit raises some interesting questions over at The Register.

Why didn’t we see it coming??!! Someone made a great point this morning about Van Tran’s absentee ballot operation among Vietnamese Republicans. We should have taken heed from Team Tran’s operation for Lynn Daucher in SD 34 last year.

Why did we let them get away with it??!! Now, the WINGNUTS on the OC Board of Supervisors are ready to wage all-out war on immigrants and tackle an issue that they have no jurisdiction over!

And why are we acting so damn petty? Already, the blame game is taking hold. However, my friend Claudio at Orange Juice is right that we shouldn’t return to the divisive infighting that led us into so much trouble in the first place.

So can we just get over it and learn our lesson? Huntington Beach small business owner and progressive activist Joe Shaw sums it up perfectly for us:

Maybe I’m naive. I’m definitely a newbie to OC politics, but it seems to me Democrats in OC at the grassroots level spend a lot of time working on the high profile campaigns that don’t stand a chance in hell, but little time working on the lower profile campaigns they can win. This one was winnable, but the candidate was not the right choice. Democrats should concentrate on developing strong leaders at the local level. Candidates with strong records of accomplishment locally can win these bigger races.

Right on, Joe! You said it much better than any of us could. I hope we get over our squabbling soon and take your advice. : )

CA-30: Waxman’s Great, But He’s Trying to Skate on Iraq

I watched a little of today’s hearing on Iraq war profiteering and contracting.  It’s really nothing short of amazing.  It’s like watching the movie Iraq For Sale in Congressional hearing form.  They’re focusing on Blackwater Securities today, whose contract for Iraq couldn’t even be found until today, and who were sending out truck drivers without proper equipment to save money, while pocketing hundreds of millions of dollars through overcharging the government.  It’s great to see these bastards nailed to the wall.

And the man who’s putting this all together is my Congressman, Henry Waxman.  He is nothing short of heroic for bringing the spotlight to this war profiteering in his House Oversight and Government Reform Committee.  And he’s a dogged investigator and questioner.  He painted the picture in yesterday’s session with Paul Bremer of the Federal Reserve packing 363 tons of cash in palettes onto military aircraft to be sent to Iraq to simply be passed out.  Today, Waxman repeatedly asked a spokeswoman from the Army how many security contractors they have hired, and she dodged and dodged and finally had to answer that she didn’t know the precise number.  And finally, there was his brilliant smackdown of GOP attack dog Rep. Patrick McHenry, who spent the entire session trying to blame profiteering on the Clinton Administration and calling it a show trial: he said “I suggest the Congressman return under his rock.”

Waxman deserves a lot of credit for his pursuit of lawbreaking and official corruption.  And his reputation in this district is gold sterling.  He was right there on the front page of the New York Times the other day.  And he’s a great, longtime champion for liberal values.  He took on the cigarette companies.  He wrote the Clean Air Act.  And on and on.

However, it’s important to note that Waxman voted for the war, is not part of the Out of Iraq caucus, and while he has finally come out against the escalation, is “on the fence” about de-funding the war and bringing the troops home.

On the flip…

He keeps this incredibly quiet.  You would be hard-pressed to find anyone in this district that knows this.  I was talking to a few friends about this very topic recently, and they looked at me like I was nuts.  They actually couldn’t believe it.

You have to dig, but you can find Waxman’s statement about Iraq at his website.

On October 10, 2002, Rep. Waxman voted for resolution H.J.Res. 114, authorizing the use of military force to ensure Iraq’s disarmament of weapons of mass destruction. He did so with the expectation that a strong bipartisan stand in Congress would pressure the United Nations to carry out its responsibilities to enforce its own resolutions and because he believed it was necessary to send a tough message for Saddam Hussein to understand he would have to comply.

On March 17, 2003, Rep. Waxman called for an investigation of the revelation that the President relied on false intelligence sources to present the case for war with Iraq to the American people and the United Nations. On June 26, 2003, he introduced H.R. 2625, which would establish an Independent Commission on Intelligence about Iraq – modeled after the September 11 Commission – to examine pre-war intelligence and the representations made by executive branch officials about Iraqi efforts to develop and deploy weapons of mass destruction.

In addition, Rep. Waxman has initiated an intensive investigation of the Bush Administration’s process for awarding post-war contracts in Iraq to ensure fairness and accountability in U.S. funded projects for Iraq reconstruction. He remains deeply concerned about allegations that Halliburton, a company with close ties to Vice President Dick Cheney, has received special treatment from the Administration in the awarding of Defense Department contracts, including some related to Iraqi reconstruction.

Waxman’s actions about intelligence – almost immediately after voting for the war – are noble.  He also cosponsored legislation to ban permanent bases in Iraq or a “long-term or permanent” military presence.  But he is not committed to stopping funding on this war, and he has been allowed to coast on his reputation and give no definitive answer on the conflict.  This came to a head a couple weeks ago at the Palisades Democratic Club:

Addressing a crowd of 200 at a Palisades Democratic Club meeting in Los Angeles Sunday, Congressman Henry Waxman said he opposes the US occupation of Iraq but may continue to fund it because “I don’t want to make any promises before I see what the (funding) proposal will be.”

Greeted by grassroots Democrats holding a banner that read “Liberals do not fund occupation,” Waxman acknowledged there were members of the audience who would like to see him support bills calling for the immediate withdrawal of troops, but said he was not sure bringing the troops home now was the answer […]

Waxman, now Chair of the Government Reform Committee, told the standing-room only crowd he opposes the Bush troop escalation and wants to conduct vigorous investigations into the 8-billion US dollars missing in Iraq, but said he is not convinced it is time to use the power of the purse to end the war or even co-sponsor legislation that would bring the troops home within six months. Waxman said a civil war could develop when US troops leave Iraq. “But there already is a civil war,”
said one audience member, whose objection went unanswered.

And I have to add this, which gave me quite a bit of pause.

Asked if he would oppose US military use of Israel as a proxy to bomb or invade Iran, Waxman said he opposed a war against Iran, though added, “If you want to lose sleep, think of a nuclear-armed Iran.” The Congressman said he favored economic sanctions over the use of force, referencing the enormous impact of world economic sanctions against the apartheid government of South Africa.

There’s more here and here.

Waxman, simply put, is trying to skate on this war, and furthermore is buying in to right-wing frames about Iran which do nothing but enable war hawks who would like nothing more but to come up with any pretext to attack Iran.  In fact, now is the time to stop this drumbeat toward Iran in the US Congress.

Congress should not wait. It should hold hearings on Iran before the president orders a bombing attack on its nuclear facilities, or orders or supports a provocative act by the U.S. or an ally designed to get Iran to retaliate, and thus further raise war fever.

Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, has warned the administration that it had better seek congressional authorization for any attack on Iran. But we need Senate and House hearings now to put the Bush administration on notice that, in the absence of an imminent military attack or a verified terrorist attack on the United States by Iran, Congress will not support a U.S. military strike on that country. Those hearings should aim toward passage of a law preventing the expenditure of any funds for a military attack on Iran unless Congress has either declared war with that country or has otherwise authorized military action under the War Powers Act.

The law should be attached to an appropriations bill, making it difficult for the president to veto. If he simply claims that he is not bound by the restriction even if he signs it into law, and then orders an attack on Iran without congressional authorization for it, Congress should file a lawsuit and begin impeachment proceedings.

Anyone that is throwing up belligerent and fearmongering rhetoric on Iran gives the President more leeway to do the same and manufacture a conflict.  Waxman may have his reasons for doing so, all of them perfectly sincere.  But starting another war in the Middle East right now would be the height of insanity and would continue to fuel hatred in that part of the world for generations.

There are going to be street actions soon around this issue, to both thank Rep. Waxman for what he’s doing, but to pressure him to do the right thing on denying the appropriation of funds and bringing this war to an end.  Waxman seems like he doesn’t want to come to terms with this issue.  He’d rather do what he’s very good at doing, investigation and oversight.  But this vote matters and it’s a major priority.  If liberal lions like Henry Waxman cannot represent the views of his district and the vast majority of the American people, then I don’t know what it will take.  I don’t want to psycho-analyze Waman and try to understand why he’s being so noncommital on this issue.  I just want him to do the right thing.

OC Special Election Update: Which Nguyen Wins? Can Anyone Say “Recount”?

Here are the latest results from the OC Registrar of Voters:

County Supervisor First District, Short Term 
Completed Precincts: 179 of 179 
  Vote Count  Percentage 
TRUNG NGUYEN  10920  24.1% 
JANET NGUYEN  10913  24.1% 
TOM UMBERG  9728  21.4% 
CARLOS BUSTAMANTE  7475  16.5% 
MARK ROSEN  2182  4.8% 
BRETT ELLIOTT FRANKLIN  1739  3.8% 
KERMIT MARSH  1335  2.9% 
LARRY PHAN  419  0.9% 
LUPE MORENO  384  0.8% 
BENNY DIAZ  274  0.6% 

The Battle of the Nguyens is now on its way to overtime. While I usually don’t agree with OC Blog Master Jubal/Matt Cunningham, I must agree with him here on the likely reality that this is heading into Nasty Recount Land. Stay tuned for more…

UPDATE: OC Blog is reporting that Janet Nguyen’s consultant is confirming that Janet’s campaign WILL PURSUE A RECOUNT. The battle will go on!

OC Special Election: Who’s to Blame for Our Loss? WE ARE! (And how we CAN turn this around!)

So who are we to blame for yesterday’s loss? Whose fault is it that we have lost our one and only Board of Supervisors seat in Orange County? Some are blaming State Senator Lou Correa. Some may want to blame Santa Ana DINO Mayor Miguel Pulido. I was about ready to blame Garden Grove Councilmember Mark Rosen as the Democratic spoiler…

But you know who is really to blame? WE ARE!

Want to know why… AND find out how we can get our groove back in The Land of the OC? Then follow me after the flip for more…

I saw this as a comment on The Liberal OC, and it got me thinking:

One thing I’ve learned – until you take full responsibility for your loss, you won’t learn from your mistakes.

But you know what? Publius is correct. We need to take responsibility for our mistakes, and make sure that we don’t repeat them in the future.

Basically while we OC Democrats were focusing on taking down Carlos Bustamante in Santa Ana, we were ignoring what was happening in the rest of the district. The whole Janet Nguyen-Trung Nguyen Battle of the Absentee Ballots caught us completely off guard. I’ll admit that even I didn’t recognize this until the very end. Not until last week did I and others finally realize how we put ourselves in peril by avoiding any type of serious outreach in the Vietnamese community for this election. Some might say that we could not have won the Vietnamese vote against a Vietnamese GOP candidate, but I must still say that there was no excuse for us to just avoid the entire community and risk losing the recent gains we have made with younger Vietnamese voters for future elections.

Why did we pick a candidate who doesn’t particularly have a good track record of community involvement? Why didn’t we participate in more Vietnamese community functions? Why didn’t we get our potential supporters to vote absentee like the two leading Republican candidates did? Why didn’t we give Latino and Vietnamese working-class voters a reason to get out and vote for our person?

Hopefully, this disappointing and frustrating loss will teach us a serious lesson: STAY CONNECTED WITH ALL THE ETHNIC COMMUNITIES!! Last night, I spoke with Irvine City Councilmember Suhkee Kang. Apparently next year, he will be running for mayor when Beth Krom is termed out (as mayor, but NOT on city council). Already, the Irvine Democrats (Krom, Kang, and Larry Agran) are working on continuing the relationship with Asian-American communities in Irvine that has resulted in their long-running success in what’s supposed to be a “Republican city“. Of course back in Central OC, Loretta Sanchez wouldn’t still be in Congress today if it weren’t for her terrific outreach to the Vietnamese community. Lou Correa wouldn’t be our State Senator today if it weren’t for his team’s amazing outreach to the Vietnamese community. Perhaps we should learn from these two successful Orange County Democrats, and remember to stay connected with the voters in the district.

OK, so not all the news from OC is bad. I’m glad that the young Democratic
activists
are reaching out to young people in ALL ETHNIC COMMUNITIES in Central OC… So why couldn’t we follow their lead? Why didn’t I see as much Vietnamese outreach going on for this election as I did last year in SD 34? Lou Correa and Loretta Sanchez have always had strong outreach programs to the Vietnamese community. Why couldn’t Umberg do the same? Hopefully from now on, we have learned the consequences of what happens when we ignore the working-class ethnic voters that we are supposed to represent. Lou Correa and Loretta Sanchez don’t, and that’s why they are trusted by the community. I hope we follow their example.

I know that we Orange County Democrats worked our patooties off to get Tom Umberg elected to the Board of Supervisors. Unfortunately, we came short. But still, we shouldn’t give up. Lou Correa showed us how to reach out to working families in Orange County. Loretta Sanchez showed us how we can build bridges among different communities to create a lasting winning coalition. If we Orange County Democrats want to get our groove back and start winning again, then perhaps we should pay attention to our two most prominent elected officials. If they can win, then so can we.