Cross-posted on the California Majority Report.
It was overcast and dreary in Oakland today, and the dark clouds spread to Lake Merritt United Methodist Church during a budget crisis forum sponsored by Assemblymembers Loni Hancock (D-Berkeley) and Sandré Swanson (D-Oakland).
“I believe the drastic cuts proposed by the Governor would be devastating to the people I represent,” Hancock told the 100-person crowd. “The budget will define our values as a community.”
The budget as a statement of values was a theme repeated throughout the program. “We can have this conversation about numbers,” Swanson added. “But that kind of misses the point. This is really about values.”
Jean Ross, Executive Director of the California Budget Project, laid out what values are being put to the test in Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s budget:
- Confronting education — a $4.825 billion cut to K-12 schooling. That’s a reduction of $786 per student;
- Confronting health care — a $1.126 billion cut to Medi-Cal spending;
- Confronting crucial social services for children and families — a $463 million cut to CalWORKs programs. The largest share of these savings would come from removing aid for 150,000 children in low-income households; and
- Confronting crucial social services for the elderly and disabled — a $324 million cut to cost-of-living adjustments for cash assistance programs for low-income seniors and persons with disabilities in the SSI/SSP program.
To make matters worse, some of these cuts would take away federal matching funds. “What sense does that make?” Assemblymember Swanson pondered.
For more, including a discussion of the early release of prisoners, see over the flip…
As Assemblymember Hancock noted, California is the only state in the nation to both require a two-thirds vote in the legislature to raise taxes and grant the Governor line item veto authority. “This reminds me of the seven layers of Hercules,” Hancock said. “You have impossible barriers you need to cross before you get to the place you need to be, but if we don’t do that this year in California, we will find that this place is no longer the place it has been or we want it to be.”
Previous Schwarzenegger budgets in comparatively good economic times have relied on a combination of bonds, gimmicks, and already steep cuts. With a $14 billion budget shortfall this year, that will no longer be sufficient. Lenny Goldberg, Executive Director of the California Tax Reform Association, laid much of the blame on Governor Schwarzenegger’s revocation of the vehicle license fee and the Governor’s subsequent bonds to make up for lost revenue. Combined, these add up to $9 billion, nearly two-thirds of the budget deficit.
During previous deep red budget years, Republican governors Ronald Reagan and Pete Wilson combined a mixture of tax and fee increases and spending cuts to balance the budget. But this year, legislative Republicans and even our so-called post-partisan Governor have vowed to oppose all new fees and taxes. “The rational conversation on the tax side has been completely cut out,” Goldberg lamented.
On the issue of convincing Republican legislators to act more rationally in regards to tax and fee matters, Hancock and Swanson played good cop, bad cop.
Hancock emphasized that there are some genuinely rational legislative Republicans, even if their voting records suggest otherwise. She told the crowd that she has had Republican legislators approach her and say, “I know a really good tax loophole that you should cut. Of course, I can’t actually vote for it.”
Swanson was a bit less concilitary on the subject. “I can be just as irrational,” Swanson quipped. “I will not make cuts to Prop 98. I will not make cuts to after-school programs.” If Republicans insist on holding firm on revenues, Swanson made clear, then it’s up to Democrats to do the same on the services we care most about so we can finally have a “fair and rational” debate and make a genuine compromise.
Karen Hemphill, a Berkeley Unified School District Board Member, gave the best summary of why Democrats care so much about preserving education funding. The Governor’s proposal would take away revenue equivalent to a month in school for every school district in the state. That’s $768 less per child. At stake aren’t just pencils, textbooks or dodge balls. Education is the most important investment a state makes, she emphasized. Lower performing schools lead to lower performing students. Lower performing students will make less money on average, increasing their reliance on state services and decreasing their contribution to the tax pool. Lower performing students are also at a greater risk for falling into a life of crime, which of course ups the costs associated with courts and incarceration. “I don’t think many of us thought this was what was meant by the Year of Education,” Ross joked.
Hemphill also informed the audience that the district expects to lay off most of its counselors if the Governor’s budget moves forward. But she warned that Berkeley Unified School District is actually in better shape than most schools in the state, because Berkeley voters recently approved a parcel tax to help fund school programs.
The discussion on education costs frequently returned to the question of local government solvency. Assemblymember Swanson noted that much of the Governor’s budget simply shifts responsibility to the local level as an unfunded mandate. “It doesn’t go away; it just passes responsibility,” he said.
Alameda County Supervisor Keith Carson gave a sobering breakdown of statewide city and county concerns. 50% of Oakland’s revenue comes from federal and state money, but this includes property tax revenue collected by the city and transferred to the state. And local governments’ access to local property tax revenue has been on the decline. Less than 25% of the county’s budget is discretionary.
Naturally, as on the state level, the services provided with discretionary funds disproportionately harm those most in need of help. If the Governor has his way, the services that will be cut include things like preventative health care, educational opportunities programs, job training, rehabilitation programs, prison deferral services, and the like. While the state may see a short-term savings by destroying these programs, Carson made a crucial point that is frequently lost in the blustering anti-tax rhetoric that frequently permeates in Sacramento and among the chattering class. Simply put, in the long term, these programs improve society and save the state money. Preventative health care stops illnesses before they become a huge financial burden. Programs to broaden educational opportunities and to provide job training help the children of poor Californians become part of the well-educated, higher tax-paying, more flexible middle-class. Drug and alcohol rehabilitation and prison deferment programs reduce imprisonment costs, help reform broken lives, and ultimately generate more tax revenue for the state. Schwarzenegger “clearly didn’t have an understanding of how his budget proposal would impact local communities,” Carson explained.
The Governor’s budget also includes a $372 million cut to the Department of Corrections, mostly through the early release of 20,000 inmates and a quickening of the parole process for another 20,000. While this proposal has received bipartisan condemnation, many progressives will be inclined to support this part of the Governor’s budget, because there are far too many non-violent offenders in prison who simply don’t belong there, and because our country’s incarceration system all too frequently creates hardened criminals where there once was a good chance at rehabilitation. But the panelists cautioned that early release alone is insufficient.
As Ross explained, “I know many of you probably think that’s a good idea, but the problem is those individuals would not have supportive services in the community to help them find housing, help them find jobs, and help them restart their lives in a positive way.”
“It is irresponsible to [release prisoners early] without some funds to help the counties manage,” Swanson cautioned.
“Many of those individuals we would like to have in our community,” added Carson. “But they don’t have the supportive services necessary to assist them.”
But there is reason for cautious optimism on this issue. Hancock thinks we have a real chance to turn the budget lemon into public safety reform lemonade by including rehabilitation block grants for local governments in conjunction with early release. This would still save the state money and provides a realistic opportunity to permanently reduce the population in our state’s overburdened prisons.
Clearly, Governor Schwarzenegger wasn’t the room’s favorite person, but there was some praise for the Governor, sort of. While previous budgets have relied on “smoke and mirrors,” Ross gave the Governor credit for presenting a more or less honest portrayal of what the budget would look like without additional revenue. “This budget makes clear that California is facing a very serious challenge,” she said.
And there was some good news to report too. Assembly Bill 32, California’s landmark global warming bill co-authored by Speaker Fabian Nunez (D-Los Angeles) and then-Assemblymember Fran Pavley (D-Agoura Hills), is not particularly threatened by the Governor’s budget, because the California Air Resources Board has limited authority to raise fees without legislative approval. Indeed, the state’s budget wonks are looking into redirecting money from the general fund that Governor Schwarzenegger reserved for AB 32, since that money could also be generated via a CARB fee hike.
So where do we go from here? How do we insure that our values are reflected in California’s budget this year? Goldberg had some suggestions:
- Tax oil producers. This would generate more than $1 billion yearly, and we are the only oil-producing state that doesn’t tax the oil producers;
- Bring back the vehicle license fee;
- Restore the top tax bracket that Governor Wilson abolished. This would generate $2 billion yearly, and those who faced the tax hike could even get a portion back in their federal tax returns;
- Institute a tax on goods purchased on the Internet;
- Find fees that can help relieve the general fund. Fees only require a majority vote, so they provide an opening for the Governor and legislative Democrats to increase state revenue without the support of legislative Republican obstructionists. He cited a carbon fee as one option;
- Organize parents, teachers, and concerned citizens in Republican districts to fight against cuts to education. Schools in Republican districts tend to be even more vulnerable to state cuts to education, and it’s possible the pressure could sway some legislative Republicans to take a more nuanced perspective on taxes;
- Get taxes on the ballot. While a legislature-approved tax initiative would also require a two-thirds vote, it is possible that enough Republicans could be persuaded to let the people decide their own financial fate; and
- Support groups that wish to independently carry revenue-generating initiatives. Even if a tax hike initiative can’t clear the legislature, we should expect signature gathering to begin from concerned interest groups.
So those are some of our options. Where are we likely heading? Said Goldberg, “My guess is one way or another, we’re going to be fighting this out on the ballot.”
