Category Archives: Budget

Budget Follies

“Budget Nun” Elizabeth Hill’s pessimistic report about Governor Schwarzenegger’s budget stressed the need for more revenue to close the $14 billion dollar gap and maintain a professional level of services.  But if the money boys on Wall Street are to be believed, even that $14 billion dollar shortfall represents a number borne of outsized optimism.

Deep spending cuts proposed by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger last week were followed yesterday by more bad news – a Wall Street firm placed the state’s bond rating on “negative watch” amid fear that a $14.5 billion budget shortfall could get bigger.

The governor’s budget is based on data from November and early December that assumes tax revenue will grow 2 percent next year. But in recent weeks, some economists have begun to warn that the economy may slide into a recession, which would shrink tax revenue and widen the budget gap.

Fitch Ratings placed California’s bond rating of “A+,” already one of the lowest ratings of any state, on “negative watch” because of lawmakers’ inability to close a chronic budget gap and revenue forecasts in the governor’s budget that may be outdated.

By the way, the bond rating becomes slightly more important when you finance the government by, you know, floating bonds.  Boy, do we ever need a governor with a strong fiscal background to ensure our bond rating doesn’t go to crap!  Where d’you think we should get one of them?  Do we need another recall?

(over)

What choice did I have but to reach for the phone and dial three ringleaders from the 2003 recall of Davis? […]

Ted Costa, the anti-tax crusader and the man who drafted the Davis recall petition, was on the horn right away.

“We’ve got to get it going again,” I told him.

Costa seemed confused.

The recall, I said. The recall.

All the same conditions are there again, I told Costa, and there has to be another “throw the bum out” campaign.

“There probably should be,” Costa agreed, warming to the idea.

(that article is hilarious.)

The point is that if you have to use creative accounting just to get to a $14 BILLION dollar loss, something is fundamentally wrong.  And cutting spending is not going to produce a satisfactory solution.  For one, it will result in forfeiting $1.5 billion dollars in federal matching funds, doubling the real-world impact on Californians.  For another, it will not make up for shrinking revenues that will necessitate more cuts, and on and on.  I know that the Governor, and really the whole Legislature too, has a speech impediment where the word tax comes out sounding like the word fee.  But fixing the revenue side is unavoidable, and Sacramento is not a movie set.  Welcome to reality, Governor.

When Republicans Were Sane–How The 1991-1992 Shortfall Was Handled

(We’re having some problems with our database. But this needed to be seen ASAP. I hope we can get it back up to speed soon, but if you have any questions, email me. – promoted by Brian Leubitz)

In 1991, California faced a severe budget shortfall.  The LAO’s documentation of how it was addressed can be found in its “State Spending Plan for 1991-92” [pdf], a 54-page document.  But to spare you the suspense (and me the time I don’t have to read the whole thing), the entire story is neatly summarized in this chart:

What?!?!?  Almost three times as much in increased revenues compared to cost cuts???  Signed by Pete Wilson?  And herr Gropenator is a post-partisan?

Not so much.

An excerpt from the top of the LAO’s document can be found on the flip

The State’s Budget Funding Gap

The 1991-92 Governor’s Budget, released in January of 1991, projected that the state faced an 18-month General Fund budget funding gap of $7.0 billion. As shown in Figure 1(next page), this funding gap represented the amount of savings, increased revenues, and other resources needed to offset:

  • A projected 1990-91 fiscal year deficit of $1.9 billion.

  • The projected 1991-92 operating shortfall of $3.7 billion which is the difference between 1991-92 “workload budget” expenditures and available revenues.

  • The funding requirements for rebuilding the state’s reserve fund of $1.4 billion.

The workload budget expenditure level essentially represents the level of expenditures needed to pay for the cost of currently authorized services, adjusted for changes in caseload, enrollment, and population. In addition, adjustments are made for certain price and statutory cost-of-living changes, legislation, and certain other factors, pursuant to Ch 1209/90 (AB 756, Isenberg). On this basis, 1991-92 state General Fund expenditures were projected to increase by more than 10 percent over 1990-91 levels, while available revenues were projected to increase by only 4 percent.

Evolution of the Budget Funding Gap

Figure 1(next page) also shows how the administration’s estimates of the budget funding gap changed after the 1991-92 Governor’s Budget was introduced. In late March, the Governor announced that the gap had increased from $7.0 billion to $12.6 billion, reflecting substantial revisions to the administration’s estimates of revenues and expenditures. Specifically, the failure of the state’s economy to perform at the level anticipated in January caused the administration to revise its estimates  of revenue downwards by $4.5 billion during the 1990-91 and 1991-92 fiscal years combined. In addition, increasing caseloads and other factors caused the administration to increase its estimate of expenditures by $1.1 billion.

The budget funding gap was increased further at the time of the May Revision. Noting the continued weakness in the state’s economy, the administration announced that the budget funding gap had grown from $12.6 billion to $14.3 billion. This change was attributable entirely to a

further $1.7 billion reduction in the administration’s estimates of revenue for the 1990-91 and 1991-92 fiscal years. Thus, in crafting a state budget for 1991-92, the Legislature and the administration faced a budget funding gap equivalent to one-third of the state’s General Fund workload budget.

Summary of Actions Taken to Close The Gap

Tale 1 identifies the major legislative actions taken to close the state’s budget funding gap, together with the administration’s estimates of the fiscal effect of these actions. As shown in the table, these actions provide:

  • $9.1 billion in increased resources, primarily from higher state and local taxes, fund transfers, and accounting changes.

  • $3.4 billion in expenditure reductions.

  • $1.6 billion in cost shifts, including retirement contribution savings.

Together, these actions constitute $14.1 billion of the budget solution. The remaining $200 million needed to fully close the $14.3 billion gap was accomplished by lowering the funding target for the state’s reserve fund from $1.4 billion to $1.2 billion. Each of the major elements of the budget agreement are more fully described in Chapter IV of this report.

Just three words in comment: Pete fricken Wilson.

Legislative Analyst Says We Need More Revenue

The independent and respected Legislative Analyst thumbed her nose at Arnold’s budget today.  SacBee

In trying to cut his way out of fiscal distress, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s proposed budget fails to prioritize which programs are most critical for California’s future, according to an analysis of his spending plan released Monday.

In her report on the governor’s proposed spending plan, Legislative Analyst Elizabeth Hill said the administration’s across-the-board reductions would leave programs “operating in a less than optimal manner and provide lower quality services to the public.”

Hill encouraged the Legislature to identify more revenues, whether it’s eliminating tax credits or adding fees.

This should surprise no one.  The governor’s budget is completely unacceptable for numerous reasons.  California does not have a spending problem.  We have a revenue problem.  There is no way to gimmick ourselves out of this crisis.  All of the tricks have already been tried in recent years.  There is not much left.  It is high time we examined the structural reasons why we are experiencing a budget crisis.  There are no third rails this year.

Sunday in the Park with Nobody

I spent a good part of yesterday afternoon at Will Rogers State Park.  Named after the famed humorist (he coined the phrase “I don’t belong to any organized party; I’m a Democrat”), the park stretches across the Santa Monica Mountains and offers stunning views of both the Pacific Ocean and the city of Los Angeles.  And it is one of the 48 parks scheduled for closure.

The official reason for the closure is that the park doesn’t make enough money to cover its own overhead costs.  Apparently state parks now need to be money makers instead of gifts to the people of California.  There’s a $7 parking fee but no entry fee; people entering the park on foot pay nothing.  With a small residential community nearby, plenty of people just leave their cars a few blocks away and walk into the park for free.  According to 2006-20007 statistics, 28% of the park’s entrants were walk-ins.  Seems to me that there’s a fairly simple solution here that would relieve residential congestion and keep the park afloat, but what do I know, I just write for the Internets.

What struck me was the large number of people out for the afternoon.  I don’t know if it was because of the notice of impending closure or not, but this is not a portrait of a struggling piece of public land that needs to be shuttered.  There were hundreds of people playing soccer at the polo fields, hiking, and touring the fully restored 31-room ranch house.  There’s another point to be made here.  The grounds of the park include part of the 55-mile Backbone Trail which connects several state parks together along the Santa Monica Mountains.  It’s not entirely clear where one park ends and another begins, and putting up a chain to cordon off the closed portions isn’t really going to stop anyone.  In other words, you’re going to simply have an unsupervised park still used by hikers, decreasing public safety while saving very little, perhaps a half-million dollars in maintenance, which could certainly be less if the parking fee was an entrance fee.

The point is this.  Will Rogers’ widow offered the preserve as a gift to the people of California (the family is still fighting to keep it open).  The park system is part of the California dream, part of what makes the state so unique in its diversity, its landscape, its opportunity for activity.  In California, you can sunbathe in the morning and be on the ski slopes by sundown.  If we can’t “afford” the natural beauty of the state park system, we’ve done something terribly wrong, and every Californian has a stake in opening up the land and keeping it available for recreation.  

The austere, cuts-only budget will hurt people in a variety of different ways, most of them more profoundly than by closing 48 parks.  But the symbolism of having to close the land, having to close the ocean view, having to close part of what makes California what it is, this is truly ignominious.  And at some point, you’d think Californians would hold their leaders responsible for this shame.

The Weekly Radio Addresses: A Study in Realism vs. Fantasy

In the weekly radio addresses, we get some Governator talking points from former Secretary of State George Schultz and a frank discussion from Assembly member John Laird.

In the Governor’s address, we hear that we spend too much money, and that Ronald Reagan wanted to restrict spending. The trouble with that comparison: Ronald Reagan was also willing to look at tax increases and fixes as well. This Governor seems to be taking adjustments to the revenue stream off the table while saying that nothing is off the table. In other words, he’s devouring that cake that he’s hold onto. As George Skelton said today, Arnold “talks like FDR, but walks more like Scrooge.”

On the other hand, Assembly member John Laird talks about actually addressing how we fund our state. He points the finger squarely where it belongs, at the Governor for his full-throated assault of the VLF. Laird acknowledges that cuts seem inevitable, but does not yield to the idea of a cuts-only budget. We must adjust our revenue as well.

Check the flip for the transcripts.

The Governor’s Address, given by former Sec’y of State, George Schultz:

 Hi, this is George Shultz, former Secretary of State, filling in for Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger with another California Report.

    This week the Governor released his budget proposal for the next fiscal year and revealed that California is facing a projected $14 billion deficit. As expected, we’re already hearing cries for higher taxes to close the gap. But the Governor is absolutely right to say we can’t tax our way out of this problem and as he said in his State of the State address, California has a spending problem, not a revenue problem and the people shouldn’t pay for Sacramento’s overspending.  And the numbers back him up. Just a decade ago, the state’s annual budget was around $70 billion, this year taxpayers will send almost $130 billion to Sacramento. Think about that. $130 billion. That’s nearly doubling the size of government – in just 10 years.

    But as I’ve learned in my 50+ years in public service, for the spending lobby, there will simply never be enough to go around.

    As the Governor explained earlier this week, quoting him, “if we can’t function with that kind of money, then there is something wrong with the system rather than with the people.”

    That’s why, rather than raiding the wallets of hard-working taxpayers, his budget reduces spending across the board by 10 percent. This spreads the cuts evenly and doesn’t favor one program over another.

    But just as important as solving this year’s mess, is ensuring that Californians never have to go through this again. This is why I am so encouraged to see the Governor once again push for comprehensive budget reform.

    Throughout my career, whether in Washington, as when I was director of the budget, or Sacramento, I have seen time and time again the inability of legislative bodies to exercise the type of fiscal discipline demanded of families and businesses. There’s always one more program, one more lobbyist, one more special interest group with their hand out and they simply can’t say “No.”

    That is why the only way to permanently solve California’s budget woes is a mechanism to force legislators to live within their means. Governors as far back as Earl Warren have proposed spending controls, including Governors Reagan and Wilson, but none could break through the entrenched spending lobby.

    Governor Schwarzenegger has proposed reforms twice before, but failed. And we have seen what’s happened as a result. Unchecked spending binges, chronic deficits, and the same budget fights year after year in the Capitol.

    Under the Governor’s plan, the legislature would be required to set aside surplus money in the good years, to cover shortfalls in the bad years. Any business or family does that, and so should the government.

    This promises to be a tough year, but the Governor’s budget has laid out a great foundation. Reducing spending, along with long term budget reform, is exactly what California needs and taxpayers deserve.

    This is former Secretary of State George Shultz, thank you for listening.

Democratic Address by Assembly Budget Chair John Laird:


    During this week’s State of the State address, the Governor invoked the name of President Franklin Roosevelt when he said that we need to be visionary in tough times.

    And with California facing a $14 billion budget deficit, these are tough times indeed. But the difference between Roosevelt and the Governor is that FDR leveled with the people in times of crisis. For five years now, the state has been spending at a level that’s higher than the amount of cash we’ve been taking in. The people of California have been getting a higher level of education, parks maintenance and access, and prison services than they have been paying for. We either have to cut these popular services dramatically or pay more ~ one or the other, or a combination of the two. It’s as simple as that.

    The Governor’s approach would have us make significant cuts to every single state service without bringing any new revenue into the system. His budget relies on higher fees and enrollment limits at UC and CSU campuses, and he supports mid-year cuts to K-12 education.  He wants to close state parks and release prisoners early, and he expects low-income Social Security recipients to handle significant cuts to their aid.

    And these are just the headlines.

    When the Governor cut the vehicle license fee a few years back, he also supported a voter-approved measure that locked in the expenditures that the VLF used to help fund.  And instead of putting the state on a pay as you go basis in 2004, the Governor supported $15 billion in debt bonds to finance the state debt over a number of years. Those two actions alone account for $8 billion of our $14 billion problem right now. And our state budget relies on sales tax and personal income tax for over 80% of its revenue. These sources swing wildly with the economy, regardless of what the state spends. We are in this crisis because our revenue dropped, not because we dramatically increased state spending.

    In his speech, the Governor proposed a new formula to deal with budget problems in the future. But in 2005, the voters rejected a similar formula proposed by the Governor by a 2-1 margin.

    We have to level with you, the people of California. You have voted to protect education, roads, prisons, local government and after-school care. This year, unfortunately, you can no longer get what you want without paying for it someway, somehow. As Assembly Budget Chair, I will make sure everything is on the table during our deliberations the next six months. We will eliminate inefficiencies, close tax loopholes, remove the tax write off for yacht owners, and much more. But ultimately, either we decimate our education, infrastructure, and social services programs, or new revenue will have to come from somewhere.

    We face tough decisions this year, and we want your input.

    Thanks for listening. This has been Assemblymember John Laird, chair of the Assembly Budget Committee.

El Presidente de la Asamblea Fabian Núñez dice que el Presupuesto

(Sacramento) – Inmediatamente despues de la presentación del presupuesto del Gobernador para el 2008-09, el Presidente de la Asamblea Fabian Núñez respondió diciendo que el enfoque solamente en recortes del Gobernador no va a resolver la crisis fiscal del estado y va a afectar negativamente a los californianos mas vulnerables. El Presidente Núñez añadio que este es el momento para ser creativos y ejercer un liderazgo valiente y con compasión. Es el momento de defender a los más necesitados y encontrar soluciones a la crisis que reflejen los valoress de los californianos.

El Presidente de Asemblea necesita parar este presupuesto.  

Arnold Schwarzenegger thinks small

Really small. He wants to suspend Prop 98, and cut funding for pretty much every state program and department.  You can find his press release about this stinker of a budget at his website. You can find the video of both pressers here.  For a more reasonable summary of what this budget does, here’s Speaker Nunez:

“The budget proposed today is what a cuts only budget looks like and the proponents of a cuts only approach need to own it,” Speaker Núñez said. “This budget isn’t going for an up or down vote today. Clearly if passed as written, it would cause a lot of permanent harm.”

Specifically, the Governor’s proposal:

ü      Drastically cut funds for public schools and universities, healthcare, services for the poor, and law enforcement;

ü      Proposes across the board permanent cuts to services;

ü      Targets cuts on children, the poor, the elderly, and the middle class;

ü      Results in the closure of 48 state parks and beaches.

ü      Proposes drastic cuts to special education, class size reduction, and career technical education;

ü      Requires giving back hundreds of millions of dollars to the federal government that we can’t match, particularly for healthcare; and

ü      Results in tens of thousands of inmates being released early from prison.

Even with the Governor’s permanent cuts, the Administration still estimates that our out-year operating deficit will be close to $3 billion.

“It’s time for creative thinking and courageous action,” Speaker Núñez said. “This budget isn’t particularly creative or courageous. But if we have the will, and we stand up for California values then the ultimate budget solutions we come up with can be.”

Both the Governator’s and the Democrats’ Pressers will be on the Cal Channel. Arnold just finished his, the Dems’ is at 3:30 this afternoon.

David Lazarus: “We Can’t Afford Prop 13 Anymore”

Last month I took the LA Times to task for framing the current budget deficit as a spending problem, and wondered why nobody at the paper seemed interested in focusing on the fact that what California has had for decades is a structural, deliberate revenue shortage.

David Lazarus has taken up the challenge. In today’s column he says what many of us have been arguing for many, many years: Prop 13 must go.

It’s pretty simple, though. Either we spend less money or we raise revenue, or both.

All things considered, our friends in Sacramento aren’t going to suddenly discover the value of frugality — unless packed schoolrooms, broken bridges and crumbling levees are your idea of satisfactory quality of life.

So that means we need to get our hands on some extra cash. And like it or not, that means taxes. That’s a bad word, I know. But it’s how things work in the real world.

Proposition 13 is as good a place as any to start if we want to raise some serious coin and we want to do it soon.

“It’s terrible economics,” said Lenny Goldberg, executive director of the California Tax Reform Assn. “We have the heaviest tax on new investment and no tax on windfall.”

What he means is that Proposition 13 allows the state to reach deep into the pockets of people and businesses that buy property at market value. But it does precious little to get a piece of the action from those with long-held properties that have soared in value over the years.

Amen.

Lazarus does a good job of explaining some of Prop 13’s basic unfairness while also proposing some fixes that avoid hitting elderly and working-class Californians with unaffordable tax bills.

One proposal, which the California Tax Reform Association has already discussed, is to again assess ALL commercial property at market values, instead of giving them the same protections Prop 13 gives to residential property:

Assessing all commercial property at market values could add $5 billion more to state coffers, Goldberg estimated.

“The assessment of commercial property is the biggest hole in the state’s tax system,” he said. “It’s completely indefensible.”…

If the older portions of the Disneyland resort were assessed at the same level as newer ones, he observed, Orange County would be raking in millions of dollars more each year in revenue. This, in turn, would make the county less reliant on assistance from the state.

“It’s only fair,” Goldberg said.

Not only is it fair, but it’s fitting. This WHOLE tax and budget mess got its start not with Prop 13, but with the little-known AB 80, enacted way back in 1967. AB 80 was the Prop 13 of the commercial real estate market, limiting dramatically the ability of local government to use commercial property to pay for its services.

This began the cascading effect that brought us to Prop 13 and, ultimately, to the present crisis. Many California cities had artificially low residential property taxes in the ’50s and ’60s, using higher assessments on commercial property to fund services. When AB 80 disallowed that, the residential rates had to rise. The inflation of the 1970s saw the cost of providing services soar, and that had to come from higher residential property taxes. However, many homeowners had come to see the low taxes of the ’50s and ’60s as a kind of birthright. And so California in the 1970s was consumed by a series of property tax battles, especially at the local level. Prop 13 was the right-wing’s endgame, designed to radically settle the issue in favor of a small group of homeowners at the expense of state government and future buyers.

Even though commercial property values have already begun and will continue to fall along with the collapse of residential values, there is hardly any viable scenario that sees commercial property returning 1980 levels. In fact, at the moment, even the pessimists see real estate returning to 1998-2000 levels, maybe 1994 (the previous bottom) at worst. Assessing commercial properties at fair market value would still capture billions in new revenue even in a recession.

The Cal Tax Reform Association has a number of similar proposals that they claim can raise $17 billion, even without a direct frontal assault on Prop 13. I’ve mentioned their proposals before and will do so again later this week – it’s time we put them at the center of the conversation in California.

But on a deeper level, David Lazarus has begun a discussion that is 30 years overdue. Even if the discussion isn’t easy. Whenever anyone even mentions tweaking Prop 13, people tend to freak out – even at Daily Kos, so-called liberal Democrats in California attacked yours truly for daring mention Prop 13 reform.

The problem is that not enough Californians yet see how Prop 13 works against their interest. The savings on the property tax bill isn’t worth the lack of health care, the inaccessibility of education, and the decaying infrastructure that is starting to cripple our economy. Prop 13’s effect was to create a homeowner aristocracy in this state, where a lucky few who bought homes before, say, 1985 are able to withstand better the economic storms lashing the state, while the rest of us suffer to maintain their privilege.

Lazarus’ column was sparked by an LA Times report that Arnold planned to assess a “fee” on homeowner insurance policies to pay for fire protection. As Lazarus so aptly puts it:

A surcharge on insurance that’s based on a property’s replacement cost, and hence much of its market value. That may not be an honest-to-goodness property tax increase, but it’s about as close as you can come without getting your hair mussed.

It’s too much to hope that Arnold instinctively understands the problem of Prop 13, and in fact he has positioned himself as one of the staunchest defenders of it and its legacy. But as I explained back in October, much to the OC Register’s chagrin, the lack of fire protection is a direct consequence of anti-tax activism. If Arnold is willing to raise revenues for firefighting, he is implicitly opening a door that the rest of us should run through.

Right on, David Lazarus, for reminding us that we’re never going to get out of this budget crisis until we revisit Prop 13. At least someone at the Times gets it!

Do Taxes Drive California’s Economy?

This post originally appeared at Speak Out California.

Do taxes drive California’s economy?

The governor says California is in a budget crisis.  He says we need to cut the state’s spending “across-the-board,” and the Republicans insist that tax increases and other alternatives are off the table.  The media largely seem to be going along with taking discussion of alternatives off the table, and consequently Democrats are too intimidated to bring them up.

But what they are missing is that taxes drive the economy.

Tax-cut proponents say that increasing taxes on the wealthy “takes money out of the economy.”  I wonder where they think the money goes?  Do they think it just goes up into the air and disappears?  

They don’t seem to — or pretend not to — understand that taxes come right back into the economy. It is taxes that pay the salaries of teachers and police officers and that build and maintain our roads.  Then that money circulates from those teachers and construction workers to support our stores and movie theaters and restaurants and to buy homes and cars.  

What would the effect be of a cut?  In California there are approx. 308,000 teachers.  The Governor is proposing a 10% “across-the-board” tax cut.  Imagine the economic consequences if this cut means laying off 10% of those teachers — 30,000 people? This is not the precise plan but it illustrates that spending cuts do not help the economy of California.  In fact it is spending cuts, not tax cuts that “take money out of the economy.”  

And anyway we want what our taxes buy us!  We want our teachers and firefighters and roads and courts and water & sewer systems.  Cuts are not what we want.

Borrowing more money is not the solution, either.  One result of the conservative tax-cutting fever of recent years has been massive borrowing at the state and especially the federal level.  But people have not been told that borrowing is in reality a spending increase because we have to pay interest on that debt.  California is spending $4 billion this year to pay interest on bonds and that is spending that cannot be cut.  That is a lot of spending, and we would not have such a serious deficit if we did not have to pay out that $4 billion.

So the solution to the budget shortfall has to include all the tools in our toolbox.  First, we have to close tax loopholes.  We need to restore the vehicle license fee (which the Governor calls a tax).  Then we need an oil-severance tax – we are the only state in the country that drills oil that doesn’t have one!  And we have to stop being a “donor state” to the federal government.  We send over $50 billion to the feds that we do not get back for programs or services.

Finally, we need tax increases on corporate profits and the wealthy.  Here is why: tax money is used to build the very things that ensure our prosperity.  It is used to build the economy that enables some of us to become very wealthy and stay that way.  Our tax-supported legal system enables and protects businesses and investors.  Our tax-supported economic infrastructure defines and regulates the financial system under which investment occurs to build these businesses. Taxes built the physical infrastructure (like schools and roads) that helps us all in ways that everyone understands.  But taxes also built and support the legal and economic infrastructure that is crucial for economic growth as well.  The Anderson Forecast states that the two keys to a successful economy are infrastructure and education, and that is tax dollars.  Entrepreneurs and businesses look for those qualities when determining where to set up shop.

In other words, the wealthy and businesses have benefitted the most from government investment and they have the most money as a result, so they should be contributing the most.  And middle-class taxpayers are currently being hammered by a different kind of oil tax — huge increases in gas prices at the pump while the oil companies are recording the most profits by any companies ever.  And because of previous spending cuts, the middle class, and particularly our students, are experiencing increases in fees such as college tuition while the benefits of the taxes they pay are going disproportionately to the wealthy.

Of course taxing the very wealthy and corporations might very well take some money out of the Cayman Islands’ or other tax-haven economies, bringing it back to California. (One building in the Cayman Islands is the business address of more than a thousand American corporations.)  And increasing taxes on the wealthiest might even cause someone to have to buy a slightly smaller yacht or private jet in order to be used to pay a few hundred teachers or firefighters.



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Arnold’s Year of Education: Defunding Students Who Need It Most

Education funding has been one of THE defining political issues of modern California. The struggle to produce equitable educational funding for all Californians consumed the state’s courts and eventually its politics in the 1970s. After Prop 13 was passed in 1978, it led to a series of battles in the 1980s to stop the crippling cuts that begin to hit the state’s schools, once the best-supported in the nation. The outcome was mixed – Prop 98 gave some measure of protection to school funding, but the Mello-Roos system also enabled new suburbs access to resources urban schools were denied.

These temporary stopgaps seem to have run their course. As the state budget is collapsing, Arnold has focused his attention on education funding, and plans to balance the budget on the backs of students, instead of making wealthy Californians pay their fair share. But it’s worse than misplaced priorities. At the core of Arnold’s education funding reforms is a Nixonian effort to cut off funding for California’s needy students. Arnold’s goal is to reverse the hard-won victories of an earlier generation, all in the context of hitting education with massive funding cuts to balance the budget.

First, a brief history. In 1968 John Serrano, a parent in Baldwin Park (an LA suburb) sued the state claiming that the method of funding schools denied equality to all California students. At the time, per-pupil spending for Baldwin Park schools was $577 for the school year, but was over twice that number – $1231 – in Beverly Hills. This was because 90% of school funding came from local property taxes, and in districts with higher property values, there was more money for local schools (even though Baldwin Park paid a higher property tax rate than Beverly Hills, land was worth a lot more in Beverly Hills).

The case wound its way through the courts and in 1974 the California State Supreme Court handed down the Serrano v. Priest decision. Serrano and its follow-up decisions mandated that the state reduce these property-wealth-related disparities. In 1977 the state Legislature provided for the implementation of the Serrano decision, but this was kneecapped by Prop 13, passed in June 1978.

There has been a lot of debate about the role of the Serrano decision and the tax revolt. Many political scientists and even some historians see a cause-and-effect relationship here; that Serrano broke the tie between local property taxes and local schools, and homeowners revolted by cutting those taxes instead of seeing them go to help students of color.

But the more historians and scholars look at this, the less certain the link becomes. Most Californians were not aware of the ins and outs of the Serrano decision. And scholar Isaac Martin in 2006 found no evidence to uphold the Serrano => Prop 13 theory. Instead, the property tax revolt is more about a reaction against taxes and government itself. Robert Self has shown in his excellent book American Babylon: Race and the Struggle For Postwar Oakland that Alameda County voters did turn to Prop 13 out of a broad rejection of the welfare state. Over in San Francisco rising inflation led the city to confront its public employees, including its police and firefighters, and voters in SF preferred to deal harshly with them when they struck for fair wages instead of accepting a property tax increase. Even today, anyone involved in California education is depressingly familiar with the opposition of a hardcore antitax faction who will oppose ANY tax increases for schools, no matter how badly they’re needed.

Prop 13’s effect was to cut 60% of property tax revenue immediately. Jerry Brown had been foolishly hoarding a surplus – one of the causes of Prop 13 – and in 1979 and 1980 he used it to help bail out the cities and school districts who were now facing a major budget crunch. The state now took over the funding of public education, and the state guaranteed the equality rules mandated by the courts in Serrano. But, and this point is important – even without Serrano there would still be a need for local schools to be bailed out by the state. Prop 13’s limits are too low to meet the state’s basic needs.

As the budget surplus disappeared, and the state entered recession in the 1980s, Democrats and Republicans both raided education funding to balance the budget. Teachers were fired, classes cut, schools closed. I remember some of this from my own childhood, seeing music classes and other such things cut from my elementary school and being told that “state budget cuts mean you can’t learn an instrument.” We had the vague realization that other, older students had more opportunities and that we were being screwed – if anyone’s interested in why our generation is trending so progressive, this might be worth a look.

The cuts began to worry developers, whose new suburbs depended on the promise of better schools to lure white flight. To assuage them the California Legislature enacted the “Mello Roos” act in 1982, named after its authors, Monterey Senator Henry Mello and LA Assemblymember Mike Roos. This allows towns to create “community facilities districts” that can levy “Mello Roos fees” to fund all kinds of infrastructure needs independently of Prop 13. Designed to make growth pay for itself, Mello Roos gives an enormous advantage to new communities over existing ones in terms of school facilities. In Tustin, where I grew up, the new high school looks more like a college than a high school, with stunning facilities that my 1960s-era campus simply doesn’t have. Older communities, especially those with less wealth, cannot compete.

By 1988, sick of constant state raids on education spending, voters enacted Proposition 98, designed to stop these kinds of crippling cuts. Prop 98 uses a series of “tests” to determine the level of funding for education as a portion of the overall general fund. Right now, according to the Legislative Analyst’s Office, Prop 98 accounts for 45% of the general fund. Prop 98 can be suspended by a 2/3 vote of the legislature in a fiscal emergency, and Arnold is planning to do that this year so as to avoid tax increases and balance the budget on the backs of students.

Prop 98 was only a stopgap, a measure intended to preserve something for education until politicians finally got their act together and solved the structural revenue problem. 20 years later that still hasn’t occurred, and the need for Prop 98 is as strong as ever.

By the 1990s a system had emerged where new suburbs generally had excellent schools – brand-new facilities that attracted teachers and, with new facilities that didn’t require as much maintenance as older ones, could spend more money on teacher pay. Older schools and urban districts such as those in Oakland, or south LA, however, were left behind. When the state economy and budget revenues did well, these schools would get some additional support. But when the economy and revenues dipped, these schools were often first on the chopping block.

California has never really been committed to helping all of its students succeed. Students from disadvantaged backgrounds, from poor communities, or who have special needs have had to fight like hell just to get what opportunities in schools they have today. Serrano and Prop 98 were hard-won victories and yet both have been significantly undermined by a state that prefers low taxes to actually seeing students get the education they have a Constitutional right to receiving.

So it should be no surprise that Arnold’s plan for education involves cutting these students out once again:

— Increasing local control of school finances by ending the requirement that most education funds have to be spent on specific programs.

— Adopting “student-centered funding,” in which a base level of funding would go to all students, then additional funds would go to students who are poor, speak little English or have other extraordinary needs.

These are Nixonian plans. Nixon’s method of killing the Great Society was to stop federal spending on specific projects and instead “block grant” the money to cities and states to spend as they wished. The result was a gutting of federally-guaranteed poverty programs that were badly needed, but that had also been opposed by many localities that were happy to maintain racism and inequality.

Arnold wants to do the same with school spending. If funding for “specific programs” is not mandated, then those programs won’t get funded. If poor, ESL, or other special needs students have to get “additional funding” then guess whose funding is first on the chopping block – theirs.

Typically, the Chronicle presents this as a series of special interests fighting over spoils:

But most of the $41.4 billion spent from the state’s general fund on education is tied to certain categories, from adult education, to English learners, to gifted and talented. And each one has vocal supporters who don’t want to lose the money for the group they’re interested in helping.

“Those people will come off the walls if their money comes into one pot, and they’ll have a separate fight (for their constituents) in every school district,” said Kevin Gordon, president of School Innovations and Advocacy, a lobbying and consulting firm representing school districts.

This is very bad framing, because it suggests that adult education, English learners, and gifted and talented students are special interests with loud backers, instead of people whose needs ought to be met by society as a whole.

Underlying this is a desire by Arnold to favor suburbs over inner cities, to favor middle- and upper-class students over the poor and students of color. Arnold wants to deliver those voters – either core or wobbling Republicans – the education funding that currently goes to students who have the greatest need for it.

The fight over education funding is perhaps the starkest example of what California budgeting is really all about – robbing those who need help to subsidize those who don’t. Keeping taxes on the wealthy low so that everyone else suffers.

The middle class has too often bought into this, but is beginning to realize that they lose more than they gain by cutting education so as to cut taxes. Education is what builds the middle class, after all – California’s current middle class is still living off of Pat Brown’s liberal legacy of free education. Low taxes are nice, but when they come at the expense of your child’s education, which in turn comes at the expense of your own pocketbook (especially when the California economy worsens and the middle-class taxpayer needs government aid to survive), it is a bad deal.

Democrats need to make this case to Californians. Explain to them that education funding isn’t just about teachers and students, but is about our basic future. If the middle class is to survive, if students currently being left behind are going to be helped, if special needs students are going to get the care and attention they need, education funding has to go UP, not down. And special programs have to be BOOSTED, not cut, not made vulnerable.