Tag Archives: delegates

How stuffing the ballot box could hurt the California Democratic Party

In the January Assembly district caucuses to elect delegates to the California Democratic Party, many people reported that union members showed up to support delegates running on a slate for Senator John Burton for CDP chair. Many of these delegate candidates were also union members. I spoke to several of these union members running for delegate at my AD caucus. Both seemed like fine people. Clearly they were dedicated union members. Neither of them were Democratic activists. They had no links to or experience with the party. But, in my district, both are now delegates–or, officially, members of the state Democratic central committee.

I am a firm supporter of bringing new people into the party. But I find this development disturbing for several reasons.

First, in other districts, these new delegates forced out dedicated Democratic activists who have contributed substantially to the state party. The people who voted for them did not do so because they cared about the future of the party, but because their unions asked them to.

Second, these “slate” delegates got elected for only one reason–to vote for Senator Burton for chair. Once they have cast their vote, will they contribute anything to their local party? Or to the state party? Or will they simply disappear, having performed the task their union asked them to? I fear the latter.

We elected one new delegate in my district that I supported enthusiastically. A college student, she is the president of the College Democratic club at her school. She is an energetic volunteer in her county party. And just the kind of new voice the California Democratic Party needs.

But Senator Burton and his labor allies have used the recent delegate elections to achieve their own goals–not to bring new activists into the party. In so doing, they have deprived the party of the commitment and experience of the delegates their “shills” displaced, and of the opportunity to bring in more dedicated activists like the College Dem from my district. The lack of these true Democratic activists in our state party could damage our ability to operate effectively around the state for years to come.  

Winning the Weekend: CDP Assembly Delegate Elections

So, I’m quite proud, and excited, to say that I will be serving as a delegate to the California Democratic Party for the next two years. My election on Saturday went quite well, and the entire Ammiano slate cruised through. And hey, I even ended up second overall in the voting.

The election process went remarkably smoothly, all things considered. Almost 250 people showed up on a Saturday morning to vote for the delegates, and 44 people ran.  People were outside the doors with literature and doing all your typical electioneering practices.  I won’t lie…I brought bagels.  Most, but not all, of the candidates got up to give a speech.

So, how did you do? How was the process?  Did a particular slate take all of the seats? Were they organized by an assembly member, or by John Burton, or an Obama group? I’d love to hear all the gory details.

Crash The Gate In San Luis Obispo & Santa Maria: Day 2

Yesterday on Daily Kos, I explained how my candidacy for Assembly District Delegate in AD-33 was a classic example of “crashing the gate.” Younger volunteers from the Obama campaign are continuing to serve in their communities across the country.

In some communities, there is more than just a tiny bit of friction between us and the old timers and their clubs. I don’t begrudge these long term volunteers their positions. But I do begrudge them their monopoly on local party positions.

If San Luis Obispo is famous for anything, it’s probably the farmer’s market. 20+ years before I moved to the area, I remember my family talking about visiting SLO to go to the Farmer’s Market. Tonight, I went there and leafleted for my campaign.

(Flip)

Here I am on the new Court Street handing out leaflets tonight. This is something I never would have done before I attended a community organizer training with Central Coast United For Change in early December, where I was inspired by Walter Heath and Hilda Zacarias to get more involved in my community.

On that day, we were broken up into groups, and had three hours to pick a project. My group’s project involved raising public awareness for a local non-profit called Transitional Food & Shelter that helps disabled homeless people, who fall through the large cracks in our safety net. We handed out leaflets downtown and wrote a letter to the editor. My belief in this need forced me to overcome my awkward feelings about leafleting. I found most people either kindly decline or kindly accept. Just like my first canvassing experience in Nevada, it was not weird, in fact, it was rewarding.

The happy ending is that our small, little quick action resulted in a surge in donations. I later volunteered to do pro bono legal work for that organization, and started this diary after writing a letter on behalf of one of their clients.

So, tonight, learning what I learned from a group of Obama volunteers, my lovely wife (the cameraperson here) and I hit the pavement.

If that’s too grassrootsy for you, I also bought air time on the local Air America station, KYNS 1340. I got an e-mail from a fellow volunteer today saying, “Heard your radio spot today–didn’t know I was working with a soon-to-be celebrity!!” I sure hope so!

And if that’s too “old media” for you, I also have a very Web 1.0 website helping people sign up for the caucus at http://electstorm.com. I was distraught to see that pre-registration is closed. I don’t remember that on the organizing conference call. I hope people who show up a bit late don’t get the Ken Blackwell Ohio 2004 treatment from our local Democrats!

I’m also planning on sending out some e-mails! I’m so 2002!

I’m a lawyer. It must mean I’m adopted. My mom is a teacher. My dad was a teacher. My wife is a teacher. My mother-in-law is even a teacher! Growing up with a widowed teacher for a mom in California’s High Desert taught me to appreciate the sacrifices teachers make. Some of my wife’s friends from school have been kind enough to support me, I believe, for that reason.

I will always stick up for teachers-that’s my mama you’re talkin’ about!

If any of you are in the Central Coast/San Luis Obispo/Santa Maria area and can come out to our party caucus, please do, regardless of whom you vote for. We made a big leap in the federal elections last year, but California is in desperate straits, and we need the energy people brought to last year’s election to carry over to bring California back.

Hope to see you Sunday!

Last Day to Register to Vote & Bullet Points

Today is the last day to register to vote. Personally, I'd like to see same-day registration. After all, we are living in the era of cheap and tiny computers. This is a fundamental fairness issue, legal voters simply should not be turned away. Nonetheless, here's the voter reg SoS page. Other interesting stuff:

  •  Frank Russo writes about a S-USA poll in the Rumble in the Bubble (SD-03). (I do some work for Leno.) Leno leads overall 42 -22(Nation)-21(Migden). Besides the fact that Leno is the only candidate with net favorables, a number of note is the breakdown for “liberal” voters. Leno leads that category 47-21(Migden)-17(Nation).
  • The Bay Guardian has released the audio of their endorsement interviews at their 2008 spring election center. I'm a big fan of news media outlets releasing such interviews.  Good work SFBG!
  • The elected delegates met yesterday in Sacramento. They talked, chose more delegates, and generally had a good time. The media seems to want to make this some sort of bloodbath, but it seems there was more about unity than anything else.
  • Another item to be slashed in the next budget: Aid for California's disabled.  Perhaps the legislators will go and help some of these Californians themselves? Maybe set up an oxygen tank here, help in the process of dressing there.  I think Roger Niello and Mike Villines would be excellent at that. After all, they want to cut these funds, so why not provide a bit of their time in leiu of the money that is so desperately needed.  That would help, right?  Ok, not so much.
  • Skelton points out the truth: the 2/3 requirement for budgets is “ludicrous.” 

Democrat Lockyer, a former state Senate leader and attorney general, traces California's budget woes back to the 1978 passage of Proposition 13 — the historic property tax cut — and Sacramento's subsequent decision to bail out revenue-short local governments and schools.

“We've been bailing the sinking ship ever since,” he says. “This may be the year when we have to say, 'OK, we're going to make these awful cuts and voters are going to see what the consequences are.' That's kind of a scorched-earth approach, but people somehow think that the budget is going to be balanced by the tooth fairy.

“I don't like it, but there are days when I think that voters need to persuade themselves and reluctant legislators that cuts like these are unacceptable. It's time to do whatever needs to get done to escape this annual torture.”

I'd start by placing a measure on the ballot allowing budgets to be passed by a majority vote — as they are in 47 other states.

But a two-thirds vote is what's ludicrously required today. So the legislators and governor must deal with it.

 

Barack Obama: The Democratic Nominee for President (But You Knew that Already)

Cross-posted on the California Majority Report and the Daily Kos.

Under the collective denial mentality that has hijacked media-types and political observers since the February 5th contests, Senator Barack Obama’s decisive 56-42 win in North Carolina juxtaposed with Senator Hillary Clinton’s narrow 51-49 win in Indiana shows Senator Obama has successfully rebounded from the Rev. Wright controversy and whatever other manufactured non-policy outrages that he’s been forced to address. After all, Obama increased his popular vote lead by over 200,000 votes, and more importantly, his 95 new pledged delegates put him 12 delegates further ahead of Clinton. To borrow a catchphrase from former Democratic Senator Joe Lieberman, Obama’s got O-mentum. However, while O-mentum plays a role at the margins, a few points here or there, the reality is this contest is already over, and these outcomes were largely predetermined.

The Democratic presidential primary is over. Senator Barack Obama is our nominee. It didn’t end last night, although many of the pundits that dragged us along for this performance will try and tell us differently. This race has been over for weeks. Obama successfully cemented an impossible to overcome coalition at some point along his 11-state sweep. By the time of the Ohio primary, it was clear that no amount of delegates in Clinton’s remaining geographical strongholds would come close to overcoming Obama’s delegate lead. Today, you will see the superdelegates continue to publicly and privately align with Obama. Any scenario for victory left in the Clinton playbook would have to, by definition, shred party unity through divisive procedural maneuvers that would alienate voters we’ll need in elections for decades to come. I’m not the least bit concerned, because the party elders see the same polls, the same election returns, and the same voter registration numbers I see, and they aren’t going to permit civil war, not this election year.  

The voters in the remaining states and Puerto Rico, even if they could somehow change the outcome of this race (and they can’t), probably have already made up their minds. Exit polls in Indiana showed that 75 percent of primary voters made up their minds sometime before the week of the primary. That number was 79 percent in North Carolina and 76 percent in Pennsylvania. Enough voters feel sufficiently informed in their voting decisions that there just aren’t many late deciders left in this fight. After 21 debates, thousands of campaign stops, and endless 24-hour coverage, apparently enough voters are confident in their decisions that they don’t need to see the gas tax holiday gimmick mocked endlessly on television, and maybe, just maybe, they don’t need to be convinced that senators Obama and Clinton really do at the bottoms of their hearts love cans of really awful beer.

I will say this: Senator Clinton’s “victory” speech last night was gracious and largely respectful to our nominee. If that is how she conducts herself for the duration of this campaign, she’s more than welcome to stay in the race through June 3rd. The state-to-territory-to-state campaigning has done wonders for Democratic registration everywhere. This will pay dividends for presidential candidate Obama and all the Democrats facing competitive down ballot races. In California, the enthusiasm generated by this presidential race will bring new loyal Democrats into an election that could enable us to achieve a two-thirds majority in the state legislature so we can sanely craft budgets, throw us up to three more Congressional seats, and decide the fate of marriage equality and the more humane treatment of millions of farm animals. These are big deals for our state, and senators Obama and Clinton deserve credit for helping plant the seeds that make these efforts possible.

A positive Democratic primary, largely free of negativity between the candidates, would be good for our party in the remaining states. If Clinton retains the tone from last night’s speech, I say stick around, Senator, and thank you. But forgive me if I use my crystal ball for a moment. It doesn’t matter how much “momentum” Obama generates from his impressive 14-point win in North Carolina; he will lose West Virginia. And it doesn’t matter how much “momentum” Clinton will generate from her impressive win in West Virginia; she will lose Oregon. While Obama basks in the glow of victory in Oregon, Clinton will stake camp in victorious Kentucky, priming Puerto Ricans into thinking they can still swing this race for her. They can’t. She’s not our nominee. But so long as Clinton plays nice and wants to keep this theatre production acceptable for all audiences, with dulled blades, she’s welcome to continue playing the part of a viable presidential candidate. When done right, this road show is good for the party.

Was the Obama Delegate Debacle a Failure of a Decentralized Campaign?

I’m getting slightly conflicting reports about exactly where the decision to “prune” the delegate list came from. One report put it the decision in Chicago’s hands, another says that it was a California decision. But at this point, the most reliable information that I have was that this was a decision made by the California staff, and a decision that perhaps even angered the Chicago staff.

I don’t want to make a huge deal of this because I’m only 90% sure of this, but the signs are pointing to a case of overzealousness.  They wanted to a) make it easier on themselves for the running of the caucus and b) ensure that there weren’t any hidden Clinton fans.  I think they now understand the reaction that this decision has caused and the reasons for that reaction, and even that they made a mistake.

I think we can chalk this up to a more decentralized campaign than we are used to.  That’s generally a good thing in that it empowers local activists if the local campaign staff has some authority and flexibility. It is nice to be able to talk to a decision maker.  But, the down-side of this is that occasionally you get some rookie mistakes.  Look, it didn’t take a rocket scientist to understand that you would cause more problems than you would solve by pruning the list so dramatically. It’s a double-edged sword, but I think I’m ok with that.

As Dave pointed out, it is a good thing that the campaign corrected itself.  It is a good thing that the campaign heard the grassroots speaking. Mistakes happen, and for the last seven plus years we had a president who wouldn’t admit mistakes and wouldn’t correct mistakes.  I’ll be glad to have a an administration who knows and acknowledges that they are fallible.

Obama Campaign Does the Right Thing

One thing I’ve noticed about the Obama campaign is that it reflects the candidate, in that they actually bother to listen and respond.

And so:

David Plouffe just sent out this email…

There has been an extraordinary outpouring of grassroots support for Senator Obama among Democrats and Independents in all 53 California Congressional districts.

In recognition of this tremendous enthusiasm, our campaign has asked the California Democratic Party to allow all persons who have filed to be a district delegate candidate for Senator Obama at the Democratic National Convention to participate in the caucuses this Sunday, April 13, 2008.

We are confident that delegates elected from this pool will reflect the Senator’s commitment to a diverse and unified delegation at the National Convention.

An overwhelming number of supporters have signed up to run for delegate, so there will likely be lines and tight space at the caucus locations. We ask for everyone’s patience and cooperation.

Most of all, please enjoy this opportunity to meet other Obama supporters and elect delegate candidates to the Convention in Denver.

If you have any questions, please contact Daryl Sprague at [email protected].

Thanks for your interest and active participation in Barack’s campaign to change politics and change America.

David

David Plouffe

Campaign Manager

Obama for America

In the end, the weird randomness of the pruning and anger from sections of the grassroots necessitated this.  I didn’t have as big a problem with it as everyone else, but I’m glad it reached a good resolution… until Sunday, that is 🙂

The Race for Delegates is NOT Over

Delegate rules in Super Tuesday states might not produce clear front-runners



In a two- or three-person race such as the Democrats’, proportional allocation means candidates will win some delegates in virtually every state, raising the possibility of a tie, or at least an unsettled race, after Super Tuesday. If there’s no final decision on Super Tuesday, operatives in both parties said, attention would turn to primaries in Texas and Ohio on March 4, in Pennsylvania on April 22 and in other states.

We’re in uncharted territory,” said Burdett Loomis, a University of Kansas political-science professor.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com…

—-

Well let’s take time for an objective analysis of that Delegate Race …

Sometimes a Picture or two is worth a 1000 rants …

I’ve compiled the Delegate Counts from CNN’s Politics page, as of the morning after the South Carolina Primary:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/20…

These CNN Counts include Pledged Super Delegates.

These Pie Charts tell the story a still quite competitive race:

Pledged Delegates for the first 4 States

Pledged Delegated for ALL States

Pledged Delegates for ALL States Vs ALL Remaining Delegates

I’ve also supplements this with the Unpledged Delegates from Super Tuesday:

Starting with the baseline numbers from this Election Lineup site

[Note the total Super Tuesday Delegates 2,075 was adjust down to reflect those already committed from those states.]

As most objective analysis are now admitting, this still won’t be decided by Super Tuesday.  1902 Delegates are up for grabs that day — no one Candidate is likely to get enough of them, to get to that Magic number needed to win: 2025

Pledged Delegates for ALL States Vs Number of Delegate needed to win

So the race is still on … it’s a long ways from over.

A lot can happen in 3 months.

The best thing to do is to GET BUSY, supporting your Candidate.

As Professor Loomis noted well:

We’re in uncharted territory

It’s probably a good time to dig out those maps:

the Feb 5th Schedule:

Alabama (60, PP);

Alaska (18, CC);

Arizona (67, PP);

Arkansas (47, PP);

California (441, PP);

Colorado (71, CC);

Connecticut (60, PP);

Delaware (23, PP);

Democrats Abroad (11, PP+CC);

Georgia (103, PP);

Idaho (23, CC);

Illinois (185, PP);

Kansas (41, CC);

Massachusetts (121, PP);

Minnesota (88, CC);

Missouri (88, PP);

New Jersey (127, PP);

New Mexico (38, PP);

New York (281, PP);

North Dakota (21, CC);

Oklahoma (47, PP);

Tennessee (85, PP);

Utah (29, PP)

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/…

—-

The fight to Take OUR Country Back Continues

(as does the Fight to Keep it, no doubt.)

CAuKos Dinner

( – promoted by Brian Leubitz)

[cross-posted from Daily Kos]
Fellow delegates to the CA Democratic Party, fellow Kossacks – let’s get together!  The San Diego contingent (Dean Nut and I) would like to plan a dinner for Saturday night, someplace close and quiet.  Will you join us?

This would be instead of attending the Convention Dinner.  We’ll have better food; it will cost less (and I’m happy to pick up the tab for anyone whose budget would allow it – please don’t stay away because of money, OK?); and Nancy Pelosi won’t be joining us (whether that’s a pro or a con each of us needs to decide for him/herself – but the other two are definite plusses!).  Plus, of course, it’s a chance to socialize with your fellow CA Kossacks.

Date: Saturday, April 28
Time: 7:30pm
Location: TBD (but walking distance, for sure)

That’s all we’ve worked out in the way of planning; details to follow as they emerge.

Will you join us, please?

Please visit the Kos diary to reply to the poll (two identical polls in different places is too hard for me to track).