Tag Archives: Barbara Boxer

Boxer Holds Comfortable Leads Going Into 2010

The Field Poll has been busy this week with a spate of polls on state politics, topping it off with this look at the 2010 Senate race which suggests that Boxer is in a good position given the potential challengers she might face – Arnold Schwarzengger and Carly Fiorina:

Boxer: 54 (43)

Schwarzenegger: 30 (44)

Undecided: 16 (13)

(Numbers in parentheses are from the October 2007 Field Poll)

Boxer: 55

Fiorina: 25

Undecided: 20

Of some concern might be Boxer’s overall “inclination to reelect” numbers, but a comparison with previous polling at this state of the race (18 months before the election) suggests this is a somewhat normal state of affairs. The first number is the March 2009 poll result, and the numbers in parentheses are from April 2003 and May 1997.

Reelect Boxer: 42 (38) (41)

Don’t reelect Boxer: 43 (43) (46)

No opinion: 15 (19) (13)

One of the most hilarious results of this poll is how crappy Chuck DeVore fares. As our friends at OC Progressive point out DeVore’s activity on social networking sites doesn’t really seem to be paying off. He gets 9% in a GOP primary that includes Arnold and Fiorina and only 19 when it’s just himself against Fiorina. joeesha put it well:

Even more devastatingly, 82 percent of the electorate has NO OPINION of DeVore and that includes 80 percent of Republicans.

The coup de grace is that DeVore’s results were so dismal, the Field Poll didn’t even poll him directly against Boxer, who easily defeats both Schwarzenegger and former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Last month, DeVore was awarded the “Shorty Award” for best political use of Twitter, an instant text messaging service.

I guess he’s still coming up a bit short.

The 2010 elections may see an interesting dynamic – Republican female CEOs trying to convince a state that’s had enough of Republicans and corporations that they should in fact give them the reins of power. As the Field Polls suggest, that’s not likely to happen.

Steven Chu’s Wake Up Call

The new Energy Secretary, UC Berkeley physicist Steven Chu, has offered a chilling warning to California of the consequences of unchecked global warming – consequences we’re already witnessing:

“I don’t think the American public has gripped in its gut what could happen,” he said. “We’re looking at a scenario where there’s no more agriculture in California.” And, he added, “I don’t actually see how they can keep their cities going” either….

Chu warned of water shortages plaguing the West and Upper Midwest and particularly dire consequences for California, his home state, the nation’s leading agricultural producer.

In a worst case, Chu said, up to 90% of the Sierra snowpack could disappear, all but eliminating a natural storage system for water vital to agriculture.

One of those cities facing severe crisis already is Bolinas, in Marin County:

The oceanside enclave in Marin County has enacted some of the state’s toughest water restrictions. Each customer – with the exception of schools and some businesses – may use no more than 150 gallons a day, about 4,500 gallons each month.

A third violation of the order would allow the Bolinas Community Public Utility District to cut off water.

Without drastic cutbacks, officials say, the community of 1,200 could run out of water by the end of April. The town on the southern end of the Point Reyes Peninsula already is drawing from two emergency reservoirs, one of which is effectively empty.

There are a lot of California cities that are nervously watching Bolinas and the dry reservoirs, including Monterey. Sure, we’re due to get some rain tonight, but the estimates are that we’ll get 1-2 inches tops out of the two storms lined up in the Pacific. At this point we need a deluge reminiscent of March and April 2006 to recharge our reservoirs, severely depleted by three months of drought.

Back to Secretary Chu – he offered a strong warning to Americans about the need to not delay action on global warming and sustainable energy use:

He said the threat of warming is keeping policymakers focused on alternatives to fossil fuel, even though gasoline prices have fallen over the last six months from historic highs. But he said public awareness needs to catch up. He compared the situation to a family buying an old house and being told by an inspector that it must pay a hefty sum to rewire it or risk an electrical fire that could burn everything down.

“I’m hoping that the American people will wake up,” Chu said, and pay the cost of rewiring.

One of those who ought to be listening is Senator Barbara Boxer, who was yesterday reported to be working with global warming denier Jim Inhofe to divert $50 billion in transit funding for highways. Massive pressure from transit activists has led Boxer to lessen the damage somewhat but she is still working with Inhofe, for reasons that defy all logic and common sense, and Transportation for America which has led this fight still opposes the amendment.

As the US Senate fiddles, and as the Yacht Party actively seeks to destroy our state’s government, California is going dry. The climate crisis is here.

Is AB 32 all we get? Nothing from Boxer.

It seems as if AB 32 is all we are going to have to deal with climate change.  That is perhaps the single biggest failure of our generation.

The connections between global warming and our energy policy are well known and only the stubbornest Republicans hold on to the Gospel according to Senator Inhofe. After Secretary Chu says that energy is “the defining issue of our time” you expect something to happen.  When Barbara Boxer replaced Inhofe as the Chair of the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, most of us who understand ecology greeted the change with a sigh of relief.  Now, even Boxer is saying that we will get no legislation on climate change in 2009.  At least those words were used in her press conference yesterday as reported by Joe Robb at Climate Progress.  

I am not sure that we can afford to wait that long.  The next meeting of the IPPC committee is in December in Copenhagen.  If the US Senate does not have it’s act together by then, the rest of the world is not going to take anything we say very seriously.  I would think that not even Chuck “Nukes are Nice” Devore could do less.  Boxer appears to have no sense of urgency on this.

Maybe she ought to have a long sit down talk with James Hansen. I would probably help them both. I know that Hansen has testified to her committee before. I also know that his public pronouncements have been alarmist, but have consistently under-estimated the rate at which our environment is changing.

At least, Boxer announced her

Principles for Global Warming Legislation
at the press conference. While they sound good, there are totally without any substantive implementation, and that leaves us with AB 32.

Both AB 32 and Boxer’s Principles are flawed in that they rely on the magic of the market to provide the mechanism for controlling emissions.  This is the same thinking that gave us derivatives based on mortgage backed securities.  This is the same mechanism that is failing to produce the expected change in the EU because companies cheat and regulators don’t regulate.

This is worth more discussion, which I will do in a series of posts this week.  Let it suffice to say that I am once again disappointed in the fact that Boxer fails to live up to her reputation as a champion of the environment.  

Auto Industry Resigned to California’s Leadership On Climate Change

President Obama has officially directed the EPA to review the decision to deny California (and 17 other states) a waiver under the Clean Air Act to regulate its own greenhouse gas emissions, and considering that Obama’s EPA is about to hire the lead attorney in the Supreme Court case that found the EPA has the authority regulate carbon emissions, I expect we will see the waiver granted in short order.

“For the sake of our security, our economy and our planet, we must have the courage and commitment to change,” Obama said in the East Room of the White House. “It will be the policy of my administration to reverse our dependence on foreign oil while building a new energy economy that will create millions of jobs.”

Today’s actions come as Obama seeks to fulfill campaign promises in the first days of his administration. The moves fulfill long-held goals of the environmental movement.

Lawmakers and environmentalists throughout California are hailing the move (I’ll put some reactions on the flip).  But notably, another group on board with the decisions are – wait for it – the automakers.

Auto-industry officials were surprisingly receptive to President Obama’s announcement about tightening emission standards, saying the steps he announced were the best they could hope for.

“It seems the president has set out a reasonable process,” said a top industry official who refused to be named. “He can say with credibility that there’s a new sheriff in town. Now, maybe there’s room to discuss this with stakeholders.”

The uncertainty of the process, given the Bush Administration’s failure to set standards passed by Congress in the 2007 energy bill and this looming fight over the California waiver which could have ended up in Congress or the courts, may be a factor in the auto companies’ tepid support.  So too is the fact that Obama and the federal government still partially controls the fate of the Big Three in the auto industry bailout.

Eventually, we will much to what amounts to a national standard, with 40% of the country’s population poised to back California’s emissions targets and the auto industry forced to calibrate to the higher standard.  This will SPUR innovation, not dampen it, and will eventually be a boon to an industry which has failed to adapt to changing needs for far too long.

As promised, I have some local reactions.  Here are a few from the above-linked LA Times article:

California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger called the actions historic. California has the most aggressive policies, though other states plan to follow California’s lead.

“Allowing California and other states to aggressively reduce their own harmful vehicle tailpipe emissions would be a historic win for clean air and for millions of Americans who want more fuel-efficient, environmentally friendly cars,” said Schwarzenegger in an e-mailed statement.

“This should prompt cheers from California to Maine,” said Frank O’Donnell, president of Clean Air Watch, speaking before today’s formal announcement. He praised Obama as “a man of his word” for the decision.

Tim Carmichael, senior policy director at the Coalition for Clean Air, hailed the decision as a vital step for the administration and the world in the fight against global warming.

“I think Obama got a clear message that this is a priority not only for California state protection but also for planetary protection,” Carmichael said.

And here’s Chair of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, Sen. Barbara Boxer:

“I have long said that granting California the waiver so that California and 18 other states can address tailpipe emissions from cars is the best first step the President can take to combat global warming and reduce our dependence on foreign oil. It is so refreshing to see that the President understands that science must lead the way. We know that the scientists and professionals at EPA have made it clear that science and the law demand that the waiver be granted. As Chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, I will be working with the new EPA Administrator to ensure that the California waiver moves forward as quickly as possible. The President’s comments about the importance of American leadership on clean energy and global warming were also music to my ears.”

Speaker Nancy Pelosi:

“This morning, President Obama signaled that our country can no longer afford to wait to combat the climate crisis and our dangerous dependence on foreign oil.  He is setting our country on a path led by science and innovation, in a dramatic departure from the past eight years.

“Granting the request of California and other states to move forward with reducing greenhouse gases emissions from vehicles will steer American automakers to retool their fleets.  Only through innovation will automakers be able to create the greener cars of the future and regain their global competitiveness.

“President Obama has also sent a clear message on CAFE standards.  Restarting the implementation of new fuel efficiency standards will allow the Obama Administration to bring fresh thinking to the process and ensure the standards achieve the goals set by Congress in the landmark 2007 energy bill.  

“The New Direction Congress will work with President Obama to embrace a clean, renewable, and energy-independent future for America.  We look forward to building on the historic Energy Independence and Security Act with an economic recovery package that works to double renewable energy generation, invests in green infrastructure, and creates the clean energy jobs that will provide a stronger economy for the future.”

Chairman of the Energy and Commerce Committee, Henry Waxman:

This is a tremendous and long overdue step for energy independence and the environment. President Obama is taking the nation in a decisive new direction that will receive broad support across the country.

Barbara Boxer vs. Arnold Schwarzenegger Latest Poll

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 1/5-7. Likely voters. MoE +/- 4%

Boxer (D) 49

Schwarzenegger (R) 40

It isn’t likely that there are a pair of socks thick enough to warm Arnold’s cold feet and his 51% unfavorable is only likely to grow as he has joined the Republican legislators in stonewalling a budget. But, the fact that 31% of California Democrats have a favorable view shows how much work the CDP has not done. Hopefully, despite John Burton’s close friendship, the CDP will remedy that number.

As for Boxer, she is under 50% in a head-to-head, but the poll didn’t test her re-elect number. Her net favorable is only two points, which is also a concern. With only 2/3 of Democrats holding a favorable view, she needs to shore up her base. Her best age group is the under 30 crowd with a net +8, but she is nowhere near the range of the Barack Obama youth surge.

I would have also liked to have seen numbers on Steve Poizner and Meg Whitman as they are far more likely to be the nominee. What are you seeing in the numbers.

UPDATE by Dave: Actually, the huge mistake of this poll is not running numbers on the guy who’s going to actually be the Republican nominee, Chuck DeVore.  He just secured the endorsements of practically the entire GOP State Assembly and over half of the GOP partisan officeholders in the state.  And it’s January ’09.  There is no chance that Arnold Schwarzengger, loathed by his base, can beat DeVore in a closed primary.  None.  Ain’t gonna happen.  There’s only one head-to-head worth polling, and that’s Boxer/DeVore.  Poizner and Whitman are running for Governor.  The field is cleared.

Boxer Calls For Independent Commission On Bush Torture

It’s expected for a lawmaker in the beginning of a new election cycle to get a little more active, with high-profile articulations of positions on key issues.  So it is for Sen. Barbara Boxer.  In the past week, she has released a report on the statewide recession, featuring interviews with local officials from all 58 counties; demanding that Attorney General Mukasey intervene to reverse a “blatantly illegal” memo by EPA Administrator Stephen Johnson claiming that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant (the Supreme Court has already ruled that it is); and most interesting to me, wrote a letter to incoming Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chair John Kerry calling for hearings on the Bush Administration’s use of torture, as well as an outside commission to investigate it:

I write today to raise an issue of the utmost significance — the Administration’s use of torture against detainees held in U.S. custody. Despite widespread condemnation from Members of Congress, policy experts, and human rights advocates, Vice President Richard Cheney stated in a recent interview with ABC News that the torture policies used against detainees were appropriate and admitted that he played a role in their authorization. In fact, when asked if any of the tactics — including waterboarding — went too far, he responded with a curt “I don’t.”

I find Vice President Cheney’s response deplorable, particularly in light of a recent report released by the Senate Armed Services Committee following an eighteen-month investigation. In sum, the bipartisan report found that “senior officials in the United States government solicited information on how to use aggressive techniques, redefined the law to create the appearance of their legality, and authorized their use against detainees.” The report, led by Senate Armed Services Chairman Carl Levin, concluded that “those efforts damaged our ability to collect accurate intelligence that could save lives, strengthened the hand of our enemies, and compromised our moral authority.” I fully support Chairman Levin’s proposal for an outside Commission with subpoena power to investigate this matter further.

The whole letter is here.  This is one step away from the needed call for an independent prosecutor to investigate Bush’s war crimes, but it’s as close as any Senator has been willing to go.  This suggests that Boxer considers an investigation of this nature to not only be the right thing to do in a democracy, but not electorally damaging whatsoever.  She should be supported in this belief and encouraged to go even further.  I know that Senator Boxer has begun asking for contributions to her re-election campaign.  Maybe a series of contributions of $9.12, signaling support for a “9/12” torture commission and an independent prosecutor, along with emails and letters explaining this, would relay the message?

Campaign 2010 Odds and Ends

Just because it’s never too early to get a campaign fix, here are a few items that amused, exasperated and provoked me the past few days.

• Topline political commentators still have no idea what they’re talking about concerning Barbara Boxer’s race for Senate in 2010.  Chris Cillizza seems to think that Boxer is vulnerable to a challenge by Arnold Schwarzenegger.  First of all, her approval ratings are BETTER than Arnold’s.  Second, there’s no way he can win a Republican primary after having advocated for tax increases.  His positions on health care reform and global warming and Prop. 8 don’t help either, but in particular the tax position is untenable in a closed Republican primary.  Chuck DeVore would slaughter him in a straight-up one-on-one matchup.  The Yacht Party isn’t going to line up behind Schwarzenegger.  It’s just not going to happen. And Arnold knows it, which is why he won’t run.

• As for Schwarzenegger’s successor, the great hope of the Republican Party, former eBay executive Meg Whitman, has already lost top political operatives Steve Schmidt and Adam Mendelsohn before she’s even announced for the position.  FAIL.  Although, given Schmidt’s performance on John McCain’s campaign, I’m not sure you want his help.  I think it’s important for Democrats to make Schmidt absolute poison for any California Republican seeking to hire him.

• Meanwhile, Jerry Brown, angling for the Governor’s office for a third term, is getting fund-raising help from Gray Davis.  See above re: poison.

• Glenn Greenwald has been tracking Dianne Feinstein’s presumed backpedaling and vagueness regarding torture and forcing all branches of government to comply with the Army Field Manual on interrogations.  This bears a lot of watching.  Feinstein’s equivocations and turnarounds against her constituents are so perfunctory now as to be banal, but if she thinks she can get away with wavering on torture and still try to win votes, she’s just flat wrong.

• This article at Swing State Project posits that Obama won 4 Congressional districts in California currently held by Republicans – Gallegly (CA-24); Dreier (CA-26); Bono-Mack (CA-45); Bilbray (CA-50).  He bases this on assumptions from the county-level data, assumptions which I’m not sure can be made.  Anecdotally, I heard Obama carried CA-48, so if anything the diarist may be undercounting this.  Once all the data is received, we’ll have a full report, but I find this too speculative to be worthy of comment.

• I should also note that Steve Poizer already has a campaign website up for the 2010 Governor’s race.  Only 547 days until the primary, it helpfully informs.

Thursday Open Thread

Just a reminder about the Internet  for Everyone Townhall on Saturday at the Radisson at USC.  Should be interesting, just click that ad to the right. Now, to the links

Chuck DeVore has his first TV ad for the 2010 Senate race against Sen. Boxer.  No word on other candidates for this race, but if DeVore is it, well, I’ll be entertained.

• CA-41: Is Jerry Lewis in more legal trouble related to a plea bargain by Duke Cunningham briber Mitchell Wade?  Lewis has dodged these bullets plenty of times before, but Wade is apparently singing like a canary.

• Check it out, our own Dante Atkins’ ad about Prop. 8 and the Mormons found its way into a Jonah Goldberg column and, apparently, Hannity and Colmes last night.  The column is Goldberg’s usual collection of deliberate omissions (that whole “separation of church and state” thing) and outright falsehoods.  Hey, Dante, the author of Liberal Fascism wrote about you!  Swell company!

• Some folks on the local level are fighting back against the raid on their money. In this case its redevelopment agencies suing the state for taking money from their fund to put into the general fund.

• This is a very favorable ruling for California consumers, protecting them from getting squeezed when they use an out-of-network provider for emergency room visits.

Gov. Schwarzenegger isn’t asking for money to pay day-to-day expenses, but rather for money for infrastructure projects. This directly contradicts the letter that Speaker Bass sent Speaker Pelosi and our Senators. Bass asked for money more in the form of a “bailout.”

• While everybody else is focusing on the Prop 8 numbers from the PPIC poll, Joe Matthews is looking at the opportunity for initiative reform.  There are some interesting possibilities there, including greater transparency and the possibility of getting a legislative review process.

CA-Sen: How Chuck DeVore Can Beat Barbara Boxer

Chuck DeVore discussed his senate campaign with Erick Erickson of RedState prior to his announcement. If you read between the lines, DeVore’s plan (loosely based on the plot of the movie Superman) is to have the left half of the state fall into the ocean. But instead of nuking the San Andreas, DeVore’s scheme is to drill enough offshore and throw enough red meat to the base inland to create an unnatural imbalance in California that results in a devastating earthquake.

“A plurality also favor offshore drilling,” he tells me, again pointing out Barbara Boxer disagrees. Boxer, he emphasizes, “is an unreconstructed extremist liberal.” That’s red meat rhetoric that will play well to the Republican base.

Devore is committed to picking off Boxer. In 2010, an political earthquake is coming to California. He is taking advantage of it.

Actually, DeVore as an evil mastermind is far more Dr. Evil than Lex Luthor, thinking he can win with minorities.

Devore and the conservatives in California are much more in line with Latino voters and black voters than Barbara Boxer and the urban white elites whose policies have made it even more difficult for poorer families to survive.

Clearly, DeVore resonates with the right-wing bloggers to the point they make even less sense than normal. He is their type of candidate and I fully expect them to Palinate DeVore through the primary and bring him to within 20 pts of Boxer when all of the voters are counted.

Barbara Boxer