Tag Archives: Prop 89

Results!

I told you I’d be back bright and early! Well, all in all, a pretty good night.  So, let’s get to some results:

  • Yes, Arnold won.  But the only thing he proved is that the Democratic vision for this state is alive and well.  By co-opting our platform, Arnold showed that the Republican vision for this state is just not one that we are prepared to deal with.
  • CA-11: Jerry won!  Ding-dong the environmental witch is dead. Congratulations, this was really a victory for the netroots, a victory for ethics, and a victory for the environment.
  • Arnold’s coattails were non-existent, well, unless you can add Poizner’s $15million of his own money to those tails. The GOP took only the two statewide races, Gov and InsComm, and they were resoundigly defeated elsewhere.
    • CA-LtG: McClintock’s name ID wasn’t sufficient to propel him over the top and John Garamendi will be our next lite gov.  I know this position is essentially powerless, but would you really want McClintock to have gubenatorial powers when Arnold leaves the state?  Or to give him any further platform? Me neither.
    • CA-SoS: Woohoo! Debra Bowen won!!! Finally, somebody will address the issues of electoral integrity from the SoS office. Bowen will be a phenomenal SoS.  You’ve done a good job, California.
    • CA-Controller: All that money that Intuit and the Indian gaming interests dumped into IEs for Strickland were completely unsuccessful.  Chiang won this one going away.  Again, he’ll do a great job.
    • The less competitive races: As expected Jerry Brown defeated Pooch and Lockyer defeated the repo’d man. Both were far better than their scary competition.
    • CA-InsComm: Well, Poizner was right, we cruzed, we losed.  Next time, we’ll get some better candidates.  However, in the interim, Poizner is now primed to run for governor, the position he wanted anyway.  It’s time to start branding him the way we want.

  • DiFi won.  Oh look, we have our “independent” senator back. We missed our shot to push her back to the left by running a primary challenger, but I think we learned a lesson from CA-36, where Marcy Winograd forced Jane Harman to pay attention to her consitituents. Perhaps that’s a lesson that some other Congress people should pay attention to
  • Right now it looks like Lynn Daucher(R) won by 13 votes in SD-34.  Yes, thirteen. Currently the tally stands at 38,666 for Correa and 38,679 for Daucher.  There will be a recount for sure and a thorough counting of all ballots and a check for provisionals.  There was a lot of dirtiness in the OC’s elections, so this one is far from over.
  • Props: Well paint me stupid.  I thought that some of the bonds would go down, but it looks like they all came through easily.  Hmm, well, I was wrong. It happens sometimes when you go out on a limb, but Arnold and the DemGang went all out in the last two weeks and that seems to have worked.  However, Props 85 and 90 were both defeated.  Yay! Maybe they will stop trying to put that stupid parental notification on the ballot again and again.  But I doubt it. This time it was beaten more soundly receiving only 45.9%,as compared to 47.2 last year. 

    We barely squeaked by on Prop 90.  Whew!! That was way too close for comfort at 47.4% Yes. We’ll need to address paid signature gathering soon.  I’m really sick of the Howie Rich’s of the world coming here and trying to mess with our system.

    Props 86-89 all failed.  The forces against them, Big Tobacco, Big Oil, the monied special interests and well I don’t know about 88, but they just got wiped out by the TV ads.  They obfusicate the issue and hope people will just vote no.  It worked this time.  Next time we’re going to work just as hard.  Particularly, Clean Money and the Alternative Energy/Oil Tax were good ideas. You haven’t heard the last of them.

  • Ok, I’ll be back soon; I need to take a nap.

    Odds and Ends

    The Clock is ticking, there’s tons of stuff going on, and I’m sick. Yuck.  But what can you do?  So, teasers: POLLS  on the props, Clinton across California, Charlie Brown stands up to Doolittle, Arnold Schwarzenegger has taken lots of special interest money, and The OC GOP is F’d, seriously, f’d up.

    And more…see the extended.

  • Debra Bowen has some new radio ads
  • The Clinton campaign chronicles
    • The SF Chronicle notes that Bill’s support is incredibly valuable to the Prop 87 campaign.
    • SNTP has pics of Bill Clinton’s GOTV rally in Stockton.
    • The Stockton Record said over 1,000 people waited in the rain to see the Big Dog.
  • BlackBoxVoting has uncovered a way to vote multiple times. Oh yeah, these machines are in use in California, and McPherson doesn’t think the voting machines are a problem. Sure, Bruce, sure.
  • Arnold has now raised over $113 million.   Wow, for somebody who can’t be bought, the special interests have sure put a big down payment on purchasing Arnold.
  • Field Poll (PDF)   released their data on Props 85, 86, 87, and 90: 3.5% MoE
    • Prop 85 is slightly ahead, but within the MoE: 46% Yes, 43% No,  11% undecided
    • Prop 86 is tied: 45% Yes, 45% No, 10% Undecided
    • Prop 87 is slightly behind: 40% Yes, 44% No, 16% Undecided
    • Prop 90 is slightly behind: 35% Yes, 42% No, 23% undecided.
    • Hopefully some of those undecideds on 90 will be swayed by Arnold’s rejection of Prop 90.
  • Also, the new Datamar poll (PDF) is out.  Again, take this one with a BIG grain of salt. Heck, they insist repeatedly that the DiFi race is closer than the governor’s race.  Sorry, but something is wrong with your LV model. Seriously wrong
    • Gov: Arnold leads Phil 53-36
    • Senator: DiFi leads Dick “Pray for Me” Mountjoy 53-38
    • Bonds:
      • 1A (I know not a bond, but a bad budgeting amendment) leads 57-27
      • 1B(Transportation) and 1E (Disaster Preparedness) are comfortably ahead, 1C (Housing) and 1D (Schools) are struggling.
    • Other Props:
      • 83 (Jessica’s Law), 84(Parks and Water Bonds) comfortably ahead, 88 (Parcel tax), 89 (Clean Money) are behind
      • 85 (Parental Notification), 86 (Health Care), 87 (Alternative energy) are too close to call
      • Prop 90 has a small lead, down a lot form Datamar’s last poll. (46 Yes – 41 No)  Still folks, this one is still too close.  However, this is likely before Arnold’s rejection of Prop 90.
  • The Clean Money Election Folks are having a bus tour around the state.  This is a real opportunity, no matter what the crazy Datamar poll says. Clean Money will increase the strength of people-powered politicians.  In the new system, rich people won’t have more power than anybody else.  Clean money works (see Arizona and Maine). Schedule here.
  • CA-04: Brown said that the war was wrong in 2004 , and somehow that’s attack on the troops? Direct quote from a Doolittle commercial: “When troops are under fire, there is no difference between supporting the troops and supporting their mission.” Really, so people at home should never question our leaders when they go to war?  Sure, Doolittle sends his proxy to do that.  You see, Doolittle can’t really attack a 26-year veteran, as he didn’t serve at all.  The notion that Brown is somehow unpatriotic for questioning our leaders is preposterous.  Real patriotism is using our democracy to find the best policy.  We need to protect our troops from leaders like Cheney and Doolittle who avoided service yet criticize others who have served.
  • The Hoover poll (via CA Majority Report) shows all Dems ahead, except Phil and Cruz.  However, there are some super scary numbers in there about the props. 90 appears to be far ahead, but the question on these polls becomes really important, and I’m not convinced of any of these numbers.  I really don’t think anybody has an idea of where the props are.
  • How very GOP of Mike Carona: He’s demoting his primary challenger, Bill Hunt, for criticizing him during the election and talking to the media.  Oh, and Carona also demoted two other deputies that supported Hunt. So, that’s not protected speech how?
  • The OC GOP doesn’t like Arabs…or Cynthia McKinney. (LAT)
  • Odds and Ends 10/30/06

    Let’s get straight to it… Teasers: Duncan Hunter for president (no, really), Nancy Pelosi…doing Pelosi stuff, the cash path, Jerry McNerney, and Charlie Brown is a tough SOB. 

    Move along past the flip.

  • CA-11: Those lies that Pombo is spreading that McNerney wants North Korea to have nukes? Well, it’s a wink-wink message to his voters that he’s tough. Ugh, if you mean tough on the environment, I could agree.  On foreign policy? Stupidly brazen does not equal tough. Well, I guess it does if you’re a loyal Bush Republican. And oh yeah, Pombo doesn’t think Iraq is relevant to the election.
  • CA-04: Speaking of tough, Charlie Brown is the smart kind of tough that we need in Congress. Brown will actually push to investigate the war profiteering, just as Harry Truman did during WWII. War profiteering is a disgusting crime that puts corporate profits over the safety of our soldiers.  So, GOP, if you ask about all the investigations that will be launched when we take back Congress, look directly at Halliburton.  Where is that money going, and why is not going to our troops?  Brown understands that we need a real policy in Iraq, not just W’s “stay the course” BS.
  • LT. Gov: George Skelton likes the Lt. Governor’s race, just not the actual position of Lt. Gov. Both Garamendi and McClintock will give you the “straight talk” that the media loves.  But, only McClintock is totally and completely insane.  The man wants to completely trash the minimum wage.  No, I’m serious, the man thinks that there should not be a minimum wage at all. It’s true, he said it.
  • The LAT says Pelosi’s a centrist in San Francisco , I would argue that she’s actually quite conservative for San Francisco. Her ruling out of impeachment shows that.  There is actually a referendum on SF’s ballot that asks whether we should officially support impeachment.  It has a pretty good shot of passing. Now, personally, I’m not a fan of that particular referendum, I don’t think it really does anything, so why bother? However, it will serve as a somewhat useful thermometer of San Francisco’s political temperature.  I don’t always support Pelosi on the issues, but she has been remarkably successful.  She has done what others around her in the progressive wing of the party who have served just as long have failed to do.  She has been a strong voice for our party, and even her conservative SF values are a heck of a lot better than Denny Hastert’s values.
  • More on Pelosi: The NYTimes notes that she is now serving as a lightening rod.  Well, duh, Nancy Pelosi, no matter her successes or failures will always be a lightening rod.  And that’s not particularly a bad thing.  She has created a message consistency in the Democratic Party that has been unseen for a long period of time.  And that, my friends, is real toughness.
  • Legislators in Sacramento are bringing in the donations, and then greasing the skids with them.  It’s a bit incestuous, no?  Want a change? Vote Yes on Prop 89.
  •   OMFG! I’m laughing so hard…This is just rich! Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Alpine) is going to run for president. You know, Lemon chicken and 2 veg? Apparently, he thinks the Republicans really need to stand up for neoconservatism. No, really, this is serious, the man is going to run for president.  He may be powerful in the House, but he has a name ID slightly higher than me. Ok, that’s all for now…hahahahahahahaha
  • Weekend Odds and Ends 10/29

    I haven’t done any Weekend Odds and Ends. I tend to get a bit lazy, but they are just as important around these days.  So, here we go. Teasers: Pray for Mountjoy, Schwarzenegger and his hypocrisy on crime, Pombo’s ghost, Prop 89 and more.

  • Dick Mountjoy wants your prayers…because he really really needs them.
  • Arnold’s tough on crime and criminals…or is he?
  • Pombo is haunted by a spoooky ghost…he’s called Jack Abramoff.
  • Prop 89…moneyed interests think it’s a ploy! Umm, well, that’s shocking!!
  • The Republicans think that Pelosi will be a great straw man, but if they think that Nancy won’t fight back…forget about it.
  • A Pre-investigation of the Sacto Levee failures by Dan Walters.
  • Prop 89: Special Interests’ “No” on 89 Ad – Thick With Irony

    ( – promoted by SFBrianCL)

    (cross posted to dKos)

    I’m a proponent of California’s Proposition 89, the Clean Money and Fair Elections Act. I like to keep tabs on what the other side is doing. It helps me understand what they’re telling people, so I can counter it. So, I’ve been waiting for the Stop 89 people to come out with their TV ads. Well it appears they have. You can see one for yourself.

    It has all the requisite feel-good items: Dad is sitting on the front step, while the kids are out playing with the dog. We’ve got happy soothing music in the background, and Dad explains to us that he really, really wants to reign in the special interests, but just can’t:

    I’d love to reign in the special interests that control our state politics. That’s what I thought Prop 89 did. Than I read up on it. It turns out that Prop 89 was written by the special interests. It would stick us with $200 million dollars in new taxes, creating a campaign slush fund for politicians to use as they see fit. Can you believe it? It is like welfare for politicians.

    Where to begin? First, it’s telling that he doesn’t name the special interests who wrote Prop 89. I guess if you consider average people to be special interests, then maybe he’s right. Sure, the California Nurses Association is a big proponent of the initiative, but that hardly means they wrote it. It leverages a lot of AB583, which was good legislation held up by special interests. And it’s supported by good government groups like California Common Cause, Public Campaign and the League of Women Voters. The ideas written into Prop 89 have been working well in other states for years.

    Sticking US with $200 million dollars in new taxes? Well, if “us” is corporations, then technically “yes”. Prop 89 won’t raise taxes on individuals. And lest you worry about the corporations, the modest increase in their tax rate still keeps it under the rate in place from 1980 to 1996. Funny how when you cut taxes, any restoration becomes a “new” tax. And it won’t be a “slush fund for politicians”. There are practical qualification requirements. Candidates need popular support in the form of many $5 contributions to run under this system. Isn’t it better for the public to fund them than special interests? Who do we want them to remember once they are in office?

    Which brings me to the final irony – this ad tells you how bad the special interests are, and ends with the required “Paid for by Californians to Stop 89, a coalition of business and taxpayer organizations and California Business Political Action Committee, sponsored by the California Chamber of Commerce and ChevronTexaco”. Oh, now I feel better. ChevronTexaco is a name I trust when I’m trying to understand who the special interests are. And there are many more ganging up to fight this initiative.

    Let’s make sure that Californians aren’t fooled by this ad – lend your support to 89now.org and stop the real special interests.

    Robin Swanson Derides Netroots

    (She’s the Mike McCurry of California. – promoted by SFBrianCL)

    From the San Jose Mercury News:

    Swanson derided supporters’ glee over the Internet wave washing over the ad.

    “Sixteen thousand hits? That’s a drop in the bucket compared to the 4 to 5 million people they’ll need to convince,” Swanson said. “Everyone heralded the netroots as the next great thing, and you saw it propel Howard Dean initially. But when it came to translating it to votes, it didn’t happen.”

    The irony is that this story is about an ad from Bill Hillsman and talks about the Lamont campaign, which translated enough votes to win, beating a sitting US Senator.

    It really isn’t surprising that Swanson, who is the shill for big insurance and big oil, would bash the netroots.

    However, the idea of integrating youtube into campaigns to get exposure is something that is going far beyond politics.

    For example, tonight on PBS, Bill Moyers is devoting Now to the topic of public financing of elections. So PBS put a preview on youtube.

    The TV insider publication Broadcasting and Cable took notice:

    PBS is getting serious about getting more bang for it promotional buck–or make that no buck–via the Internet.

    It has set up a “directors account” on YouTube–allowing for longer clips and some other perks–and begun showcasing promos, with a link to the PBS homepage and the show’s site.

    PBS President Paula Kerger has said from the get-go that the noncom service needed to be on the cutting edge of getting its programming to where the eyeballs are, and CPB President Patricia Harrison said just this week that programmers “can no longer broadcast to an audience where you last saw them.”

    The PBS clips–14 of them so far–include tune-in information, like “check your local listings.”  Kevin Dando, director of education and online communication, for PBS, says it is helping to promote the shows to a huge audience–100 million views a day to all of YouTube. And you can’t beat the price of the screen time: free.

    “It’s a great way to get in front of a broad variety of audiences,” Dando says. He points out that the clip promoting a NOW program on “clean elections” is now among the top-50 most viewed recent video posts to the site with 13,600 views to date.

    “It’s where the market is headed,” he says.

    To increase the chances of getting noticed, PBS loads the clip with tags so that it will come up on a variety of searches–for the NOW show, the tags were “NOW,” “PBS,” “votes,””sale campaigns,” “democracy,” “clean elections,” “election,” “proposition 89,” “vote voting.”

    Indeed, it is where the market is headed. Which makes Robin Swanson look extremely out of touch when she bashes us.

    The Merc News story quoting Swanson also had some other quotes, from people who actually understand politics:

    “I don’t know if we’ll pull this off,” said Bill Hillsman, who created the ad and is the media consultant for Connecticut senatorial candidate Ned Lamont’s insurgent campaign against Sen. Joe Lieberman, “but if the spot goes out enough, people will say this is how I feel, and if for no other reason but this, I’ll go out and vote.”

    Joe Trippi, the San Jose State University graduate who helped revolutionize the convergence of politics and the Internet as former presidential candidate Howard Dean’s campaign manager in 2004, said the ad “really captures” the mood of the voter.

    “It’s the perfect spot,” said Trippi, a consultant to the Proposition 89 campaign. “It helps create the echo chamber between the Internet and TV that it will need to make that big move. This is getting moved around pretty virally right now.” […]

    “We’ve learned from working with underdog and insurgency campaigns that if you do an ad that people are watching (on the Internet),” Hillsman said, “you get a multiplier effect that makes it three to five times worth the amount you paid for it.”

    Hillsman’s ad campaign for Lamont was the first political effort to tap into the YouTube phenomenon. YouTube, which was recently acquired by Google, is one of the largest and fastest-growing free video sharing Web sites.

    If you haven’t yet, check out the ad and use our tools to email it to your friends.

    And check out the youtube promo for tonight’s PBS special on public financing (which I recommend watching).

    Odds and Ends 10/19/06

    As the election approaches, I understand that people are growing tired.  But there are less than 3 weeks, and we need every ounce of effort.  There are so many reasons to be excited.  We have the opportunity to get rid of several corrupt Republicans that have grown to become national embarrassments. We have the opportunity to take back the Secretary of State’s office and really address the issues of voting.  So with that, here’s some teasers: Arnold is desperate and has no coat tails. Ken Blackwell School of electioneering in Pooch’s bid for AG. Brown and McNerney. Jerry Lewis is corrupt, and LACCD goes solar.

    • George Skelton thinks Arnold’s “Phil wants to raise your taxes by $18 Billion” line is “desperate”.
    • The CapWeekly thinks Arnold’s coattails might be short, very short.
    • Phil is going on the offensive (LAT).  He is visibly questioning the Governor’s character.  Well, it’s something that we’ve been doing here and at Tracking Arnold for quite some time.  Arnold has a track record of sexual harassment and questionably (or not so questionably) racist statements.  Rowdy movie set or not, some lines should not be crossed.
    • Pooch and the CRP are getting a whiff of desperation of their own. The Contra Costa Cty. GOP is filing a suit stating that Jerry Brown is not eligible (SacBee) to be the AG b/c some of State Bar papers aren’t in order. Sounds like Ken Blackwell has been talking with Pooch.
    • The CDP is excited about Brown and McNerney. (SF Chron)
    • Shocker!!! Ring the Alarm!! Rep. Jerry Lewis has taken the most money of ANY Congressman from Lobbyists. (LAT)
    • In some just all around pleasant news, the LA Community College System is planning an initiative to power their campuses via solar power. (LAT)

    Reviews of new Prop 89 Ad

    Bill Hillsman’s new Stop the Pounding ad is getting play all across the internets, including a post on Crooks and Liars (the most popular political video blog in America). Here is what some people are saying:

    “one of the slickest and most engaging political ads in California right now….In this ad, the medium is the message. Rather than targeting corporate donations and their influence on politicians, it attacks television advertising funded by those donations.”Robert Salladay, LA Times Political Muscle Blog

    “It is a terrific ad – and an incredibly important campaign.”David Sirota, SirotaBlog

    “Watch Hillsman’s ad, which is a remarkable piece of political jujitsu on the practices of political advertising, and has the possiblity to remake them.”Jamie Court, Huffington Post

    “hilarious YouTube Video, courtesy of 89now.org and/or Clean Money Elections which just about sums up this year’s election.  I love it how they’ve managed to tie in our fatigue with the campaigning….”Dan Wood, A Progressive Alamedan

    “to me there is no single race as crucial as the battle to pass Proposition 89, a huge first step towards cleaning up politics in this state and taking it out of the hands of wealthy special interests. Joe Trippi sent me an ad today that was done by the brilliant filmmaker Bill Hillsman.”Howie Klein, Down WithTyranny

    “His new ad for the issue doesn’t even look like a political ad — its production values are too high-end. Polling shows Proposition 89 is in a fierce battle, but as Hillsman’s ad makes clear, the big money interests are actually shooting themselves in the foot. Spending tens of millions of dollars on nasty ad campaigns to try to destroy popular initiatives, these corporate interests are angering voters. Hillsman goes ninja style and turns these frustrations into a powerful argument for campaign finance reform.”Left in the West, AOL News Elections Blog

    Odds and ends 10/16/06

    Here we go again…all the news that I find interesting from around the wonderful world of the internets.  Some teasers: Quick Cruz, Arnold is out of the state, appoint some judges. Sean Hannity and the “moderate” Arnold Schwarzenegger, Prop 89 and more!

    • Arnold is in New York City today to well, kiss some Wall Street ass.  He’s going to meeting there with his friends “moderate” Republicans George Pataki (moderate, hahahahaha) and Michael Bloomberg. So, that means right now, technically Cruz Bustamante is our acting governor.  So, Cruz, how abouts you get on that horn and make a few appointments, huh? 
    • Staying on Arnold Schwarzenegger (be careful when you do that, you never know what you might get), it seems that our “moderate” Governator pplans on holding a fundraiser with Sean Hannity.  yeah, that Sean Hannity, the obnoxious Bush ass-kisser.  Now, if having a fundraiser doesn’t scream “moderate” than I have no idea what would.  Are all you scary liberals happy yet?
    • Arnold is super pumped about building liquified natural gas receptacle off the California coast. Yippee!!
    • The SacBee did a piece on Prop 89.  Apparently Robin Swanson thinks it’s a terrible idea (“‘I don’t think anybody is saying that the current system isn’t broken, or doesn’t have its problems, but Proposition 89 would make an even bigger mess of the situation,’ said Robin Swanson, spokeswoman for the No on 89 campaign.” ) Hmm, do you think it could be because Robin Swanson has a vested interest in seeing the money to continue to flow in Sacramento? Listen, she did great work with the Alliance in 2005, but the people and groups lining up against Prop 89 are all the groups that are spending the big bucks in this election and the previous ones.  They need the status quo to retain their power. The consultant class really, really doesn’t love Prop 89.
    • George Skelton thinks we need more debate on education.  Meanwhile, Dan Walters thinks that the debate format was super cool! Huh?